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UCF

UCF 35 at TCU 34

TCU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:40 · C.Boomer 46 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-UCF, Holder-UCF. M.Deal blocked the kick. Out of bounds.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Home team on offense+1.2Pregame prior+6.6Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:41: J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 50 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — TCU win probability +10.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: R.Harvey rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UCF win probability +10.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:05: K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 27 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UCF win probability +14.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:45: R.Harvey rushed for 27 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UCF win probability +21.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 0:40: K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 20 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UCF win probability +58.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 14:05UCF 4th & 7 at UCF 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:40UCF 4th & 6 at TCU 29, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:28UCF 4th & 13 at UCF 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:06TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:07UCF 4th & 9 at TCU 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:07TCU 4th & 6 at UCF 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:48TCU 4th & 6 at UCF 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−18.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:05UCF 4th & 5 at UCF 43, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:23TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 22, up 6
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:48TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:28TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 15:00UCF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:19TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:41TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:05UCF Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:45UCF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:40UCF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−4.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4942% → 42%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
57.8%
R.Harvey rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 16.Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
57.8%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hudson.Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
57.9%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Jones.Similar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
57.9%
M.McCarthy punts 50 yards to TCU 34, Center-UCF. J.Richardson returned punt from the TCU 34. Tackled by UCF at TCU 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:0458% → 61%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
58.0%
C.Cook rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 48.Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
58.2%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Williams.Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+7
58.1%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by E.McAlister for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at UCF 41.Similar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
58.2%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Richardson for 5 yards. Tackled by S.Arnold at UCF 36.Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
58.3%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 4 yards. Tackled by S.Arnold at UCF 32.Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
58.4%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by D.Dabney for 4 yards. Tackled by M.McWilliams at UCF 28.Similar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
58.6%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Richardson for 9 yards. Tackled by S.Arnold at UCF 19.Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+4
58.6%
C.Cook rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at UCF 15.Similar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
58.7%
C.Cook rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by N.Kelly at UCF 14.Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
60.6%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by E.McAlister for 14 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3BLOCKED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:5840% → 39%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.9%
K.Jefferson rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by B.Clark at UCF 35.Similar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
60.0%
R.Harvey rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by N.Obiazor at UCF 37.Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
60.1%
X.Townsend rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by L.James at UCF 43.Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+11
60.1%
R.Harvey rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by N.Obiazor at TCU 46.Similar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
60.1%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by X.Townsend for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Clark at TCU 44.Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+11
60.2%
K.Jefferson rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Broughton at TCU 33.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.9%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Jones.Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
59.9%
K.Jefferson rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by N.Obiazor at TCU 29.Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
60.6%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for R.Pittman.Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
61.2%
C.Boomer 46 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-UCF, Holder-UCF. M.Deal blocked the kick. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:0662% → 69%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
61.8%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Bech.Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
61.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by D.Dabney for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at TCU 40.Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.6%
C.Cook rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 40.Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
62.5%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Richardson.Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+21
62.1%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 21 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 39.Similar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.4%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Williams.Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
63.3%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for E.McAlister.Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+21
62.9%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by E.McAlister for 21 yards. Tackled by S.Arnold at UCF 18.Similar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
68.5%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by S.Williams for 18 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1833% → 39%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
PENALTY on UCF-R.Pittman, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
66.8%
R.Harvey rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 30.Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
67.0%
X.Townsend rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 38.Similar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
66.7%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by R.Pittman for 18 yards. Tackled by A.Camara at TCU 44.Similar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
66.7%
R.Harvey rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Hodges at TCU 45.Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
67.3%
K.Jefferson rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 44.Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+15
67.9%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 15 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at TCU 29.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
60.8%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by R.Harvey for 29 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3364% → 74%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
63.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Cook for -6 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at TCU 19.Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
63.7%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Williams. PENALTY on UCF-L.Tennison, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
64.1%
S.Williams rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 36.Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
64.6%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Cook.Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+18
63.9%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 18 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at UCF 46.Similar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
65.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 8 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 38.Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+10
65.9%
D.Johnson rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 28.Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
66.2%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Bech.Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
66.2%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Cook for 2 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 26.Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+10
65.9%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Cook for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Pierre at UCF 16.Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
66.8%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for TCU.Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
66.8%
C.Cook rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Arnold at UCF 16.Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
74.2%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by S.Williams for 16 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4229% → 26%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.5%
R.Harvey rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 33.Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
71.2%
K.Jefferson rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 39.Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
72.0%
M.Montgomery rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 41.Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
72.4%
J.Richardson rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 41.Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
73.3%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for X.Townsend.Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
73.9%
PENALTY on UCF-UCF, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+51
74.4%
M.McCarthy punts 51 yards to TCU 13, Center-UCF. J.Richardson returned punt from the TCU 13. Tackled by R.Pittman at TCU 28.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1275% → 75%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
74.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by S.Williams for -3 yards. Lateral to J.Bech to TCU 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 36.Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
75.8%
C.Cook rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 36.Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
75.4%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Richardson.Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+49
74.6%
E.Craw punts 49 yards to UCF 15, Center-TCU. X.Townsend returned punt from the UCF 15. Tackled by TCU at UCF 12.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9BLOCKED FG
22 plays · 79 yds · 5:5625% → 22%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
74.7%
R.Harvey rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Carroll at UCF 21.Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+4
74.6%
R.Harvey rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 25.Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
P.Boone rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 30.Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
75.0%
P.Boone rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Hodges at UCF 36.Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
75.2%
P.Boone rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by L.James at UCF 38.Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
75.3%
R.Harvey rushed for 15 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 47.Similar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
74.8%
P.Boone rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Jackson at TCU 43.Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
75.4%
X.Townsend rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Broughton at TCU 40.Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
75.7%
K.Jefferson rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 36. PENALTY on TCU-B.Clark, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
74.7%
K.Jefferson rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 15.Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+2
74.2%
R.Harvey rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Deal at TCU 13.Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
75.8%
R.Harvey rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 10.Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
74.9%
K.Jefferson rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 9.Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
75.7%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hudson.Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.1%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hudson.Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
78.0%
C.Boomer 26 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-UCF, Holder-UCF. L.James blocked the kick. T.Wadsworth recovered the blocked kick. Tackled by TCU at TCU 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1481% → 93%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.1%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Williams. PENALTY on UCF-B.Adams, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.8%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Cook.Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
81.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Curtis for 6 yards. Tackled by Q.Bullard at TCU 46.Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
81.5%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Curtis for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at TCU 50.Similar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+50
92.5%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 50 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:419% → 19%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
91.2%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 29 yards. Tackled by J.Broughton at TCU 46.Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
90.7%
R.Harvey rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at TCU 36.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
90.8%
R.Harvey rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 28.Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
90.2%
P.Boone rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at TCU 23.Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
90.7%
R.Harvey rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Deal at TCU 20.Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
91.2%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hudson. PENALTY on TCU-J.Broughton, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.3%
P.Boone rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 5.Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
91.9%
R.Harvey rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 1.Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.4%
R.Harvey rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:2986% → 93%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Richardson for 4 yards. Tackled by L.Tennison at TCU 29.Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+23
86.6%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Richardson for 23 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 48.Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
87.8%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Payne for 21 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 27.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
88.2%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Earle for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Marshall at UCF 23.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
88.4%
J.Payne rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 22.Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+5
88.2%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Richardson for 5 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 17.Similar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
89.0%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Dabney.Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
89.3%
D.Johnson rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 13.Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
89.0%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Dabney.Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
92.7%
K.Lemmerman 31 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TCU, Holder-TCU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:588% → 23%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.8%
R.Harvey rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 28.Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+45
91.9%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 45 yards. Tackled by J.Broughton at TCU 27.Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
77.4%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 27 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:3184% → 85%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
83.6%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 20 yards. Tackled by A.Jackson at TCU 45.Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
85.3%
C.Cook rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Barber at TCU 47.Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
85.4%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Earle for 3 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 50.Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 5
OPP 0
0
85.6%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Cook.Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 5
OPP 0
+50
84.6%
E.Craw punts 50 yards to UCF End Zone, Center-TCU. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4016% → 38%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
83.8%
R.Harvey rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Canada at UCF 27.Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-4
82.5%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by X.Townsend for -4 yards. Tackled by J.Hodges at UCF 23.Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
85.0%
R.Harvey rushed for 19 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 42.Similar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
82.4%
R.Harvey rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 44.Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
82.4%
M.Montgomery rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 50.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 0
+2
81.4%
P.Boone rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 48.Similar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
81.7%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by J.Jones for 15 yards. Tackled by C.Canada at TCU 33.Similar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.9%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Jones.Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
81.0%
PENALTY on UCF-UCF, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+11
83.0%
R.Harvey rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Canada at TCU 27.Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+27
61.7%
R.Harvey rushed for 27 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:5070% → 85%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.6%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Cook.Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.2%
C.Cook rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 31.Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
69.0%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Curtis for 4 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 35.Similar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
70.4%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 16 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 49.Similar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.7%
PENALTY on TCU-J.Bech, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+5
71.2%
C.Cook rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Dotson at UCF 49.Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+39
73.2%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 39 yards. Tackled by A.Jackson at UCF 10.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
76.1%
C.Cook rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by Q.Bullard at UCF 4.Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
76.3%
C.Cook rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 1.Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.1%
PENALTY on TCU-R.Strickland, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.2%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Curtis.Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
84.5%
K.Lemmerman 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TCU, Holder-TCU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:3824% → 21%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.7%
R.Harvey rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 26.Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
76.0%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hudson. PENALTY on TCU-J.Broughton, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, offset. PENALTY on UCF-P.Rubelt, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, offset. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
76.1%
R.Harvey rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 33.Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
75.3%
R.Harvey rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 38.Similar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
74.7%
X.Townsend rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Elarms-Orr at UCF 40.Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
74.5%
M.Montgomery rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Broughton at UCF 45.Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-2
74.3%
R.Harvey rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by TCU at UCF 43.Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+51
79.0%
M.McCarthy punts 51 yards to TCU 6, Center-UCF. J.Richardson returned punt from the TCU 6. Tackled by UCF at TCU 14.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1488% → 88%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
88.4%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by D.Dabney for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at TCU 14.Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
88.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by C.Cook for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at TCU 16.Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+6
88.6%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by S.Williams for 6 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 22.Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+50
87.9%
E.Craw punts 50 yards to UCF 28, Center-TCU. Fair catch by X.Townsend.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 2:3421% → 82%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
79.5%
R.Harvey rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at UCF 32.Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
78.6%
R.Harvey rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by C.McDonald at UCF 32.Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+7
80.4%
J.Richardson rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by B.Clark at UCF 39.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
77.7%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by R.Pittman for 17 yards. Tackled by J.Broughton at TCU 44.Similar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
76.4%
R.Harvey rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 40.Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+8
75.0%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by R.Pittman for 8 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 32. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.Similar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
73.1%
K.Jefferson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Hudson.Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
74.0%
K.Jefferson rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 29.Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+9
75.8%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 9 yards. Tackled by TCU at TCU 20.Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
17.8%
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 20 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:3341% → 35%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
41.3%
J.Hoover rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Pace at TCU 35.Similar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.8%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Richardson.Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
41.7%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by J.Bech for 13 yards. Tackled by UCF at TCU 48.Similar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
40.0%
J.Hoover pass complete. Catch made by E.McAlister for 12 yards. Tackled by UCF at UCF 40.Similar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
38.6%
J.Hoover steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Richardson.Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
35.3%
K.Lemmerman 58 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-TCU, Holder-TCU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:40
K.Jefferson pass complete. Catch made by K.Hudson for 20 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-58
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-35.3
TD · Q4 13:45
R.Harvey rushed for 27 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-21.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com