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STAN

Stanford 31 at San José State 34

SJSU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:00 · Trent Carrizosa punt for 54 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 15 yds to the STAN 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−3.6Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:42: Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 12 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +14.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 44%).
  2. TD · Q3 9:13: Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +12.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:46: Jahsiah Galvan 2 Yd Fumble Return (Emmet Kenney Kick) — STAN win probability +21.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:39: Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +33.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:55: Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 18 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +65.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:32STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49STAN 4th & 6 at SJSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:08STAN 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:42STAN 4th & 2 at SJSU 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:13STAN 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−9.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:57SJSU 4th & 3 at STAN 7, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−10.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:52STAN 4th & 28 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:45SJSU 4th & 6 at STAN 15, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.0 ptsWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%−5.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−16.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:11STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 9:03SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:19SJSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:42STAN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:45SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:13STAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:46STAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:39STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:55SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:1554% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
46.3%
Cole Tabb run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-5
46.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 28Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 17
OWN 28
0
46.7%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted Robert Rahimi return for no gain to the SJSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3747% → 47%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
46.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
46.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
46.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+15
46.7%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 54 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 15 yds to the STAN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 7:0153% → 53%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
46.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
46.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the STAN 37Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
46.8%
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 38Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+7
47.1%
Justin Lamson run for 7 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
46.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 10 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
46.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for no gain to the SJSU 45Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+35
47.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 35 yds to the SJSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
46.7%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (Elic Ayomanor) to the SJSU 15Similar
Q1 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-10
46.9%
Stanford Penalty, Offensive Holding (Emmett Mosley V) to the SJSU 21Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
+6
47.0%
Micah Ford run for 6 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+10
47.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 10 yds to the SJSU 5Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
47.4%
Micah Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 6Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
47.3%
Emmet Kenney 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:3147% → 48%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
47.3%
(05:48) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right complete for 75 yards to LOCKHART, Justin caught at the STAN36 and advanced to the STAN0, TOUCHDOWN SJSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 05:39 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SJSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HARBERT, Joseph enforced 5 yards from the SJSU25 to the SJSU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+18
47.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 18 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
47.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
48.6%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
48.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 54 yds · 6:5953% → 52%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
47.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 2
50
0
46.7%
(03:30) QB Keeper DANIELS, Ashton rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN47 (LATU, Taniela), clock 03:24. PENALTY STAN Holding on LEYRER, Jack declined STAN Holding on MAIKKULA, Jake enforced 10 yards from the SJSU50 to the STAN40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+7
47.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 7 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+10
47.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
46.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 6 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 37
-1
46.4%
Cole Tabb run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
46.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 6 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
46.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 5 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+24
45.4%
Cole Tabb run for 24 yds to the SJSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.4%
Cole Tabb run for 2 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
45.3%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 3Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.9%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
46.8%
Micah Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 4Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
47.9%
Stanford Penalty, Personal Foul (Emmett Mosley V) to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 3:0148% → 57%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
48.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+16
48.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 16 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
48.5%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 4 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
50.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 12 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
50.6%
Walker Eget run for 10 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
50.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 19 yds to the STAN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
57.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1245% → 43%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
55.2%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted DJ Harvey return for 6 yds to the STAN 24Similar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-5
57.0%
(08:51) EGET, Walker pass deep up the middle complete for 20 yards to LOCKHART, Justin caught at the STAN11 and advanced to the STAN9 (NICHOLSON, Brandon), clock 08:43. PENALTY SJSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LAPUAHO, Peseti enforced 5 yards from the STAN29 to the STAN34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:3257% → 69%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
57.4%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Stewart) to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+8
57.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 8 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+3
58.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 3 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+16
58.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the STAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
59.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 10Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
59.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 8 yds to the STAN 2Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 2 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:3633% → 45%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.9%
Cole Tabb run for no gain to the STAN 25Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Cole Tabb for 5 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
69.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 16 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
68.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
68.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 2 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
69.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 5 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
68.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
67.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+11
69.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
66.8%
(01:17) DANIELS, Ashton scrambles to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the SJSU12 (COBBS, Jordan), out of bounds, clock 01:09. PENALTY STAN Personal Foul on PALE, Simione enforced 15 yards from the SJSU20 to the SJSU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 25
OPP 35
0
68.6%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 25
OPP 35
+9
69.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+14
69.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 14 yds to the SJSU 12Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+12
55.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 12 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:4259% → 68%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 11 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
59.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 5 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
60.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 8 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
61.5%
Walker Eget sacked by Ernest Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 46Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+26
59.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 26 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
62.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+45
68.4%
Kyler Halvorsen 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1565% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.1%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 9 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
66.8%
(14:27) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the STAN30, clock 14:22. PENALTY STAN Pass Interference on EDWARDS, Scotty enforced 15 yards to the SJSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.7%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
67.4%
Walker Eget run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 9
50
+11
66.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 11 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
68.8%
(13:03) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NASH, Nick thrown to the STAN22, clock 12:57. PENALTY STAN Offsides enforced 5 yards from the STAN39 to the STAN34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+15
68.8%
(12:57) EGET, Walker pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the STAN18, clock 12:51. PENALTY STAN Roughing the Passer on SINCLAIR, Tristan enforced 15 yards from the STAN34 to the STAN19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
80.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 19 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3223% → 35%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
77.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+37
78.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 37 yds to the SJSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
75.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 11 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+14
75.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 14 yds to the SJSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
75.5%
Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 5Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
77.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.0%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:1671% → 77%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
70.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 9 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
72.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
71.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
74.6%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 7
50
0
74.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 7
50
+36
73.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 36 yds to the STAN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
75.8%
Jabari Bates run for 2 yds to the STAN 12Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-3
76.2%
Jabari Bates run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 15Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+8
75.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 8 yds to the STAN 7Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
77.1%
Kyler Halvorsen 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0524% → 21%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
76.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 17 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
75.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 4 yds to the STAN 46Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+22
75.5%
Ashton Daniels run for 12 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Amir Wallace) to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
72.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
72.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 1 yd to the SJSU 31Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-10
74.8%
(02:37) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep up the middle complete for 31 yards to AYOMANOR, Elic caught at the SJSU0 and advanced to the SJSU0, TOUCHDOWN STAN, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:31 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY STAN Holding on ROUSH, Sam enforced 10 yards from the SJSU31 to the SJSU41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 19
OPP 41
-9
77.5%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Jalen Apalit-Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 28
50
0
79.3%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:5978% → 60%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
78.1%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 8 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+3
80.1%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 3 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
81.2%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 1 yd to the SJSU 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
81.0%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+2
59.7%
Jahsiah Galvan 2 Yd Fumble Return (Emmet Kenney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16INT
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:1863% → 73%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
68.1%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.1%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
68.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 5 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-5
69.5%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Peseti Lapuaho) to the SJSU 36Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
67.3%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 11 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
72.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 15 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
73.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 11 yds to the STAN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
71.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 13 yds to the STAN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-46
72.8%
Walker Eget pass intercepted Collin Wright return for 46 yds to the STAN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:2643% → 80%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
57.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+4
54.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
54.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 23 yds to the SJSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
53.8%
Micah Ford run for 2 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.5%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 60 yds · 3:5433% → 36%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.8%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 6 yds to the SJSU 31Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
34.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
34.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 4 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+12
35.9%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 12 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
38.2%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+16
37.3%
Walker Eget run for 16 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
37.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 11 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
39.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
39.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Nick Nash for 4 yds to the STAN 15Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
35.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 6
OPP 15
0
36.4%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5380% → 84%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
20.0%
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
14.8%
Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the STAN 23Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
15.7%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted Isiah Revis return for no gain to the STAN 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:4422% → 90%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
21.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 9 yds to the STAN 28Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+10
22.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Sebastian Macaluso for 10 yds to the STAN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
89.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 18 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:3923% → 18%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
76.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 3 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
76.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
75.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
76.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 2 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+2
77.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the STAN 43Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
82.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:3492% → 95%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
92.1%
(01:08) [NH] Kneel down by EGET, Walker at STAN44 (team loss of 1), clock 01:06.Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+15
91.8%
Stanford Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zach Rowell) to the STAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
92.4%
(01:06) [NH] Kneel down by EGET, Walker at STAN30 (team loss of 1), clock 01:00.Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-1
94.8%
(00:34) [NH] Kneel down by EGET, Walker at STAN31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:55
Walker Eget pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 18 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+65.2
TD · Q4 7:39
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
-33.6
TD · Q4 14:46
Jahsiah Galvan 2 Yd Fumble Return (Emmet Kenney Kick)
-21.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com