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UL

Louisiana 41 at Wake Forest 38

WAKE
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:08 · Ivan Mora punt for 53 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 15 yds to the UL 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−5.1Pregame prior+5.4Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:49: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 48 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +18.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:39: Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +17.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:07: Bill Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +27.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:55: Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +39.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:52: Kenneth Almendares 31 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +31.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:50WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56WAKE 4th & 4 at UL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.6%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:31WAKE 4th & 4 at UL 21, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:08WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:56UL 4th & 5 at WAKE 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:22UL 4th & 5 at WAKE 33, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:19WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.3%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:27UL 4th & 17 at WAKE 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−6.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:52UL 4th & 4 at WAKE 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.6
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−38.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:56UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:56UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:18UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:19WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:49UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:39WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:07UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:55WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
57.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
57.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Hank Bachmeier for 5 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
57.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
57.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:5443% → 46%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
57.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 3 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+7
57.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 7 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
57.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 8 yds to the UL 48Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-5
57.3%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UL 43Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
57.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 6 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+8
57.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 8 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
57.3%
Zylan Perry run for 15 yds to the WAKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
57.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Caden Jensen for 18 yds to the WAKE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
57.3%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the WAKE 7Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
57.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 5 yds to the WAKE 2Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Tavion Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:2555% → 56%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
54.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 12 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
55.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
55.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 46Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+14
55.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 14 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
55.8%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
56.1%
Tate Carney run for no gain to the UL 34Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
55.7%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the UL 34Similar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+7
55.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for 7 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
56.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 5 yds to the UL 22Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
56.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the UL 21Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
55.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
56.1%
Matthew Dennis 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3545% → 51%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
55.5%
Bill Davis run for 60 yds to the WAKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
53.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
53.9%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for BROUSSARD, Harvey thrown to the WAKEF0. PENALTY WAKEF Pass Interference on BLUE, Capone enforced 13 yards to the WAKEF2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
53.9%
Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 1Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.0%
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4850% → 48%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
49.3%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
48.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
47.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 10 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
47.5%
Ivan Mora punt for 53 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 15 yds to the UL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 4:1252% → 56%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
47.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Caden Jensen for 12 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
47.2%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the UL 46Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+14
47.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 14 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
47.1%
Ben Wooldridge run for 3 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
47.1%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 38Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+3
47.4%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the WAKE 35Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
44.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:2845% → 56%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
45.1%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
45.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
45.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+15
46.5%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass up the middle incomplete intended for MORIN, Taylor thrown to the LOUISI36. PENALTY LOUISI Targeting on LEWIS, Tyrone enforced 15 yards from the LOUISI50 to the LOUISI35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
47.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 36Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+5
46.5%
Louisiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (Justin Agu) to the UL 31Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+13
47.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 13 yds to the UL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
47.6%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 20Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+9
47.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 9 yds to the UL 11Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
46.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Walker Merrill for 5 yds to the UL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
47.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the UL 1Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.6%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1050% → 67%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
50.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 21 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
48.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jaydon Johnson for 5 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
48.0%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+11
48.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 11 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
44.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the WAKE 35Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
44.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+15
45.1%
Zylan Perry run for 15 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
33.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 20 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 0:5737% → 52%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
36.5%
Louisiana Penalty, Personal Foul (K.C. Ossai) to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+31
37.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 31 yds to the UL 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
40.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 15 yds to the UL 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
40.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
41.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tate Carney for 8 yds to the UL 3Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
51.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
48.6%
[SG] Kneel down by LOUISI at LOUISI24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:3851% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
48.7%
Bill Davis run for 11 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
48.3%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
48.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jaydon Johnson for 9 yds to the UL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
46.6%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
46.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+11
46.7%
Ben Wooldridge run for 11 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
46.1%
Bill Davis run for no gain to the WAKE 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
46.2%
Bill Davis run for 5 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
46.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
38.0%
Kenneth Almendares 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:5940% → 58%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
40.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 13 yds to the WAKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
41.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Walker Merrill for 7 yds to the WAKE 38Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
43.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
42.6%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 40Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+60
58.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 60 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3045% → 67%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
54.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 17 yds to the UL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
52.2%
Ben Wooldridge run for 10 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.0%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the WAKE 48Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
32.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 48 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1039% → 62%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
Wake Forest Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Horatio Fields) to the WAKE 25Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 23
OWN 12
+12
38.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 12 yds to the WAKE 24Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
38.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Harry Lodge for 10 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
39.9%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
40.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 9 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
42.8%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
43.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 21 yds to the UL 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
45.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 10 yds to the UL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
44.9%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the UL 13Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+7
44.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 7 yds to the UL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
44.9%
Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the UL 1Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.9%
Tate Carney run for no gain to the UL 1Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.1%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:3346% → 45%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 11 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
52.2%
Bill Davis run for 9 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
49.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
50.1%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
49.2%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+8
49.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Trayv'on Culbert for 8 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
49.0%
Ben Wooldridge run for 4 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-1
48.4%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-10
49.6%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the WAKEF34, End of Play. PENALTY LOUISI Holding on JACKSON, George enforced 10 yards from the WAKEF38 to the WAKEF48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 48
0
53.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
54.8%
Nathan Torney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16INT
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:4857% → 58%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
56.8%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 9Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+15
56.6%
Louisiana Penalty, Roughing the Passer on EDWARDS, Kailep enforced (Kailep Edwards) to the WAKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-12
58.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for 12 yds to the WAKE 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3252% → 82%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
47.9%
Zylan Perry run for 30 yds to the WAKE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
45.7%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the WAKE 2Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.3%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:0627% → 67%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
26.9%
Tate Carney run for 7 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+12
27.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Walker Merrill for 12 yds to the WAKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
28.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the WAKE 43Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
30.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Walker Merrill for 5 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+8
30.8%
Tate Carney run for 8 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
32.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 13 yds to the UL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
34.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 16 yds to the UL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
34.6%
Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the UL 10Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
34.6%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the UL 8Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+6
32.4%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the UL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
34.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UL 7Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
28.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Walker Merrill for 1 yd to the UL 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.5%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the UL 1Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.6%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:5558% → 90%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
42.2%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the WAKE 43Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+24
43.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 24 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
37.7%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the WAKE 18Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
37.6%
Bill Davis run for no gain to the WAKE 18Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+5
40.7%
Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the WAKE 13Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
9.8%
Kenneth Almendares 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:5222% → 21%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
22.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 14 yds to the WAKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
24.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 44Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+15
26.4%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ALEXANDER, Deuce thrown to the LOUISI40; QB hurried by BAYLIS, Antoine. PENALTY LOUISI Roughing the Passer on BAYLIS, Antoine enforced 15 yards from the WAKEF44 to the LOUISI41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
29.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 8 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+9
38.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds to the UL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
38.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
24.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+42
20.5%
Matthew Dennis 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:55
Tate Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)
+39.1
FG · Q4 0:52
Kenneth Almendares 31 yd FG GOOD
-31
TD · Q4 8:07
Bill Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-27.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com