Try the model
OKST

Oklahoma State 35 at BYU 38

BYU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2024 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:20 · Sam Vander Haar punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior+17.3Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:51: LJ Martin run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +18.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:43: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 34 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +16.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:50: Brennan Presley pass complete to Alan Bowman for 16 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +23.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:13: Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +72.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:10: Darius Lassiter 35 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +72.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:20BYU 4th & 10 at OKST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:49OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:31BYU 4th & 1 at OKST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:52OKST 4th & 11 at BYU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q4 9:39BYU 4th & 8 at OKST 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−17.6
    average punt
  6. Q4 6:24OKST 4th & 1 at BYU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−7.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−6.9
    average punt
  7. Q4 3:23OKST 4th & 1 at BYU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%−4.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−12.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:42BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.6%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:57BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:42OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:01BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:55OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:51BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:43BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:50OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:13OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.6
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:10BYU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4870% → 71%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
70.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 50 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
70.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 14 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
70.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for 6 yds to the OKST 5Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
70.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the OKST 4Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
70.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1029% → 31%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Sesi VailahiSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
70.7%
Garret Rangel run for 16 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
70.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
70.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 1
50
+50
68.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 50 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1569% → 69%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.4%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
69.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 7 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
69.1%
LJ Martin run for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
69.5%
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.6%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the OKST 42Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
69.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
69.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
68.6%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2731% → 31%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
68.6%
Garret Rangel pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
68.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ayo Shotomide-King for 8 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-6
68.7%
Garret Rangel sacked by Jack Kelly for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 14Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
69.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:3369% → 69%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
68.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 17 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
69.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
69.2%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
69.1%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
68.6%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
69.4%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chase Roberts) to the OKST 49Similar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
68.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Ryner SwansonSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+7
68.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 7 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+17
68.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 17 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-12
69.4%
Hinckley Ropati pass intercepted Parker Robertson return for 12 yds to the OKST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3333% → 34%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
66.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-47
66.5%
Garret Rangel pass intercepted Tanner Wall return for 47 yds to the OKST 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.6%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:5528% → 39%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.9%
Garret Rangel run for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
71.3%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
71.4%
Garret Rangel run for 7 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
70.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
70.6%
Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+15
70.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 15 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
69.7%
Brennan Presley run for 11 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
69.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+1
69.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Tyler Foster for 1 yd to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+17
61.1%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 17 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9INT
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:5866% → 69%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
66.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 9 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
67.2%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
66.3%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+29
67.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 29 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
68.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+7
68.8%
Parker Kingston run for 7 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-17
68.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass intercepted Korie Black return for 17 yds to the OKST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:5938% → 57%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
62.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 25Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
62.5%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (John Nelson) to the OKST 30Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
60.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+54
60.6%
Garret Rangel run for 54 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
56.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
57.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2349% → 48%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
49.3%
LJ Martin run for 24 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
52.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Mata'ava Ta'aseSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
51.1%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Obi Ezeigbo for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-13
47.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass intercepted Lyrik Rawls return for 13 yds to the OKST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:5652% → 56%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.6%
Alan Bowman run for 5 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
46.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
46.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
44.3%
Alan Bowman run for 12 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
43.0%
Sesi Vailahi run for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
42.2%
Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+10
42.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 10 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
41.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
40.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
41.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
43.9%
Logan Ward 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:5346% → 68%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
46.4%
LJ Martin run for 16 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
48.7%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+11
48.4%
LJ Martin run for 11 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
49.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+26
48.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 26 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
49.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
67.9%
LJ Martin run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.4%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Tommy Prassas return for no gain to the OKST 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:5367% → 83%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
66.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
66.5%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
65.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
82.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 34 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:3922% → 49%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
78.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+10
78.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 10 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
77.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+22
78.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 22 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
75.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+18
76.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 18 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
75.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 11 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
75.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
51.4%
Brennan Presley pass complete to Alan Bowman for 16 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:0463% → 76%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.7%
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
65.2%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
61.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 10 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
65.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 22 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
67.1%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
68.9%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
66.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
68.8%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
69.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
66.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
76.3%
Will Ferrin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
22 plays · 76 yds · 8:1530% → 93%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
70.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
70.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for 5 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+17
71.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 17 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
66.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
50
0
63.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
50
+5
64.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josh Ford for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+1
67.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
64.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
64.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
64.5%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
72.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
69.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
70.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for no gain to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-5
72.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+21
82.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
77.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
77.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
7.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:5623% → 97%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
21.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
17.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
20.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 2 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+27
16.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 27 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
24.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
96.7%
Darius Lassiter 35 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
89.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
89.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 13 lat. to Alan Bowman for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 13 lat. to Rashod Owens for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:13
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
-72.3
TD · Q4 0:10
Darius Lassiter 35 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)
+72.3
TD · Q4 14:50
Brennan Presley pass complete to Alan Bowman for 16 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
-23.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com