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TCU

TCU 13 at Utah 7

UTAH
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-6.2UTAH 26.5%Kyle Lemmermann 28 Yd Field GoalAWAY 13 - HOME 0 · Q3 9:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:32 · Kyle Lemmermann 28 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense−19.9Garbage-time factor−4.3Pregame prior+2.7Score differential−9.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:12: Money Parks 71 Yd pass from Isaac Wilson (Cole Becker Kick) — UTAH win probability +14.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:42: Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 6 — UTAH win probability +9.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:58: Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 16 — TCU win probability +13.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:37: Isaac Wilson run for 15 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down — UTAH win probability +8.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:35: Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the TCU 47 — TCU win probability +17.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 13 of 13TCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 9:12UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48TCU 4th & 5 at UTAH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11UTAH 4th & 25 at UTAH 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:19TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:37UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:29TCU 4th & 5 at UTAH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:59UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:33UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:22TCU 4th & 4 at UTAH 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:00UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:32TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:15UTAH 4th & 20 at UTAH 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:09UTAH 4th & 24 at UTAH 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−2.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:32TCU 4th & 6 at UTAH 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−8.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:44UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:52TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:23TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:13UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:23TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 38, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−3.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:55UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:55TCU 4th & 9 at UTAH 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%−0.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:11UTAH 4th & 2 at TCU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.0%−5.0
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:45TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−1.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:52UTAH 4th & 5 at TCU 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%−5.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−6.6
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:17TCU 4th & 1 at UTAH 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.5%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:00TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:12UTAH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:5743% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
56.7%
Savion Williams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
50
+12
56.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 12 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
56.6%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 42Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+1
56.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 1 yd to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+17
56.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 17 yds to the UTAH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
56.4%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
56.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Trent Battle for 15 yds to the UTAH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
56.3%
Josh Hoover run for no gain to the UTAH 9 Josh Hoover fumbled, recovered by UTAH Van Fillinger V. Fillinger return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4557% → 57%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
56.9%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 11Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
56.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 5 yds to the UTAH 16Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-1
56.8%
Brant Kuithe run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 15Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
56.6%
Jack Bouwmeester punt blocked by DJ Rodgers, recovered by Jonathan Bax, returns for no gain to the UTAH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1244% → 43%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
56.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
56.0%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the UTAH 13Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+10
56.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 10 yds to the UTAH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.8%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
55.8%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 5Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
56.6%
Kyle Lemmermann 23 yd FG BLOCKED by Tao Johnson recovred by Van Fillinger. Returned for no gain to the UTAH 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2857% → 56%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+26
56.9%
Isaac Wilson run for 11 yds to the UTAH 19 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
57.2%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-1
57.1%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 33Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-14
56.6%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Marcel Brooks for a loss of 14 yards to the UTAH 19Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 25
OWN 19
+3
56.3%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds , JP Richardson returns for 3 yds to the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3944% → 43%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
56.3%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
56.1%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
56.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 6
OWN 44
-7
57.1%
Ethan Craw punt for 44 yds , Dorian Singer returns for a loss of 7 yards to the UTAH 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:3057% → 56%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
57.0%
Micah Bernard run for 15 yds to the UTAH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
57.1%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 21Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
57.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dijon Stanley for 2 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
56.8%
Isaac Wilson run for no gain to the UTAH 23Similar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
56.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 48 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:0044% → 46%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
56.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 26 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
55.1%
Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
55.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+8
55.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 8 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
54.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 23 yds to the UTAH 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
54.3%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 15Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+10
54.4%
Trent Battle run for 10 yds to the UTAH 5Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.2%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.8%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
54.1%
Kyle Lemmermann 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3055% → 54%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Charlie Vincent for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
55.2%
Micah Bernard run for 20 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
56.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-10
57.0%
(11:58) WILSON, Isaac pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SINGER, Dorian thrown to the TCU3, clock 11:49. PENALTY UTAH Holding on LOMU, Caleb enforced 10 yards from the TCU48 to the UTAH42. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+2
55.1%
Isaac Wilson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
54.3%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
53.6%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 35 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:5146% → 58%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
54.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
53.7%
Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
53.3%
Savion Williams run for 4 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+34
53.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 34 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
51.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Trent Battle for 4 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
49.8%
Trent Battle run for 7 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
49.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 20 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.6%
Josh Hoover 1 Yd Run (Kyle Lemmermann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2243% → 41%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
42.9%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-4
43.3%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 25Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
40.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0459% → 59%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
40.9%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+6
41.7%
Josh Hoover run for 6 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+3
40.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 3 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
40.9%
Ethan Craw punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
40.8%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Tanoa Togiai) to the UTAH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1741% → 38%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+4
40.6%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the UTAH 19Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
40.0%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 22Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
39.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for no gain to the UTAH 22Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-5
38.0%
Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 17Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
38.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 43 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:2062% → 61%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
38.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 3 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
38.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+5
38.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 5 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
39.5%
Ethan Craw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:0839% → 36%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
38.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 11 yds to the UTAH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.3%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
39.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+26
38.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 26 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
41.0%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Kaleb Elarms-Orr for a loss of 10 yards to the UTAH 42Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
36.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 20
OWN 42
0
36.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, downed at the TCU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
37.2%
(00:04) [NH] Kneel down by HOOVER, Josh at TCU14 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:5138% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
37.4%
Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 20Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
37.2%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 15Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-44
35.8%
(14:15) QB Keeper WILSON, Isaac rush up the middle for a loss of 7 yards, WILSON, Isaac fumbled at UTAH8 forced by DEAL, Devean, recovered by UTAH BERNARD, Micah at the UTAH8, returned 44 yards to the TCU48 (JAMES, LaMareon;DEAL, Devean), clock 13:53. PENALTY UTAH Illegal Block in the Back on MOEA'I, Solatoa enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the UTAH15 to the UTAH8. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+3
34.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 3 yds to the UTAH 11Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 41 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0766% → 74%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
34.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 6 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+11
33.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 11 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
33.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 7 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+14
33.0%
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the UTAH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
32.7%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 15Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
32.6%
Hauss Hejny run for 5 yds to the UTAH 10Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
32.8%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
26.5%
Kyle Lemmermann 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4831% → 29%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.8%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 26Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.9%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
28.7%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
28.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 46 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4475% → 75%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
25.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
24.4%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
24.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
25.5%
Ethan Craw punt for 52 yds, downed at the UTAH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:2628% → 42%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
28.4%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the UTAH 22Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
28.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the UTAH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
42.1%
Money Parks 71 Yd pass from Isaac Wilson (Cole Becker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:4962% → 62%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
38.1%
Savion Williams run for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
35.6%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
35.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
35.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
37.8%
Ethan Craw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0441% → 38%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
41.2%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the UTAH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
40.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
37.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 46 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4164% → 63%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
35.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
33.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Ben Taylor-Whitfield) to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
36.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
36.3%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 15
OWN 35
-5
37.5%
TCU Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Hoover) to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+8
37.4%
Trent Battle run for 8 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
37.1%
Ethan Craw punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTAH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1840% → 38%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
40.3%
Isaac Wilson run for 7 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+8
42.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
42.8%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 9 yards to the UTAH 33Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+13
38.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 13 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
41.3%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+47
38.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds , JP Richardson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:4966% → 70%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+30
33.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 30 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
31.4%
Savion Williams run for 25 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
28.0%
Trent Battle run for 8 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
26.2%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-2
26.9%
Hauss Hejny run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
29.5%
TCU Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Hoover) to the UTAH 41Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
30.2%
Ethan Craw punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTAH 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 81 yds · 4:3140% → 36%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
39.7%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTAH 6Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+2
36.6%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 8Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+36
34.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 36 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
40.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+4
36.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+9
36.2%
Isaac Wilson run for 9 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
36.2%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Bud Clark return for no gain to the TCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1377% → 76%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
22.9%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 16Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+7
23.1%
Savion Williams run for 7 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
22.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
23.6%
Ethan Craw punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:4532% → 30%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
32.0%
Isaac Wilson run for 15 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
35.0%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
34.6%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for no gain to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+3
32.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
30.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 29END OF GAME
10 plays · 5 yds · 1:5787% → 94%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
13.0%
Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
11.6%
Trent Battle run for no gain to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
11.9%
Savion Williams run for 5 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
10.3%
Savion Williams run for 2 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
6.8%
(01:57) [SG] Kneel down by HOOVER, Josh at UTAH47 (team loss of 1), clock 01:51.Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-3
5.0%
(01:22) [SG] Kneel down by HOOVER, Josh at UTAH50 (team loss of 3), clock 01:14.Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 14
50
-2
5.6%
(00:38) [SG] Kneel down by HOOVER, Josh at TCU48 (team loss of 2), clock 00:36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:35
Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the TCU 47
-17
TD · Q3 6:12
Money Parks 71 Yd pass from Isaac Wilson (Cole Becker Kick)
+14
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:58
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 16
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com