Try the model
KSU

Kansas State 9 at BYU 38

BYU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFUMBLETDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:07: Chris Tennant 27 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:10: Will Ferrin 31 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +5.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 1:08: DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards DJ Giddens fumbled, forced by Jack Kelly, recovered by BYU Tommy Prassas , return for 30 yds (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +12.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q2 0:29: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 23 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +11.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:01: Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 3 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +13.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:50BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01KSU 4th & 6 at BYU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:12BYU 4th & 10 at KSU 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:07KSU 4th & 6 at BYU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:35BYU 4th & 1 at KSU 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−2.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−7.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:10BYU 4th & 10 at KSU 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:45KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:12KSU 4th & 11 at BYU 11, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:21BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 42, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:24KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:47KSU 4th & 12 at BYU 42, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:39BYU 4th & 10 at KSU 48, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:23KSU 4th & 1 at BYU 47, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 0:29BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:01BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:02BYU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0636% → 36%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.7%
Sione I Moa run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
36.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Marque CollinsSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+7
35.9%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 7 yds to the KSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:2264% → 63%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
36.1%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
36.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 7 yds to the KSU 42Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
36.3%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
36.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 9 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
36.5%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+18
36.6%
DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
36.5%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+7
36.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 7 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
36.9%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
37.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 6 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-5
37.2%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+3
37.3%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
37.5%
Chris Tennant 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:3738% → 38%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
37.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
37.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 10 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
37.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
37.8%
Sione I Moa run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+12
37.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Sione I Moa for 12 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
38.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+16
38.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 16 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
39.5%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Damian Ilalio and Brendan Mott for a loss of 5 yards to the KSU 46Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+1
38.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the KSU 45Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+4
38.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Sione I Moa for 4 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
38.4%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 36 yds, downed at the KSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
17 plays · 87 yds · 7:5361% → 65%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
39.0%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 9Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+5
39.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 5 yds to the KSU 14Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+7
39.6%
Avery Johnson run for 7 yds to the KSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
38.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 6 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-5
38.4%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Hadley Panzer) to the KSU 22Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+30
38.8%
Avery Johnson run for 30 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
37.6%
Dylan Edwards run for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
37.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 9 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+3
37.2%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
37.2%
Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
37.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
38.0%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-8
37.4%
Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the BYU 10 Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Swanson) to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 18
OPP 20
+12
37.6%
Dylan Edwards run for 12 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
37.2%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
38.0%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+27
34.8%
Chris Tennant 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 6:4837% → 40%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.7%
Sione I Moa run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
37.8%
Sione I Moa run for 6 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
36.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 24 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
38.3%
Sione I Moa run for 3 yds to the KSU 36Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+13
38.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 13 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
39.5%
Sione I Moa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 24Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
39.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Pokaiaua HaungaSimilar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+10
38.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for 10 yds to the KSU 14Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
36.0%
Sione I Moa run for 1 yd to the KSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-12
38.5%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 12 yards to the KSU 25Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 22
OPP 25
+1
36.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Sione I Moa for 1 yd to the KSU 24Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 21
OPP 24
+11
34.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Pokaiaua Haunga for 11 yds to the KSU 13Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
40.2%
Will Ferrin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5262% → 50%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.2%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
37.4%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+30
50.0%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards DJ Giddens fumbled, forced by Jack Kelly, recovered by BYU Tommy Prassas , return for 30 yds (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0549% → 49%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dylan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
51.2%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Tyler Batty return for no gain to the KSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:1956% → 68%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
56.4%
Jake Retzlaff run for 6 yds to the KSU 23Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+23
68.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 23 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.2%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5634% → 32%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.3%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.6%
Kansas State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the KSU 20Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
67.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 6 yds to the KSU 26 Dylan Edwards fumbled, recovered by KSU Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-15
68.2%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Harrison Taggart return for 15 yds to the KSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:3971% → 84%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
70.5%
Sione I Moa run for 24 yds to the KSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 3 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1621% → 6%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
79.1%
Kansas State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KSU 20Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
79.5%
Avery Johnson run for 11 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
78.9%
Dylan Edwards run for 2 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
79.8%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 33Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+90
94.1%
Simon McClannan punt for 57 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 90 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 5:246% → 6%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.3%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+26
94.4%
DJ Giddens run for 26 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
94.5%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
94.5%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+12
94.8%
Avery Johnson run for 12 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
94.2%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+1
94.0%
Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+9
94.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 9 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+13
95.4%
Avery Johnson run for 13 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
94.6%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Sam Hecht) to the BYU 12Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
95.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 6 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
96.2%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.6%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 0
OPP 1
-10
95.3%
Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hadley Panzer) to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
94.2%
Chris Tennant 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3995% → 97%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.7%
Sione I Moa run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
95.7%
Keelan Marion run for 3 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Sione I Moa run for no gain to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 6 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, downed at the KSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:363% → 3%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
96.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 9 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
96.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 9 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
96.7%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
96.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 5 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
97.2%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 2
OWN 39
-1
97.3%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 3:1298% → 100%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
97.7%
Sione I Moa run for 4 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
97.9%
Sione I Moa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 35Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+14
98.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 14 yds to the KSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
98.3%
Sione I Moa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+1
98.4%
Sione I Moa run for 1 yd to the KSU 21Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
Sione I Moa run for 21 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:030% → 0%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+20
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 20 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 38Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+7
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 7 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 15 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 7 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-9
99.8%
Avery Johnson sacked by Jack Kelly for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Will SwansonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for 10 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for no gain to the KSU 44Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for 1 yd to the KSU 43Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 5
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KSU 48Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 2 yds to the KSU 11Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+6
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 6 yds to the KSU 17Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
99.9%
Jacob Knuth pass complete to Will Anciaux for 9 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Jacob Knuth run for 2 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Jacob Knuth run for 2 yds to the BYU 48 Jacob Knuth fumbled, recovered by KSUSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 1 yd to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for no gain to the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the KSU 49Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
Enoch Nawahine run for 7 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:01
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 3 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+13.9
FUMBLE · Q2 1:08
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards DJ Giddens fumbled, forced by Jack Kelly, recovered by BYU Tommy Prassas , return for 30 yds (Will Ferrin KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q2 0:29
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 23 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com