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BAY

Baylor 12 at Utah 23

UTAH
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:44 · Dequan Finn pass complete to Richard Reese for 6 yds to the UTAH 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+1.0Home team on offense+25.8Score differential+8.2Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:17: Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:21: Tao Johnson 77 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UTAH win probability +5.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:23: Isaiah Hankins 39 yd FG GOOD — BAY win probability +3.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:53: Dequan Finn pass complete to Josh Cameron for 47 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BAY win probability +6.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:47: (00:47) BERNARD, Micah rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the UTA31 (REED, Chateau;MARSHALL, Jackie), clock 00:40. PENALTY Before the snap, UTA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UTA17 to the UTA12. NO PLAY (replay the down). — UTAH win probability +2.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BAY made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 12:16UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:53BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:48UTAH 4th & 6 at BAY 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:46UTAH 4th & 4 at BAY 47, up 17
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:34BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:44UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 3, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:36BAY 4th & 1 at UTAH 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−2.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:21BAY 4th & 9 at UTAH 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:57BAY 4th & 3 at BAY 47, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:31UTAH 4th & 6 at BAY 27, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:14BAY 4th & 16 at BAY 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:14UTAH 4th & 4 at BAY 49, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:23BAY 4th & 10 at UTAH 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:03UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 18, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:44BAY 4th & 1 at UTAH 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−1.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:51UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:17BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:46UTAH 4th & 6 at BAY 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−2.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:44BAY 4th & 14 at UTAH 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BAY made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 8:37UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:17UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:21UTAH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:53BAY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4482% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
81.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dorian Singer for 8 yds to the UTAH 33Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
81.7%
Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 28Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
81.6%
Dijon Stanley run for 14 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
81.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
81.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
81.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1419% → 19%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
81.1%
Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the BAY 14Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 14
-1
81.0%
Ashtyn Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 13Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
80.9%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+14
80.9%
Palmer Williams punt for 57 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 14 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:1081% → 82%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
81.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dorian Singer for 2 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+12
80.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 12 yds to the BAY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
80.8%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the BAY 39Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+11
80.6%
(08:51) RISING, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for PARKS, Money thrown to the BAY27, clock 08:46. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on JENKINS, Caden enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the BAY28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
82.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 28 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -22 yds · 0:1419% → 18%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-22
81.5%
Dequan Finn sacked for a loss of 22 yards to the BAY 3 Dequan Finn fumbled, recovered by UTAH Karene Reid , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
82.1%
RISING, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for SINGER, Dorian thrown to the BAY3, clock 08:23. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on BOBBY, Devyn enforced at the spot of the foul for 1 yards to the BAY2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1817% → 17%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
83.1%
Dawson Pendergrass run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 22Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
83.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 5 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
83.4%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+1
83.5%
Palmer Williams punt for 60 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 1 yd to the UTAH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:5284% → 87%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
83.9%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 16Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-5
84.1%
Utah Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 11Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+25
84.1%
Cameron Rising run for 25 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
84.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 35 yds to the BAY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
84.9%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the BAY 24Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
85.1%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the BAY 20Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
84.9%
Mike Mitchell run for 4 yds to the BAY 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
85.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
85.3%
Mike Mitchell run for 2 yds to the BAY 14Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+2
85.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dorian Singer for 2 yds to the BAY 12Similar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
86.7%
Cole Becker 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5514% → 13%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.8%
Richard Reese run for 6 yds to the BAY 31Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
85.7%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the BAY 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
86.6%
Richard Reese run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 31Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
86.8%
Palmer Williams punt for 51 yds , Rayshawn Glover returns for 5 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:0488% → 89%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
87.6%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 20Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+27
88.1%
Micah Bernard run for 27 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.8%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 7
50
+3
88.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the BAY 47Similar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
89.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0712% → 12%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.6%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the BAY 22Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
87.8%
Ashtyn Hawkins run for no gain to the BAY 22Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
88.0%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
88.2%
Palmer Williams punt for 76 yds, downed at the UTAH 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3889% → 89%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
89.2%
Mike Mitchell run for no gain to the UTAH 2Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+5
89.4%
Mike Mitchell run for 5 yds to the UTAH 7Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 7
-4
89.3%
Cameron Rising sacked by Treven Ma'ae and Garmon Randolph for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 3Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 9
OWN 3
+18
89.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 60 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 18 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12MISSED FG TD
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:0312% → 7%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
87.6%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 5 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
87.2%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
87.2%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
87.5%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
86.9%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
86.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+3
87.5%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 27
-5
87.8%
Baylor Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 32Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+77
93.2%
Tao Johnson 77 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:247% → 6%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Richard Reese run for no gain to the BAY 25Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.4%
(04:58) FINN, Dequan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PRESLEY, Hal thrown to the UTA35, clock 04:44. PENALTY UTA Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Tao enforced 15 yards to the BAY40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
93.1%
Jamaal Bell run for 1 yd to the BAY 41Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
93.3%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the BAY 43Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+4
93.5%
Dequan Finn run for 4 yds to the BAY 47Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
93.7%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 20 yds · 2:2195% → 95%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
95.0%
Charlie Vincent run for 6 yds to the BAY 41Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
95.1%
Charlie Vincent run for 5 yds to the BAY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
95.8%
(01:47) STANLEY, Dijon rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the BAY33 (JONES, Matt), clock 01:41. PENALTY UTA Holding on KUMP, Jaren enforced 10 yards from the BAY36 to the BAY46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
95.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+15
95.6%
(01:24) WILSON, Isaac pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SINGER, Dorian thrown to the BAY15, clock 01:19. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on JENKINS, Caden enforced 15 yards to the BAY31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.7%
Isaac Wilson run for 1 yd to the BAY 30Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
95.8%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 3 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
95.8%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
95.4%
Cole Becker 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15FG
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:296% → 7%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
94.1%
Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+18
93.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Hal Presley for 18 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
93.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Michael Trigg for 6 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+15
92.9%
(00:09) FINN, Dequan pass to the left incomplete intended for PRESLEY, Hal broken up by GILMAN, Alaka'i at the UTA36, clock 00:04. PENALTY UTA Targeting on GILMAN, Alaka'i enforced 15 yards from the UTA42 to the UTA27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+44
92.8%
Isaiah Hankins 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:465% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
95.0%
Dequan Finn sacked by Connor O'Toole for a loss of 6 yards to the BAY 19Similar
Q3 14:14
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+17
95.4%
Palmer Williams punt for 53 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 17 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4896% → 96%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
95.8%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 46Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
95.7%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Dijon Stanley for 5 yds to the BAY 49Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
95.9%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the BAY 49Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
95.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Cameron at the BAY 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:375% → 7%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+46
95.4%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 46 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
94.6%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 6 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
94.3%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 2 yds to the UTAH 38Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+5
94.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
95.0%
Dequan Finn sacked by Van Fillinger for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 37Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+5
95.7%
Ashtyn Hawkins run for 5 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+10
95.8%
Dequan Finn run for 10 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
95.6%
Monaray Baldwin run for 1 yd to the UTAH 21Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+1
95.7%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the UTAH 20Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-2
96.2%
Dequan Finn run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 22Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
92.9%
Isaiah Hankins 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.1%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-11
94.2%
Isaac Wilson sacked by Jackie Marshall for a loss of 11 yards to the UTAH 18Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+7
93.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 59 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 7 yds to the BAY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:546% → 13%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
93.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the BAY 34Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
93.7%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 33Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
94.1%
Dequan Finn run for 10 yds to the BAY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
94.0%
Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the BAY 45Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
94.0%
Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
94.1%
Richard Reese run for no gain to the UTAH 48Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+1
94.4%
Dequan Finn run for 1 yd to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
87.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Josh Cameron for 47 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:5690% → 91%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
89.8%
(00:47) BERNARD, Micah rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the UTA31 (REED, Chateau;MARSHALL, Jackie), clock 00:40. PENALTY Before the snap, UTA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UTA17 to the UTA12. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+5
90.4%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the UTAH 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
90.4%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the UTAH 21Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+17
90.1%
Isaac Wilson pass complete to Money Parks for 17 yds to the UTAH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.4%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
91.7%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
91.2%
Isaac Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
90.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2510% → 8%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.3%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.6%
Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the BAY 23Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
91.3%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the BAY 26Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-5
92.1%
Baylor Penalty, False Start (Coleton Price) to the BAY 21Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
92.4%
Palmer Williams punt for 79 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23MISSED FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 7:1791% → 96%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
91.3%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the UTAH 13Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-6
92.2%
(10:27) BERNARD, Micah rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the UTA19 (NOEL III, Elinus;MA'AE, Treven), clock 10:12. PENALTY UTA Holding on VAKALAHI, Dallas enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the UTA13 to the UTA7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+16
92.9%
Micah Bernard run for 16 yds to the UTAH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
93.3%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
93.4%
Mike Mitchell run for 6 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
93.6%
Mike Mitchell run for 3 yds to the UTAH 37Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
94.1%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+30
94.6%
Micah Bernard run for 30 yds to the BAY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
95.3%
Dijon Stanley run for 2 yds to the BAY 27Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
95.5%
Dijon Stanley run for no gain to the BAY 27Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+2
95.7%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the BAY 25Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
95.5%
Cole Becker 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:564% → 3%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Michael Trigg for 8 yds to the BAY 33Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
96.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Josh Cameron for 12 yds to the BAY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
96.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Michael Trigg for 8 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+5
96.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Michael Trigg for 5 yds to the UTAH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-4
96.3%
Dequan Finn run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 46Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
96.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 14
OPP 46
+6
97.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Richard Reese for 6 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:1998% → 98%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
97.5%
(01:37) Kneel down by WILSON, Isaac at UTA39 (team loss of 1), clock 01:30.Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-4
97.5%
(00:52) Kneel down by WILSON, Isaac at UTA35 (team loss of 4), clock 00:47.Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 15
OWN 35
-1
97.5%
(00:18) Kneel down by WILSON, Isaac at UTA34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:13.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:53
Dequan Finn pass complete to Josh Cameron for 47 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-6.9
TD · Q2 5:21
Tao Johnson 77 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+5.4
FG · Q3 6:23
Isaiah Hankins 39 yd FG GOOD
-3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com