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CHSO

Charleston Southern 7 at Florida State 41

FSU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:23 · Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Isaiah Gordon
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+0.6Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+31.1Blowout margin+16.8Garbage-time factor+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:42: Ryan Fitzgerald 25 yd FG GOOD — CHSO win probability +0.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:05: Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Amaree Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:26: Caziah Holmes run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:42: Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 71 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:47: Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CHSO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 9:59CHSO 4th & 7 at FSU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:14FSU 4th & 20 at FSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:50CHSO 4th & 14 at CHSO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:42FSU 4th & 6 at CHSO 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:40CHSO 4th & 3 at FSU 31, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:49FSU 4th & 19 at FSU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:14CHSO 4th & 14 at CHSO 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:53CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:55FSU 4th & 4 at CHSO 4, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:51CHSO 4th & 14 at FSU 24, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:23CHSO 4th & 10 at FSU 10, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:23CHSO 4th & 10 at FSU 10, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CHSO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 4:05FSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:26FSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:42FSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:47FSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:24FSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:57CHSO Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CHSODrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:543% → 3%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
Jamil Bishop run for 4 yds to the CHSO 29Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
97.4%
Autavius Ison run for a loss of 1 yard to the CHSO 28Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.3%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Cooper Dawson for 2 yds to the CHSO 30Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
97.2%
(13:00) Brown,Gilbert punt 51 yards to the FSU19 McCoy,Lawayne return for loss of 1 yard to the FSU18 (Jennings,Noah) PENALTY FSU Roughing The Kicker (Little Jr.,Earl) 15 yards from CSU30 to CSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.2%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Tyree Taylor for 2 yds to the CHSO 47Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+15
97.1%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Ison,Autavius rush left for 2 yards loss to the CSU45 (Knowles II,Kevin) PENALTY FSU Face Mask (Jackson Jr.,Darrell) 15 yards from CSU47 to FSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
97.0%
Autavius Ison run for 3 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
96.8%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Jamil BishopSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
96.8%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the FSU 35Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
96.7%
Gilbert Brown punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:3597% → 95%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
96.7%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 3 yds to the FSU 1Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+4
96.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FSU 5Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+9
96.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
96.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the FSU 20Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
96.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for no gain to the FSU 20Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+4
96.1%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Malik Benson for 4 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
96.0%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 21 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
96.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Samuel Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the FSU 42Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-7
95.8%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Darrius Bell for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 35Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 20
OWN 35
0
95.5%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Amaree WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 20
OWN 35
+2
95.4%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 54 yds , Noah Jennings returns for 2 yds to the CHSO 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:244% → 5%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
95.6%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Lancaster,Josiah) 5 yards from CSU13 to CSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 15
OWN 8
-1
95.5%
Tyson Greenwade run for a loss of 1 yard to the CHSO 7Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 16
OWN 7
-3
95.4%
Kaleb Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CHSO 4Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 19
OWN 4
+5
95.3%
Autavius Ison run for 5 yds to the CHSO 9Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 14
OWN 9
+8
95.1%
Gilbert Brown punt for 52 yds , Lawayne McCoy returns for 8 yds to the FSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:0195% → 95%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
95.2%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 7
50
+14
95.1%
Kam Davis run for 14 yds to the CHSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+25
95.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 25 yds to the CHSO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
94.9%
Kam Davis run for 2 yds to the CHSO 9Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
94.9%
Kam Davis run for 3 yds to the CHSO 6Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-1
94.7%
Kam Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CHSO 7Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
94.5%
Ryan Fitzgerald 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:536% → 8%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Autavius Ison run for no gain to the CHSO 25Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
94.3%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Noah Jennings for 22 yds to the CHSO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
93.7%
Tyson Greenwade run for 4 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+11
93.3%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Chris Rhone for 11 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
93.0%
Autavius Ison run for 1 yd to the FSU 37Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
92.8%
Autavius Ison run for 3 yds to the FSU 34Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+3
92.4%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Tyree Taylor for 3 yds to the FSU 31Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
92.4%
Reid Montgomery 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4393% → 92%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
93.0%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 6 yds to the FSU 37Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+9
93.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
93.1%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Kam DavisSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-9
92.7%
Florida State Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 19
OWN 37
+13
92.1%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 52 yds , Noah Jennings returns for 13 yds to the CHSO 24 Noah Jennings fumbled, recovered by FSU Shawn MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:3393% → 94%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
93.3%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CHSO 25Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
93.1%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Ja'Khi DouglasSimilar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+14
92.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 14 yds to the CHSO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
92.9%
Kam Davis run for 6 yds to the CHSO 5Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
92.7%
Kam Davis run for 1 yd to the CHSO 4Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
94.0%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Amaree Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:456% → 6%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.9%
Autavius Ison run for 3 yds to the CHSO 28Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-8
93.5%
Jamil Bishop run for a loss of 8 yards to the CHSO 20Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
93.9%
Autavius Ison run for 1 yd to the CHSO 21Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+3
94.3%
Gilbert Brown punt for 49 yds , BJ Gibson returns for 3 yds to the FSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 1:4096% → 95%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
95.5%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 3 yds to the FSU 36Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+14
95.1%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
50
+29
95.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 29 yds to the CHSO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
94.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the CHSO 16Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
94.4%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Landen ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+7
93.4%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Amaree Williams for 7 yds to the CHSO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
95.1%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to BJ Gibson for 6 yds to the CHSO 3Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.3%
Caziah Holmes run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.0%
Autavius Ison run for 4 yds to the CHSO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
98.3%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 71 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:452% → 2%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Autavius Ison run for no gain to the CHSO 25Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.1%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Tyree Taylor for 14 yds to the CHSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
97.8%
Autavius Ison run for 3 yds to the CHSO 42Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Autavius Ison run for no gain to the CHSO 42Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Jamil BishopSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Gilbert Brown punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5798% → 100%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.4%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 19Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
98.4%
Luke Kromenhoek run for 6 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
98.4%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Kromenhoek,Luke pass incomplete short right to Benson,Malik thrown to FSU35 PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Fowler,Trayson) 15 yards from FSU25 to FSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
98.5%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 20 yds to the CHSO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
98.6%
Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Joshua Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the CHSO 43Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+38
98.5%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 38 yds to the CHSO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
98.6%
(08:55) No Huddle Davis,Kam rush left for 4 yards gain to the CSU01 (North,Ja'Kobe) PENALTY FSU Holding (Thomas,Landen) 10 yards from CSU05 to CSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
98.7%
Kam Davis run for 5 yds to the CHSO 10Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 14INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Autavius Ison for 7 yds to the CHSO 32Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.7%
Autavius Ison run for 6 yds to the CHSO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-15
99.8%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Kaleb pass complete short right to Jennings,Noah caught at CSU45, for 8 yards to the CSU46 (Rawls,Ja'Bril) PENALTY CSU Clipping (Ison,Autavius) 15 yards from CSU38 to CSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 25
OWN 23
+9
99.7%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Landon Sauers for 9 yds to the CHSO 32Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 16
OWN 32
-2
99.7%
Tyson Greenwade run for a loss of 2 yards to the CHSO 30Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+31
99.7%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Chris Rhone for 31 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.7%
Tyson Greenwade run for 1 yd to the FSU 38Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-57
99.8%
Kaleb Jackson pass intercepted Ashlynd Barker return for 57 yds to the CHSO 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Landen ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.8%
Kam Davis run for 4 yds to the CHSO 12Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+7
99.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Landen Thomas for 7 yds to the CHSO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Lawayne McCoy run for 1 yd to the CHSO 4Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.8%
(01:12) PENALTY FSU False Start (Washington,Darius) 5 yards from CSU04 to CSU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.8%
Kam Davis run for 5 yds to the CHSO 4Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete to Darion WilliamsonSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+23
99.8%
Jake Weinberg 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:550% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Quay Kindell for 14 yds to the CHSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Noah Jennings for no gain to the CHSO 39Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the CHSO 42Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Noah Jennings for 7 yds to the CHSO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Chris Rhone for 18 yds to the FSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Tyree Taylor for 9 yds to the FSU 24Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Tyson Greenwade run for 4 yds to the FSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
99.9%
Jamil Bishop run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 24Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Landon SauersSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Landon Sauers for no gain to the FSU 24Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Reid Montgomery 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Brock Glenn run for 6 yds to the FSU 30Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 10 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to BJ Gibson for 8 yds to the FSU 48Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+13
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Darion Williamson for 13 yds to the CHSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Brock Glenn run for 4 yds to the CHSO 35Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+17
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 17 yds to the CHSO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the CHSO 28Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Roderick Hawkins run for 4 yds to the CHSO 32Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Quay Kindell for 4 yds to the CHSO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Kaleb Jackson run for 7 yds to the CHSO 43Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Roderick Hawkins run for 5 yds to the CHSO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
100.0%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Tyree Taylor for 13 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Brandon MuschSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
100.0%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Quay Kindell for 11 yds to the FSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
99.9%
Isaiah Gordon run for 12 yds to the FSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Isaiah Gordon for 3 yds to the FSU 13Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Jaden Scott for 6 yds to the FSU 7Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Landon Sauers for 7 yds for a TD (Reid Montgomery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+25
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass complete to Fred Highsmith for 25 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Quay KindellSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Fred HighsmithSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Cooper DawsonSimilar
Q4 0:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Isaiah GordonSimilar
Q4 0:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson pass incomplete to Isaiah GordonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Trever Jackson run for 2 yds to the FSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:42
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 71 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 4:05
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Amaree Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q3 7:47
Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com