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MIA

Miami 38 at Syracuse 42

SYR
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:47 · Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson Meeks, broken up by Wesley Bissainthe
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior−29.5Home team on offense−2.9Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:21: Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 25 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +17.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:47: Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 9 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +18.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:47: Devin Grant 56 Yd Fumble Return (Jackson Kennedy Kick) — SYR win probability +23.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:02: Damien Martinez 2 Yd Run (Andres Borregales Kick) — MIA win probability +25.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:16: LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) Miami Penalty, roughing kicker (Mishael Powell) to the SYR 35 — SYR win probability +30.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 6:47SYR 4th & 2 at MIA 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:35SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:25MIA 4th & 5 at MIA 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:50MIA 4th & 6 at SYR 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:28SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:01MIA 4th & 25 at MIA 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−5.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 3:42MIA 4th & 10 at SYR 10, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%−0.9
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−10.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:46MIA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:57MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:54SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:41SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:21SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:02MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:47SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:47SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:02MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:16SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1482% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.8%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the MIA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
17.8%
pass incomplete to Elijah ArroyoSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
17.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
17.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 12 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
17.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+9
17.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Mark Fletcher Jr. for 9 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
17.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 9 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+5
17.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 5 yds to the SYR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
17.8%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Defensive pass interference (11 Yards) to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.5%
Mark Fletcher Jr. 2 Yd Run (Andres Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:5918% → 19%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
17.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 11 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
18.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
18.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+13
18.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 13 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
18.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 5 yds to the MIA 40Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-5
18.1%
Syracuse Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MIA 45Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
18.1%
Darrell Gill Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 42Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
18.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson Meeks Miami Penalty, off-side (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 37Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
18.1%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the MIA 37Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
18.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson Meeks, broken up by Wesley BissaintheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:0483% → 83%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
17.4%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 10 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
17.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 25 yds to the SYR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
17.3%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
17.3%
pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
17.4%
Cam Ward run for 3 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
17.3%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the SYR 16Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
17.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 16 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0818% → 18%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
17.7%
Kyle McCord sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 17Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+14
17.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 14 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
17.8%
Kyle McCord run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 29 Kyle McCord fumbled, recovered by SYR Kyle McCordSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
17.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 17:0382% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+19
17.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 19 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
17.5%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 10Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+40
17.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
16.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+21
16.7%
Damien Martinez run for 21 yds to the SYR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
16.7%
pass incomplete to Elija LoftonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
16.7%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the SYR 3Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.9%
Elijah Arroyo 3 Yd pass from Cam Ward (Andres Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0313% → 18%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+23
12.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
50
+5
13.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 5 yds to the MIA 45Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+11
13.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 11 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
13.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 26 yds to the MIA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
13.5%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
18.4%
LeQuint Allen 8 Yd Run (Jackson Kennedy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2984% → 83%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.5%
Jordan Lyle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 24Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
16.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Cam McCormick for 6 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.6%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Samuel Brown, broken up by Jayden BellamySimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
16.7%
Dylan Joyce punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
16 plays · 67 yds · 5:4417% → 25%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
17.0%
pass incomplete to LeQuint AllenSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
16.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 7 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+7
17.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 7 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
17.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the MIA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
17.9%
pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
17.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Yasin Willis for 3 yds to the MIA 40Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
17.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to LeQuint Allen for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Defensive holding (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
18.2%
Yasin Willis run for 5 yds to the MIA 25Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
18.2%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the MIA 21Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
17.9%
Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the MIA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
18.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the MIA 16Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
18.2%
Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the MIA 14Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+5
17.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds to the MIA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.2%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Dan Villari, broken up by Jaden HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.2%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden II, broken up by Daryl Porter Jr.Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
25.2%
Jackson Meeks 9 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jackson Kennedy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:5178% → 79%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
22.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
20.7%
Cam Ward run for 2 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
20.7%
Jordan Lyle run for 2 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
19.7%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo, broken up by Duce ChestnutSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
20.7%
Dylan Joyce punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:2223% → 23%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
22.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 3 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+4
23.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 22Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+9
22.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 9 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
23.4%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden II, broken up by Mishael PowellSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
23.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
23.4%
pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
22.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3923% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.2%
pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+50
23.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 50 yds to the MIA 25 for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Defensive holding (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
40.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 25 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1967% → 80%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
33.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 20 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
30.9%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 48Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+17
30.7%
Cam Ward run for 17 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
29.6%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+27
29.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 27 yds to the SYR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
29.3%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo, broken up by Alijah ClarkSimilar
Q3 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
29.3%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 2Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.4%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1524% → 46%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
23.7%
Kyle McCord sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 17Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+33
23.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
50
+11
26.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 11 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
26.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the MIA 35Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+21
28.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 21 yds to the MIA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
28.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the MIA 9Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
46.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 9 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:4662% → 58%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.7%
Cam Ward pass incomplete, broken up by Fadil DiggsSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
38.0%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the MIA 28 Miami Penalty, Offensive holding (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 18Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-8
38.3%
Cam Ward sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 8 yards to the MIA 10Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
39.5%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
42.0%
Dylan Joyce punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 2:1246% → 50%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
45.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 5
50
-3
46.3%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 47Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+25
43.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 25 yds to the MIA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
49.5%
Yasin Willis run for 11 yds to the MIA 17 Yasin Willis fumbled, recovered by MIA Cam PruittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 2:0260% → 41%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+29
39.9%
Damien Martinez run for 29 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
36.4%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 6
50
+2
35.8%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+56
59.4%
Devin Grant 56 Yd Fumble Return (Jackson Kennedy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 16:5853% → 63%
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
47.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 5 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 2 yds to the MIA 27Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
62.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the MIA 31Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.8%
pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
66.5%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 39Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+10
67.3%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the MIA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
63.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 9 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+40
62.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 40 yds to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.9%
Damien Martinez 2 Yd Run (Andres Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4648% → 85%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
47.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
50.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
49.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 37Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
49.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 12 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
52.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 29 yds to the MIA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson Meeks, broken up by OJ Frederique Jr.Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
54.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the MIA 20Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+15
52.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson Meeks for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
54.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the MIA 3Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) Miami Penalty, roughing kicker (Mishael Powell) to the SYR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 5:3424% → 31%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
76.2%
Miami Penalty, false start (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 20Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
76.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 15 yds to the MIA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
75.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 7 yds to the MIA 42Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
73.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 2 yds to the MIA 44Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
73.1%
Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the MIA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
72.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 16 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
71.7%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+6
69.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
68.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
68.9%
pass incomplete to Isaiah HortonSimilar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+10
71.3%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Isaiah Horton for a 1ST down Syracuse Penalty, Defensive pass interference (10 Yards) to the SYR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.9%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby George, broken up by Jayden BellamySimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
68.9%
Miami Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mishael Powell) to the SYR 23Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+8
71.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Cam McCormick for 8 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
74.3%
Cam Ward run for 5 yds to the SYR 10Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
69.5%
A. Borregales 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20Uncategorized
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:5363% → 76%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 11 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
64.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
66.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
73.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the MIA 47Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
74.9%
Miami Penalty, off-side (Mishael Powell) to the MIA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
74.9%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the MIA 42Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
74.7%
Trebor Pena run for 11 yds to the MIA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
76.5%
Kyle McCord run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 33Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-1
75.7%
Kyle McCord run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:16
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) Miami Penalty, roughing kicker (Mishael Powell) to the SYR 35
+30.2
TD · Q4 13:02
Damien Martinez 2 Yd Run (Andres Borregales Kick)
-25.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+24.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com