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UNM

New Mexico 39 at Arizona 61

ARIZ
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.7ARIZ 91.6%Luke Drzewiecki 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 17 · Q2 9:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:17 · Luke Drzewiecki 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+38.4Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:51: Devon Dampier 13 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +4.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:21: Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 78 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +4.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:26: Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 40 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:02: Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +4.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:13: Quali Conley run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:59UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:08ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:16UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:16ARIZ 4th & 8 at UNM 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:17UNM 4th & 3 at ARIZ 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:30ARIZ 4th & 15 at UNM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:00UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:07UNM 4th & 16 at ARIZ 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:18ARIZ 4th & 1 at UNM 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:51UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:00UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 42, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:45ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:23UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:06ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:58UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:51UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:21ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:40ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:26ARIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:02UNM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:13ARIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:18ARIZ Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:44UNM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 2:24ARIZ Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:553% → 3%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
97.2%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 25Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.2%
Arizona Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
97.1%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 54 yds, downed at the ARIZ 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
3 plays · 98 yds · 1:0197% → 97%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
97.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
96.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 18 yds to the ARIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
97.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 69 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 4:143% → 4%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.9%
Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 24Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+31
96.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 31 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.8%
Devon Dampier run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
96.7%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
96.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 1 yd to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-15
96.5%
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Wallace Unamba) to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 20
OPP 43
+31
96.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 31 yds to the ARIZ 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
96.4%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 11Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-5
96.4%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the ARIZ 16Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+16
95.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 16 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:0096% → 96%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 8 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
96.1%
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Jayden Wilson) to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
96.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 27 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
95.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 8 yds to the UNM 17Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
96.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:444% → 6%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the UNM 27Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
96.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
95.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 22 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
95.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 13 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
95.4%
Devon Dampier run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
95.3%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 12Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+6
95.2%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 6Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
94.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Naquari Rogers for 6 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3695% → 94%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
94.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 22Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 14
OWN 22
0
94.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+24
94.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 24 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
94.6%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.5%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
94.2%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+2
94.1%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 48 yds , Javen Jacobs returns for 2 yds to the UNM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:396% → 6%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
93.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
93.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
93.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 4
OWN 13
-5
93.9%
New Mexico Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the UNM 8Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 9
OWN 8
+8
93.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 38 yds , Jack Luttrell returns for 8 yds to the UNM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5394% → 94%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 36Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
94.1%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Jacory Croskey-MerrittSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
94.0%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillanSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+54
94.0%
Tyler Loop 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:576% → 8%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Javen JacobsSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 15 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
93.5%
Javen Jacobs run for 32 yds to the ARIZ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
92.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 8 yds to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+14
92.7%
Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
92.5%
Naquari Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 7Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
92.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 4 yds to the ARIZ 3Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.4%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
91.6%
Luke Drzewiecki 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1992% → 92%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 5 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
92.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
92.2%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
92.4%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted Christian Ellis return for no gain to the UNM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:2210% → 15%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 5 yds to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+11
89.5%
Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
89.1%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
88.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Shawn MillerSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+12
89.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the ARIZ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
88.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 8 yds to the ARIZ 13Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
83.7%
Devon Dampier 13 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the UNM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:2085% → 90%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.4%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
85.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+78
90.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 78 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4911% → 11%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.2%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 26Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.7%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Genesis Smith return for no gain to the UNM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:5291% → 90%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
91.1%
Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.7%
New Mexico Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+7
91.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
91.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 9 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
90.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+16
90.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 16 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
90.7%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the UNM 21Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-2
90.5%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 23Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
89.7%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 10
OPP 23
-5
88.9%
Arizona Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the UNM 28Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+46
89.5%
Tyler Loop 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.5%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0490% → 94%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
90.4%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
90.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+51
93.5%
Quali Conley run for 51 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:537% → 7%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.3%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
93.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 14 yds to the UNM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-12
92.8%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Treydan Stukes return for 12 yds to the UNM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
96.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 40 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:174% → 9%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.5%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
96.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 11 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
96.0%
Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Manu) to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
96.1%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
95.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
95.5%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
95.4%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 15Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
95.4%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
95.4%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 7Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.8%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:2293% → 98%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
92.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 26 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
93.3%
Rayshon Luke run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 48 Rayshon Luke fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Rayshon LukeSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+6
93.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+10
92.8%
Noah Fifita run for 10 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
93.3%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
93.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+31
92.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 31 yds to the UNM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:593% → 3%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.9%
Arizona Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chubba Ma'ae) to the UNM 30Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 30Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
97.0%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the UNM 25Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Rex Haynes returns for 7 yds to the ARIZ 42 Rex Haynes fumbled, recovered by UNM Hyrum HatchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:453% → 3%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
96.7%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 41Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
96.7%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 6
OPP 38
-10
96.9%
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wallace Unamba) to the ARIZ 48Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
97.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, downed at the ARIZ 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:4498% → 99%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
97.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 16 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the ARIZ 30Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Malachi Riley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+19
98.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 19 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.1%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
98.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
98.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the UNM 28 Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNM 38Similar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 16
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+15
98.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 15 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
98.2%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillanSimilar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+23
99.4%
Quali Conley run for 23 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:341% → 2%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 25Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.5%
Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isaiah Johnson) to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 6 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
99.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 3 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.4%
Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
99.5%
Devon Dampier run for 26 yds to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.5%
Javen Jacobs run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+9
99.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the ARIZ 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
99.4%
Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tacario Davis) to the ARIZ 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.5%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 4Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 0
OPP 4
-5
99.4%
New Mexico Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 9Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.5%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 9 yds for a TD (Devon Dampier pass to Eli Sanders for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:1098% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
98.5%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the UNM 39Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
98.6%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.6%
Naquari Rogers run for 11 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters for 1 yd to the UNM 38Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+4
99.6%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+7
99.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 7 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:21
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 78 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q2 4:51
Devon Dampier 13 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)
-4.6
TD · Q3 8:02
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com