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UTM

UT Martin 6 at Kansas State 41

KSU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:36 · Simon McClannan punt for 43 yds, downed at the UTM 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+4.0Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+27.1Garbage-time factor+15.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.0Blowout margin+12.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:16: Jaren Van Winkle 34 yd FG GOOD — UTM win probability +0.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:21: Chris Tennant 43 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:29: Jaren Van Winkle 31 yd FG GOOD — UTM win probability +0.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:39: Chris Tennant 45 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:59: Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:19UTM 4th & 9 at UTM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:59KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:39UTM 4th & 3 at UTM 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:24UTM 4th & 18 at UTM 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:31UTM 4th & 11 at UTM 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:16UTM 4th & 6 at KSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:36KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:33UTM 4th & 14 at UTM 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:21KSU 4th & 5 at UTM 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:29UTM 4th & 12 at KSU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:39KSU 4th & 10 at UTM 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:59UTM 4th & 12 at UTM 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:02UTM 4th & 10 at UTM 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:25UTM 4th & 11 at UTM 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:56UTM 4th & 14 at UTM 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:41KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 46, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:36KSU 4th & 6 at UTM 45, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:30KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:59KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:29KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:19KSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:412% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.1%
Narkel LeFlore run for 2 yds to the UTM 27Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
98.0%
UT Martin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTM 22Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
98.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 4 yds to the UTM 26Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1498% → 98%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 4 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
97.9%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:172% → 3%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
97.8%
Kinkead Dent run for 4 yds to the UTM 12Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 12
-5
97.7%
(11:24) DENT, Kinkead pass to the right complete for 0 yards to SMITH, Patrick caught at the UTM10 and advanced to the UTM12 (PAYNE, VJ), clock 11:20. PENALTY Before the snap, UTM Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the UTM12 to the UTM7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
97.7%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the UTM 9Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+6
97.6%
Kinkead Dent run for 6 yds to the UTM 15Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
97.5%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 65 yds, downed at the KSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5998% → 98%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.5%
Jadon Jackson run for 9 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
97.3%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 5 yds to the KSU 37Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+32
97.3%
DJ Giddens run for 32 yds to the UTM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
97.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 8 yds to the UTM 23Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+23
97.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 23 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5PUNT TD
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:063% → 2%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Narkel LeFlore run for no gain to the UTM 25Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.2%
Trevonte Rucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 24Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
97.2%
Kinkead Dent sacked by Brendan Mott and Tobi Osunsanmi for a loss of 7 yards to the UTM 17Similar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+1
97.6%
Colby McCalister 1 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:532% → 3%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Narkel LeFlore run for no gain to the UTM 25Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Narkel LeFlore run for no gain to the UTM 25Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.5%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 22 yds to the UTM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
97.4%
DeVonte Tanksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 46Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7INT
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:3098% → 98%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
97.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 7 yds to the KSU 23Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+11
97.5%
DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
97.5%
Dylan Edwards run for 9 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
97.5%
Dylan Edwards run for 2 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
97.5%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the UTM 49Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+16
97.4%
Avery Johnson run for 16 yds to the UTM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
97.5%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Chris Hunter Jr. return for 15 yds to the UTM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 8FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:273% → 4%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
97.1%
Narkel LeFlore run for 11 yds to the UTM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-12
97.0%
Kinkead Dent sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UTM 32 Kinkead Dent fumbled, recovered by UTM , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 22
OWN 32
+3
97.0%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the UTM 35Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+45
97.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 45 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
96.6%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the KSU 15Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-10
96.5%
(09:12) WONDEH, Asa rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU17 (GARBER, Keenan;SIGLE, Marques), clock 09:07. PENALTY UTM Holding on DOWLING, Max enforced 10 yards from the KSU15 to the KSU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+4
96.7%
Kinkead Dent run for 4 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+5
96.8%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Max Dowling for 5 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
96.1%
Jaren Van Winkle 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3796% → 96%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
96.3%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 26Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
96.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the KSU 32Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Simon McClannan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:574% → 4%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.0%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the UTM 39Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-4
95.8%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 35Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-5
96.3%
Kinkead Dent sacked by Tobi Osunsanmi for a loss of 5 yards to the UTM 30Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 35 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for no gain to the KSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:0296% → 97%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.0%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KSU 42Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
96.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 6 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
96.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 22 yds to the UTM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
96.3%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the UTM 26Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
96.2%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+1
96.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 1 yd to the UTM 25Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
96.8%
Chris Tennant 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.6%
Narkel LeFlore run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13FG
11 plays · 20 yds · 5:185% → 5%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
95.4%
Narkel LeFlore run for 7 yds to the KSU 26Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
95.2%
Narkel LeFlore run for 2 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
95.4%
Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the KSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
95.1%
Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the KSU 20Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
95.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Rashad Raymond for 3 yds to the KSU 17Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+6
95.2%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 6 yds to the KSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
94.8%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the KSU 10Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-3
95.2%
Kinkead Dent run for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 13Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
95.6%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+31
94.8%
Jaren Van Winkle 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:4895% → 96%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
95.0%
Avery Johnson run for 17 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
95.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+9
95.2%
DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the UTM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
95.2%
DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 44Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+17
95.1%
Dylan Edwards run for 17 yds to the UTM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for no gain to the UTM 27Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
94.7%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
96.4%
Chris Tennant 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:405% → 4%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.4%
UT Martin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kinkead Dent) to the UTM 30Similar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
95.7%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+1
95.7%
Narkel LeFlore run for 1 yd to the UTM 31Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+2
96.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Narkel LeFlore for 2 yds to the UTM 33Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+10
96.2%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 48 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 10 yds to the KSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:4697% → 99%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
96.6%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 38Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
97.1%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
97.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 14 yds to the UTM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
97.4%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 44 yds to the UTM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the UTM 25Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:3099% → 100%
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+48
99.2%
DJ Giddens run for 48 yds to the UTM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:030% → 0%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Glover Cook III run for 4 yds to the UTM 29Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Glover Cook III run for 8 yds to the UTM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
99.9%
Glover Cook III run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTM 34Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Glover Cook III run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 32Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 4 yds to the UTM 36Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+10
100.0%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 39 yds , Sterling Lockett returns for 10 yds to the KSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 34Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the KSU 37Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Jacob Knuth run for 10 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+32
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 32 yds to the UTM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
99.9%
Jacob Knuth pass complete to Andre Davis for 9 yds to the UTM 12Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
La'James White run for 12 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the UTM 27Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Asa Wondeh run for 3 yds to the UTM 30Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-9
100.0%
Kaiya Sheron sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UTM 21 Kaiya Sheron fumbled, recovered by UTM Kaiya Sheron , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Joe Jackson run for 6 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Joe Jackson run for no gain to the UTM 49Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 4 yds to the UTM 45Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Ta'Quan Roberson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Simon McClannan punt for 43 yds, downed at the UTM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the UTM 2Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+6
100.0%
Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the UTM 8Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+5
100.0%
Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Airius Trice for 5 yds to the UTM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
100.0%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the UTM 14Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Airius Trice for 2 yds to the UTM 16Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+7
100.0%
Kaiya Sheron run for 7 yds to the UTM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:59
Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+1.8
FG · Q3 5:39
Chris Tennant 45 yd FG GOOD
+1.7
FG · Q2 0:21
Chris Tennant 43 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com