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HOU

Houston 14 at Kansas 42

KU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:24 · Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the HOU 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.2Pregame prior+11.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:37: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 48 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +6.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:59: Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +8.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:18: Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +10.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:33: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 3 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +11.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:35: Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 52 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK) — HOU win probability +11.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:24KU 4th & 1 at HOU 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:18HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:55KU 4th & 13 at KU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:04KU 4th & 2 at KU 13, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 6:58HOU 4th & 2 at KU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−1.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:17HOU 4th & 21 at KU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:58KU 4th & 15 at HOU 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:14HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:26HOU 4th & 15 at KU 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:39HOU 4th & 6 at KU 6, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:56KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:37KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:59KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:18HOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:33KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:35HOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:21KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:50KU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 8:4163% → 67%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
63.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 7 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
63.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
63.5%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
63.8%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the HOU 40Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+9
63.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the HOU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
63.6%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 44Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+11
63.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 11 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
63.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
63.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the HOU 22Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+9
63.8%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the HOU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
63.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the HOU 8Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
63.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the HOU 5Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
63.6%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the HOU 4Similar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
63.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the HOU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 2 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0334% → 34%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.1%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
66.1%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 27Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
66.8%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 11 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
66.1%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 39Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
66.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 43Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
66.2%
Zeon Chriss pass intercepted Cobee Bryant return for no gain to the HOU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
72.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 48 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:1229% → 28%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
70.8%
Zeon Chriss sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the HOU 19Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+16
71.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Devan Williams for 16 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
71.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
71.9%
J'Marion Burnette run for 3 yds to the HOU 40Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
71.8%
J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the HOU 40Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
72.4%
Liam Dougherty punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 3:1374% → 85%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
74.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 6 yds to the KU 22Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
74.5%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 22Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+40
74.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 40 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+37
76.3%
Luke Grimm run for 37 yds to the HOU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the HOU 2Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3016% → 25%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
84.0%
Donovan Smith sacked by Marvin Grant for a loss of 6 yards to the HOU 28Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+17
85.2%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Maliq Carr for 17 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
84.7%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
85.0%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the HOU 48Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+12
85.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Devan Williams for 12 yds to the KU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
85.2%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Donovan rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KU31 (Wheeler,Cornell) PENALTY UH Holding (White,Dakota) 10 yards from KU40 to KU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 20
50
+6
85.5%
Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+16
86.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 16 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
84.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 5 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
74.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3578% → 91%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
78.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 23 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
79.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
79.1%
Devin Neal run for 11 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
79.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 10 yds to the HOU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+29
79.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 29 yds to the HOU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.1%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the HOU 3Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 3 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5111% → 21%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.3%
Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 10 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.5%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 9 yds to the HOU 44Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-5
89.0%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 39Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
89.9%
Donovan Smith run for 9 yds to the HOU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
78.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 52 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:2782% → 80%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
81.6%
(01:30) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon rush right for 11 yards gain to the KU37 (Allen,Carlos), out of bounds PENALTY KU Holding (Baynes,Kobe) 10 yards from KU26 to KU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+5
82.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 5 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+2
82.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 2 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
82.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
80.2%
Damon Greaves punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:2920% → 18%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
80.2%
Donovan Smith run for 19 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
79.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-6
79.7%
Donovan Smith sacked by Dean Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the KU 44Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 16
OPP 44
0
81.7%
Donovan Smith pass intercepted Cobee Bryant return for no gain to the KU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
84.1%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12INT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:1518% → 18%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.9%
Donovan Smith pass complete to JayShon Ridgle for 6 yds to the HOU 31Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
81.3%
DJ Butler run for 16 yds to the HOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
81.1%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-10
80.3%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Donovan rush left for 1 yard loss to the KU46 (Robinson,Jereme) PENALTY UH Holding (Ndukwe,David) 10 yards from KU45 to UH45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-1
82.3%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 44Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+15
83.6%
Donovan Smith run for 15 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
81.7%
Stacy Sneed run for no gain to the KU 41Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
82.0%
Donovan Smith pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2485% → 85%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
85.0%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 4Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 11
OWN 4
0
85.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+9
85.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 9 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+2
85.0%
Damon Greaves punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 2 yds to the HOU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 4:4417% → 13%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
83.1%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Donovan pass incomplete short right to Mews,Mekhi thrown to KU46 PENALTY KU Pass Interference (Purdy,Kaleb) 12 yards from UH47 to KU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
82.7%
Donovan Smith run for 7 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
81.7%
Mekhi Mews run for 2 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+3
83.5%
Donovan Smith run for 3 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+3
84.4%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 3 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
82.9%
Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the KU 29Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-9
83.3%
Donovan Smith sacked by D.J. Withers for a loss of 9 yards to the KU 38Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 18
OPP 38
-3
86.8%
Donovan Smith sacked by D.J. Withers for a loss of 3 yards to the KU 41Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 21
OPP 41
0
87.4%
Liam Dougherty punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:5190% → 98%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
89.5%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
89.8%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 24Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+11
90.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 11 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
92.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
50
+11
93.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
93.3%
(00:51) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UH28 (Batton,Michael) PENALTY KU Holding (Cabeldue,Bryce) 10 yards from UH39 to UH49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+1
93.3%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the HOU 48Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 19
OPP 48
+40
93.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 32 yds to the HOU 16 for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, (8 Yards) to the HOU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 8 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
98.2%
Donovan Smith run for 2 yds to the HOU 31Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Donovan Smith pass intercepted Cornell Wheeler return for no gain to the HOU 24Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Donovan Smith pass intercepted Cornell Wheeler return for no gain to the HOU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17MISSED FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1698% → 98%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
98.5%
Trevor Wilson run for 11 yds to the HOU 35Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 21
OPP 35
+6
98.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the HOU 29Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+47
98.3%
Tabor Allen 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:252% → 1%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Jonah Wilson for no gain to the HOU 29Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.7%
Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+5
98.7%
J'Marion Burnette run for 5 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
98.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 33 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.5%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
98.6%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-5
98.7%
Donovan Smith pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for a loss of 5 yards to the KU 30Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 15
OPP 30
0
98.9%
Donovan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+54
98.8%
Devin Neal run for 54 yds to the HOU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
99.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the HOU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:050% → 0%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
DJ Butler run for 2 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Ui Ale pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 6 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
JayShon Ridgle run for 3 yds to the HOU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
DJ Butler run for 10 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
99.9%
Ui Ale pass complete to Traville Frederick Jr. for 5 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, (15 Yards) to the KU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
99.9%
Ui Ale pass complete to DJ Butler for 27 yds to the KU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Ui Ale pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Ui Ale run for 1 yd to the KU 6Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Ui Ale pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
99.9%
Ui Ale sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the KU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
99.9%
(02:37) PENALTY KU False Start (Simmons,Darrell) 5 yards from KU13 to KU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+7
99.9%
Sevion Morrison run for 7 yds to the KU 15Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-7
99.9%
(01:58) Shotgun Morrison,Sevion rush right for 32 yards gain to the KU47 (Barbas,Johnsley) PENALTY KU Holding (Gorczyca,Nolan) 7 yards from KU15 to KU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+16
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 16 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
99.9%
C. Ballard takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-1
99.9%
C. Ballard takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:33
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 3 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)
+11
TD · Q2 1:35
Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 52 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 6:18
Donovan Smith pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com