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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 31 at Western Michigan 59

WMU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Cross Patton run for no gain to the WMU 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:48: Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:48: Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:36: Cam'Ron Ransom run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Hechter KICK) — BCU win probability +1.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: BCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:59: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Devaughn Mortimer for 38 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:39: Jamal Hailey run for 48 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 3BCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:31BCU 4th & 12 at WMU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:35BCU 4th & 3 at BCU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:42BCU 4th & 17 at BCU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:27BCU 4th & 14 at BCU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:48WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 32, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:48BCU 4th & 4 at BCU 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:54WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:27BCU 4th & 18 at BCU 2, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:56BCU 4th & 2 at BCU 44, down 13
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:33BCU 4th & 1 at BCU 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54BCU 4th & 6 at WMU 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:03WMU 4th & 2 at BCU 2, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:43WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:52WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:48WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:48WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:36BCU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:59WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
97.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 54 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:122% → 3%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.9%
Jouvensly Bazil run for a loss of 2 yards to the BCU 23Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
97.9%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Marcus Velez for 5 yds to the BCU 28Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
97.9%
Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Anterio Thompson) to the BCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
97.9%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Marcus Velez for 7 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
97.9%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 1 yd to the WMU 44Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
97.9%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 3 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
97.9%
RANSOM, Cam pass up the middle incomplete dropped by CLARKE, Jostein thrown to the WMU35. PENALTY WMU Unnecessary Roughness on WASHINGTON, Nyquann enforced 15 yards from the WMU41 to the WMU26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
97.9%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the WMU 23Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
97.9%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Marcus Velez for 1 yd to the WMU 22Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-5
97.4%
RANSOM, Cam pass to the left complete for 78 yards to REESE, Courtney caught at the WMU15 and advanced to the BCU0, TOUCHDOWN WMU, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:21 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY BCU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on VELEZ, Marcus enforced 5 yards from the WMU22 to the WMU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-1
97.4%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Javon Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 28Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
97.4%
Cade Hechter 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:5997% → 97%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+18
97.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 18 yds to the BCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
97.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the BCU 40Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
97.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 11 yds to the BCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
97.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BCU 25Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Western Michigan Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SHERWIN, Jack (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:573% → 3%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
97.0%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 2 yds to the BCU 16Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+7
97.0%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 7 yds to the BCU 23Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-2
97.0%
Courtney Reese run for a loss of 2 yards to the BCU 21Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+2
96.8%
Anthony Frederique punt for 46 yds , Jordin Parker returns for 2 yds to the WMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:4397% → 97%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
96.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 10 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+29
96.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 29 yds to the BCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Chris Toudle for 23 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:103% → 3%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
97.1%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 4 yds to the BCU 23Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-7
97.1%
Cam'Ron Ransom sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BCU 16 Cam'Ron Ransom fumbled, recovered by BCU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 13
OWN 16
-4
97.2%
Cam'Ron Ransom sacked by Corey Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the BCU 12Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 17
OWN 12
0
96.9%
Anthony Frederique punt for 43 yds, downed at the WMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5497% → 98%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
97.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 19 yds to the BCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
97.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Chris Toudle for 19 yds to the BCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
97.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the BCU 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 8
0
97.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the BCU 8Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
98.1%
Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
98.0%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for a loss of 2 yards to the BCU 24Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-8
98.0%
Cam'Ron Ransom sacked by Mason Nelson and Orin Patu for a loss of 8 yards to the BCU 16Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 20
OWN 16
+6
98.0%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Omari Stewart for 6 yds to the BCU 22Similar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+7
98.1%
Anthony Frederique punt for 50 yds , Anthony Sambucci returns for 7 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
98.1%
WOLFF, Hayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TOUDLE, Christopher broken up by WOODIE III, Raymond at the BCU45. PENALTY BCU Holding on HARRIS III, Johnny enforced 10 yards from the WMU35 to the WMU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:3998% → 99%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
98.1%
Jaden Nixon run for 16 yds to the BCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+23
98.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 23 yds to the BCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the BCU 13Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
98.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the BCU 8Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
99.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:121% → 3%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Darnell Deas run for 3 yds to the BCU 28Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
99.0%
RANSOM, Cam pass up the middle incomplete intended for HUGGINS, Maleek broken up by WASHINGTON, Nyquann at the BCU42. PENALTY BCU Holding on VAUGHN, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the BCU28 to the BCU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+44
99.1%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Lorenzo Jenkins for 44 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Maleek Huggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+23
99.0%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 23 yds to the WMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.0%
Courtney Reese run for 9 yds to the WMU 6Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+3
99.0%
Western Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the WMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.5%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Hechter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4898% → 98%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
98.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
98.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the WMU 30Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+2
98.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 2 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Ryan Millmore punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Maleek Huggins at the BCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:002% → 2%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
97.9%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 2 yds to the BCU 13Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
97.9%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for no gain to the BCU 13Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+4
98.0%
Darnell Deas run for 4 yds to the BCU 17Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Anthony Frederique punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:4998% → 99%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
98.4%
Hayden Wolff run for 5 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
98.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 11 yds to the BCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 7 yds to the BCU 37Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+6
98.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the BCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
98.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jeremy Greaves Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the BCU 38Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+38
99.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Devaughn Mortimer for 38 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:4699% → 98%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
98.5%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the WMU 38Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
98.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 4 yds to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
98.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 13 yds to the BCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4796% → 96%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the WMU 25Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 11 yds to the WMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
96.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the WMU 41Similar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
95.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 2 yds to the WMU 43Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
95.6%
Ryan Millmore punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Maleek Huggins at the BCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:275% → 4%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
95.2%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 6 yds to the BCU 16Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-5
95.2%
Jouvensly Bazil run for a loss of 5 yards to the BCU 11Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-7
95.4%
Cam'Ron Ransom sacked by Tyson Lee and Orin Patu for a loss of 7 yards to the BCU 4Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 16
OWN 4
-2
95.5%
Bethune-Cookman Penalty, Delay Of Game (Orin Patu) to the BCU 2Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 18
OWN 2
0
95.6%
Anthony Frederique punt for 35 yds, downed at the BCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
95.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 37 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:235% → 5%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.3%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Marcus Velez for 7 yds to the BCU 32Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
94.8%
Courtney Reese run for 4 yds to the BCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
95.0%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for a loss of 1 yard to the BCU 35Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
95.3%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+9
95.7%
Courtney Reese run for 9 yds to the BCU 44Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
95.4%
Anthony Frederique punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 2:2396% → 96%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
95.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 12 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 13 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+55
95.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 55 yds to the BCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.1%
Bethune-Cookman Penalty, Personal Foul (Ejike Brown) to the BCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the BCU 1Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd for a TD Western Michigan Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the BCU 0 (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:395% → 5%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.5%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Thomas Nance for 7 yds to the BCU 32Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
95.0%
Courtney Reese run for 2 yds to the BCU 34Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.1%
Courtney Reese run for no gain to the BCU 34Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.3%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the BCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
95.2%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Omari Stewart for 25 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.7%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
94.8%
Courtney Reese run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 39Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+7
95.1%
Courtney Reese run for 7 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+5
95.0%
RANSOM, Cam pass to the right incomplete intended for CLARKE, Jostein thrown to the WMU17. PENALTY WMU Offsides on NELSON, Mason enforced 5 yards from the WMU32 to the WMU27 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.3%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
94.4%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+4
95.4%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 4 yds to the WMU 23Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
95.5%
Cade Hechter 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5097% → 97%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
96.6%
Western Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaden Nixon) to the WMU 25Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 8
OWN 25
+7
96.6%
Jaden Nixon run for 7 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+43
96.7%
Jaden Nixon run for 43 yds to the BCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
96.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 19 yds to the BCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the BCU 1Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.9%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the BCU 1Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 1 yard to the BCU 2Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
96.7%
Luka Zurak 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:324% → 4%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.5%
Terry Lindsey run for a loss of 2 yards to the BCU 23Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
96.6%
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Terrance Alexander for 15 yds to the BCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
96.2%
Terry Lindsey run for 10 yds to the BCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.2%
Terry Lindsey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 8
50
+5
96.1%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 5 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+1
96.2%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 1 yd to the WMU 44Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+15
96.3%
RANSOM, Cam pass to the left incomplete intended for HUGGINS, Maleek thrown to the WMU29. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Nyquann enforced 15 yards to the WMU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
95.6%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 13 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
95.6%
Jaiden Bivens run for 3 yds to the WMU 13Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+11
95.6%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 11 yds to the WMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 2 yds for a TD (Cade Hechter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:5297% → 98%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
97.2%
Broc Lowry run for 13 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.3%
Jamal Hailey run for 5 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
97.5%
QB Keeper LOWRY, Broc rush up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the BCU43 (RUSS JR., Shawn). PENALTY Before the snap, WMU Illegal Formation on MARSHALL, Terrance enforced 5 yards from the WMU42 to the WMU37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
97.3%
Broc Lowry run for 10 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.5%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the BCU 48Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+48
98.1%
Jamal Hailey run for 48 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:003% → 3%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.3%
Cross Patton run for 2 yds to the BCU 37Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
97.3%
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 6 yds to the BCU 43Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+14
97.4%
Cross Patton run for 14 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
97.2%
Cross Patton run for 1 yd to the WMU 42Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+1
97.1%
Cross Patton run for 1 yd to the WMU 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Cross Patton run for no gain to the WMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+2.7
TD · Q2 6:36
Cam'Ron Ransom run for 3 yds for a TD (Cade Hechter KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q2 13:48
Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com