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ARIZ

Arizona 19 at BYU 41

BYU
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · Noah Fifita pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense+25.9Score differential+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5Garbage-time factor+6.4Pregame prior+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:30: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 20 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +8.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:30: Parker Kingston pass complete to LJ Martin for 33 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +12.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:50: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +12.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:12: Tyler Loop 47 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +5.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:02: Tyler Loop 21 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +5.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:25BYU 4th & 4 at ARIZ 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:18BYU 4th & 3 at ARIZ 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:54ARIZ 4th & 1 at BYU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−1.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−7.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:11BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:11BYU 4th & 10 at ARIZ 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:00ARIZ 4th & 8 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:04BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:19ARIZ 4th & 2 at BYU 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−3.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:12ARIZ 4th & 8 at BYU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:47BYU 4th & 6 at ARIZ 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:02ARIZ 4th & 3 at BYU 3, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:00ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:37BYU 4th & 8 at ARIZ 34, up 15
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:02ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 1, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ARIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:27ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:30BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:30BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:50BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:38BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:58ARIZ Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:02BYU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 70 yds · 6:3560% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 12 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
59.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+20
59.8%
Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down Arizona Penalty, Targeting on MANU, Jacob enforced (Jacob Manu) to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
60.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
60.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
60.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 16Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+5
60.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
60.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 13Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-1
60.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 14Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+9
60.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 9 yds to the ARIZ 5Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 4
OPP 5
0
59.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 4:5141% → 47%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
59.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+15
59.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 15 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
59.3%
Quali Conley run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
59.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
59.2%
Noah Fifita run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
58.6%
Kayden Luke run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
50
0
58.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 4
50
-5
58.4%
(05:56) FIFITA, Noah pass short to the right complete for 3 yards to MCMILLAN, Tetairoa caught at the BYU47 and advanced to the BYU47 (BAMBA, Mory), clock 05:49. PENALTY Before the snap, ZONA Illegal Motion on LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana enforced 5 yards from the ZONA50 to the ZONA45. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+39
58.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 39 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
57.6%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
57.5%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
53.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 14 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5553% → 62%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
53.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
53.6%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
54.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for 7 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+12
54.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 12 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
54.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
54.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for 6 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
54.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+15
53.3%
LJ Martin run for 15 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
62.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 20 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1144% → 44%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
55.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 13 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
54.9%
Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 16
OWN 32
+25
55.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 25 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
53.5%
Noah Fifita run for 12 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
52.6%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
54.8%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
56.0%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted Tanner Wall return for no gain to the BYU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 99 yds · 3:4060% → 75%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
60.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the BYU 2Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+5
60.0%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Chase Kennedy) to the BYU 7Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+16
60.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 16 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
59.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 16 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
61.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 16 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for no gain to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
62.1%
Hinckley Ropati run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
75.0%
Parker Kingston pass complete to LJ Martin for 33 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:3529% → 27%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 16 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
70.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
71.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+18
73.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 18 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
70.7%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
71.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kedrick Reescano for 4 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+3
71.4%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
70.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 9 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
69.9%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
72.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
73.2%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:3275% → 73%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
74.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 9 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+9
76.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 9 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
77.2%
(00:55) RETZLAFF, Jake scrambles to the right for no gain to the BYU42 (KENNEDY, Chase), clock 00:48. PENALTY BYU Personal Foul on ROPATI, Hinckley enforced 15 yards from the BYU42 to the BYU27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 25
OWN 27
+17
75.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 17 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
77.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
76.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
72.9%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
76.0%
(00:03) Kneel down by FIFITA, Noah at ZONA11 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
70.0%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted Jakob Robinson return for 3 yds to the ARIZ 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:3520% → 21%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.7%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-13
79.2%
Noah Fifita sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the ARIZ 15 Noah Fifita fumbled, recovered by BYU Harrison Taggart , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5781% → 83%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
80.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the ARIZ 15Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
81.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
80.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
82.9%
Will Ferrin 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1116% → 15%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
83.9%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
85.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 4 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+11
85.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 11 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
84.5%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 8
50
0
84.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 8
50
0
85.1%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 8
50
0
85.5%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5091% → 91%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
90.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
90.6%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+12
90.6%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 49 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 12 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3915% → 18%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
84.8%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.3%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
85.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 5 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+12
85.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 12 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
84.7%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
86.1%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
87.4%
Noah Fifita run for no gain to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
81.8%
Tyler Loop 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:2589% → 97%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 15 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
89.8%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
90.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
89.9%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei) to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+3
89.5%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
50
+14
91.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 14 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
92.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 11 yds to the ARIZ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
94.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 4 yds to the ARIZ 21Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
94.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
93.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
96.8%
Will Ferrin 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FG
18 plays · 72 yds · 7:447% → 10%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.7%
Noah Fifita run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
92.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 14 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
92.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
50
-2
93.0%
Kayden Luke run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+8
93.1%
Noah Fifita run for 8 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
93.4%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+7
94.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
94.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 3 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
93.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
93.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+7
94.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kedrick Reescano for 7 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+6
95.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 6 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
94.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Devin Hyatt for 5 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
90.5%
Tyler Loop 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2499% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
98.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 38 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
98.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
98.8%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+16
98.8%
Arizona Penalty, Face mask (16 yards) (Emmanuel Karnley) to the ARIZ 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.9%
Keelan Marion run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:391% → 4%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 7 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
99.5%
Kedrick Reescano run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+17
99.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 17 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.5%
(04:03) FIFITA, Noah pass to the right incomplete intended for HUNTER, Chris thrown to the BYU31, clock 03:58. PENALTY BYU Pass Interference on COLLINS, Marque enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the BYU26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.4%
BYU Penalty, Face mask (2 yards) (Ace Kaufusi) to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
99.4%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
99.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 32 Hinckley Ropati fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Demetrius Freeney D. Freeney return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:483% → 2%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 4 yds to the ARIZ 36Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
97.6%
Noah Fifita run for no gain to the ARIZ 36Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:16100% → 100%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.5%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-3
99.5%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+1
99.5%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 33 yds, downed at the ARIZ 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23INT TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:292% → 0%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
98.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
98.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
98.3%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (Alexander Doost) to the ARIZ 1Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 10
OWN 1
-21
99.7%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted Isaiah Glasker return for 21 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 13 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
99.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 14 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:30
Parker Kingston pass complete to LJ Martin for 33 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q3 14:50
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q2 13:30
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 20 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com