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DUKE

Duke 23 at Wake Forest 17

WAKE
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:34 · Ivan Mora punt for 39 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior−1.1Home team on offense+2.4Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor−1.5Blowout margin−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:00: Horatio Fields 9 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Matthew Dennis Kick) — WAKE win probability +12.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:36: Star Thomas 3 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick) — DUKE win probability +13.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:57: Maalik Murphy 2 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick) — DUKE win probability +23.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:57: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 4 yds to the WAKE 29 — WAKE win probability +11.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 39 yds for a TD — DUKE win probability +38.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 9DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:12WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57DUKE 4th & 2 at DUKE 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:50WAKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:39WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:39DUKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:13WAKE 4th & 2 at DUKE 19, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:17DUKE 4th & 4 at DUKE 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:19WAKE 4th & 21 at WAKE 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:09DUKE 4th & 11 at DUKE 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:12WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:07DUKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:33WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:34WAKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−1.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:20DUKE 4th & 7 at DUKE 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−1.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:22WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−13.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2DUKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:23WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:00WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:36DUKE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:57DUKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:4839% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
39.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 5 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
39.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 12 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
39.3%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
39.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-15
39.3%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass deep to the right complete for 17 yards to FIELDS, Horatio caught at the DUKE34 and advanced to the DUKE34, out of bounds. PENALTY WAKEF Face mask on CLAIBORNE, Demond enforced 15 yards from the WAKEF49 to the WAKEF34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 34
0
39.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 19
OWN 34
0
40.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 35 yds, downed at the DUKE 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1560% → 59%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
40.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 30Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
40.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+9
40.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 9 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
40.7%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:0741% → 43%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the WAKE 35Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
40.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
40.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
50
+1
41.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the DUKE 49Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
41.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
41.3%
BACHMEIER, Hank scrambles up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the DUKE26 (HOWARD, Alex). PENALTY WAKEF Holding on TROST, Keagen enforced 10 yards from the DUKE39 to the DUKE49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
41.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+6
41.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+16
40.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for 16 yds to the DUKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
41.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the DUKE 26Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-1
41.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 27Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+2
41.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the DUKE 25Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
42.9%
Matthew Dennis 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4358% → 56%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.5%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the DUKE 28Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
42.4%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 26Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
42.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 6 yds to the DUKE 32Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
43.6%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2843% → 43%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
43.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 8 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
43.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
43.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
43.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:0057% → 58%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
42.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jake Taylor for 10 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
42.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 5 yds to the DUKE 46Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
41.8%
Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
41.9%
Star Thomas run for 20 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
41.4%
Star Thomas run for no gain to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
41.5%
Grayson Loftis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
42.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
42.2%
Todd Pelino 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:1142% → 51%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
42.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 9 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
43.6%
Tate Carney run for no gain to the WAKE 32Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+6
42.8%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
43.1%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+19
42.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 19 yds to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
44.3%
Tate Carney run for 10 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
44.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 30 yds to the DUKE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
50.7%
Tate Carney 8 Yd Run (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8INT
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:5952% → 54%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the DUKE 26Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+26
48.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 26 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.3%
Maalik Murphy pass intercepted Rushaun Tongue return for no gain to the WAKE 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:1149% → 58%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
49.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
49.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+8
48.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 8 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
50.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Donavon Greene for 6 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+12
50.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
51.0%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 42Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+15
50.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 15 yds to the DUKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
51.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
51.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
50.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 5 yds to the DUKE 19Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
58.3%
Matthew Dennis 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:5143% → 40%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
57.1%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 15Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+11
57.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jake Taylor for 11 yds to the DUKE 26Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+7
57.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 7 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
56.4%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
56.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 4 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
56.2%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
59.3%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
60.1%
Duke Penalty, Offsides (Kendy Charles) to the WAKE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:4161% → 59%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 5
OWN 34
+6
60.7%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
61.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 8 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
61.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the DUKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
62.0%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Aaron Hall and Wesley Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 46Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-10
61.5%
Hank Bachmeier sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the WAKE 44 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by WAKE Tate Carney , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 21
OWN 44
+12
59.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 12 yds to the DUKE 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:1939% → 40%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
61.1%
Jaquez Moore run for 13 yds to the DUKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
60.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jake Taylor for 5 yds to the DUKE 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5140% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.5%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-10
60.8%
Maalik Murphy sacked by Bryce Ganious for a loss of 10 yards to the DUKE 14Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+10
62.1%
Star Thomas run for 10 yds to the DUKE 24Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
64.0%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 43 yds, downed at the WAKE 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5763% → 64%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
63.4%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 32Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-3
63.0%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Vincent Anthony Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 29Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+11
61.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
63.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 47 yds, downed at the DUKE 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5737% → 34%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
63.5%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 11Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
63.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+3
65.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 3 yds Jaquez Moore fumbled, recovered by WAKE Dylan Hazen D. Hazen return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:1569% → 81%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
68.6%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 15Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+6
68.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the DUKE 9Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
81.4%
Horatio Fields 9 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:5321% → 19%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 6 yds to the DUKE 31Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
77.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 7 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
77.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 18 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
76.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 2 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-1
76.4%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 43Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
77.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
80.6%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:3484% → 88%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
83.9%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 11Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+6
84.0%
Tate Carney run for 6 yds to the WAKE 17Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+2
83.5%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
84.3%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 22Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-4
84.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Alex Howard for a loss of 4 yards to the WAKE 18Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
83.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for no gain to the WAKE 18Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+13
87.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 37 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 13 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:5717% → 32%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
82.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 30 yds to the WAKE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
81.3%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the WAKE 9Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
81.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 6 yds to the WAKE 3Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
67.9%
Star Thomas 3 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:3032% → 57%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
68.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
69.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 3 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+8
69.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 8 yds to the WAKE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
66.8%
Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
66.1%
Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the WAKE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
66.1%
Jaquez Moore run for 18 yds to the WAKE 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
66.1%
MURPHY, Maalik pass short up the middle incomplete intended for MOORE, Jordan thrown to the WAKEF0. PENALTY WAKEF Holding on MULL, Jaxon enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the WAKEF4 to the WAKEF2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.6%
Maalik Murphy 2 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 6:2354% → 55%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
54.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
52.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 9 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
56.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
57.2%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WAKE 35Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+4
53.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 4 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+11
54.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
50
+3
59.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
59.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the DUKE 46Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
58.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 7 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
59.6%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the DUKE 37Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
59.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the DUKE 37Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-2
58.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 39Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
55.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:1450% → 48%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.8%
Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the DUKE 25Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
48.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 3 yds to the DUKE 28Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+7
49.9%
Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the DUKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
48.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 5 yds to the DUKE 40Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
45.6%
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 38Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
48.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
52.1%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:5857% → 51%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
56.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+16
55.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for 16 yds to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
57.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 16Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 27
OWN 16
+18
54.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 18 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-6
54.6%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Wesley Williams and TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
51.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the DUKE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 1:2251% → 96%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
49.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jake Taylor for 8 yds to the DUKE 32Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+6
46.1%
Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
46.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 7 yds to the DUKE 45Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
44.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 2 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+8
44.6%
Star Thomas run for 8 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
42.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jake Taylor for 6 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+39
4.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 39 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 39 yds for a TD
-38.6
TD · Q4 12:57
Maalik Murphy 2 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick)
-23.5
TD · Q3 0:36
Star Thomas 3 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick)
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com