ARDLINETry the model
V

Virginia 17 at Virginia Tech 37

VT
2024 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024 · Lane Stadium
Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadV aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSACKFGFGKEY PLAYTDTDTD
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:19 · (00:19) [NH] Kneel down by LOCKLEAR, Ben at HOOS17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:14.
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:54
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 13
0.0
Q1 14:16
William Watson III run for 6 yds to the VT 19
+0.2
Q1 13:47
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:17
William Watson III pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 9 yds to the VT 29
0.0
Q1 12:47
William Watson III pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 4 yds to the VT 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:12
William Watson III run for 8 yds to the VT 41
0.0
Q1 11:42
Jaylin Lane run for no gain to the VT 41
+0.8
Q1 11:03
Jaylin Lane run for 3 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 10:19
William Watson III pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 42 yds to the UVA 14 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 9:47
William Watson III pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the UVA 6
+1.2
Q1 9:06
Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+11.4
Q1 9:05
Tony Muskett sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 6 yards to the UVA 19
-3.7
Q1 8:26
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
-0.3
Q1 8:22
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 8:15
Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 29
0.0
Q1 8:05
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 34
+2.9
Q1 7:35
William Watson III run for 5 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:53
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 39
+0.4
Q1 6:17
William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 10 yds to the VT 49 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 5:36
Ayden Greene run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Ayden Greene fumbled, recovered by VT Ayden Greene , return to the 50 yard line
+0.3
Q1 5:03
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the UVA 42
0.0
Q1 4:19
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 3:40
William Watson III run for 15 yds to the UVA 25 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 3:04
Tyler Mason run for no gain to the UVA 25
0.0
Q1 2:29
(02:29) TUTEN, Bhayshul rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the HOOS26 (SANKER, Jonas), clock 02:25. PENALTY HOKIES Holding on GOSNELL, Benji enforced 10 yards from the HOOS25 to the HOOS35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.1
Q1 2:09
William Watson III pass incomplete
-0.1
Q1 1:57
Jeremiah Coney run for 8 yds to the UVA 27
-0.1
Q1 1:16
John Love 44 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
Q1 1:05
Noah Vaughn run for 2 yds to the UVA 9
-3.6
Q1 0:40
Noah Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 7
0.0
Q2 14:58
Tony Muskett pass complete to Noah Vaughn for 13 yds to the UVA 20 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 14:21
Tony Muskett run for 15 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:36
Chris Tyree run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 34
0.0
Q2 13:01
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 12:55
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 12:48
Daniel Sparks punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 19
0.0
Q2 12:37
William Watson III pass incomplete
+3.5
Q2 12:33
William Watson III pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 12:29
William Watson III run for 9 yds to the VT 28
0.0
Q2 11:36
Peter Moore punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the UVA 23
-0.4
Q2 11:30
Noah Vaughn run for 3 yds to the UVA 26
-3.1
Q2 10:50
Tony Muskett pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 6 yds to the UVA 32
0.0
Q2 10:05
Noah Vaughn run for 5 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:20
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the UVA 40
0.0
Q2 8:38
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the UVA 40
-0.4
Q2 7:50
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
+3.0
Q2 7:39
Daniel Sparks punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 10
0.0
Q2 7:37
William Watson III pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 7 yds to the VT 17
+1.6
Q2 7:02
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 18
0.0
Q2 6:24
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 19
0.0
Q2 5:40
Peter Moore punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the UVA 47
+1.2
Q2 5:34
Tony Muskett run for 2 yds to the UVA 49
-2.7
Q2 4:57
Tony Muskett pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 24 yds to the VT 27 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 4:19
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
-1.2
Q2 4:16
Tony Muskett run for 6 yds to the VT 21
0.0
Q2 3:31
Tony Muskett pass complete to Tyler Neville for 2 yds to the VT 19
+1.4
Q2 2:46
Will Bettridge 37 yd FG GOOD
-6.6
Q2 2:45
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 29
+4.4
Q2 2:06
(02:06) TUTEN, Bhayshul rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the HOKIES30 (JACKSON, Jermarian;CARTER, Jahmeer), clock 02:00. PENALTY HOOS Offsides on BENNETT JR., Chico enforced 5 yards from the HOKIES29 to the HOKIES34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 02:00
-0.4
Q2 1:50
William Watson III pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 66 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+8.4
Q2 1:49
Tony Muskett pass complete to Malachi Fields for 4 yds to the UVA 29
-0.4
Q2 1:42
Timeout Virginia, clock 01:42
0.0
Q2 1:38
Tony Muskett run for 3 yds to the UVA 32
0.0
Q2 1:35
Timeout Virginia, clock 01:35
0.0
Q2 1:29
Tony Muskett pass complete to Noah Vaughn for 3 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:21
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 1:20
Tony Muskett pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 2 yds to the UVA 37
0.0
Q2 1:15
Timeout Virginia, clock 01:15
-0.1
Q2 1:14
(01:14) MUSKETT, Tony pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TWITTY, Dakota thrown to the HOKIES29, clock 01:06. PENALTY HOKIES Pass Interference on PHILLIPS III, Mose enforced 15 yards to the HOKIES48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 1:05
Tony Muskett pass intercepted Jaylen Jones return for 27 yds to the UVA 46 Jaylen Jones fumbled, recovered by UVA
-0.4
Q2 0:50
William Watson III pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 9 yds to the UVA 37
+2.0
Q2 0:45
William Watson III pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 0:39
William Watson III run for 2 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:30
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UVA 40
+0.1
Q2 0:14
Virginia Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on KOUDELKA, Billy enforced (Billy Koudelka) to the UVA 14 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q2 0:00
John Love 31 yd FG GOOD
+3.3
Q3 14:59
Tony Muskett pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the UVA 34
-0.6
Q3 14:34
Noah Vaughn run for 2 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:58
Chris Tyree run for 7 yds to the UVA 43
0.0
Q3 13:26
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the UVA 43
-0.2
Q3 13:03
Tony Muskett run for 2 yds to the UVA 45
+0.1
Q3 12:21
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the UVA 45
0.0
Q3 12:16
William Watson III pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 14 yds to the UVA 31 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q3 11:41
William Watson III pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 11:37
Bhayshul Tuten run for 12 yds to the UVA 19 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:57
Jaylin Lane run for 14 yds to the UVA 5 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q3 10:05
William Watson III run for 5 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+3.0
Q3 10:04
Tony Muskett pass complete to Tyler Neville for 5 yds to the UVA 30
-0.3
Q3 9:23
Noah Vaughn run for 6 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 8:48
Tony Muskett pass complete to Malachi Fields for 16 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 8:05
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 7:58
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 7:54
Tony Muskett run for 10 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:09
Tony Muskett sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 23 Tony Muskett fumbled, recovered by UVA Tyler Neville , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (16 Yards) to the VT 23 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 6:42
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the VT 17
0.0
Q3 6:00
Tony Muskett run for 15 yds to the VT 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:23
Tony Muskett run for 2 yds for a TD (Tony Muskett pass to Tyler Neville for Two-Point Conversion)
-5.4
Q3 5:22
William Watson III pass complete to Ali Jennings for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST down
+2.4
Q3 4:50
William Watson III pass complete to Ali Jennings for 40 yds to the UVA 24 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q3 4:37
William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 15 yds to the UVA 9 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 4:03
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 11
-0.1
Q3 3:23
William Watson III pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 3:18
William Watson III pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 3:08
John Love 28 yd FG GOOD
+2.8
Q3 3:06
Tony Muskett run for 8 yds to the UVA 33
-1.6
Q3 2:36
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:57
Tony Muskett pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 19 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 1:19
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
+0.6
Q3 1:15
Tony Muskett run for 11 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:33
Tony Muskett pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 18 yds to the VT 16 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 14:59
Tony Muskett pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 8 yds to the VT 8
0.0
Q4 14:14
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
-0.1
Q4 14:07
Tony Muskett run for 3 yds to the VT 5 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:17
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 13:12
Tony Muskett run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-5.8
Q4 13:10
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 41
+3.7
Q4 12:35
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 44
0.0
Q4 11:55
William Watson III run for 8 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:30
William Watson III sacked by Kam Butler and Michael Diatta for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 45
0.0
Q4 10:50
Virginia Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Stephen Gosnell) to the VT 33
0.0
Q4 10:31
William Watson III pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 8 yds to the VT 41
-0.1
Q4 9:49
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Ethan Davies returns for no gain to the UVA 19
0.0
Q4 9:41
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
-0.6
Q4 9:35
Tony Muskett run for 4 yds to the UVA 23
0.0
Q4 8:57
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 8:53
Virginia Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UVA 18
0.0
Q4 8:50
Daniel Sparks punt for 59 yds, downed at the VT 23
0.0
Q4 8:35
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds to the VT 37 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q4 7:50
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 42
0.0
Q4 7:04
Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 42
0.0
Q4 6:12
Bhayshul Tuten run for 58 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+3.5
Q4 6:06
Tony Muskett pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 2 yds to the UVA 25
-0.6
Q4 5:40
Tony Muskett pass complete to Chris Tyree for 9 yds to the UVA 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:24
Tony Muskett sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 5 yards to the UVA 29
0.0
Q4 4:58
Tony Muskett pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 10 yds to the UVA 39
+0.2
Q4 4:32
Virginia Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tony Muskett) to the UVA 34
0.0
Q4 4:19
Tony Muskett pass complete to Trell Harris for 11 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 3:59
Tony Muskett pass intercepted Mansoor Delane return for no gain to the VT 26
0.0
Q4 3:58
Tyler Mason run for no gain to the VT 26
+0.4
Q4 3:12
William Watson III run for 7 yds to the VT 33
0.0
Q4 3:02
Timeout Virginia, clock 03:02
+0.5
Q4 2:57
William Watson III sacked by Kam Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 23
0.0
Q4 2:57
Timeout Virginia, clock 02:57
0.0
Q4 2:55
Peter Moore punt for 43 yds, downed at the UVA 24
0.0
Q4 2:46
Tony Muskett pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 9 yds to the UVA 33
-0.8
Q4 2:17
Virginia Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-7 Yards) to the UVA 13
0.0
Q4 1:55
Tony Muskett pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 8 yds to the UVA 21
0.0
Q4 1:55
Timeout Virginia Tech, clock 01:55
-0.2
Q4 1:50
Tony Muskett pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 1:45
Tyler Mason run for 6 yds to the UVA 15
+1.1
Q4 1:01
(01:01) Kneel down by LOCKLEAR, Ben at HOOS16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:54.
0.0
Q4 0:19
(00:19) [NH] Kneel down by LOCKLEAR, Ben at HOOS17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:14.
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 9:06
Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q2 1:50
William Watson III pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 66 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+8.4
FG · Q2 2:46
Will Bettridge 37 yd FG GOOD
-6.6
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com