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LIU

Long Island University 0 at TCU 45

TCU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadLIU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreLIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:41 · Will Lynch punt for 26 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+48.9Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q1 3:53: Kyle Lemmermann 44 yd FG MISSED — LIU win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:37: Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:25: Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:52: Cam Cook run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:45: Cam Cook run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK) — TCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:41LIU 4th & 7 at LIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35TCU 4th & 12 at LIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30LIU 4th & 2 at LIU 33, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:08LIU 4th & 2 at LIU 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:53TCU 4th & 11 at LIU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:44LIU 4th & 10 at LIU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:27LIU 4th & 10 at LIU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:27TCU 4th & 2 at LIU 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:18LIU 4th & 9 at LIU 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05LIU 4th & 2 at TCU 49, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:29LIU 4th & 8 at LIU 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:37TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 40, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:28TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 45, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:42LIU 4th & 8 at LIU 8, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00TCU 4th & 1 at LIU 33, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:10LIU 4th & 4 at TCU 38, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:01TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 12, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:42LIU 4th & 16 at LIU 40, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:45TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:37TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:25TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:52TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:45TCU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:29TCU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Luca Stanzani run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.2%
Luca Stanzani run for 1 yd to the LIU 28Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Will Lynch punt for 26 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0699% → 99%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 9 yds to the LIU 45Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+17
99.1%
Cam Cook run for 17 yds to the LIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.1%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the LIU 29Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+1
99.1%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the LIU 30Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
99.0%
Kyle Lemmermann 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · -14 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.0%
Luca Stanzani sacked by NaNa Osafo-Mensah for a loss of 9 yards to the LIU 16Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+16
99.0%
Luca Stanzani run for 16 yds to the LIU 32Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
98.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 1 yd to the LIU 33Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+22
98.9%
run for 22 yds to the LIU 11 fumbled, recovered by LIU Will LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.0%
Cam Cook run for 9 yds to the LIU 2Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
99.0%
Dominique Johnson run for 1 yd to the LIU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.0%
Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the LIU 1Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 6 yds to the LIU 31Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for 2 yds to the LIU 33Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+7
98.8%
Will Lynch punt for 37 yds , JP Richardson returns for 7 yds to the TCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
98.8%
Dominique Johnson run for 20 yds to the LIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
98.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 18 yds to the LIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
98.8%
Dominique Johnson run for 1 yd to the LIU 24Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
98.8%
Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the LIU 28Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+2
98.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Cam Cook for 2 yds to the LIU 26Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
98.6%
Kyle Lemmermann 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:091% → 2%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.7%
Ludovick Choquette run for 4 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
98.6%
Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+11
98.7%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Michael Love for 11 yds to the LIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the LIU 38Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
98.7%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+16
98.4%
Will Lynch punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 41 , Jack Bech returns for 16 yds to the TCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0798% → 99%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
98.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 7 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
98.3%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the LIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
98.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordyn Bailey for 18 yds to the LIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
98.4%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 9 yds to the LIU 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+15
98.4%
Savion Williams pass complete to JoJo Earle for 15 yds to the LIU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Michael Love for 5 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Ethan Greenwood run for no gain to the LIU 30Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
98.7%
(12:15) Shotgun Howell,Chris rush middle for 15 yards gain to the LIU45 (McIver Jr.,Jevon) PENALTY LIU Illegal Shift 5 yards from LIU30 to LIU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Will Lynch punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0299% → 99%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.8%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+26
98.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 26 yds to the LIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
98.9%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the LIU 40Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
98.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LIU 35Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
98.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Dominique Johnson for 2 yds to the LIU 33Similar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+6
98.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 6 yds to the LIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
98.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 15 yds to the LIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
98.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 10 yds to the LIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:071% → 1%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Michael Love for 3 yds to the LIU 28Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.0%
Luca Stanzani run for 2 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.0%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 7 yds to the LIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.0%
Nasir Hennigan run for 1 yd to the LIU 38Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+18
99.0%
Will Lynch punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 46 , Jack Bech returns for 18 yds to the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:2699% → 100%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.2%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
99.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for 9 yds to the LIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
99.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 17 yds to the LIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.2%
JoJo Earle run for 9 yds to the LIU 17Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
99.2%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+5
99.2%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the LIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Cam Cook run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ethan Greenwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Ludovick Choquette run for 7 yds to the LIU 32Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
99.8%
Nasir Hennigan run for 11 yds to the LIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Ethan Greenwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Ethan Greenwood run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 3
50
+1
99.8%
Nasir Hennigan run for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Will Lynch punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.8%
Dominique Johnson run for 6 yds to the TCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
99.7%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Cam rush left for 1 yard gain to the TCU22 (Merrell,Dylan) PENALTY TCU Holding (Taylor-Whitfield,Ben) 10 yards from TCU21 to TCU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+37
99.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 37 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.7%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+46
99.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 46 yds to the LIU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ludovick Choquette run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the LIU 30Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
99.8%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for a loss of 3 yards to the LIU 27Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Will Lynch punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 33 , JP Richardson returns for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.8%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,Trey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TCU37 (McCormick,Liam) PENALTY TCU Illegal Motion (McAlister,Eric) 5 yards from TCU33 to TCU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+11
99.8%
Trey Sanders run for 11 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Trey Sanders run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Ethan Craw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Michael Love at the LIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 18INT
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:370% → 0%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
99.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Cory Nichols for a loss of 1 yard to the LIU 14Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Chris Howell run for 6 yds to the LIU 20Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Cory Nichols for 10 yds to the LIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
(06:42) Shotgun Stanzani,Luca pass incomplete short left to Nichols,Cory thrown to LIU39 PENALTY TCU Holding (Canada,Channing) 10 yards from LIU30 to LIU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Chris Howell run for 4 yds to the LIU 44Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
99.8%
Ethan Greenwood run for 8 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
99.8%
Luca Stanzani pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 28 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.8%
Nasir Hennigan run for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Luca Stanzani pass intercepted Namdi Obiazor return for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 3 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass incomplete deep right to Nowell,Blake thrown to LIU30 broken up by Wyatt,Nate PENALTY LIU Holding (Wyatt,Nate) 10 yards from TCU31 to TCU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Ethan Craw punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Michael Love at the LIU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.9%
Pat Bowen run for 2 yds to the LIU 8Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Ethan Greenwood run for no gain to the LIU 8Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Luca Stanzani pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 8
OWN 8
+7
99.9%
Will Lynch punt for 41 yds , JP Richardson returns for 7 yds to the LIU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 1 yd to the LIU 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 4 yds to the LIU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 4 yds to the LIU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 3 yds to the LIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 3 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 5 yds to the LIU 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 3 yds to the LIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 9 yds to the LIU 10Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-8
99.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 10 yds TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (James Brockermeyer) to the LIU 18Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for 18 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:190% → 0%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Chris Howell run for 2 yds to the LIU 27Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Damarius Good run for 2 yds to the LIU 29Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Chris Howell pass complete to Cory Nichols for 8 yds to the LIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Damarius Good run for 4 yds to the LIU 41Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
(08:45) Shotgun Howell,Chris pass incomplete deep left to Nichols,Cory thrown to TCU35 PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Canada,Channing) 15 yards from LIU41 to TCU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Pat Bowen run for 4 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Chris Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Chris Howell run for 2 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Will Lynch punt for 31 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
99.9%
Nate Palmer run for 5 yds to the TCU 2Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 15
OWN 2
+3
100.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Braylon James for 3 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+7
99.9%
Ken Seals run for 7 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Ethan Craw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Michael Love at the LIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-8
100.0%
Chris Howell sacked by Zachary Chapman for a loss of 8 yards to the LIU 38Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 18
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Pat Bowen run for no gain to the LIU 38Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Chris Howell run for 2 yds to the LIU 40Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Will Lynch punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Joe Laterza at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · -15 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Braylon James for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Hunter Krepp for 10 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
100.0%
run for 16 yds to the TCU 27 fumbled, recovered by TCU Ken SealsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 26
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Ken Seals run for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 30
-15
100.0%
PENALTY TCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Harris,Quinton) 15 yards from TCU30 to TCU15. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:37
Josh Hoover pass complete to JoJo Earle for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 1:52
Cam Cook run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 7:25
Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com