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ACU

Abilene Christian 51 at Texas Tech 52

TTU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadACU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreACU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-27.4TTU 43.6%Ritse Vaes 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 45 - HOME 45 · Q4 0:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Ritse Vaes 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 179Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense−7.5Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Time remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:50: Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 35 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +11.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 4:55: Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK) — ACU win probability +36.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ACU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:39: Gino Garcia 31 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +19.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:05: Ritse Vaes 21 yd FG GOOD — ACU win probability +27.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: ACU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Caleb Douglas 14 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Reese Burkhardt Kick) — TTU win probability +14.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ACU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:12ACU 4th & 9 at ACU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:58TTU 4th & 5 at ACU 21, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:53ACU 4th & 11 at ACU 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:55TTU 4th & 13 at ACU 36, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:32TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:39TTU 4th & 1 at ACU 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:12ACU 4th & 1 at TTU 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:17TTU 4th & 2 at ACU 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:32TTU 4th & 15 at ACU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−11.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:39TTU 4th & 6 at ACU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−27.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:39ACU 4th & 4 at TTU 42, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%
    30% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−9.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:05ACU 4th & 1 at TTU 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−15.3
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−31.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ACU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:38TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:18TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:42ACU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:34TTU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:52ACU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:55TTU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:50ACU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:10ACU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:50TTU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:45ACU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:55ACU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ACUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the ACU 26Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.6%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.6%
Grant Nickel punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:2498% → 97%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
97.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
97.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
97.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
97.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the ACU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
97.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the ACU 36Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
97.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the ACU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
97.3%
MORTON, Behren pass up the middle incomplete intended for MILLER II, Johncarlos thrown to the ACU15, clock 11:35. PENALTY ACU Pass Interference on MOFFETT, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the ACU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the ACU 13Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-5
97.2%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 18Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+18
97.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 18 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:213% → 3%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
97.3%
Sam Hicks run for 5 yds to the ACU 14Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
97.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 3 yds to the ACU 17Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+9
97.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 9 yds to the ACU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-9
97.1%
Sam Hicks run for a loss of 9 yards to the ACU 17 Sam Hicks fumbled, recovered by TTU De'Braylon Carroll D. Carroll return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:1797% → 98%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
97.2%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 13 yds to the ACU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 4 yds for a TD (J. Conyers Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:123% → 4%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.3%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 3 yds to the ACU 23Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
97.3%
Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 18Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+4
97.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 4 yds to the ACU 22Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+19
97.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Hut Graham for 19 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
97.2%
Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the ACU 43Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
97.2%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 2 yds to the ACU 45Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+12
97.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Hut Graham for 12 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
97.0%
Nehemiah Martinez I run for 11 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
96.9%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 1 yd to the TTU 31Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+31
96.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 31 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0697% → 97%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
Behren Morton run for 3 yds to the TTU 28Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
96.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 9 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
96.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
96.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
96.4%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 6 yds to the ACU 35Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+35
97.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 35 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:404% → 5%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 15 yds to the ACU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
96.4%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 7 yds to the ACU 47Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-2
96.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ACU 45 Isaiah Johnson fumbled, recovered by ACU Hut Graham H. Graham return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
96.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 9 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
96.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 15 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.9%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
95.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 13 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.7%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
95.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 11 yds to the TTU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
96.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the TTU 2Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3596% → 96%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
95.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 2 yds to the ACU 24Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
95.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 4 yds to the ACU 20Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-1
95.5%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 21Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
95.8%
Gino Garcia 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:004% → 5%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 4 yds to the ACU 29Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
95.4%
(09:31) MCIVOR, Maverick pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CLEVELAND, Trey thrown to the TTU45, clock 09:28. PENALTY ACU Holding on YANTA, Tay enforced 10 yards from the ACU29 to the ACU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+12
95.6%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 12 yds to the ACU 31Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
95.4%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 6 yds to the ACU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.2%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 2 yds to the ACU 39Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-3
95.1%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the ACU 36Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
95.3%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
95.4%
Grant Nickel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Kelly at the TTU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:5195% → 97%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
95.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+7
95.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
95.5%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Josh Kelly) to the TTU 38Similar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+13
95.3%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the ACU 49Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+16
95.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the ACU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.4%
Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the ACU 28Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-8
95.7%
Behren Morton sacked by Luke Gambs for a loss of 8 yards to the ACU 36Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
95.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 13
OPP 36
+36
97.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 36 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:053% → 5%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Sam Hicks run for 3 yds to the ACU 28Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
96.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 1 yd to the ACU 29Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
95.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 71 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:1595% → 95%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 13 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
95.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-5
95.6%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+7
95.4%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 7 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-5
95.4%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 38Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
95.1%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
94.8%
Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds, fair catch by J.J. Henry at the ACU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:195% → 5%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
95.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 11 yds to the ACU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
95.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the ACU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14DOWNS
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:0995% → 94%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TTU 29Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
94.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 11 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.0%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 1 yd to the TTU 41Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+23
94.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 23 yds to the ACU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
94.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the ACU 33Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+7
94.7%
Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 7 yds to the ACU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
94.8%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 31Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+14
94.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 14 yds to the ACU 17Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+13
94.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the ACU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.7%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
94.7%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the ACU 1Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.4%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the ACU 1Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
94.1%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the ACU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 4:216% → 18%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+23
93.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Javon Gipson for 23 yds to the ACU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
93.6%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+36
93.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 36 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
92.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 3 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+13
91.4%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 13 yds to the TTU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
91.4%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 9 yds to the TTU 12Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OPP 12
-5
91.1%
Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TTU 17Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+13
91.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 13 yds to the TTU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
90.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the TTU 1Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.6%
BANKS JR., Rovaughn rush up the middle for no gain to the TTU1 (LEWIS, Chapman), clock 05:30. PENALTY TTU Offsides on HORN, Maurion enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the TTU1 to the TTU0 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.3%
Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
93.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 35 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:268% → 7%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
92.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 4 yds to the ACU 32Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
92.4%
Sam Hicks run for 5 yds to the ACU 37Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
92.6%
Sam Hicks run for 2 yds to the ACU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
92.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 12 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
91.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for a loss of 2 yards to the ACU 49Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+10
92.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 10 yds to the TTU 41Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
90.9%
Jordon Vaughn run for 1 yd to the TTU 40Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-2
93.0%
Sam Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4395% → 94%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
94.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
94.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the ACU 41Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
94.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the ACU 40Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+2
94.4%
Cameran Brown run for 2 yds to the ACU 38Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
93.9%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:327% → 20%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
92.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 21 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.9%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+15
92.4%
Texas Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
91.0%
Sam Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the TTU 30Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+30
79.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 30 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:0884% → 91%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+23
84.1%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 23 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
85.4%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
85.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the ACU 42Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+24
83.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 24 yds to the ACU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
85.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 5 yds to the ACU 13Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-10
85.5%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ACU 23Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 15
OPP 23
0
84.5%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
83.0%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
90.7%
Reese Burkhardt 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3711% → 51%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the ACU 27Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.3%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+23
89.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
86.7%
Sam Hicks run for 5 yds to the TTU 45Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+9
87.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 9 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
87.1%
Sam Hicks run for 4 yds to the TTU 32Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+27
85.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 27 yds to the TTU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:0865% → 87%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
64.8%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
67.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 21 yds to the ACU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
70.9%
Texas Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mason Tharp) to the ACU 40Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+15
65.9%
Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 15 yds to the ACU 25Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+8
67.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the ACU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
69.5%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 9 yds to the ACU 8Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
69.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-5
67.2%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Sheridan Wilson) to the ACU 13Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
67.3%
Behren Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
87.2%
Gino Garcia 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 23FG
16 plays · 71 yds · 2:3424% → 56%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.6%
Sam Hicks run for 4 yds to the ACU 29Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+23
77.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 23 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
69.4%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ACU 49Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+5
74.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 5 yds to the TTU 46Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+9
79.4%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 9 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+4
78.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 4 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
71.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 7 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
69.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 9 yds to the TTU 4Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
71.0%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
70.6%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+21
43.6%
Ritse Vaes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
65.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the ACU 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+9
65.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 9 yds to the ACU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
65.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the ACU 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-7
65.6%
Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for a loss of 7 yards to the ACU 14Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
79.8%
Caleb Douglas 14 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Reese Burkhardt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
87.3%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
88.7%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+11
92.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 11 yds to the TTU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
87.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the TTU 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
87.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 10 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.5%
Isaiah Johnson 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:55
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)
-36.3
FG · Q4 0:05
Ritse Vaes 21 yd FG GOOD
-27.4
FG · Q4 2:39
Gino Garcia 31 yd FG GOOD
+19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com