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SHSU

Sam Houston 14 at UCF 45

UCF
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:14 · Peny Boone run for 8 yds to the SHSU 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+12.5Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+26.0Blowout margin+11.1Garbage-time factor+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:36: Colton Boomer 50 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:41: Noah Smith pass complete to Simeon Evans for 64 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:59: RJ Harvey run for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +5.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:58: Myles Montgomery run for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:14: RJ Harvey run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SHSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 0:50SHSU 4th & 10 at SHSU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:36UCF 4th & 9 at SHSU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:02SHSU 4th & 9 at SHSU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:51UCF 4th & 2 at midfield, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:18SHSU 4th & 5 at SHSU 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:16SHSU 4th & 7 at SHSU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:31SHSU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:14UCF 4th & 1 at SHSU 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:38SHSU 4th & 4 at SHSU 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:48UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 44, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:57UCF 4th & 4 at SHSU 24, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SHSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:17UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:07UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:41SHSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:59UCF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:58UCF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:14UCF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:36UCF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:14SHSU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:3793% → 92%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
92.6%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 21Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
92.5%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
92.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 14 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 5 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+10
92.2%
RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
92.2%
(12:35) JEFFERSON, KJ pass to the right complete for 18 yards to PITTMAN JR., Randy caught at the SH34 and advanced to the SH30 (JACKSON, Sincere), clock 12:28. PENALTY UCF Holding on KITLER, Caden enforced 10 yards from the SH48 to the UCF42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 20
OWN 42
-5
92.0%
UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 25
OWN 37
+10
92.0%
KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+6
91.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 6 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-5
91.7%
UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (KJ Jefferson) to the UCF 48Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+17
91.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 17 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
91.7%
KJ Jefferson run for 11 yds to the SHSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
91.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 11 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
91.4%
RJ Harvey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 14Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-5
91.2%
UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+19
91.9%
RJ Harvey run for 19 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:598% → 9%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.7%
Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
91.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 18 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-22
91.2%
Hunter Watson pass intercepted Ii Sheldon Arnold return for 22 yds to the UCF 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:1192% → 93%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
91.6%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 15 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
91.7%
Xavier Townsend run for 16 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.8%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+24
91.8%
RJ Harvey run for 24 yds to the SHSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
91.8%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the SHSU 18Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
91.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the SHSU 15Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
91.6%
Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the SHSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
91.5%
Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the SHSU 4Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.3%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the SHSU 2Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.6%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:128% → 8%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-14
92.1%
Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (Simeon Evans) to the SHSU 9Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 16
OWN 13
0
91.9%
DJ McKinney run for no gain to the SHSU 13Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-1
92.0%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
92.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 49 yds, downed at the UCF 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 5:0992% → 96%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
92.4%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 4 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
92.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 5 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
92.5%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
92.7%
(14:37) JEFFERSON, KJ pass deep to the right complete for 37 yards to HUDSON, Kobe caught at the SH21 and advanced to the SH19 (FISHER, David), clock 14:31. PENALTY UCF Face mask on HUDSON, Kobe enforced 15 yards from the UCF44 to the UCF29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+4
92.4%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+15
92.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 15 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+8
92.5%
KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
92.8%
Xavier Townsend run for 11 yds to the SHSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
92.8%
KJ Jefferson sacked by Trey Fields and Jevon Leon for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
92.6%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+8
92.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+50
95.5%
Colton Boomer 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:537% → 11%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Hunter Watson run for 2 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
93.5%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 28Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
93.4%
Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Cash) to the SHSU 23Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
93.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 13 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
89.2%
Noah Smith pass complete to Simeon Evans for 64 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4189% → 95%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.1%
RJ Harvey run for 15 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
89.6%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 5 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
89.8%
RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the SHSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
89.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+9
89.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the SHSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
89.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
89.8%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
89.4%
Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the SHSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
89.6%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the SHSU 22Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
95.4%
RJ Harvey run for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:527% → 6%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.3%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
93.3%
Hunter Watson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SHSU 17 Hunter Watson fumbled, recovered by SHSU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+9
93.6%
Hunter Watson run for 9 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
93.6%
Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 13 yds to the UCF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5695% → 95%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
95.1%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
95.1%
KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 2
50
0
95.0%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 2
50
0
94.8%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:387% → 7%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
93.5%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 10Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-1
93.4%
(00:07) [NH] Kneel down by SH at SH9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:01.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 11INT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:506% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to John Gentry for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
94.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 15 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
93.5%
John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 42Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
93.6%
Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (MarKendrick Beall) to the SHSU 37Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+10
94.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 10 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
93.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
93.5%
(12:22) WATSON, Hunter pass short to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Noah broken up by LAWRENCE, Malachi at the UCF44, clock 12:18. PENALTY SH Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HAGLER, Ethan enforced 5 yards from the UCF48 to the SH47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
94.0%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-27
94.4%
Hunter Watson pass intercepted Mac McWilliams return for 27 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:5895% → 98%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
94.8%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
94.9%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+26
95.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 26 yds to the SHSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:352% → 2%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.6%
DJ McKinney run for 4 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
97.6%
DJ McKinney run for 4 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
97.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 8 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.7%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the SHSU 38Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
97.7%
DJ McKinney run for 3 yds to the SHSU 41Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+59
97.7%
punt for a loss of 39 yards , Bryon Threats returns for no gain to the UCF 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
RJ Harvey run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.6%
(07:09) WATSON, Hunter pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the SH30, clock 07:08. PENALTY SH Holding on SOHN, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the SH25 to the SH15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
99.6%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 18Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
99.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 5 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.6%
Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Jadon Cardell punt for 44 yds, downed at the UCF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
99.7%
Xavier Townsend run for 18 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Xavier Townsend run for 6 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+8
99.8%
Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 11 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.8%
Myles Montgomery run for 11 yds to the SHSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-7
99.8%
KJ Jefferson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 34 KJ Jefferson fumbled, recovered by SHSU Trey Fields , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the SHSU 35Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+10
99.8%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 10 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.8%
DJ McKinney run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 5
50
0
99.8%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 5
50
0
99.9%
Jadon Cardell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.8%
Peny Boone run for no gain to the UCF 12Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+53
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 53 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 7 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Peny Boone run for no gain to the SHSU 26Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+8
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 8 yds to the SHSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 15 yds to the SHSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 3 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Jase Bauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 24Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Shane Johnson for 7 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jase Bauer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jadon Cardell punt for 33 yds, downed at the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Dylan Rizk run for 3 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Dylan Rizk pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for no gain to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:260% → 0%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the SHSU 21Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Fernando Garza III for 2 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+12
100.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Malik Phillips for 12 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the SHSU 36Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Shane Johnson for 7 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
UCF Penalty, Offsides (Kaven Call) to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
Jase Bauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 47Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+13
100.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Malik Phillips for 13 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for 17 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for 3 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-2
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 22Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 22 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 6 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 13 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
100.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 26 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
100.0%
Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the SHSU 22Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-2
100.0%
Kam Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 24Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+1
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 1 yd to the SHSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 22Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for 2 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:59
RJ Harvey run for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 8:41
Noah Smith pass complete to Simeon Evans for 64 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)
-4.4
FG · Q2 10:36
Colton Boomer 50 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com