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UNT

North Texas 21 at Texas Tech 66

TTU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Drew Mestemaker sacked by Miquel Dingle and Justin Horne for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:17: Josh Kelly 10 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick) — TTU win probability +0.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:22: Coy Eakin 70 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick) — UNT win probability +3.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:50: Bralyn Lux 44 Yd Interception Return (Reese Burkhardt Kick) — TTU win probability +6.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:30: Behren Morton 10 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick) — TTU win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:05: Johncarlos Miller II 45 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Reese Burkhardt Kick) — TTU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:25UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:24UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 25, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:12TTU 4th & 5 at UNT 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:52TTU 4th & 1 at UNT 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−1.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:32UNT 4th & 7 at TTU 29, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:01UNT 4th & 7 at TTU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:54UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:48UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:07TTU 4th & 12 at UNT 44, up 42
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:49TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 31, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:47UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 41, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:09UNT 4th & 7 at TTU 15, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:20TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:33UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 40, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:35UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:53TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:17TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:50TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:30TTU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:05TTU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:08TTU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:09UNT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:06TTU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:50TTU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:19UNT Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3519% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 1 yd to the UNT 26Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
81.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for 7 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
80.8%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 28Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
80.8%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
80.8%
Sawyer Evans punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:4881% → 81%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
80.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 45Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+13
80.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
80.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 20 yds to the UNT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
80.6%
Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the UNT 18Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+9
80.5%
Cameron Dickey run for 9 yds to the UNT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
80.5%
Cameron Dickey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 10Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
81.3%
Josh Kelly 10 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for no gain to the UNT 25Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
81.7%
Sawyer Evans punt for 42 yds , Josh Kelly returns for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:1283% → 85%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
83.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 19 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
83.4%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 46Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
83.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+42
83.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to for 42 yds to the UNT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
83.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the UNT 11Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-3
83.4%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 14Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+7
84.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the UNT 7Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
84.5%
Gino Garcia 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.4%
Wyatt Young 75 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Kali Nguma Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1485% → 86%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 9 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
85.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
85.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Behren Morton) to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+26
85.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 26 yds to the UNT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
85.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 17 yds to the UNT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
86.0%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 32Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+10
86.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 10 yds to the UNT 22Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
86.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the UNT 21Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+21
86.3%
Tahj Brooks 21 Yd Run (Reese Burkhardt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:4815% → 14%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.4%
Texas Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
85.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 46Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+14
86.2%
Damashja Harris run for 14 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
85.5%
Damashja Harris run for no gain to the TTU 32Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
85.6%
Damashja Harris run for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
85.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for no gain to the TTU 29Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+18
85.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 18 yds to the TTU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
84.7%
Damashja Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 13Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+2
85.1%
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+3
85.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for 3 yds to the TTU 8Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
86.0%
Kali Nguma 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3588% → 85%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
88.0%
Cameron Dickey run for 10 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
84.8%
Coy Eakin 70 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3216% → 10%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
83.6%
Kyle Koch run for 9 yds to the UNT 34Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-44
90.3%
Bralyn Lux 44 Yd Interception Return (Reese Burkhardt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.9%
Chandler Morris pass intercepted Bryce Ramirez return for 2 yds to the UNT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0493% → 95%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
92.9%
(09:34) MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for THARP, Mason thrown to the UNT0, clock 09:36. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on JACKSON, Evan enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UNT10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.9%
Behren Morton 10 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:315% → 4%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.1%
Damashja Harris run for 3 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
95.0%
Damashja Harris run for 4 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
94.9%
Damashja Harris run for no gain to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Sawyer Evans punt for 43 yds, downed at the TTU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3696% → 97%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
95.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
96.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
96.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the UNT 45Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+45
97.1%
Johncarlos Miller II 45 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Reese Burkhardt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.7%
Chandler Morris pass intercepted Chapman Lewis return for no gain to the UNT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:4197% → 99%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
97.3%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+7
97.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 7 yds to the UNT 25Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
97.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 8 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
97.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the UNT 9Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-1
97.8%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 10Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
98.5%
Jalin Conyers 10 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:162% → 1%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.4%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNT 20Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
98.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for 5 yds to the UNT 25Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for 5 yds to the UNT 30Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Kelly at the TTU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 4 yds to the TTU 48Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-2
98.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 44Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+10
98.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 10 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Jack Burgess punt for 33 yds, downed at the UNT 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
99.0%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the UNT 18Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Sheridan Wilson) to the TTU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0699% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
98.9%
Cameran Brown run for 5 yds to the TTU 25Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Cameron Dickey for 6 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Cameran Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+19
99.0%
Jack Burgess punt for 52 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 19 yds to the UNT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.1%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the UNT 41Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+48
99.1%
Sawyer Evans punt for 48 yds , Josh Kelly returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to for no gain to the TTU 10Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+12
99.2%
J'Koby Williams run for 12 yds to the TTU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Brady Boyd for 7 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-2
99.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Micah Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-23
99.4%
Cameran Brown pass intercepted Brian Nelson II return for 23 yds to the TTU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.3%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TTU 16Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
99.4%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+1
99.4%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TTU 15Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+15
99.1%
Jeremiah Aaron 15 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Kali Nguma Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.4%
Cameron Dickey run for 9 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Cameran Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.5%
Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+8
99.5%
Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 8 yds to the UNT 18Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Cameran Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+19
99.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 19 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for no gain to the UNT 37Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the UNT 40Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
Chandler Morris run for 3 yds to the UNT 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.6%
Will Hammond run for 8 yds to the UNT 35Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+32
99.6%
Will Hammond pass complete to Micah Hudson for 32 yds to the UNT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
J'Koby Williams 3 Yd Run (Reese Burkhardt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for no gain to the UNT 25Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Sawyer Evans punt for 40 yds, downed at the TTU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Dalton Merryman) to the TTU 16Similar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Cameron Dickey run for no gain to the TTU 16Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+2
99.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to Cameron Dickey for 2 yds to the TTU 18Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+13
99.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to Micah Hudson for 13 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 11 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
99.8%
Cameron Dickey run for 37 yds to the UNT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Will Hammond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
Cameron Dickey run for 1 yd to the UNT 20Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+19
99.8%
Will Hammond pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 19 yds to the UNT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Cameron Dickey 1 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:290% → 0%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 27Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Shane Porter run for 5 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Drew Mestemaker run for 6 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 7 yds to the UNT 45Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+49
99.9%
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 49 yds to the TTU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the TTU 3Similar
Q4 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Drew Mestemaker run for 2 yds to the TTU 1Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Shane Porter 1 Yd Run (Kali Nguma Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
J'Koby Williams run for 1 yd to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Will Hammond run for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Will Hammond pass complete to Tyson Turner for 4 yds to the TTU 33Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+20
99.9%
Jack Burgess punt for 52 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 20 yds to the UNT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 30END OF GAME
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:410% → 0%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Shane Porter run for 7 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+12
99.9%
Shane Porter run for 12 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Makenzie McGill run for 3 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-10
99.9%
MCGILL, Makenzie rush to the right for no gain to the TTU43 (PEOPLES, Jalon), clock 04:46. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOORE III, Larry enforced 10 yards from the TTU43 to the UNT47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the UNT 48Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+21
100.0%
Drew Mestemaker run for 21 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Makenzie McGill run for 5 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Makenzie McGill run for 3 yds to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+15
99.9%
Makenzie McGill run for 15 yds to the TTU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Makenzie McGill run for 1 yd to the TTU 7Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
100.0%
Makenzie McGill run for 3 yds to the TTU 4Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
MESTEMAKER, Drew pass short to the right incomplete intended for CONWRIGHT, Blair thrown to the TTU0, clock 00:44. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on PEOPLES, Jalon enforced 2 yards to the TTU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
99.9%
Makenzie McGill run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 4Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
99.9%
Drew Mestemaker sacked by Miquel Dingle and Justin Horne for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:50
Bralyn Lux 44 Yd Interception Return (Reese Burkhardt Kick)
+6.7
TD · Q2 10:22
Coy Eakin 70 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)
-3.2
TD · Q2 9:30
Behren Morton 10 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com