Try the model
ARIZ

Arizona 23 at Utah 10

UTAH
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:39 · (00:39) Kneel down by FIFITA, Noah at ARIZ40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:33.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:17: Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:33: Tyler Loop 33 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +9.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:54: Isaac Wilson pass complete to Caleb Lohner for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +25.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:44: Utah Penalty, Delay Of Game (Junior Tafuna) to the ARIZ 18 — ARIZ win probability +15.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:13: Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 35 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +16.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 6:40UTAH 4th & 2 at ARIZ 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.3%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:48ARIZ 4th & 9 at UTAH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:26UTAH 4th & 2 at ARIZ 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−5.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:03ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 10, up 3
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:56UTAH 4th & 4 at ARIZ 5, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−6.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:17UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:12ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:11ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:25UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−2.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:36ARIZ 4th & 10 at UTAH 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:33ARIZ 4th & 7 at UTAH 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−11.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:33UTAH 4th & 6 at ARIZ 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−1.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:35UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 26, down 13
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:08ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 32, up 13
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:23UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 26, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:00ARIZ 4th & 10 at UTAH 38, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 3:17ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:54UTAH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:13ARIZ Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 64 yds · 8:2068% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 8 yds to the UTAH 33Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-3
68.0%
Isaac Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 30Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
67.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 6 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
67.9%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Taye Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 33Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+5
67.8%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+11
67.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 11 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
68.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 22 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
68.2%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
68.2%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
68.1%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 15Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
68.0%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 11Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
67.6%
Mike Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 10Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 2
OPP 10
-1
67.3%
Mike Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:5133% → 36%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
66.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+9
66.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 9 yds to the ARIZ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
66.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 13 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
66.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 6 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+23
65.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 23 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
65.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 33Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+7
65.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 7 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-5
65.0%
Arizona Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 31Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+2
65.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 2 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
64.5%
Tyler Loop 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:2265% → 64%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.5%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
65.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 11 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
65.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 18 yds to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
65.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dijon Stanley for 9 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+4
66.1%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
66.0%
(13:35) WILSON, Isaac pass to the left incomplete intended for BENTLEY, Dallen thrown to the ARIZ12, clock 13:26. PENALTY ARIZ Offsides on KARNLEY, Emmanuel enforced 5 yards from the ARIZ27 to the ARIZ22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+13
66.0%
Micah Bernard run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
65.9%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 6Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
64.9%
Isaac Wilson run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 2Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2437% → 37%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
62.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 3Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
62.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+7
63.3%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 10Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
63.5%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 43 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the UTAH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:5764% → 66%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
64.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 28 yds to the ARIZ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
65.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 14 yds to the ARIZ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
65.0%
Isaac Wilson run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 6Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
63.8%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 5Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
62.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
65.8%
Cole Becker 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3938% → 53%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 13 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
61.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 7 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+8
60.0%
Kedrick Reescano run for 8 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
59.4%
Kedrick Reescano run for 36 yds to the UTAH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
58.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 2 yds to the UTAH 9Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
58.0%
Utah Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the UTAH 4Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
57.9%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the UTAH 3Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
47.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0052% → 50%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
51.7%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Stanley Ta'ufo'ou for a loss of 8 yards to the UTAH 17Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+9
50.7%
Micah Bernard run for 9 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
50.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-7
50.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:5350% → 51%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
49.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 8 yds to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+19
48.4%
Quali Conley run for 19 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
46.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 1 yd to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
46.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
47.1%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
48.7%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:5450% → 48%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
50.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 14 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
50.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 3 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
51.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+21
47.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 21 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
50.7%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
49.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
48.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
47.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
46.3%
(00:04) Kneel down by FIFITA, Noah at ARIZ10 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4954% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.5%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 26Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
46.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
47.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
48.2%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 57 yds, downed at the UTAH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3448% → 45%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
48.0%
Micah Bernard run for 13 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
48.1%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
47.4%
Isaac Wilson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+60
44.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 60 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:3555% → 62%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
45.5%
Jeremiah Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 5Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+5
45.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 5 yds to the ARIZ 10Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+21
45.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 21 yds to the ARIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
42.6%
Quali Conley run for 18 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
40.1%
Kayden Luke run for 4 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
39.6%
Rayshon Luke run for 12 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
38.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
38.5%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the UTAH 35Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
37.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
37.8%
Tyler Loop 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
36.5%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Genesis Smith return for 12 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5466% → 76%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
33.8%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
33.9%
Noah Fifita run for 3 yds to the UTAH 15Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
34.1%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
24.1%
Tyler Loop 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:0031% → 25%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.4%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 26Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
30.2%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
29.3%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
29.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
28.7%
Mike Mitchell run for 2 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
27.5%
Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei) to the UTAH 48Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
28.8%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
28.9%
Isaac Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 12
50
0
26.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 12
50
+6
25.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 6 yds to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
25.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:2284% → 86%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
16.1%
Utah Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
15.6%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the UTAH 39Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+13
15.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 13 yds to the UTAH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
14.3%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted, touchback. Tao Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5923% → 48%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 5 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
22.4%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
21.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 15 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
22.7%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+37
22.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 37 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
48.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Caleb Lohner for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:3168% → 92%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
32.4%
Utah Penalty, Delay Of Game (Junior Tafuna) to the ARIZ 18Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+2
31.2%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+6
30.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 6 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
28.5%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 25Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+41
30.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Devin Hyatt for 41 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
23.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-1
23.8%
Kedrick Reescano run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 35Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+35
7.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 35 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3812% → 10%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
12.0%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Isaiah Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 20Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
10.9%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 6 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
10.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
9.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:2094% → 94%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
6.4%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 26Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
6.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-1
6.2%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
5.8%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:388% → 7%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
7.7%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 26Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
7.1%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
6.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+12
6.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 12 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:1595% → 98%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
4.9%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
4.6%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the UTAH 39Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+1
4.1%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the UTAH 38Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
2.3%
Tyler Loop 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:235% → 5%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.1%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
4.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 14 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
5.0%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Gunner Maldonado return for no gain to the ARIZ 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4798% → 99%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
2.4%
Quali Conley run for 23 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
1.6%
(02:00) Kneel down by FIFITA, Noah at ARIZ44 (team loss of 2), clock 01:53.Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-2
1.5%
(01:23) Kneel down by FIFITA, Noah at ARIZ42 (team loss of 2), clock 01:16.Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 14
OWN 42
-2
1.5%
(00:39) Kneel down by FIFITA, Noah at ARIZ40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:54
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Caleb Lohner for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
+25.8
TD · Q4 8:13
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 35 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
-16.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:44
Utah Penalty, Delay Of Game (Junior Tafuna) to the ARIZ 18
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com