Try the model
KSU

Kansas State 34 at Tulane 27

TULN
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:17: Alex Bauman 36 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jacob Barnes Kick) — TULN win probability +7.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:26: DJ Giddens 45 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +23.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:01: Alex Bauman 13 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jacob Barnes Kick) — TULN win probability +23.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:20: Dylan Edwards 13 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +31.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:13: Jack Fabris 60 Yd Fumble Return (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +31.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:04TULN 4th & 1 at KSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04TULN 4th & 11 at KSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:05KSU 4th & 12 at TULN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:20KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01TULN 4th & 7 at KSU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:04KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:27TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:49KSU 4th & 5 at TULN 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−11.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:16TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:26KSU 4th & 1 at TULN 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−7.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:10TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:11KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:27TULN 4th & 6 at KSU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−4.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−6.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:49TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:17TULN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:16KSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:26KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:01TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:20KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:13KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:3128% → 30%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
28.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
28.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+25
28.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 10 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST down Kansas State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the KSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
28.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 6 yds to the KSU 37Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
29.1%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the KSU 37Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
29.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
29.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for no gain to the KSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5171% → 70%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
29.3%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to DJ GiddensSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
29.5%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
29.6%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to DJ GiddensSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
29.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:5030% → 31%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
29.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+39
30.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 39 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
31.0%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 40Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
31.3%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
30.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Makhi HughesSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
30.7%
Will Karoll punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Keagan Johnson at the KSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:4869% → 68%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
30.9%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KSU 19Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+6
30.9%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
31.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 8 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
30.8%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
31.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 2 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
31.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
50
+4
31.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+18
31.4%
Avery Johnson run for 18 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
31.0%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Taylor Poitier) to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
31.4%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+2
31.7%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+1
32.5%
Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
32.5%
Chris Tennant 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:0032% → 38%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
31.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+12
31.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 12 yds to the TULN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
33.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+53
33.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 53 yds to the KSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5063% → 62%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
36.8%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 8Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
37.1%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett OakleySimilar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+4
37.8%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 12Similar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
38.4%
Simon McClannan punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:5839% → 46%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
39.0%
Darian Mensah run for 7 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-5
39.4%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KSU 36Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
46.3%
Alex Bauman 36 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5056% → 63%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
44.0%
DJ Giddens run for 51 yds to the TULN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
41.5%
Kansas State Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Carver Willis) to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
42.4%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+17
43.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 17 yds to the TULN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
42.6%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
43.1%
Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the TULN 7Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
37.0%
Will Swanson 7 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:0341% → 50%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
40.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
42.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
41.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+37
43.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 37 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
45.6%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Derrick Graham) to the KSU 36Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+17
45.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 17 yds to the KSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
46.2%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
46.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 10 yds to the KSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for no gain to the KSU 9Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
47.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the KSU 8Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-14
47.1%
Darian Mensah sacked by Damian Ilalio for a loss of 14 yards to the KSU 22Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 0
OPP 22
+40
49.5%
Jacob Barnes 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4751% → 48%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
49.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 23Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
49.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
51.2%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
51.9%
Simon McClannan punt for 43 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 2 yds to the TULN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:2251% → 59%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
50.6%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+28
50.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 28 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
53.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 15 yds to the KSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
54.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the KSU 19Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-1
55.9%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 20Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-3
55.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 23Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
59.3%
Jacob Barnes 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:4339% → 44%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.1%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
60.0%
Avery Johnson run for 14 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
59.0%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
60.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 10 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
57.1%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Sterling LockettSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
58.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 10 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+53
56.4%
Chris Tennant 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4841% → 37%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.8%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
58.8%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 29Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
62.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 4 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
63.2%
Simon McClannan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3163% → 63%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.4%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
63.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 24Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-2
62.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 22Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+53
62.6%
Will Karoll punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dylan Edwards at the KSU 35 Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Donovan McIntosh) to the KSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3136% → 41%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
64.3%
Johnson, Avery pass incomplete to Johnson, Keagan, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Edwards, Johnathan) 15 yards to the KANSASST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
63.1%
Keagan Johnson run for 8 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+10
62.4%
Dylan Edwards run for 10 yds to the TULN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
63.4%
Dylan Edwards run for 27 yds to the TULN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
62.1%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett OakleySimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
62.2%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the TULN 7Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-3
64.7%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 10Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
58.8%
Chris Tennant 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:0666% → 66%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
66.4%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Remetich) to the TULN 15Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+10
66.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
66.8%
Darian Mensah sacked by Austin Romaine for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 22Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
66.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
65.7%
Will Karoll punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dylan Edwards at the KSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:2337% → 57%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
63.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 12 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
61.4%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 40Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+3
64.9%
Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+12
66.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 12 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+45
43.1%
DJ Giddens 45 Yd pass from Avery Johnson (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:1253% → 80%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
52.5%
Mensah, Darian pass incomplete to Fleming, Dontae, dropped pass, PENALTY TULANE holding (Barnes III, Arnold) 10 yards to the TULANE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+4
49.0%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the TULN 38 Arnold Barnes III fumbled, recovered by TULN Arnold Barnes IIISimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 16
OWN 38
-5
49.8%
Tulane Penalty, Illegal Motion (Vincent Murphy) to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 21
OWN 33
0
49.1%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 21
OWN 33
+47
47.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 47 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
56.4%
Darian Mensah sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+9
56.6%
Ty Thompson run for 9 yds to the KSU 13Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
80.3%
Alex Bauman 13 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1926% → 60%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
74.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 33 yds to the TULN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
69.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 11 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
68.4%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
69.1%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+10
71.7%
DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
40.2%
Dylan Edwards 13 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:3152% → 29%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
52.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 22 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
56.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 6
50
+32
58.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 32 yds to the KSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
60.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 20Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-5
60.6%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Reggie Brown) to the KSU 25Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+60
29.0%
Jack Fabris 60 Yd Fumble Return (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3324% → 19%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
23.7%
Darian Mensah sacked by Austin Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 17Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+3
22.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+17
20.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 17 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
22.5%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
21.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 38Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
20.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
18.7%
Will Karoll punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3487% → 86%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
13.5%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 19Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
13.9%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 20Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+2
14.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 2 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
13.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 38 yds, downed at the TULN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23INT
12 plays · 45 yds · 2:5024% → 26%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
23.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 41Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+26
18.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 26 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
25.7%
Kansas State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (VJ Payne) to the KSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
27.7%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-10
24.9%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KSU 31Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+9
21.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+5
18.8%
Darian Mensah run for 5 yds to the KSU 17Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+16
16.2%
Darian Mensah run for 15 yds to the KSU 2 for a 1ST down Kansas State Penalty, Defensive Holding (1 Yards) to the KSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-14
35.0%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dontae Fleming) to the KSU 16Similar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 0
OPP 16
0
27.1%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 0
OPP 16
0
25.6%
Darian Mensah pass intercepted, touchback. VJ Payne return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:1290% → 91%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
9.7%
Kansas State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-10 Yards) to the KSU 10Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-1
8.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:13
Jack Fabris 60 Yd Fumble Return (Chris Tennant Kick)
-31.6
TD · Q4 11:20
Dylan Edwards 13 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
-31.5
TD · Q4 14:01
Alex Bauman 13 Yd pass from Darian Mensah (Jacob Barnes Kick)
+23.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com