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FAMU

Florida A&M 12 at Troy 34

TROY
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Tucker Kilcrease run for 16 yds to the FAMU 15 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense+32.8Score differential+24.5Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:46: Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 20 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK) — TROY win probability +4.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:05: Cameron Gillis 31 yd FG GOOD — FAMU win probability +3.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 10:57: Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 44 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK) — TROY win probability +5.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:29: Cameron Gillis 43 yd FG GOOD — FAMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:16: Goose Crowder pass complete to Damien Taylor for 7 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe PAT MISSED) — TROY win probability +5.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FAMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 10:06FAMU 4th & 1 at FAMU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:34FAMU 4th & 9 at TROY 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:14TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11FAMU 4th & 4 at TROY 5, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:38TROY 4th & 1 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:34FAMU 4th & 4 at TROY 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:04TROY 4th & 13 at TROY 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:23FAMU 4th & 5 at FAMU 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:23FAMU 4th & 5 at FAMU 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:40TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:06FAMU 4th & 2 at FAMU 19, down 1
    Close callPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:55FAMU 4th & 4 at FAMU 31, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:29FAMU 4th & 11 at TROY 26, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:49FAMU 4th & 26 at midfield, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00TROY 4th & 7 at FAMU 31, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00FAMU 4th & 15 at TROY 21, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:22TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:46TROY Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:57TROY Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:16TROY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3192% → 92%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.1%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
92.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 2 yds to the TROY 38 Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TROY 28Similar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 18
OWN 28
0
91.9%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 18
OWN 28
0
91.9%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Crowder,Goose rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY29 (Jenkins,Nay'Ron; Smith,Allen) PENALTY FAMU Horse Collar Tackle offsetting TROY Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+9
91.5%
Damien Taylor run for 9 yds to the TROY 37Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+23
91.4%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Landon Parker for 23 yds to the FAMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
91.9%
Damien Taylor run for 40 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:418% → 10%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.7%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAMU 37Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
91.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 6 yds to the FAMU 43Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
91.5%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAMU 44Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+18
91.3%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 18 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+25
91.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 25 yds to the TROY 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
90.9%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 1 yd to the TROY 12Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
90.7%
run for no gain to the TROY 12 fumbled, recovered by FAMU Daniel RichardsonSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
90.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
90.4%
Cameron Gillis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:0190% → 90%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
90.3%
Mojo Dortch run for 15 yds to the TROY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.2%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
90.1%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+4
89.9%
Goose Crowder run for 4 yds to the TROY 36Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Robert Cole punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamari Gassett at the FAMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:5510% → 12%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
89.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jaylen Ward for 12 yds to the FAMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
89.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jaylen Ward for 28 yds to the TROY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
88.9%
Kelvin Dean run for 2 yds to the TROY 26Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+15
88.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Quan Lee for 15 yds to the TROY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
88.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kelvin Dean for 1 yd to the TROY 10Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+4
88.1%
Kelvin Dean run for 4 yds to the TROY 6Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+1
88.2%
Kelvin Dean run for 1 yd to the TROY 5Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
88.0%
Cameron Gillis 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:2588% → 88%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
88.3%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the TROY 33Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+8
88.5%
Damien Taylor run for 8 yds to the TROY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
88.4%
Goose Crowder pass complete to DJ Epps for 5 yds to the TROY 46Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
88.2%
Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 49Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
87.9%
Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 1
50
0
88.1%
Damien Taylor run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5413% → 14%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
50
0
86.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
50
0
86.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 10
50
+13
86.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Quan Lee for 13 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
86.2%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 4 yds to the TROY 33Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
85.6%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 5 yds to the TROY 28Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
85.8%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the TROY 31Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+3
86.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kelvin Dean for 3 yds to the TROY 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1587% → 86%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
87.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds to the TROY 32Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
87.0%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+9
86.7%
Goose Crowder run for 9 yds to the TROY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.2%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
86.9%
Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 44Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-6
86.8%
Goose Crowder sacked by Nay'Ron Jenkins for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 38Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
86.0%
Robert Cole punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:0515% → 17%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
84.9%
Kelvin Dean run for 4 yds to the FAMU 45Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
84.4%
Kelvin Dean run for 1 yd to the FAMU 46Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
84.3%
Florida A&M Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+5
85.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
85.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 0
OPP 49
0
84.7%
Kelvin Dean run for no gain to the TROY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
83.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 6 yds to the TROY 43Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
82.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
83.1%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Peyton Higgins at the TROY 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:0885% → 84%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
85.4%
Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 14Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+9
85.2%
Damien Taylor run for 9 yds to the TROY 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.1%
Damien Taylor run for no gain to the TROY 23Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
84.5%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Brody Dalton for 8 yds to the TROY 31Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+11
84.3%
Gerald Green run for 11 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
84.9%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 2 yds to the TROY 44Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
85.0%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
84.1%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
83.5%
Robert Cole punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamari Gassett at the FAMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2717% → 16%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
83.2%
(01:39) No Huddle Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete short right thrown to FAMU30 QB hurried by Cutts,Raymond PENALTY FAMU Chop Block (Summersett,Levontai) 5 yards from FAMU11 to FAMU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 15
OWN 6
0
83.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+6
83.6%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 6 yds to the FAMU 12Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+7
83.7%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 7 yds to the FAMU 19Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+18
83.9%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAMU 40 , Devonte Ross returns for 18 yds to the FAMU 37 Florida A&M Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the FAMU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:1585% → 90%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
84.7%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Crowder,Goose sacked for loss of 7 yards to the FAMU47 (Ash,James) PENALTY FAMU Offside (Hunter,Khalil) 5 yards from FAMU40 to FAMU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+15
85.2%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 15 yds to the FAMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
89.9%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 20 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 0:3611% → 17%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 6 yds to the FAMU 31Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
88.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Quan Lee for 5 yds to the FAMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+48
88.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 48 yds to the TROY 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
86.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 2 yds to the TROY 14Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+31
82.7%
Cameron Gillis 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5916% → 16%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.1%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 5 yds to the FAMU 30Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
83.4%
Daniel Richardson run for 2 yds to the FAMU 32Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
83.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Thad Franklin Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 31Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
84.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:5185% → 92%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
84.7%
Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 30Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
84.4%
Damien Taylor run for 10 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
85.2%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 11 yds to the FAMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
85.6%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Crowder,Goose pass incomplete deep right to Beason,Zeriah thrown to FAMU27 PENALTY FAMU Pass Interference (Bohler,Kendall) 15 yards from FAMU49 to FAMU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
86.1%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Gerald rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FAMU28 (Collier Jr.,Corey) PENALTY TROY Holding (Hudson,Zerian) 10 yards from FAMU34 to FAMU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+44
92.1%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 44 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 15FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 5:1610% → 11%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
90.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 18 yds to the FAMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 3 yds to the FAMU 38Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+14
90.2%
Daniel Richardson run for 4 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST down Troy Penalty, Defensive Holding (Trent Henry) to the TROY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
89.6%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete short middle to Summersett,Levontai thrown to TROY48 PENALTY FAMU Holding (Philippe,Elijah) 10 yards from TROY48 to FAMU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+1
90.5%
Levontai Summersett run for 1 yd to the FAMU 41Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 21
OWN 41
0
90.7%
Florida A&M Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 21
OWN 41
-5
91.0%
PENALTY FAMU False Start 5 yards from FAMU41 to FAMU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 26
OWN 36
+24
91.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 24 yds to the TROY 40Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+15
90.1%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete deep left to Gassett,Jamari thrown to TROY10 PENALTY TROY Face Mask (Henry,Trent) 15 yards from TROY40 to TROY25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
88.7%
Kelvin Dean run for 9 yds to the TROY 16Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-3
89.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jaylen Ward for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 19Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-5
89.9%
PENALTY FAMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TROY19 to TROY24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+3
90.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 3 yds to the TROY 21Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 6
OPP 21
-5
90.6%
PENALTY FAMU False Start (Philippe,Elijah) 5 yards from TROY21 to TROY26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
88.6%
Cameron Gillis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0489% → 96%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.8%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
89.5%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Gerald Green for 10 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
90.0%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 6
50
+1
90.0%
Devonte Ross run for 1 yd to the TROY 49Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+13
89.6%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 13 yds to the FAMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
90.4%
Goose Crowder run for 2 yds to the FAMU 36Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+15
90.3%
PENALTY FAMU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Horne,Aric) 15 yards from FAMU36 to FAMU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
90.5%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Crowder,Goose pass incomplete deep middle to Green,Gerald thrown to FAMU00 PENALTY TROY Holding (Henry,Matt) 10 yards from FAMU21 to FAMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+4
90.4%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the FAMU 27Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+11
90.2%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 11 yds to the FAMU 16Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-10
89.8%
Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FAMU 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+10
89.8%
Goose Crowder run for 10 yds to the FAMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
90.4%
Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the FAMU 7Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.1%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Damien Taylor for 7 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17PUNT
16 plays · 25 yds · 13:165% → 1%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.6%
Jamari Gassett run for 5 yds to the FAMU 30Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
94.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
94.4%
PENALTY TROY UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Medina,Luis) 15 yards from FAMU30 to FAMU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-9
94.2%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the FAMU 36Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 19
OWN 36
+30
94.9%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass complete short middle to Gross,Koby caught at FAMU50, for 20 yards to the TROY44 (Henry,Trent; Peterson,Julian) PENALTY TROY Roughing The Passer (Kaba,Cheick) FAMU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Grable,Ashton) 30 yards from FAMU36 to FAMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
94.5%
PENALTY FAMU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Grable,Ashton) 15 yards from TROY29 to TROY44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.1%
Kelvin Dean run for 1 yd to the TROY 43Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
99.1%
Kelvin Dean run for 1 yd to the TROY 44Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+10
99.1%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel sacked for loss of 7 yards to the FAMU49 (Shaw,Eric) PENALTY TROY Holding (Powell,Cecil) 10 yards from TROY44 to TROY34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.4%
Kelvin Dean run for 1 yd to the TROY 35Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-10
99.5%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass complete short left to Gassett,Jamari caught at TROY28, for 11 yards to the TROY24 (Lafayette,Devin) PENALTY FAMU Holding (Goss,Jalen) 10 yards from TROY35 to TROY45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 21
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 21
OPP 45
-5
99.5%
PENALTY FAMU False Start (Sanders,Jameel) 5 yards from TROY45 to TROY50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 26
50
0
99.5%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18TD
3 plays · 98 yds · 8:1199% → 100%
Q4 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+98
99.0%
Devonte Ross 98 Yd pass from Goose Crowder (Scott Taylor Renfroe Kick)Similar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.5%
Damien Taylor run for no gain to the TROY 2Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
99.5%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.6%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds to the TROY 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+13
99.6%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+16
99.6%
Damien Taylor run for 16 yds to the FAMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.6%
Tae Meadows run for 1 yd to the FAMU 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+5
99.6%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 5 yds to the FAMU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+1
99.6%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 1 yd to the FAMU 31Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+16
99.5%
Tucker Kilcrease run for 16 yds to the FAMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Koby Gross for 4 yds to the FAMU 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Levontai Summersett for 7 yds to the FAMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Levontai Summersett for 1 yd to the FAMU 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+28
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Ace Cobb for 28 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass complete short right to Summersett,Levontai caught at TROY40, for 5 yards to the TROY30 (Powe,Justin) PENALTY TROY Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TROY35 to TROY30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+14
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Marquez Bell for 14 yds to the TROY 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.4%
Levontai Summersett run for no gain to the TROY 16Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
99.4%
(00:00) PENALTY FAMU Illegal Shift (Summersett,Levontai) 5 yards from TROY16 to TROY21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 21
0
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 21
-12
99.5%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Terry Thomas for a loss of 12 yards to the TROY 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:57
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 44 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q4 14:16
Goose Crowder pass complete to Damien Taylor for 7 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe PAT MISSED)
+5.8
TD · Q2 0:46
Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 20 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com