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MIA

Miami 23 at Georgia Tech 28

GT
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:28 · (00:28) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at CANES8 (team loss of 2).
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:02: Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 5 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +4.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:46: Aaron Philo pass complete to Chase Lane for 15 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +12.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:43: Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MIA win probability +20.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 13:09: Haynes King run for 5 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +16.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:07: Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 38 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +26.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:31GT 4th & 5 at GT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47MIA 4th & 5 at GT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:00MIA 4th & 6 at GT 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:54GT 4th & 1 at GT 20, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:27MIA 4th & 3 at GT 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:38GT 4th & 12 at GT 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:17MIA 4th & 1 at GT 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−3.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:04MIA 4th & 16 at GT 22, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.9 ptsWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%−2.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:32GT 4th & 4 at GT 34, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:49MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 24, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:00GT 4th & 3 at GT 40, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 12:49GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:59MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:02GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:46GT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:43MIA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:09GT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:07MIA Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 2:0626% → 28%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
25.9%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 14Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+65
26.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 65 yds to the MIA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
26.8%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the MIA 16Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
27.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 16 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:5073% → 73%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.5%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 26Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
27.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 74 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2327% → 28%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
27.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 19Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
27.5%
Aaron Philo pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
27.8%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
27.7%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for no gain to the MIA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3572% → 71%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.0%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
28.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
27.7%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+21
28.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 21 yds to the GT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
28.0%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
28.1%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 5 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
28.5%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
28.6%
Andres Borregales 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 10:4529% → 38%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
28.6%
Haynes King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 23Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
28.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 9 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
29.1%
Malik Rutherford run for 4 yds to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
29.4%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
30.3%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the GT 45Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
30.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 2 yds to the GT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
31.1%
Haynes King run for 4 yds to the MIA 49Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
31.6%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the MIA 44Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
31.6%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the MIA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
32.1%
Haynes King run for no gain to the MIA 42Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
32.4%
Aaron Philo run for 1 yd to the MIA 41Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+12
31.6%
Aaron Philo run for 12 yds to the MIA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
33.0%
Haynes King run for 1 yd to the MIA 28Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+21
33.3%
Chad Alexander run for 21 yds to the MIA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
33.6%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 12Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
33.8%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 8 yds to the MIA 4Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
34.1%
Chad Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 5Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 5 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0263% → 63%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.7%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
35.8%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
36.7%
(10:50) WARD, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for RESTREPO, Xavier thrown to the GT49. PENALTY GT Holding on HARVEY, Ahmari enforced 10 yards from the CANES37 to the CANES47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
35.6%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
35.7%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
36.0%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
37.4%
Dylan Joyce punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0638% → 39%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
38.2%
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd to the GT 12Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+7
38.6%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the GT 19Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
38.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 1 yd to the GT 20Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
38.9%
David Shanahan punt for 47 yds, downed at the MIA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:0561% → 59%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
39.1%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 37Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
38.5%
Cam Ward run for 7 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
38.4%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 7 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+8
37.9%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
38.4%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the GT 36Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
38.3%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
39.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
38.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 31Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+6
38.5%
Cam Ward run for 6 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+2
39.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 2 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
41.4%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:3445% → 44%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
45.1%
Chad Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 21Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
44.7%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
44.4%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+2
43.7%
David Shanahan punt for 43 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 2 yds to the MIA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:4656% → 55%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
43.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 9 yds to the MIA 37Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+9
41.8%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.3%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
42.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 1 yd to the MIA 47Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
43.2%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
44.9%
Dylan Joyce punt for 44 yds, downed at the GT 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:1445% → 47%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+30
44.5%
Haynes King run for 30 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.8%
Aaron Philo run for no gain to the GT 39Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
46.9%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the GT 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:4354% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
46.3%
Damien Martinez run for 14 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
45.2%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the MIA 47Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
43.2%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the MIA 48Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
44.3%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the GT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
43.8%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the GT 48Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
45.0%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the GT 41Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
44.7%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
46.8%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 4:2751% → 74%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
50.6%
Haynes King run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
50
+9
56.2%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 9 yds to the MIA 41Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
57.4%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
58.0%
Trey Cooley run for 8 yds to the MIA 28Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+12
58.9%
Haynes King run for 12 yds to the MIA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
60.2%
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd to the MIA 15Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
60.8%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
73.6%
Aaron Philo pass complete to Chase Lane for 15 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 3:5829% → 51%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
70.7%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
71.4%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 9 yds to the MIA 26Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
70.5%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the MIA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
70.4%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 8 yds to the MIA 37Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
69.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 7 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
70.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 14 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
69.4%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+18
71.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 18 yds to the GT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
69.6%
WARD, Cameron pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GEORGE, Jacolby thrown to the GT5. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on TOBE, Zachary enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the GT8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
48.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3461% → 87%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
61.1%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 16 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
65.0%
Trey Cooley run for 4 yds to the GT 45Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
65.7%
Trey Cooley run for 3 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
64.6%
COOLEY, Trey rush up the middle for no gain to the GT48 (MOTEN, Ahmad). PENALTY CANES Face mask on CLARK, C.J. declined CANES Targeting on MOTEN, Ahmad enforced 15 yards from the GT48 to the CANES37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
66.7%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 41 fumbled, recovered by GT Haynes King H. King return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 41
-4
65.7%
Haynes King run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+27
63.8%
Aaron Philo pass complete to Bailey Stockton for 27 yds to the MIA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
68.4%
Haynes King run for 9 yds to the MIA 9Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+4
70.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Trey Cooley for 4 yds to the MIA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.7%
Haynes King run for 5 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:0516% → 11%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
83.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 23 yds to the MIA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
81.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 22 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
79.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Mark Fletcher Jr. for 14 yds to the GT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.2%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
80.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds to the GT 13Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+1
81.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the GT 12Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 6
OPP 12
0
87.2%
(10:22) WARD, Cameron pass to the right complete for 12 yards to HORTON, Isaiah caught at the GT0 and advanced to the GT0, TOUCHDOWN CANES, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:10 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY CANES Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass declined CANES Holding on MAUIGOA, Francis enforced 10 yards from the GT12 to the GT22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 16
OPP 22
-6
89.2%
Cam Ward sacked by Thomas Gore and Trenilyas Tatum for a loss of 6 yards to the GT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3291% → 93%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
91.1%
Haynes King run for no gain to the GT 28Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
91.4%
Aaron Philo pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
92.7%
David Shanahan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:1710% → 38%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
89.7%
Cam Ward sacked by Kyle Efford for a loss of 10 yards to the MIA 12Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 20
OWN 12
0
89.7%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+12
90.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Mark Fletcher Jr. for 12 yds to the MIA 24Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+16
90.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 16 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
89.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 12 yds to the GT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
89.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 10 yds to the GT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
62.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 38 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:0182% → 92%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.2%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the GT 17Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
83.4%
Anthony Carrie run for no gain to the GT 17Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+16
83.0%
Aaron Philo pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 16 yds to the GT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
85.9%
Trey Cooley run for 5 yds to the GT 38Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
89.0%
Trey Cooley run for 4 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-2
89.3%
Haynes King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 40Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
92.1%
David Shanahan punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0417% → 17%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
83.2%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
83.5%
Cam Ward sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 17 Cam Ward fumbled, recovered by GT Jordan van den Berg , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:0495% → 97%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
95.0%
Trey Cooley run for 2 yds to the MIA 15Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
95.0%
Haynes King run for no gain to the MIA 15Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+11
94.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 11 yds to the MIA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
95.8%
(01:13) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at CANES6 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
96.7%
(00:28) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at CANES8 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:07
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 38 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
-26.7
TD · Q3 2:43
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-20.9
TD · Q4 13:09
Haynes King run for 5 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
+16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com