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UNLV

UNLV 23 at Kansas 20

KU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2024 · Children's Mercy Park
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:04 · Damon Greaves punt for 44 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for no gain to the UNLV 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:22: Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +2.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:12: Jalon Daniels run for 33 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK) — KU win probability +5.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 27 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +11.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:22: Tabor Allen 41 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +4.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:00: Kylin James run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +55.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:38UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:36UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:33UNLV 4th & 8 at KU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:19UNLV 4th & 5 at KU 9, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:17KU 4th & 4 at UNLV 17, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:45UNLV 4th & 16 at KU 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:34KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:39UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:38UNLV 4th & 5 at KU 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:04KU 4th & 19 at KU 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−5.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:22UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−3.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:33KU 4th & 18 at KU 7, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−6.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:06UNLV 4th & 10 at KU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−2.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:22KU 4th & 8 at UNLV 23, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−12.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:05UNLV 4th & 1 at KU 2, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.9%−0.4
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−18.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:00UNLV 4th & 1 at KU 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−15.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−33.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:18KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.5%−10.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:11KU 4th & 15 at KU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.7%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:22KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:12KU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:00UNLV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1123% → 23%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.4%
Jacob De Jesus run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
77.3%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
77.2%
Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
77.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 7:1077% → 78%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
77.1%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+8
77.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 8 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.8%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 34Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+11
76.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 11 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
76.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
76.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 49Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+10
76.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 10 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
76.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+14
76.4%
Lawrence Arnold run for 14 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+3
76.2%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+10
76.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Jared Casey for 10 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
78.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 4:4222% → 24%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
77.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
77.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
77.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
77.3%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
76.9%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 31 yds to the KU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
76.1%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Ricky White III for 5 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
76.4%
Greg Burrell run for 2 yds to the KU 15Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 3
OPP 15
-5
76.9%
(01:35) PENALTY UNLV Delay Of Game 5 yards from KU15 to KU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
76.9%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
75.7%
Caden Chittenden 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 4:0576% → 82%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
75.5%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 12Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+13
75.4%
Devin Neal run for 13 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
75.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 10 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
75.2%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
75.7%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
76.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 18 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
81.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 33 yds for a TD (Tabor Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:3620% → 21%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.3%
Devin Green run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.7%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+18
80.1%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Casey Cain for 18 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
79.6%
Devin Green run for 7 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+3
79.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
79.2%
Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
79.2%
Matthew Sluka run for 10 yds to the KU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
79.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+6
79.8%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+2
80.2%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
79.0%
Caden Chittenden 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:4680% → 83%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
79.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Devin Neal for 33 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
81.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+19
81.4%
Devin Neal run for 19 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
82.0%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
82.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
81.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
83.4%
Tabor Allen 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:2617% → 16%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.4%
Greg Burrell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+46
84.1%
Matthew Sluka run for 46 yds to the KU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
81.1%
Greg Burrell run for 3 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 16
OPP 33
0
82.9%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-9
80.5%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Jereme Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the KU 33Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 16
OPP 33
+51
84.0%
Caden Chittenden 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:0084% → 84%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
83.7%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 32Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+24
83.6%
Devin Neal run for 24 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
84.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
84.8%
Jalon Daniels sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
83.7%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted Jalen Catalon return for no gain to the KU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:1619% → 31%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
80.6%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 6 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
68.7%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 27 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1574% → 72%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.5%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
73.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
72.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
72.0%
Damon Greaves punt for 44 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for no gain to the UNLV 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4727% → 26%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
72.8%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
71.4%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
71.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-8
72.0%
Matthew Sluka sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
74.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3373% → 75%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.8%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted Jackson Woodard return for no gain to the KU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5931% → 33%
Q3 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
69.0%
Greg Burrell run for 1 yd to the KU 3Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
68.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the KU 5Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.1%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
67.4%
Caden Chittenden 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:1670% → 67%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
70.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 20
OWN 14
0
69.6%
Devin Neal run for no gain to the KU 14Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 20
OWN 14
0
69.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+1
67.9%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 15Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
67.3%
Damon Greaves punt for 44 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for no gain to the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2933% → 30%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
66.6%
Devin Green run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-5
65.6%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (Ambuehl,Anton) 5 yards from UNLV42 to UNLV37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
68.6%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Ricky White III for no gain to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
69.6%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
70.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:4469% → 64%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
69.0%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 16Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
68.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 20Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+3
68.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+1
65.4%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 7Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 18
OWN 7
+13
64.3%
Damon Greaves punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 45 , Jacob De Jesus returns for 13 yds to the KU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1237% → 33%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
62.9%
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Ricky White III for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 46Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+1
63.5%
Greg Burrell run for 1 yd to the KU 45Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
64.7%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
67.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4367% → 75%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
66.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
66.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+18
64.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 18 yds to the KU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
67.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KU 23Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
65.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Trevor Kardell for 10 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
68.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
70.5%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+29
70.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 29 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
72.7%
Devin Neal run for 9 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-7
72.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
70.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
75.2%
Tabor Allen 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 9:0829% → 84%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.2%
Devin Green run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
71.3%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+21
72.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 21 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
65.6%
Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the KU 44 Matthew Sluka fumbled, recovered by UNLV Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
63.9%
Kylin James run for 5 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
64.6%
Jacob De Jesus run for no gain to the KU 39Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
64.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 10 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
61.5%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
60.8%
Matthew Sluka pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
60.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
60.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the KU 4Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
62.8%
Kylin James run for 2 yds to the KU 2Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-14
66.9%
Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the KU 1 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Will Thomas) to the KU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
62.5%
Matthew Sluka run for 8 yds to the KU 8Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
64.7%
Kylin James run for 5 yds to the KU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
65.3%
Kylin James run for 2 yds to the KU 5Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+7
65.1%
Jacob De Jesus run for loss of 7 yds to the KU 12Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+11
70.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 11 yds to the KU 1Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.6%
Kylin James run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · -11 yds · 0:3231% → 19%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
32.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the KU 34Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
27.7%
Devin Neal run for 3 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-6
19.0%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Antonio Doyle Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the KU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 1:0693% → 94%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
7.3%
M. Sluka takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
5.8%
M. Sluka takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:00
Kylin James run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-55.1
TD · Q2 0:00
Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 27 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-11.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com