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COLO

Colorado 34 at Arizona 7

ARIZ
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:17 · Kneel down by TEAM at ARIZ15 (team loss of 2); COLO turnover on downs, clock 01:17.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense−56.6Score differential−40.5Garbage-time factor−21.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.9Pregame prior+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:16: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +3.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:17: Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +5.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q2 13:03: Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +10.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:07: Shedeur Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK) — COLO win probability +11.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:00: Noah Fifita run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST down — ARIZ win probability +10.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 11:13ARIZ 4th & 16 at ARIZ 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:35COLO 4th & 10 at ARIZ 30, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:43ARIZ 4th & 8 at COLO 34, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:55ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:04ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:06ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:58COLO 4th & 2 at ARIZ 9, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:55ARIZ 4th & 17 at ARIZ 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:17COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 44, up 24
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:14ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:21COLO 4th & 3 at ARIZ 18, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:39ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:57COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:42COLO 4th & 3 at ARIZ 16, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:17COLO 4th & 8 at ARIZ 13, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:37COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:16COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:17ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:03COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:07COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:1845% → 46%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
55.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
55.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Tre Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the COLO 49Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+46
55.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 46 yds to the ARIZ 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
54.9%
Shedeur Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.1%
Isaiah Augustave run for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0354% → 54%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
54.3%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
54.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-6
54.0%
Noah Fifita sacked by Keaten Wade for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZ 24Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
53.7%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 39 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:5046% → 52%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
53.6%
Isaiah Augustave run for 1 yd to the COLO 38Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
53.4%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the COLO 43Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+12
53.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
52.8%
(09:17) SANDERS, Shedeur pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WESTER, LaJohntay thrown to the ARIZ15, clock 09:12. PENALTY ARIZ Pass Interference on LUTTRELL, Jack enforced 15 yards to the ARIZ30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
52.6%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
52.1%
Shedeur Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 24Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+11
52.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the ARIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
51.7%
(07:41) SANDERS, Shedeur pass to the right incomplete intended for HUNTER, Travis thrown to the ARIZ0, clock 07:37. PENALTY ARIZ Pass Interference on DAVIS, Tacario enforced 11 yards to the ARIZ2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
51.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jordan Onovughe for 1 yd to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.3%
Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5449% → 54%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
48.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
48.8%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
48.8%
FIFITA, Noah pass to the right incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa thrown to the COLO50, clock 04:30. PENALTY COLO Roughing the Passer on OKUNLOLA, Samuel enforced 15 yards from the ARIZ38 to the COLO47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
49.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
50.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 9 yds to the COLO 38Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+16
49.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 16 yds to the COLO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
49.0%
(03:20) CONLEY, Quali rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO24 (GREEN, B.J.), clock 03:16. PENALTY ARIZ Personal Foul on OLSON, Sam enforced 15 yards from the COLO22 to the COLO37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 25
OPP 37
+24
48.3%
Noah Fifita run for 24 yds to the COLO 13Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+12
48.3%
Quali Conley run for 12 yds to the COLO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.2%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the COLO 1Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0850% → 62%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
50.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 7 yds to the COLO 32Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
49.7%
Isaiah Augustave run for 2 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
49.6%
Shedeur Sanders run for 2 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
49.4%
Isaiah Augustave run for 9 yds to the COLO 45Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
48.7%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
50
+20
48.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 20 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
47.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
48.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+14
49.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 14 yds to the ARIZ 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
38.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:1144% → 41%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
43.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 9 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
43.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+7
43.2%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
43.0%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+18
42.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 18 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
42.5%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the COLO 33Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
42.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the COLO 28Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-6
41.8%
Noah Fifita sacked by Nikhai Hill-Green for a loss of 6 yards to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+52
40.7%
Tyler Loop 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:0466% → 69%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
34.5%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 37Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
34.7%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 40Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+14
33.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
31.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 16 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
31.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
31.3%
Micah Welch run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-2
30.9%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 24 fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Owen Goss O. Goss return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1336% → 36%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
36.0%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-6
35.8%
Noah Fifita sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZ 19 Noah Fifita fumbled, recovered by COLO LaVonta Bentley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9INT
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:1770% → 71%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
29.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-5
29.4%
Shedeur Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the ARIZ 25 Shedeur Sanders fumbled, recovered by COLO Dallan Hayden D. Hayden return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 16
OPP 25
0
29.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass intercepted Jack Luttrell return for no gain to the ARIZ 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4235% → 34%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
34.6%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the ARIZ 11Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
33.8%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+16
33.7%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 36 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for 16 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11TD
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:3672% → 87%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
28.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
27.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 3 yds to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
25.6%
Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
25.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the ARIZ 11Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
24.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
25.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.5%
Shedeur Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:5624% → 23%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
23.5%
Noah Fifita run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
23.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 15 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
25.7%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
24.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-10
24.1%
(00:32) FIFITA, Noah pass to the right incomplete intended for OLSON, Sam thrown to the COLO45, clock 00:27. PENALTY ARIZ Holding on MOE JR., Wendell enforced 10 yards from the ARIZ44 to the ARIZ34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 25
OWN 34
+13
22.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 13 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
22.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
22.7%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
14.1%
Kneel down by TEAM at COLO10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 4:4720% → 16%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
20.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.1%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-10
20.9%
(13:52) CONLEY, Quali rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the ARIZ45 (BENTLEY, LaVonta;HOOD, Colton), clock 13:47. PENALTY ARIZ Holding on DOOST, Alexander enforced 10 yards from the ARIZ41 to the ARIZ31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+6
19.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 6 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
18.5%
(12:53) FIFITA, Noah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa thrown to the COLO30, clock 12:47. PENALTY COLO Pass Interference on HOOD, Colton enforced 15 yards to the COLO48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
20.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the COLO 45Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-10
19.6%
(12:10) FIFITA, Noah scrambles up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the COLO38 (HILL-GREEN, Nikhai), clock 12:01. PENALTY ARIZ Holding on WOOTEN, Michael enforced 10 yards from the COLO45 to the ARIZ45 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+3
18.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 3 yds to the ARIZ 48Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 14
OWN 48
-5
17.4%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 19
OWN 43
+4
17.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 4 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
16.0%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15FG
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:5990% → 94%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
10.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the COLO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
9.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 12 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
9.1%
Shedeur Sanders run for no gain to the COLO 39Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
8.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 7 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+27
8.6%
Dallan Hayden run for 27 yds to the ARIZ 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
7.8%
(07:32) SANDERS, Shedeur pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WESTER, LaJohntay thrown to the ARIZ10, clock 07:29. PENALTY ARIZ Holding on SMITH, Genesis enforced 10 yards from the ARIZ27 to the ARIZ17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+3
7.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
7.3%
Colorado Penalty, Illegal Snap on ZILINSKAS, Hank enforced (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+9
7.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the ARIZ 10Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+1
6.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 9Similar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+28
5.9%
Alejandro Mata 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:567% → 4%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
7.0%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
6.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+14
6.4%
Noah Fifita run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
6.5%
Noah Fifita run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-9
6.2%
Noah Fifita sacked by Samuel Okunlola for a loss of 9 yards to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 17
OWN 40
+18
5.5%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 41 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for 18 yds to the COLO 37Similar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
4.2%
Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3496% → 96%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+2
4.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+10
4.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Sav'ell Smalls for 10 yds to the COLO 44Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
3.8%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the COLO 44Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
4.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:555% → 4%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
4.6%
Noah Fifita run for 20 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
4.5%
Noah Fifita sacked by Samuel Okunlola for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+7
4.0%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
4.0%
Noah Fifita sacked by Keaten Wade for a loss of 5 yards to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
3.7%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jimmy Horn Jr. at the COLO 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:4997% → 98%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
3.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for 8 yds to the COLO 48Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+10
2.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 10 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
2.8%
Isaiah Augustave run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+10
2.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 10 yds to the ARIZ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
2.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 7 yds to the ARIZ 18Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
2.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
2.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 3
OPP 18
0
2.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass intercepted Jack Luttrell return for no gain to the ARIZ 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:343% → 2%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
2.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 3 yds to the ARIZ 17Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+10
2.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the ARIZ 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
2.5%
Noah Fifita sacked by Arden Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
2.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 18
OWN 19
+13
2.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 13 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
2.2%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 49 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for no gain to the COLO 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3398% → 99%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
1.7%
Charlie Offerdahl run for a loss of 3 yards to the COLO 16Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+6
1.6%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 6 yds to the COLO 22Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
1.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+3
1.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 53 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 3 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-61
1.4%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted for a 1ST down Colton Hood return for 46 yds to the COLO 26 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the COLO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3799% → 100%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
1.1%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
1.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 16Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
1.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for no gain to the ARIZ 16Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
0.2%
Alejandro Mata 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
0.3%
Kedrick Reescano run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+15
0.2%
Colorado Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Anquin Barnes Jr.) to the COLO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the COLO 42Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-4
0.2%
Cole Tannenbaum run for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 46 Cole Tannenbaum fumbled, recovered by COLO Brendan Gant B. Gant return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+39
0.2%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 39 yds to the ARIZ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
0.2%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 11Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Ryan Staub pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-2
0.1%
(01:55) Kneel down by TEAM at ARIZ13 (team loss of 2), clock 01:47.Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 8
OPP 13
0
0.1%
Kneel down by TEAM at ARIZ15 (team loss of 2); COLO turnover on downs, clock 01:17.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
0.1%
Kayden Luke run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
0.1%
Brandon Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Brandon Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:07
Shedeur Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q2 13:03
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
-10.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:00
Noah Fifita run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST down
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com