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OKST

Oklahoma State 20 at Kansas State 42

KSU
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:57 · Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 4 yds to the KSU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+2.5Pregame prior+5.6Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:07: De'Zhaun Stribling 77 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick) — OKST win probability +6.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:58: Garrett Oakley 19 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +13.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:18: Jayce Brown 55 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:07: DJ Giddens 66 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:57: Will Anciaux 2 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:19KSU 4th & 1 at OKST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:49KSU 4th & 7 at OKST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:36OKST 4th & 2 at KSU 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:14KSU 4th & 4 at OKST 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:32OKST 4th & 13 at KSU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:57KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:30OKST 4th & 4 at KSU 14, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:01OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 45, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:57OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:39KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 39, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:01OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:42KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 27, up 15
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:45OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:05OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:20KSU 4th & 13 at OKST 37, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:03OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 48, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:40KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:17KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:07OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:58KSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:18KSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:07KSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:57KSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:26KSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:52OKST Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:3462% → 64%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
61.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Ty Bowman for 19 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.8%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dylan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
61.8%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
61.9%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the OKST 47Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+6
61.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
62.0%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
62.0%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-5
62.1%
Johnson, Avery rush for 33 yards to the OKLAST0, PENALTY KANSASST illegal shift 5 yards to the OKLAST38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
62.1%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to DJ GiddensSimilar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+9
61.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 9 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
62.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 7 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+10
62.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 10 yds to the OKST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
62.4%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dylan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
62.4%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the OKST 11Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
64.2%
Avery Johnson 11 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2836% → 38%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
63.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 18Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+9
63.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
63.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 22 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
63.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 24 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
63.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the KSU 25Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
63.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+2
63.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the KSU 19Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+35
62.3%
Logan Ward 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1463% → 63%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
62.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 22 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
63.6%
Dylan Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 44Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+4
63.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 4 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
63.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 5 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Simon McClannan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Parker Robertson at the OKST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4MISSED FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:3637% → 37%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
63.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 14Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
63.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+14
63.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 14 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
62.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
62.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+13
63.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 13 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
61.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 27 yds to the KSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
60.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
61.0%
Bowman, Alan pass complete to Vailahi, Sesi for 8 yards to the KANSASST22, PENALTY KANSASST offside (Obiazor, Chiddi) 5 yards to the KANSASST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-5
60.8%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Shettron, Talyn, PENALTY OKLAST ineligible downfield on pass (Birmingham, Cole) 5 yards to the KANSASST30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
60.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+11
61.4%
Sesi Vailahi run for 11 yds to the KSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
60.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 16Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 13
OPP 16
0
60.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn Shettron, broken up by Justice JamesSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 13
OPP 16
0
61.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+34
63.3%
Logan Ward 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2963% → 63%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
63.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 12 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
63.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 3 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
63.5%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
63.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 3
OWN 39
-3
62.7%
Simon McClannan punt for 40 yds , Brennan Presley returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:4337% → 43%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
63.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+77
57.4%
De'Zhaun Stribling 77 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.1%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Korie Black return for no gain to the KSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2145% → 50%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
54.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ayo Shotomide-King for 13 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
54.5%
Alan Bowman run for 1 yd to the KSU 19Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+3
54.3%
Alan Bowman run for 3 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+2
54.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 2 yds to the KSU 14Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
49.6%
Logan Ward 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:1752% → 66%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+52
52.4%
DJ Giddens run for 37 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Trey Rucker) to the OKST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
66.3%
Garrett Oakley 19 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FUMBLE
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:4837% → 41%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.6%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.8%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Presley, Brennan, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Garber, Keenan) 10 yards to the OKLAST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
62.1%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Owens, Rashod, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Parrish, Jacob) 10 yards to the OKLAST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
60.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 5
50
0
60.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 5
50
+21
60.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
59.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
58.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 7 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 22
-9
59.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the KSU 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KSU Colby McCalisterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:4264% → 73%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
63.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
63.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 9 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
65.5%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 45Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+55
73.3%
Jayce Brown 55 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1128% → 26%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 25Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 1 yd to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
74.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dylan Edwards at the KSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:2173% → 72%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+31
72.8%
DJ Giddens run for 31 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
75.1%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-14
75.1%
Johnson, Avery pass complete to Brown, Jayce for 36 yards to the OKLAST8, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference (Davis, Trae) 14 yards to the KANSASST42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 21
OWN 42
0
73.8%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the KSU 42Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 21
OWN 42
+3
72.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 3 yds to the KSU 45Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
72.4%
Simon McClannan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
73.4%
Sesi Vailahi run for 1 yd to the OKST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4927% → 24%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
73.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 31Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
74.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+4
75.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 4 yds to the KSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:4176% → 85%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
75.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 7 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+66
84.6%
DJ Giddens 66 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:2017% → 17%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
82.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 8 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+12
82.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 12 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
82.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 32Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+22
83.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 22 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
82.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 3 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
82.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan Presley, broken up by VJ PayneSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
82.6%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Marques Sigle return for no gain to the KSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4986% → 86%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.0%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
86.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 9 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
85.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 48 yds, downed at the OKST 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3315% → 14%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
84.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+6
85.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josh Ford for 6 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.0%
Sesi Vailahi run for 4 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
85.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun Stribling, broken up by Keenan GarberSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
85.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
86.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1388% → 88%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
88.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the KSU 21Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
88.5%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+6
88.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Simon McClannan punt for 43 yds , Brennan Presley returns for no gain to the OKST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5213% → 12%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
87.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+4
88.4%
Hudson Kaak punt for 43 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 4 yds to the KSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:3891% → 98%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
91.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 19 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
92.4%
DJ Giddens run for 17 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.5%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the OKST 37Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
92.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 14 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
93.0%
Avery Johnson run for 21 yds to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Will Anciaux 2 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
97.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
50
+17
97.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 17 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Talyn ShettronSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
97.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
97.5%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Presley, Brennan, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference (McCalister, Colby) 5 yards to the KANSASST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.3%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted, touchback. Jacob Parrish return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:4598% → 100%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.3%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 20Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+35
98.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 35 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.7%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
98.7%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+12
98.8%
Avery Johnson run for 12 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
98.9%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the OKST 18Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+5
98.9%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the OKST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Avery Johnson 13 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for 7 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for 2 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the OKST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.8%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+2
99.8%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Sesi Vailahi run for 7 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 16 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 2 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 6 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 1 yd to the KSU 29Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Simon McClannan punt for 45 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 5 yds to the OKST 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:380% → 1%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 25 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the KSU 44Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the KSU 37Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 6 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Sesi VailahiSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+14
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the KSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.2%
Trent Howland 14 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Joe Jackson run for 7 yds to the KSU 32Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.7%
Joe Jackson run for 10 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the KSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:58
Garrett Oakley 19 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)
+13.9
TD · Q3 13:07
DJ Giddens 66 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
+8.7
TD · Q2 3:18
Jayce Brown 55 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com