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JKST

Jackson State 14 at UL Monroe 30

ULM
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadJKST aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreJKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by K.Paul for 21 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at ULM 23.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:01: J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by J.Fortilien for 41 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — JKST win probability +7.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — ULM win probability +8.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:49: J.Morgan rushed for 3 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — JKST win probability +14.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q3 11:36: G.Booty steps back to pass. Sacked at ULM 2 for -13 yards (B.Washington; A.Taylor). PENALTY on ULM-G.Booty, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted. — ULM win probability +7.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:40: J.Jones rushed for 22 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — ULM win probability +17.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7JKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:15ULM 4th & 13 at JKST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33JKST 4th & 7 at JKST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:15JKST 4th & 6 at JKST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:11ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:02ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:00ULM 4th & 1 at JKST 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−2.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−7.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:29ULM 4th & 4 at JKST 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−2.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:14JKST 4th & 16 at JKST 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−3.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:55ULM 4th & 4 at JKST 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00JKST 4th & 8 at JKST 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:25ULM 4th & 8 at JKST 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−9.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:54JKST 4th & 10 at JKST 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:36JKST 4th & 1 at JKST 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3JKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:41ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:01JKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:17ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:49JKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:40ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:4567% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
66.7%
A.Hardy rushed for 39 yards. Tackled by D.Bright at JST 36.Similar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
66.7%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by D.Wells for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Taylor at JST 29.Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-2
66.8%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by D.Wells for -2 yards. Tackled by JST at JST 31.Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-8
66.7%
G.Booty steps back to pass. Sacked at JST 39 for -8 yards (E.Guthrie).Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+33
66.4%
M.Ryan punts 33 yards to JST 6, Center-N.Wilson. Downed by N.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:3034% → 34%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
66.5%
T.Terrell rushed for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by W.Williams at JST 7.Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+4
66.4%
J.Morgan rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Pullen at JST 11.Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+7
66.4%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by F.McCray for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Randle at JST 18.Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
66.2%
J.Morgan rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Glass at JST 18.Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
66.2%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by M.Landy for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Hopkins at JST 25.Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
66.2%
PENALTY on JST-D.Townes-Blue, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+1
66.3%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by R.Powers for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Vigers at JST 21.Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+57
66.3%
M.Noll punts 57 yards to ULM 22, Center-A.Salerno. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:4466% → 70%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+5
65.9%
A.Hardy rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Bright at ULM 22.Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
65.8%
A.Hardy rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by E.Guthrie at ULM 31.Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+7
65.8%
A.Hardy rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Guthrie at ULM 38.Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
66.0%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by J.Godfrey for 8 yards. Tackled by JST at ULM 46.Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
66.4%
T.Curry rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by JST at ULM 47.Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+10
66.1%
A.Hardy rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by C.Smith at JST 43. PENALTY on JST-JST, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
66.5%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by J.Campbell for 31 yards. Tackled by JST at JST 12.Similar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
66.8%
G.Booty rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Ward at JST 10.Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-1
66.8%
A.Hardy rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Bright at JST 11.Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
70.3%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by D.Wells for 11 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:2031% → 30%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.0%
A.Miller rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at JST 29.Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
68.9%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by M.Landy for 15 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at JST 44.Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
68.5%
A.Miller rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by D.Knudsen at JST 42.Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+4
69.1%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by R.Powers for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Fauntroy at JST 46.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+2
69.2%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by T.Terrell for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Vigers at JST 48.Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+46
69.7%
M.Noll punts 46 yards to ULM 6, Center-A.Salerno. Downed by A.Edmonds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:5270% → 69%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
70.0%
J.Jones rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at ULM 8. PENALTY on ULM-ULM, False Start, 4 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 12
OWN 4
0
70.1%
J.Jones rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Taylor at ULM 4.Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 12
OWN 4
0
69.7%
PENALTY on ULM-N.Sullivan, False Start, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 14
OWN 2
+5
69.7%
T.Curry rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Taylor at ULM 7.Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 9
OWN 7
+34
69.3%
M.Ryan punts 34 yards to ULM 41, Center-N.Wilson. Downed by N.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 6TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
61.6%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by J.Fortilien for 41 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:4165% → 64%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
64.8%
J.Jones rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Brown at ULM 29.Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+10
64.7%
J.Jones rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Bright at ULM 39.Similar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.5%
J.Jones rushed for yards. Tackled by E.Guthrie at JST 38. PENALTY on ULM-ULM, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+6
64.5%
J.Jones rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Nobles at ULM 40.Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
65.4%
J.Jones rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by P.Webb at ULM 46.Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-1
65.5%
G.Booty scrambles for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Ward at ULM 45.Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+40
64.2%
M.Ryan punts 40 yards to JST 15, Center-N.Wilson. Fair catch by D.Bright.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 8INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:4039% → 38%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
61.5%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by T.Terrell for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Fauntroy at JST 31.Similar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
60.9%
T.Terrell rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by K.Wells at JST 28.Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+3
61.3%
T.Terrell rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Hopkins at JST 31.Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
61.8%
J.Morgan pass INTERCEPTED at JST 42. Intercepted by W.Williams at JST 42.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:5067% → 75%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
66.5%
G.Booty scrambles for yards. Tackled by JST at JST 42. PENALTY on JST-T.Wells, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.0%
PENALTY on ULM-A.Hardy, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+12
66.4%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by J.Campbell for 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Smith at JST 20.Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
67.0%
A.Hardy rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Petty at JST 14.Similar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
67.0%
A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Walker at JST 13.Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
66.7%
G.Booty steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Griffin.Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+8
65.8%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by T.Curry for 8 yards. Tackled by P.Webb at JST 5.Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
64.4%
A.Hardy rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Guthrie at JST 3.Similar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
66.9%
H.Herring rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Smith at JST 2.Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.9%
A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Smith at JST 1.Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.4%
A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1127% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.9%
T.Terrell rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Hopkins at JST 33.Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
71.4%
T.Terrell rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Pullen at JST 35.Similar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
72.6%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by T.Terrell for 14 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at JST 49.Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
71.0%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by M.Landy for 27 yards. Tackled by C.Glass at ULM 24.Similar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
68.8%
A.Miller rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by C.Fauntroy at ULM 11.Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
69.0%
A.Miller rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Ware at ULM 3.Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
54.5%
J.Morgan rushed for 3 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:5662% → 81%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-13
61.8%
G.Booty steps back to pass. Sacked at ULM 2 for -13 yards (B.Washington; A.Taylor). PENALTY on ULM-G.Booty, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 23
OWN 2
+6
61.5%
A.Hardy rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by R.McDaniel at ULM 8.Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+3
60.1%
T.Curry rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Thompson at ULM 11. PENALTY on JST-P.Webb, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+31
62.2%
G.Booty rushed for 31 yards. G.Booty ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
65.7%
A.Hardy rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by R.McDaniel at JST 38.Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
65.8%
A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Pulliam at JST 37.Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
65.2%
G.Booty steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+15
63.5%
T.Curry rushed for 15 yards. Tackled by T.Wells at JST 22.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
80.8%
J.Jones rushed for 22 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 12BLOCKED PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:1826% → 23%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.5%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by M.Landy for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Randle at JST 27.Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
74.3%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by T.Terrell for 5 yards. Tackled by S.Langston at JST 32.Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
74.7%
A.Miller rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Knudsen at JST 36.Similar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
73.7%
A.Miller rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by C.Vigers at JST 49.Similar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.1%
J.Morgan steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for F.McCray.Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
73.6%
C.McCoy pass complete. Catch made by T.Terrell for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Randle at JST 48.Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
75.1%
J.Morgan steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Fortilien.Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
76.9%
PENALTY on JST-M.Noll, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
77.4%
JST punts yards to ULM 45, Center-A.Salerno. B.Drillette blocked the kick. Fumble RECOVERED by JST-A.Edmonds at ULM 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1081% → 81%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
80.9%
A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Pulliam at ULM 46.Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
80.9%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by N.Sullivan for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Taylor at JST 47.Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-2
80.8%
A.Hardy rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by R.Pulliam at JST 49.Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+41
80.5%
M.Ryan punts 41 yards to JST 8, Center-N.Wilson. Fair catch by T.Terrell.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4823% → 20%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
76.7%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by R.Powers for -2 yards. Tackled by C.Vigers at JST 6.Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+6
78.4%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by R.Powers for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Vigers at JST 12.Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
79.7%
PENALTY on JST-J.Morgan, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+3
80.1%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by K.Paul for 3 yards. Tackled by ULM at JST 10.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+51
80.5%
M.Noll punts 51 yards to ULM 39, Center-A.Salerno. Fair catch by D.Wells.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:2985% → 87%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
85.3%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by D.Wells for 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by R.Pulliam at ULM 49.Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.1%
J.Jones rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Pulliam at JST 47.Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
86.6%
G.Booty pass complete. Catch made by J.Campbell for 12 yards. Tackled by K.Wiggins at JST 35.Similar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
87.4%
A.Hardy rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by B.Washington at JST 28.Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+5
87.6%
PENALTY on JST-R.McDaniel, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
87.7%
G.Booty steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Godfrey.Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
87.7%
G.Booty scrambles for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Walker at JST 23.Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+7
86.9%
G.Booty rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at JST 16.Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 3
OPP 16
0
86.3%
PENALTY on ULM-M.Larson, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
86.5%
M.Larson 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-N.Wilson, Holder-S.Gorski.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2212% → 9%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
88.5%
A.Miller rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Wells at JST 23.Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-9
89.4%
J.Morgan steps back to pass. Sacked at JST 14 for -9 yards (W.Williams; K.Wells). PENALTY on JST-J.Morgan, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+7
90.2%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by A.Miller for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Glass at JST 21.Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+48
90.7%
M.Noll punts 48 yards to ULM 31, Center-A.Salerno. D.Wells returned punt from the ULM 31. Pushed out of bounds by J.Brown at ULM 42.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:488% → 8%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
92.0%
J.Morgan steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for F.McCray.Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
92.0%
T.Terrell rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Anderson at JST 16.Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+11
92.7%
J.Morgan scrambles for 11 yards. Tackled by S.Langston at JST 27.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
91.8%
J.Morgan rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Howell at JST 30.Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-1
91.3%
JST rushed for -1 yards. JST FUMBLES, forced by ULM. Fumble RECOVERED by JST-A.Miller at JST 29. Tackled by ULM at JST 36.Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
91.1%
A.Miller rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Langston at JST 36.Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 1
OWN 36
-3
92.4%
A.Miller rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by T.Randle at JST 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:5494% → 98%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
94.4%
A.Hardy rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Nobles at JST 30.Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
94.8%
A.Hardy rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Taylor at JST 28.Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+28
97.9%
A.Armenta pass complete. Catch made by J.Campbell for 28 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 19END OF GAME
13 plays · 54 yds · 2:033% → 3%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
97.2%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by J.Fortilien for 10 yards. J.Fortilien ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
97.0%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by A.Miller for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Hopkins at JST 39.Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+12
97.0%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by A.Miller for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Hopkins at ULM 49.Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
97.1%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by F.McCray for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Vigers at ULM 43.Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
96.8%
J.Morgan steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Terrell.Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+9
97.1%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by T.Terrell for 9 yards. T.Terrell FUMBLES, forced by C.Glass. Fumble RECOVERED by JST-E.Henry at ULM 34.Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
96.6%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by F.McCray for 9 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at ULM 25.Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-9
96.3%
J.Morgan steps back to pass. Sacked at ULM 34 for -9 yards (B.Pullen).Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
97.0%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by A.Miller for 5 yards. Tackled by ULM at ULM 29. PENALTY on JST-JST, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+21
97.4%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by K.Paul for 21 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at ULM 23.Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+21
97.4%
J.Morgan pass complete. Catch made by K.Paul for 21 yards. Tackled by W.Williams at ULM 23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:40
J.Jones rushed for 22 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+17.4
TD · Q3 11:49
J.Morgan rushed for 3 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-14.5
TD · Q2 0:17
A.Hardy rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com