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Kansas 31 at Arizona State 35

ASU
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+62.4ASU 95.7%Sam Leavitt pass complete to JordynTyson for 3 yds for a TD (CarstonKieffer KICK)AWAY 31 - HOME 35 · Q4 0:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:16 · Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Home team on offense+25.5Pregame prior+0.0Garbage-time factor+16.0Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:56: Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK) — ASU win probability +22.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:49: Devin Neal run for 31 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK) — KU win probability +29.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:19: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 31 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK) — ASU win probability +29.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:04: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 34 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK) — KU win probability +47.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK) — ASU win probability +62.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 4:25ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:17KU 4th & 6 at KU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:53ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:22ASU 4th & 8 at KU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:13KU 4th & 4 at ASU 44, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:13ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 35, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:18KU 4th & 4 at KU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18KU 4th & 4 at KU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:04KU 4th & 2 at ASU 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−11.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:17KU 4th & 17 at KU 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−5.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:48ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:30KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:50KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:26ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:49KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:19ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:04KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−2.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:16ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1257% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
56.5%
Sam Leavitt run for 9 yds to the ASU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
56.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
56.5%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-5
56.5%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Stovall,Melquan) 5 yards from KAN43 to KAN48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+16
56.5%
Sam Leavitt run for 16 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
56.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jake Smith for 4 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+28
58.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 28 yds for a TD (Ian Hershey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1842% → 45%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
57.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
57.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
57.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 2 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
57.6%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+25
57.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 25 yds to the ASU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
57.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the ASU 26Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
57.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 1 yd to the ASU 25Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+3
57.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the ASU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
55.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 22 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0557% → 57%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.8%
Sam Leavitt run for 11 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
57.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+7
56.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 41Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
57.1%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
56.6%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0843% → 43%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
56.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 14Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
56.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 18Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
57.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 14Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
57.4%
Damon Greaves punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2458% → 56%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
57.9%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
57.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 10
OWN 44
-5
56.6%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ASU44 to ASU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
56.4%
punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:0344% → 53%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
56.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 8 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
56.1%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
56.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 11 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
55.7%
PENALTY KAN False Start (Cabeldue,Bryce) 5 yards from KAN39 to KAN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+1
56.4%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+18
57.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 18 yds to the ASU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
54.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the ASU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+17
54.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Daniel Hishaw Jr. for 17 yds to the ASU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
54.2%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the ASU 30Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+30
47.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 30 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:2850% → 48%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
49.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 13 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
50.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+19
51.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 19 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
51.9%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 8 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+6
52.7%
Sam Leavitt run for 6 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
52.7%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
52.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Troy Omeire for 6 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+1
51.7%
Raleek Brown run for 1 yd to the KU 16Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 16
-5
50.7%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Fautanu,Leif) 5 yards from KAN16 to KAN21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
47.6%
Ian Hershey 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kenean CaldwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:0954% → 56%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+29
45.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
50
-5
43.6%
PENALTY KAN False Start (Hishaw,Daniel) 5 yards from ASU50 to KAN45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+5
44.7%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 10
50
+6
43.7%
Trevor Wilson run for 6 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
44.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
43.9%
Damon Greaves punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9FUMBLE
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2745% → 46%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
45.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 17Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+13
45.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 13 yds to the ASU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
45.9%
Raleek Brown run for 5 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
46.9%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
45.5%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+15
44.9%
Kanyon Floyd pass complete to Clayton Smith for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
50
+5
48.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+9
46.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 9 yds Jordyn Tyson fumbled, recovered by KU Mello DotsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:2861% → 60%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
39.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
38.4%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 42Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+36
39.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ASU 42 , Melquan Stovall returns for 36 yds to the ASU 42Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+36
39.6%
Damon Greaves punt for 52 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for 36 yds to the ASU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:5243% → 60%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
43.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 6 yds to the ASU 48Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
44.2%
Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
44.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass incomplete deep right to Tyson,Jordyn thrown to KAN04 PENALTY KAN Holding (Bryant,Cobee) 10 yards from KAN48 to KAN38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
44.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 3 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+15
46.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass incomplete deep right to Tyson,Jordyn thrown to KAN05 PENALTY KAN Pass Interference (Bryant,Cobee) 15 yards from KAN35 to KAN20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
59.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 20 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
52.4%
Kneel down by Kansas at KAN32 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 4:5646% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
54.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 12 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
53.6%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
52.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+17
51.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 17 yds to the ASU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
50.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 21 yds to the ASU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
49.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
49.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the ASU 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+5
51.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete short middle to Skinner,Quentin thrown to ASU00 PENALTY ASU Targeting (Elliott,Keyshaun) 5 yards from ASU09 to ASU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
49.9%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the ASU 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
51.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
47.9%
Tabor Allen 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:0850% → 55%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
50.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
50.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 12 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
53.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 2 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Personal Foul (Cobee Bryant) to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
54.1%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
53.9%
Raleek Brown run for 14 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
55.4%
Raleek Brown run for 5 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
55.3%
Sam Leavitt pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3553% → 50%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
46.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-12
47.8%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Clayton Smith for a loss of 12 yards to the KU 13Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
49.7%
Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:2153% → 75%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
53.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 16 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
54.0%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+12
55.5%
Melquan Stovall run for 12 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
55.5%
Jake Smith run for 11 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 21
OPP 32
+3
52.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 18
OPP 29
0
50.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam rush left for 21 yards gain to the KAN08 (Burroughs,O.J.), out of bounds PENALTY ASU Personal Foul offsetting KAN Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 18
OPP 29
+18
50.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 18 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
55.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the KU 8Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
55.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the KU 3Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
52.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the KU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0733% → 68%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
66.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 4 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
65.8%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
65.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+15
68.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete deep right to Arnold,Lawrence thrown to ASU39 QB hurried by Alford,Xavion PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Abney II,Keith) 15 yards from KAN36 to ASU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
62.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 5 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+13
61.7%
Luke Grimm run for 13 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
32.3%
Devin Neal run for 31 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3044% → 79%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
43.4%
Sam Leavitt run for 16 yds to the ASU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
47.7%
Sam Leavitt run for 3 yds to the ASU 38Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+14
44.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 14 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
49.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
49.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
49.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
49.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 1 yd to the KU 35Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
52.2%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+31
81.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 31 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK)Similar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
78.5%
PENALTY ASU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyson,Jordyn) 15 yards from ASU35 to ASU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0932% → 84%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
68.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
64.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the KU 39Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-5
65.6%
PENALTY KAN False Start (Ford Jr.,Michael) 5 yards from KAN39 to KAN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+20
69.8%
Arizona State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myles Rowser) to the ASU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
62.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the ASU 42Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
62.8%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the ASU 40Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+6
63.5%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the ASU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
16.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 34 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:4833% → 96%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
33.1%
Raleek Brown run for 9 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+39
35.3%
Cam Skattebo run for 39 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
43.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
43.5%
Sam Leavitt run for 10 yds to the KU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
43.4%
Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the KU 10Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
39.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the KU 7Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
29.3%
Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:1621% → 20%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
79.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 17 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
83.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Torry Locklin for 5 yds to the ASU 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
80.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:16
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds for a TD (Carston Kieffer KICK)
+62.4
TD · Q4 2:04
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 34 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK)
-47.2
TD · Q4 10:49
Devin Neal run for 31 yds for a TD (Luke Hosford KICK)
-29.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com