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UVA

Virginia 31 at Wake Forest 30

WAKE
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:05 · Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the UVA 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorTimeout advantage
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.4Pregame prior−1.3Timeout advantage−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:26: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 24 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +11.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:40: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +14.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:10: Matthew Dennis 26 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +8.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:37: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 24 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +25.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 2:07: Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +36.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UVA made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:28UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:39UVA 4th & 1 at WAKE 1, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:27WAKE 4th & 3 at UVA 3, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:10UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:53WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:17WAKE 4th & 4 at UVA 20, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.9%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:48UVA 4th & 1 at WAKE 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−2.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:08WAKE 4th & 10 at UVA 30, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:04UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:02UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:05WAKE 4th & 1 at UVA 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−3.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:05WAKE 4th & 1 at UVA 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−2.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−10.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:10WAKE 4th & 6 at UVA 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−7.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:21UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:26WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:20WAKE 4th & 9 at UVA 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:20UVA 4th & 2 at WAKE 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.8%−5.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:20UVA 4th & 2 at WAKE 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−15.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:57UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:37WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:01WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:05UVA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:26UVA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:40WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:37UVA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:07UVA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3253% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for 6 yds to the UVA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
47.1%
Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UVA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
47.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
47.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
47.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 43 yds, downed at the WAKE 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5148% → 50%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
47.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 30Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+14
47.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 14 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
47.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Harry Lodge for 31 yds to the UVA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
47.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 8 yds to the UVA 17Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
49.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 17 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:4551% → 50%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 1 yd to the UVA 26Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
49.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 19 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
48.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the UVA 47Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
48.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
50.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0750% → 50%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
50.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-2
50.3%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Kam Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 16Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
50.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
50.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 53 yds, downed at the UVA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:0649% → 50%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
50.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 21 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+45
50.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 45 yds to the WAKE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
49.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the WAKE 1Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
49.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.1%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q1 5:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
50.0%
Will Bettridge 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:1251% → 55%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
50.5%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 35Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
50.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (Harry Lodge) to the WAKE 30Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+10
50.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 10 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+42
50.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 42 yds to the UVA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
51.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 9 yds to the UVA 9Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+4
51.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the UVA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
51.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the UVA 3Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
54.6%
Matthew Dennis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1746% → 44%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
54.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 23Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
54.2%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the UVA 27Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
54.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+44
55.7%
Daniel Sparks punt for 44 yds , Taylor Morin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1755% → 55%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-8
55.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by James Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 20Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+12
54.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 12 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 32
-5
54.9%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
54.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:1445% → 44%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
54.9%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
54.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UVA 40Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-32
55.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted Kevin Pointer return for 32 yds to the UVA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:3858% → 66%
Q2 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
58.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the UVA 2Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:5139% → 46%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
61.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 31Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
62.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+14
62.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 14 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
61.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 12 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
60.5%
Kobe Pace run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 45Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+16
61.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 16 yds to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
59.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 11 yds to the WAKE 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
54.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 18 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4858% → 61%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+31
58.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 31 yds to the UVA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
60.3%
Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+13
60.2%
Tate Carney run for 13 yds to the UVA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
60.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
60.3%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Jonas Sanker for a loss of 5 yards to the UVA 31Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+11
58.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 11 yds to the UVA 20Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
61.3%
Matthew Dennis 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4438% → 50%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.1%
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
61.5%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
61.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Gibson for 26 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
59.9%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the WAKE 35Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
58.5%
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
60.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Sage Ennis for 2 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+5
61.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
50.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 24 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:0956% → 57%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
56.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 30Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+16
55.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for 16 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
58.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 14 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
59.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+7
59.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
59.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
59.2%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the UVA 30Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
56.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:0644% → 41%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
55.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 7 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+9
54.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the UVA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
53.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-15
54.2%
Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (Malachi Fields) to the UVA 47Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
53.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 1 yd to the UVA 48Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
54.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
56.5%
punt blocked by Deuce Alexander blocked by Deuce Alexander Punt by SPARKS, Daniel at the UVA48 is blocked by ALEXANDER, Deuce, recovered by WFU FIELDS, Horatio at the UVA39, returned 0 yards to the UVA39, End of Play, clock 00:04. , returns for no gain to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
59.0%
punt blocked by Deuce Alexander blocked by Deuce Alexander Punt by SPARKS, Daniel at the UVA48 is blocked by ALEXANDER, Deuce, recovered by WFU FIELDS, Horatio at the UVA39, returned 0 yards to the UVA39, End of Play, clock 00:02. , returns for no gain to the UVA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
60.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 26 yds to the UVA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:2057% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
58.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 2 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
57.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
58.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 17 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
61.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the UVA 42Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
61.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the UVA 39Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
60.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the UVA 39Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
59.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the UVA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
62.4%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FIELDS, Horatio thrown to the UVA14. PENALTY UVA Personal Foul on BRITTON, Anthony enforced 15 yards from the UVA34 to the UVA19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
62.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Antonio Clary for 0 yards to the UVA 19Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
62.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 5 yds to the UVA 14Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+4
61.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the UVA 10Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+5
59.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the UVA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
62.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the UVA 3Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4726% → 27%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for no gain to the UVA 25Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.5%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
74.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Xavier Brown for 3 yds to the UVA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
73.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 13 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted Jamare Glasker return for no gain to the WAKE 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:4376% → 88%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
75.7%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+9
75.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for 9 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
76.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 4 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
77.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
79.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 7 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+34
81.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 34 yds to the UVA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
81.0%
Taylor Morin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
81.5%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the UVA 8Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
79.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
87.9%
Matthew Dennis 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4917% → 14%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for 4 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
82.3%
Virginia Penalty, False Start (Ty Furnish) to the UVA 24Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
83.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the UVA 27Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-3
84.1%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Kevin Pointer for a loss of 3 yards to the UVA 24Similar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
86.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 49 yds, downed at the WAKE 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:3493% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
92.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
94.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+6
94.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
94.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+11
95.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 37 yds , Chris Tyree returns for 11 yds to the UVA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:4914% → 40%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
85.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
85.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UVA 42Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+10
85.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 10 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
84.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 11 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
84.1%
COLANDREA, Anthony pass to the left complete for 6 yards to FIELDS, Malachi caught at the WFU31 and advanced to the WFU31 (BLUE, Capone). PENALTY UVA Holding on STEVENS, Brian enforced 10 yards from the WFU37 to the WFU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+8
84.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+15
84.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 15 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
59.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 24 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:0475% → 80%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.7%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
75.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 13 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
77.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 19 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
78.1%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-1
78.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 36Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
76.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-20
78.1%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass deep to the right complete for 20 yards to FIELDS, Horatio caught at the UVA17 and advanced to the UVA17 (WALKER, Dre), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY UVA Holding on JACKSON, Jermarian UVA Roughing the Passer on BUTLER, Kameron WFU Holding on GORDON, DeVonte , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 9
OPP 36
-8
79.5%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Trey McDonald for a loss of 8 yards to the UVA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:1332% → 74%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
68.5%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
66.9%
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 4
50
+2
67.0%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+5
69.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 5 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
66.0%
COLANDREA, Anthony pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FIELDS, Malachi thrown to the WFU10. PENALTY WFU Pass Interference on GLASKER, Jamare enforced 15 yards to the WFU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
63.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 1 yd to the WAKE 27Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+10
63.7%
Kobe Pace run for 10 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
63.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
63.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 6 yds to the WAKE 11Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+2
65.6%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the WAKE 9Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+7
68.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 7 yds to the WAKE 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the WAKE 1Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.8%
Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:3645% → 51%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.2%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
49.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
44.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 19 yds to the UVA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
50.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 20 yds Taylor Morin fumbled, recovered by UVA Antonio Clary A. Clary return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:2271% → 71%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
29.5%
Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 27Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+1
30.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UVA 28Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+8
29.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 8 yds to the UVA 36Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
28.7%
Daniel Sparks punt for 59 yds, downed at the WAKE 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
38.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the WAKE 6Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+24
37.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 24 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
39.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-10
37.5%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 13 yards to FIELDS, Horatio caught at the WFU43 and advanced to the WFU43 (CLARY, Antonio). PENALTY WFU Holding on RUSSELL, Erik enforced 10 yards from the WFU30 to the WFU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+8
37.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 8 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+6
35.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 6 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:07
Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
-36.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-35.6
TD · Q4 10:37
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for 24 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
-25
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com