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UTAH

Utah 22 at Oklahoma State 19

OKST
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:01 · Wes Pahl punt for 47 yds, downed at the UTAH 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−23.2Score differential−7.4Garbage-time factor−8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Pregame prior+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:25: Brant Kuithe run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 11:29: Cole Becker 44 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +8.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:21: Brant Kuithe 45 Yd pass from Isaac Wilson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UTAH win probability +7.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:37: Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 28 yds for a TD (Alan Bowman pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion) — OKST win probability +13.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:47: Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds for a TD (Alan Bowman pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion) — OKST win probability +35.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 14:24OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18UTAH 4th & 2 at OKST 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43OKST 4th & 5 at UTAH 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:45OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:05UTAH 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56UTAH 4th & 14 at OKST 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:58OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:12UTAH 4th & 4 at OKST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:34OKST 4th & 7 at UTAH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:35UTAH 4th & 1 at OKST 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%−1.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:36UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:51OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:18UTAH 4th & 6 at OKST 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−8.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:43OKST 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:39UTAH 4th & 3 at OKST 20, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%−0.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−8.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:39OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:36UTAH 4th & 2 at OKST 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−2.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:29UTAH 4th & 7 at OKST 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−8.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:01OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 8, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:26UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:55OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:43UTAH 4th & 2 at midfield, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−1.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:21UTAH 4th & 27 at UTAH 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 7:25UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:21UTAH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:37OKST Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.5%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:47OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.4%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:3653% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 25Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
52.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
52.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
52.7%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKST 20Similar
Q1 14:24
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+11
52.7%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 11 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2247% → 47%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
52.7%
Micah Bernard run for 11 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
52.7%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
52.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 32
0
52.7%
Mike Mitchell run for no gain to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
52.9%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3053% → 54%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
53.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+25
53.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 25 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
53.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
53.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+11
53.6%
Brennan Presley run for 11 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
53.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the UTAH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
54.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 13Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+7
54.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 7 yds to the UTAH 6Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
54.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
54.3%
Logan Ward 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4846% → 45%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
54.3%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
54.8%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Trey Rucker return for no gain to the OKST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5055% → 55%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for no gain to the OKST 41Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
54.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
55.4%
Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 1
50
-5
55.4%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKST 45Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
54.9%
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTAH 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 3:5744% → 45%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
55.9%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 18 Micah Bernard fumbled, recovered by UTAH Micah Bernard M. Bernard return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
56.0%
Mike Mitchell run for 4 yds to the UTAH 22Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+25
56.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 25 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
54.6%
Micah Bernard run for 14 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
54.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
54.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+6
54.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 6 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+11
56.5%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 11 yds to the OKST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-11
55.1%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Kendal Daniels for a loss of 11 yards to the OKST 32Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 21
OPP 32
+16
56.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 16 yds to the OKST 16Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-9
56.1%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Xavier Ross for a loss of 9 yards to the OKST 25Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
54.6%
Cole Becker 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4856% → 55%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
55.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 13Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
55.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
55.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
54.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 51 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the UTAH 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 6:2446% → 59%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
53.8%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+20
53.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 20 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
52.4%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
52.3%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
51.8%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 32Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+6
51.8%
Dijon Stanley run for 6 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+1
52.1%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OKST 25Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+5
53.3%
Isaac Wilson run for 5 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
51.3%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 13 yds to the OKST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
50.3%
Charlie Vincent run for 6 yds to the OKST 1Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Brant Kuithe run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 1:5446% → 42%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
45.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+22
44.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 22 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
47.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+21
47.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 21 yds to the UTAH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
49.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
49.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
47.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
46.3%
Logan Ward 46 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
42.3%
(05:30) BERNARD, Micah rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UTA31 (MARTIN, Nick), clock 05:25. PENALTY Before the snap, UTA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UTA29 to the UTA24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:0357% → 65%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+17
42.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 17 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
40.3%
Isaac Wilson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
40.0%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+17
40.2%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 17 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
37.8%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
36.6%
Mike Mitchell run for no gain to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
35.0%
Mike Mitchell run for 1 yd to the OKST 30Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
37.0%
Mike Mitchell run for 3 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
34.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Micah Bernard for a loss of 3 yards Micah Bernard fumbled, recovered by OKST Nick Martin N. Martin return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1242% → 41%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
42.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
41.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
40.5%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Alaka'i Gilman return for no gain to the OKST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:2265% → 66%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
35.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
34.2%
Isaac Wilson pass intercepted Trey Rucker return for no gain to the OKST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
39.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2362% → 62%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
37.9%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 34Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
38.3%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
36.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
38.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 29 yds, downed at the OKST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3441% → 39%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
40.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
41.8%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
39.6%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
38.7%
Hudson Kaak punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:2862% → 65%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
38.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Charlie Vincent for 5 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
36.7%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
36.6%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
37.1%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 30Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+48
38.0%
Isaac Wilson run for 48 yds to the OKST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
33.1%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the OKST 22Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
32.9%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+4
33.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the OKST 18Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
35.2%
Cole Becker 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:2638% → 39%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
37.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
37.1%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+23
35.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 23 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
39.9%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 5 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
40.9%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
39.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 2
50
0
38.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FG
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:4766% → 74%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+62
33.8%
Micah Bernard run for 62 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
29.0%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 3 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
28.6%
Mike Mitchell run for 4 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
28.5%
Mike Mitchell run for no gain to the OKST 20Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
26.3%
Cole Becker 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5326% → 23%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
25.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
25.8%
Garret Rangel run for no gain to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
24.2%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
23.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 47 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the UTAH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 5:0475% → 90%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
25.2%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dorian Singer for 14 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
23.0%
Micah Bernard run for 14 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
22.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
22.2%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 4 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
22.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 1 yd to the OKST 34Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
24.8%
Isaac Wilson run for 5 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
20.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
21.0%
Charlie Vincent run for 6 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-3
18.9%
Mike Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 26Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
10.4%
Cole Becker 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2018% → 16%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
17.6%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
17.5%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-5
16.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKST 8Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 15
OWN 8
0
16.3%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
16.1%
Wes Pahl punt for 47 yds, downed at the UTAH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3191% → 92%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
8.8%
Dijon Stanley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 5
50
-2
7.9%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
7.9%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
8.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2615% → 12%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
14.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 12Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
12.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
11.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
11.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the UTAH 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0393% → 93%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
7.4%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
7.0%
Alaka'i Gilman run for 1 yd to the UTAH 49Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
7.2%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 2
50
0
6.6%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
9.8%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Elijah Davis return for no gain to the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
1.9%
Brant Kuithe 45 Yd pass from Isaac Wilson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:314% → 17%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
3.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 2
50
+22
3.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 22 yds to the UTAH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
16.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 28 yds for a TD (Alan Bowman pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 2:1190% → 93%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
10.1%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 23Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
9.5%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+10
10.0%
Micah Bernard run for 10 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
8.7%
Charlie Vincent run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-1
8.7%
Alaka'i Gilman run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 29Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-15
7.5%
Utah Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on PARKS, Money enforced (-15 Yards) to the UTAH 16Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 27
OWN 16
0
7.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OKST 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:227% → 42%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-8
6.5%
Alan Bowman sacked by Van Fillinger for a loss of 8 yards to the OKST 23Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 18
OWN 23
+9
5.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+10
5.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 10 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
6.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 23 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
7.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 8 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+18
6.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 18 yds to the UTAH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
42.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds for a TD (Alan Bowman pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 30END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:2490% → 95%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
10.0%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
9.6%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
7.8%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
5.2%
(00:20) Kneel down by UTA at OSU36 (team loss of 1), clock 00:17.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:47
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds for a TD (Alan Bowman pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion)
+35.4
TD · Q4 5:37
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 28 yds for a TD (Alan Bowman pass to Brennan Presley for Two-Point Conversion)
+13.5
TD · Q2 7:25
Brant Kuithe run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com