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WAKE

Wake Forest 14 at Miami 42

MIA
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:42 · Ivan Mora punt for 33 yds, downed at the WAKE 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+11.6Home team on offense+7.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+1.5Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:31: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 36 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:50: Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Mishael Powell return for 76 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +3.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:04: Andres Borregales 25 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +1.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:58: Cam Ward run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Ward pass to Elijah Arroyo for Two-Point Conversion) — MIA win probability +7.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:24: Jordan Lyle run for 18 yds for a TD Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Lyle) to the WAKE 0 (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 1:52MIA 4th & 22 at WAKE 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:21WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:49WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:04MIA 4th & 7 at WAKE 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:46WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:21MIA 4th & 17 at MIA 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:09WAKE 4th & 6 at MIA 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:31WAKE 4th & 7 at MIA 30, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:55MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 10, up 6
    Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:25WAKE 4th & 3 at MIA 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−2.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:02MIA 4th & 6 at WAKE 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:42WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 10, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:08WAKE 4th & 1 at MIA 15, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:32MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:31WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:50MIA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:58MIA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:24MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:53MIA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 6:2095% → 94%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
94.7%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the MIA 16Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
94.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 8 yds to the MIA 24Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+3
94.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds to the MIA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
94.4%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 12 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
94.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 12 yds to the WAKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
94.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
94.2%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
94.1%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
93.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
93.9%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+4
93.7%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the WAKE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
93.6%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the WAKE 13Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
94.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 13 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:006% → 8%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.8%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Wesley Bissainthe for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 24Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
93.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
93.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 17 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
93.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 42Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
93.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 9 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
93.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 13 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
91.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 36 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:3792% → 92%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 13 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.3%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 43Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+13
92.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 13 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+34
92.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 34 yds to the WAKE 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
92.1%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the WAKE 7Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.0%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
91.8%
(02:11) WARD, Cameron pass to the right complete for 7 yards to RESTREPO, Xavier caught at the WFU0 and advanced to the WFU0, TOUCHDOWN MIA, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:09 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on GEORGE, Jacolby enforced 15 yards to the WFU22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
0
91.5%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 22
+40
91.6%
Andres Borregales 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4INT TD
18 plays · 57 yds · 9:008% → 10%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
91.4%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
91.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 36Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
90.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 5 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
90.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for 3 yds to the WAKE 44Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
90.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
89.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 5 yds to the MIA 49Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+5
89.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
89.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the MIA 43Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+9
88.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
88.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds to the MIA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
87.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the MIA 18Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+6
87.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the MIA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
87.2%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 13Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-5
87.2%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 18Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 16
OPP 18
-76
90.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Mishael Powell return for 76 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:3090% → 89%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
89.5%
Jordan Lyle run for 10 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
90.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+11
90.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 11 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
89.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 2 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+7
89.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 7 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
89.3%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
89.5%
(03:57) WARD, Cameron pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to RESTREPO, Xavier caught at the WFU20 and advanced to the WFU20 (SLOCUM, Evan), out of bounds, clock 03:53. PENALTY Before the snap, MIA Illegal Formation on RESTREPO, Xavier enforced 5 yards from the WFU24 to the WFU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+2
89.3%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
89.1%
Cam Ward pass intercepted Quincy Bryant return for no gain to the WAKE 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0612% → 12%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
88.0%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
87.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
87.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, downed at the MIA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7FG
17 plays · 71 yds · 1:3987% → 90%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
86.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 13 yds to the MIA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
86.2%
(01:27) WARD, Cameron pass to the left complete for 3 yards to ARROYO, Elijah caught at the MIA32 and advanced to the MIA38 (DAVIS, Jasheen), clock 01:23. PENALTY MIA Holding on RESTREPO, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the MIA35 to the MIA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+16
85.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 16 yds to the MIA 41Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
86.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
87.0%
Miami Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 42Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+31
87.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 31 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
88.9%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WAKE 25Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
88.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 5 yds to the WAKE 20Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+12
88.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 12 yds to the WAKE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
89.1%
Cam Ward run for 1 yd to the WAKE 7Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.1%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.5%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
89.5%
Andres Borregales 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1312% → 12%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 25Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
88.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds, downed at the MIA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:1689% → 86%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
88.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for no gain to the MIA 15Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
88.2%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIA 21Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+10
87.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 10 yds to the MIA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
88.0%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the MIA 38Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
88.9%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.6%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-7
88.2%
Cam Ward sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 35Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 17
OWN 35
0
86.7%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 17
OWN 35
+28
86.2%
Dylan Joyce punt for 46 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 28 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5716% → 16%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
83.9%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 47Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
84.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+2
84.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the MIA 49Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
84.5%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 yds, downed at the MIA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:0686% → 87%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
85.8%
Damien Martinez run for 13 yds to the MIA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
86.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the MIA 22Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+15
86.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 15 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
86.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · -10 yds · 4:2419% → 17%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the MIA 33Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
80.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+3
81.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+10
82.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 10 yds to the MIA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
78.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the MIA 18Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-5
78.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (DeVonte Gordon) to the MIA 23Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-8
79.7%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Mishael Powell for a loss of 8 yards to the MIA 31Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 21
OPP 31
-7
82.0%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Ahmad Moten Sr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 38Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 28
OPP 38
-5
83.4%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (DeVonte Gordon) to the MIA 43Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 33
OPP 43
0
83.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 39 yds, downed at the MIA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2185% → 84%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
85.0%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the MIA 6Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
85.5%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 10Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 4
OWN 10
0
85.1%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
84.4%
Dylan Joyce punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the MIA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2322% → 22%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
77.7%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the MIA 41Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
77.5%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the MIA 40Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+3
77.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the MIA 37Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-7
78.5%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Rueben Bain Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2188% → 86%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.5%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
87.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
87.9%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
87.7%
Jordan Lyle run for 9 yds to the WAKE 36Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-5
87.1%
Miami Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 41Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
87.0%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
85.8%
Dylan Joyce punt for 39 yds, downed at the WAKE 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1119% → 17%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
80.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 5Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
82.1%
Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 8Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+2
83.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WAKE 10Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
83.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 33 yds, downed at the WAKE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:3590% → 98%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+30
89.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 30 yds to the WAKE 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
90.2%
Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the WAKE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
90.5%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WAKE 1Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.4%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the WAKE 1Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Cam Ward run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Ward pass to Elijah Arroyo for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2598% → 100%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.2%
Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the WAKE 21Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
98.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jordan Lyle for 3 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+18
99.6%
Jordan Lyle run for 18 yds for a TD Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Lyle) to the WAKE 0 (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:131% → 1%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
99.3%
Michael Kern sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 6 yards to the MIA 45Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+8
99.3%
Michael Kern run for 8 yds to the MIA 37Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+13
99.3%
Michael Kern pass complete to Harry Lodge for 13 yds to the MIA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.2%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.3%
Tate Carney run for 9 yds to the MIA 15Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Michael Kern pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Tate Carney run for no gain to the MIA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 7 yds to the MIA 22Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+61
99.8%
Jordan Lyle run for 61 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Jordan Lyle run for 2 yds to the WAKE 15Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 15 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Ty Clark III run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Ty Clark III run for 6 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Ty Clark III run for 1 yd to the WAKE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:58
Cam Ward run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Ward pass to Elijah Arroyo for Two-Point Conversion)
+7.6
TD · Q2 7:50
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Mishael Powell return for 76 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q4 6:24
Jordan Lyle run for 18 yds for a TD Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Lyle) to the WAKE 0 (Andres Borregales KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com