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TCU

TCU 38 at Kansas 27

KU
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-2KU 5.1%Kyle Lemmermann 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 38 - HOME 27 · Q4 3:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:02 · Kyle Lemmermann 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense−35.5Garbage-time factor−12.6Score differential−14.0Pregame prior+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:59: Cam Cook run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +8.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +14.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:58: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +12.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:46: JP Richardson 89 Yd Punt Return (Kyle Lemmermann Kick) — TCU win probability +23.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:20: Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 59 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +29.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 1:14TCU 4th & 1 at KU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:19KU 4th & 6 at KU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:24TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:17KU 4th & 6 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:57KU 4th & 6 at TCU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:35KU 4th & 8 at KU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:56TCU 4th & 10 at KU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−9.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:46KU 4th & 10 at KU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:07KU 4th & 5 at TCU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−11.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:09KU 4th & 4 at KU 37, down 8
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:02TCU 4th & 1 at KU 11, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−2.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:09KU 4th & 9 at KU 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:45TCU 4th & 10 at KU 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:18KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:29TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:59KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:59TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:17TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:58KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:46TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:20TCU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.9%
Savion Williams run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
54.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 6 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
54.9%
Josh Hoover run for 2 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
55.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
54.9%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
54.8%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the KU 46 Cam Cook fumbled, recovered by TCU Dylan WudkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:0255% → 58%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
55.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 9 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+12
55.7%
Devin Neal run for 12 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
55.9%
(11:06) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete deep right to Arnold,Lawrence thrown to TCU04 PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Broughton,JaTravis) 15 yards from TCU33 to TCU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
55.9%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
57.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 15 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:3743% → 46%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+26
57.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 26 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
57.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 20 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
56.9%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
57.1%
Cam Cook run for 8 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
54.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 35 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1856% → 61%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
55.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 30Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
55.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+26
55.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Devean Deal) to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
56.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 13 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
56.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
56.6%
Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+11
56.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 11 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
56.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
57.0%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.2%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1040% → 47%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.7%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
59.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
60.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 20 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
59.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 12 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
58.9%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
58.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 3 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
59.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 4 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
59.7%
Hauss Hejny run for 4 yds to the KU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
58.7%
Jeremy Payne run for no gain to the KU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+16
58.9%
JoJo Earle run for 16 yds to the KU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
58.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 9 yds to the KU 3Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
52.9%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3656% → 56%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
56.1%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 15Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
56.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+16
55.4%
Devin Neal run for 16 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
56.7%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
57.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+9
55.5%
Damon Greaves punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 28 , JP Richardson returns for 9 yds to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4545% → 45%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
55.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 1 yd to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
55.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 6 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
54.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
53.7%
Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
53.5%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
54.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
54.6%
Ethan Craw punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 3:0757% → 56%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
56.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 12 yds to the KU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
57.1%
(07:46) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete deep right to Grimm,Luke thrown to TCU36 PENALTY KU Pass Interference (Grimm,Luke) 15 yards from KU34 to KU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 25
OWN 19
+3
56.6%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 22Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 22
OWN 22
+7
56.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+9
55.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 9 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
56.1%
Damon Greaves punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:1046% → 45%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
53.8%
Josh Hoover sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 8Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+4
54.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 4 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 14
OWN 12
0
55.1%
Josh Hoover pass intercepted O.J. Burroughs return for no gain to the TCU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5861% → 61%
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the TCU 6Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
59.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
61.0%
Tabor Allen 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:4040% → 56%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 5 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
59.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 6 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
59.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 13 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
57.0%
Jeremy Payne run for no gain to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
57.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 19 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
55.3%
Jeremy Payne run for 6 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+2
55.0%
Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+7
57.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 7 yds to the KU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
57.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 10 yds to the KU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.7%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
49.8%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0249% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 9 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
51.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
50.0%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
51.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
51.6%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
52.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-10
52.1%
(11:36) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon rush middle for 13 yards gain to the TCU26 (Clark,Bud) PENALTY KU Holding (Baynes,Kobe) 10 yards from TCU39 to TCU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
49.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+33
47.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 33 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
53.7%
(10:37) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon rush right for 1 yard loss to the TCU17 (Camara,Abe) PENALTY KU Holding (Baynes,Kobe) 10 yards from TCU16 to TCU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+10
53.1%
(10:15) Shotgun Daniels,Jalon sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TCU31 (McDonald,Cooper) PENALTY TCU Holding (Broughton,JaTravis) 10 yards from TCU26 to TCU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
53.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
53.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
66.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:0638% → 44%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
61.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
59.6%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+28
60.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 28 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
56.5%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
56.2%
Josh Hoover pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0563% → 61%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
63.4%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
63.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
61.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
61.2%
Damon Greaves punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:3839% → 37%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
61.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 9 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+32
58.5%
Jeremy Payne run for 32 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
56.1%
Josh Hoover sacked by DJ Warner for a loss of 8 yards to the KU 16Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
56.6%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
58.4%
Josh Hoover run for no gain to the KU 24Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
62.7%
Kyle Lemmermann 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT TD
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1064% → 40%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
63.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 15 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
65.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+1
65.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 44Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 5
OWN 44
-5
63.6%
(02:10) PENALTY KU False Start (Raich,Alex) 5 yards from KU44 to KU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+89
39.9%
JP Richardson 89 Yd Punt Return (Kyle Lemmermann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:3043% → 51%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
42.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
45.8%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
44.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
45.2%
Devin Neal run for 5 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+18
45.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 18 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
48.2%
Quentin Skinner run for 2 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
48.1%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
45.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
50.8%
Tabor Allen 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3954% → 83%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
46.1%
Jeremy Payne run for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
17.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 59 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0923% → 20%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
23.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
22.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the KU 35Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
21.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 2 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+13
20.3%
Damon Greaves punt for 44 yds , JP Richardson returns for 13 yds to the TCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 6:0583% → 95%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
17.1%
Hauss Hejny run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+12
17.5%
Cam Cook run for 12 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
12.7%
JoJo Earle run for 5 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
10.5%
Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
9.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the KU 42Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
8.7%
Cam Cook run for 10 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
8.0%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+9
7.5%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 9 yds to the KU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
6.7%
Jeremy Payne run for 4 yds to the KU 16Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
6.7%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+5
5.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+29
5.1%
Kyle Lemmermann 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:487% → 6%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
6.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-12
6.6%
Kansas Penalty, (Yards) to the KU 30Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 22
OWN 30
+13
5.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 13 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
5.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:1597% → 96%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
3.5%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the KU 44Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+1
3.5%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the KU 43Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+5
3.4%
Hauss Hejny run for 5 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 5
OPP 38
-5
3.5%
PENALTY TCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KU38 to KU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
3.6%
Ethan Craw punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:494% → 4%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
3.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 7 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
3.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+26
3.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
50
+3
4.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
4.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 8 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
4.4%
Jalon Daniels pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5496% → 97%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
3.6%
J. Hoover takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-1
3.5%
J. Hoover takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:20
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 59 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
-29
TD · Q3 1:46
JP Richardson 89 Yd Punt Return (Kyle Lemmermann Kick)
-23.8
TD · Q2 0:17
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
-14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com