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BAY

Baylor 59 at Texas Tech 35

TTU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:38 · Jamaal Bell run for 3 yds to the TTU 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:54: Jalin Conyers pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 20 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK) — TTU win probability +12.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:04: Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 6 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +11.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:15: Tahj Brooks run for 31 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +14.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 6:17: Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +15.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:08: Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 35 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +13.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:34TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:45BAY 4th & 10 at TTU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:25TTU 4th & 1 at BAY 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−1.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00BAY 4th & 20 at BAY 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:30BAY 4th & 5 at TTU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:50TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:17BAY 4th & 7 at TTU 41, up 10
    Close callPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:16BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:15TTU 4th & 1 at BAY 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−2.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:42BAY 4th & 2 at TTU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−1.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−10.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:43TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:08TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:05TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 25, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:02TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 44, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:40BAY 4th & 1 at TTU 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:11TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 45, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 5:54BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:47TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:44BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:04BAY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:15TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:17BAY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:08BAY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:02BAY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:41BAY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:31TTU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:40BAY Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 2:01TTU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:2665% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.9%
Behren Morton run for 5 yds to the TTU 30Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
64.8%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 30Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
64.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
64.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 40Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
64.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the TTU 46Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-1
64.9%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 45Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Jack Burgess punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the BAY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:3736% → 36%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
64.5%
Bryson Washington run for 7 yds to the BAY 37Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
64.2%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 39Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
64.2%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
64.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 15 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
63.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
64.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
64.5%
Palmer Williams punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:4865% → 64%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
64.5%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 15Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+10
64.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 10 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
64.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 6 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
64.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-10
64.5%
(07:52) MORTON, Behren pass up the middle complete for -1 yard to MILLER II, Johncarlos caught at the TTU33 and advanced to the TTU34 (WILLIAMS IV, Carl), clock 07:41. PENALTY TTU Holding on ROGERS, Caleb enforced 10 yards from the TTU35 to the TTU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+3
64.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 3 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
63.7%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
63.5%
Jack Burgess punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:5137% → 41%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
63.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 15 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
63.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+44
63.1%
Bryson Washington run for 44 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.5%
Bryson Washington run for 1 yd for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0761% → 66%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
60.9%
(05:54) MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for EAKIN, Coy thrown to the BAY35, clock 05:49. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on WILLIAMS IV, Carl enforced 15 yards to the TTU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+11
61.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 11 yds to the BAY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
61.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+9
61.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the BAY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
61.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for a loss of 2 yards to the BAY 27Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+4
61.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 4 yds to the BAY 23Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+5
60.7%
Baylor Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the BAY 18Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
60.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the BAY 16Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+4
59.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the BAY 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
65.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:4237% → 36%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.9%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the BAY 31Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
62.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Dawson Pendergrass for 2 yds to the BAY 33Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-10
62.9%
(00:41) QB Keeper ROBERTSON, Sawyer rush to the left for a loss of 8 yards, ROBERTSON, Sawyer fumbled at BAY25 , recovered by BAY ROBERTSON, Sawyer at the BAY25, returned 15 yards to the BAY40 (BASKERVILLE, CJ), clock 00:30. PENALTY BAY Holding on FUGAR, Sidney enforced 10 yards from the BAY33 to the BAY23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
63.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for no gain to the BAY 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 23
-5
63.8%
Baylor Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BAY 18Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 18
0
63.9%
punt for 63 yds, downed at the TTU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3664% → 62%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
63.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
63.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 4 yds to the TTU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
63.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 1 yd to the TTU 30Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-3
63.7%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 27Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
62.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+73
62.0%
Jack Burgess punt for 47 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 73 yds to the TTU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.3%
Bryson Washington run for 1 yd for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0247% → 47%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
53.2%
Bryson Washington run for 3 yds to the TTU 16Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
52.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 2 yds to the TTU 14Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
53.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
52.7%
Isaiah Hankins 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:3752% → 50%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
51.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 11 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
51.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
51.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 3 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+1
49.7%
Jack Burgess punt for 41 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 1 yd to the BAY 28Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
50.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:2848% → 52%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
51.8%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 11 yds to the BAY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
50.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
49.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 9 yds to the BAY 48Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+8
48.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 8 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
47.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
47.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
47.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
47.7%
Palmer Williams punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:1148% → 60%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
47.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
47.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
47.2%
Behren Morton run for 7 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
47.6%
Behren Morton sacked by Matt Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+9
45.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+20
45.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 20 yds to the BAY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
48.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 13 yds to the BAY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.2%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
47.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the BAY 20Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
59.8%
Jalin Conyers pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 20 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:5046% → 63%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.0%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the BAY 26Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
53.9%
Sawyer Robertson run for 6 yds to the BAY 32Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
53.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 21 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+24
50.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Richard Reese for 24 yds to the TTU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-15
47.9%
(00:35) ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to TRIGG, Michael caught at the TTU7 and advanced to the TTU7 (JORDAN, Brenden), clock 00:30. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on TRIGG, Michael enforced 15 yards to the TTU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
48.0%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the TTU 19Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 21
OPP 34
+9
49.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 9 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+19
50.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 19 yds to the TTU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
37.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 6 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4458% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
41.7%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the BAY 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
40.7%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
41.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:16
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
42.2%
Palmer Williams punt for 48 yds , Josh Kelly returns for no gain to the TTU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 3:0141% → 56%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
40.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 20Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+8
40.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TTU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+32
40.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 32 yds to the BAY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
42.2%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
42.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the BAY 36Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
41.3%
Behren Morton run for 5 yds to the BAY 31Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+31
55.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 31 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:5847% → 70%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 7 yds to the BAY 32Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
51.4%
Richard Reese run for 8 yds to the BAY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
48.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 26 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
46.8%
Monaray Baldwin run for 2 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+4
46.5%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
47.4%
Sawyer Robertson run for 2 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+6
49.1%
Sawyer Robertson run for 6 yds to the TTU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
45.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 9 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
30.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1133% → 32%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
32.6%
Baylor Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cooper Lanz) to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
33.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
34.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
32.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
34.0%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Dalton Merryman) to the TTU 42Similar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+2
32.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-9
31.9%
Behren Morton pass intercepted Caden Jenkins return for 9 yds to the TTU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5373% → 86%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
27.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 12 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
27.3%
Sawyer Robertson run for 2 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+35
13.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 35 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0018% → 15%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
18.0%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 23Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
17.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+10
17.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 10 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+13
17.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 13 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
18.6%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-8
18.3%
Behren Morton sacked by Steve Linton for a loss of 8 yards to the TTU 38Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+6
16.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
14.6%
Jack Burgess punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the BAY 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0189% → 97%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
11.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 6 yds to the BAY 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
11.0%
Bryson Washington run for 6 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
10.2%
Bryson Washington run for 16 yds to the BAY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
9.3%
Bryson Washington run for 34 yds to the TTU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
2.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 24 yds for a TD Baylor Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Monaray Baldwin) to the TTU 0 (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:513% → 3%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
3.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
3.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+3
3.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+5
3.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 5 yds to the TTU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 2:1997% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
2.6%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 13 yds to the TTU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
2.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the TTU 13Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+1
2.1%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the TTU 12Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
0.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 12 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:100% → 1%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 3 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
0.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 6 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
0.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 5 yds to the TTU 44Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
0.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+6
0.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
50
0
0.3%
Behren Morton run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
50
+10
0.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 10 yds to the BAY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
0.3%
Baylor Penalty, Roughing the Passer on REED, Kyland enforced (Chateau Reed) to the BAY 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
0.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 18 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
0.4%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the TTU 35Similar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
0.3%
Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the TTU 37Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
0.3%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+34
0.2%
Dequan Finn run for 34 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:360% → 1%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
0.1%
Cameron Dickey run for 9 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Cameron Dickey for no gain to the TTU 36Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Cameron Dickey run for no gain to the TTU 36Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 9 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+10
0.1%
Cameron Dickey run for 10 yds to the BAY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
0.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Micah Hudson for 26 yds to the BAY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
0.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Micah Hudson for 12 yds to the BAY 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 7 yds for a TD (Behren Morton pass to Josh Kelly for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
0.5%
Jamaal Bell run for 20 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.5%
Jamaal Bell run for 2 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
0.4%
Jamaal Bell run for 3 yds to the TTU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:17
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 11:15
Tahj Brooks run for 31 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q3 3:08
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 35 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com