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ASU

Arizona State 31 at Texas State 28

TXST
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 12, 2024 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:50 · D.Nunez punts 52 yards to ASU End Zone, Center-J.Oehrlein. Touchback.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+15.0+7.50−7.5−15.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense+1.8Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:59: S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 52 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +11.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: S.Leavitt rushed for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +14.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:24: J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 44 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TXST win probability +18.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:22: C.Skattebo rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +20.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:35: I.Hershey 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-C.Marszalek, Holder-R.Mahlum. — ASU win probability +14.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:31TXST 4th & 10 at TXST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:45TXST 4th & 2 at TXST 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:29ASU 4th & 2 at TXST 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.5%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:50TXST 4th & 5 at TXST 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:57TXST 4th & 7 at ASU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:28ASU 4th & 6 at TXST 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:54TXST 4th & 2 at TXST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.3%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:16TXST 4th & 13 at ASU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:18ASU 4th & 15 at TXST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:17ASU 4th & 20 at TXST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−7.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−5.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:35ASU 4th & 2 at TXST 5, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−5.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−29.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:45ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−2.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:15TXST 4th & 5 at TXST 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:42ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:19TXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:39TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:22TXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:59ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:13ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:24TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:22ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2949% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for -1 yards. Tackled by S.Simmons at TXST 24.Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
48.7%
I.Mahdi rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Elliott; S.Simmons at TXST 27.Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
48.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 14 yards. Tackled by Z.Fiaseu at TXST 41.Similar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.0%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
49.0%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
48.9%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Fox.Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+28
48.9%
L.Rau punts 28 yards to ASU 31, Center-J.Oehrlein. Fair catch by M.Stovall.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:4151% → 53%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
48.9%
C.Skattebo rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Webb; B.Bell at ASU 31.Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+18
49.1%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 18 yards. J.Tyson FUMBLES, forced by J.Eaton. Fumble RECOVERED by TXST-K.Culp at TXST 45. Tackled by C.Skattebo; X.Guillory at TXST 48. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 21 yards. Tackled by J.Eaton at TXST 48.Similar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
48.9%
C.Skattebo rushed for 0 yards. C.Skattebo FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by ASU-C.Skattebo at TXST 48. Tackled by B.Bell at TXST 48.Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
49.0%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by M.Stovall for 14 yards. Tackled by K.Culp; M.Harris at TXST 34.Similar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
48.8%
C.Skattebo rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at TXST 21.Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
48.8%
J.Smith rushed for 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Mills at TXST 7.Similar
Q1 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
48.9%
C.Skattebo rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Eaton at TXST 2. PENALTY on TXST-D.Ratcliff, Defensive Holding, 1 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.9%
C.Skattebo rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Mills at TXST 1.Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.9%
S.Leavitt rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 1.Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.6%
C.Skattebo rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:1847% → 53%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.3%
I.Mahdi rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by S.Simmons; X.Alford at TXST 30.Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
47.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; K.Elliott at TXST 36.Similar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
47.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for -2 yards. Tackled by S.Simmons at TXST 34.Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+9
47.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 9 yards. Tackled by K.Elliott at TXST 43.Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
47.5%
L.Pare rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by X.Alford at TXST 50. PENALTY on TXST-C.Todd, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+9
46.5%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Wilson for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Robinson at TXST 44.Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+4
46.9%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Elliott; J.Wodtly at TXST 48.Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
47.6%
L.Pare rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Smith; J.Wodtly at TXST 49.Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-1
47.4%
J.Hobert rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; Z.Fiaseu at TXST 48.Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+15
46.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Wilson for 15 yards. Tackled by C.Smith; S.Simmons at ASU 37.Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
47.7%
J.McCloud rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Elliott at ASU 32.Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
48.2%
I.Mahdi rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by X.Alford at ASU 22.Similar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
48.2%
I.Mahdi rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; C.Fite at ASU 18.Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+13
47.6%
J.McCloud scrambles for 13 yards. Tackled by K.Elliott; M.Rowser at ASU 5.Similar
Q1 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.2%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4TD
17 plays · 64 yds · 6:3952% → 62%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
52.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Fite; J.Wodtly at TXST 38.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
52.2%
PENALTY on ASU-ASU, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
53.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by S.Simmons; J.Clark at TXST 47.Similar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
53.0%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dawn.Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
52.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Rowser at ASU 47.Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
53.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Smith at ASU 40.Similar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
53.5%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Abney at ASU 31.Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+2
54.1%
I.Mahdi rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 25. PENALTY on TXST-N.Jones, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-4
53.8%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Sacked at ASU 43 for -4 yards (B.Lono-Wong).Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+13
52.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 13 yards. Tackled by C.McCullough at ASU 30.Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
54.7%
TXST rushed for -2 yards. TXST FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by TXST-J.Hobert at ASU 32. Tackled by ASU at ASU 32.Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+8
54.6%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Wilson for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson at ASU 24.Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
54.3%
J.McCloud scrambles for 12 yards. Tackled by X.Alford at ASU 12.Similar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
55.4%
I.Mahdi rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Clark; C.McCullough at ASU 10.Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+4
55.6%
J.McCloud rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by E.O'Neal at ASU 6.Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
62.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 6 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:4765% → 73%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+20
65.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 20 yards. Tackled by X.Alford; M.Rowser at ASU 30.Similar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
65.2%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Wodtly at ASU 19.Similar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
73.0%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 19 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1729% → 39%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
70.7%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Sacked at ASU 14 for -11 yards (B.Bell).Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+10
71.4%
S.Leavitt rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at ASU 24.Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+24
72.1%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 24 yards. Tackled by J.Eaton at ASU 48. PENALTY on TXST-TXST, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
60.8%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 52 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 57 yds · 2:2538% → 55%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
62.1%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Skattebo for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Harris at ASU 50.Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 3
OPP 0
+2
59.2%
C.Skattebo rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Polk; J.Neal at TXST 48.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
60.8%
C.Skattebo rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Adeleye at TXST 49.Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+14
62.7%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by X.Guillory for 14 yards. Tackled by K.Culp; T.Moore at TXST 35.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
59.3%
S.Leavitt rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at TXST 31.Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
58.9%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Metayer for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at TXST 25.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
59.0%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
59.5%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Skattebo for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at TXST 19.Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+14
60.7%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 14 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 5.Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
59.1%
C.Skattebo rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Bell; K.Haynes at TXST 2.Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
59.1%
PENALTY on ASU-B.Coleman, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.1%
S.Leavitt rushed for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
53.9%
L.Pare rushed for 20 yards. Tackled by X.Alford; M.Rowser at TXST 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4257% → 54%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.9%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
56.1%
I.Mahdi rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by Z.Fiaseu at TXST 48.Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
56.1%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams.Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+52
54.4%
D.Nunez punts 52 yards to ASU End Zone, Center-J.Oehrlein. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.6%
S.Leavitt pass INTERCEPTED at ASU 47. Intercepted by C.Mills at ASU 47. Tackled by ASU at ASU 47.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:3758% → 55%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
57.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by C.Dawn for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; Z.Fiaseu at ASU 40.Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
58.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Smith; K.Elliott at ASU 38.Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
57.4%
L.Pare rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by C.McCullough at ASU 37.Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.0%
PENALTY on TXST-C.Todd, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+3
56.3%
L.Pare rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; K.Elliott at ASU 39. PENALTY on ASU-M.Rowser, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was overturned. L.Pare rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; K.Elliott at ASU 39.Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 12
OPP 39
0
57.3%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+5
55.6%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by K.Wilson for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Abney; X.Alford at ASU 34.Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
55.4%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:2350% → 50%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
50.5%
C.Skattebo rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at ASU 37.Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-4
49.7%
C.Skattebo rushed for -4 yards. Tackled by K.Haynes; D.Ratcliff at ASU 33.Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+14
52.7%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Metayer for 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Eaton at ASU 47.Similar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
48.0%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Tyson. PENALTY on TXST-K.Culp, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
47.6%
C.Skattebo rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Ratcliff; J.Polk at TXST 36.Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
47.6%
R.Brown rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by C.Mills at TXST 38.Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+4
48.6%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Metayer for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Landry; D.Jackson at TXST 34.Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
50.4%
I.Hershey 51 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-C.Marszalek, Holder-R.Mahlum.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 13TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:5656% → 77%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
55.5%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; K.Elliott at TXST 37.Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+7
57.1%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Nkuba at TXST 44.Similar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.5%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dawn.Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
57.3%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Abney at TXST 50.Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 4
OPP 0
+6
58.9%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by B.Sparks for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Abney at ASU 44.Similar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
77.3%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 44 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5629% → 55%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.9%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Metayer for 9 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at ASU 34.Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
68.6%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory.Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.1%
C.Skattebo rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Coleman; J.Neal at ASU 36.Similar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+40
70.1%
S.Leavitt scrambles for 40 yards. S.Leavitt ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
65.4%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Harpole for 17 yards. Tackled by TXST at TXST 7.Similar
Q3 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
65.4%
C.Skattebo rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Mills at TXST 2.Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.0%
C.Skattebo rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:5556% → 54%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
55.8%
J.Hobert rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser at TXST 31.Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
55.6%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Williams.Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+8
53.3%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by I.Mahdi for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Wodtly; J.Clark at TXST 39.Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+26
54.7%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 26 yards. Tackled by E.O'Neal at ASU 35.Similar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
61.8%
I.Mahdi rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Clark at ASU 34.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
61.8%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-4
60.0%
J.McCloud rushed for -4 yards. Tackled by C.Smith at ASU 38.Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 13
OPP 38
+35
54.2%
D.Nunez punts 35 yards to ASU 3, Center-J.Oehrlein. Downed by TXST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
16 plays · 51 yds · 4:5048% → 46%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
52.4%
C.Skattebo rushed for yards. Tackled by K.Haynes at ASU 6. PENALTY on ASU-J.Atkins, Offensive Holding, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 12
OWN 1
+3
52.4%
S.Leavitt rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Haynes; T.Webb at ASU 4.Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
52.9%
PENALTY on ASU-L.Fautanu, False Start, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+9
52.9%
C.Skattebo rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Eaton; J.Polk at ASU 11.Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+8
54.1%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Skattebo for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Mills; J.Polk at ASU 19.Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
51.7%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Metayer.Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
52.1%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by S.Leavitt for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Harris; T.Webb at ASU 25. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was overturned. S.Leavitt rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Harris at ASU 25. PENALTY on TXST-M.Harris, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.4%
C.Skattebo rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Bass at ASU 40.Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+24
49.4%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by C.Metayer for 24 yards. Tackled by C.Mills at TXST 36.Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
46.5%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for X.Guillory.Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
46.5%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Metayer.Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
47.8%
PENALTY on ASU-ASU, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 15
OPP 41
0
50.8%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Skattebo.Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
53.6%
K.Floyd punts yards to TXST 1, Center-C.Marszalek. Downed by X.Guillory. PENALTY on ASU-ASU, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 20
OPP 46
+35
53.6%
K.Floyd punts 35 yards to TXST 11, Center-C.Marszalek. Fair catch by K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
56.2%
I.Mahdi rushed for 12 yards. I.Mahdi FUMBLES, forced by S.Simmons. Fumble RECOVERED by ASU-J.Wodtly at TXST 23. Tackled by TXST at TXST 23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:2956% → 70%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
44.3%
C.Skattebo rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by B.Crosby at TXST 13.Similar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
44.2%
C.Skattebo rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Bell at TXST 14.Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+5
44.8%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Culp; D.Ratcliff at TXST 9.Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+4
45.1%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by J.Tyson for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Payne at TXST 5.Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
30.4%
I.Hershey 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-C.Marszalek, Holder-R.Mahlum.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 19INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:1439% → 35%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.8%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 12 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; K.Elliott at TXST 37.Similar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
40.1%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for -6 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser at TXST 31.Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+5
38.0%
I.Mahdi rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by C.McCullough; K.Elliott at TXST 36.Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
35.0%
J.McCloud pass INTERCEPTED at ASU 25. Intercepted by X.Alford at ASU 25. Tackled by TXST at ASU 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1971% → 71%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.8%
S.Leavitt pass complete. Catch made by M.Stovall for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Culp at ASU 26.Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
28.0%
S.Leavitt scrambles for 3 yards. Tackled by TXST at ASU 29.Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
27.2%
S.Leavitt steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Stovall.Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+56
29.3%
K.Floyd punts 56 yards to TXST 15, Center-C.Marszalek. Downed by ASU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2136% → 30%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
36.4%
J.McCloud rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Rowser; X.Alford at TXST 23.Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
37.5%
L.Pare rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Fite at TXST 23.Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-3
32.5%
L.Pare rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by K.Elliott; C.McCullough at TXST 20.Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
29.5%
J.McCloud steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
25.4%
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Hobert for 10 yards. Lateral to I.Langford to TXST 35 for 1 yards. I.Langford FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by ASU-C.Smith at TXST 35. Tackled by at TXST 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.4
TD · Q3 2:22
C.Skattebo rushed for 2 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-20.4
TD · Q3 4:24
J.McCloud pass complete. Catch made by J.Williams for 44 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+18.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com