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LOU

Louisville 33 at Clemson 21

CLEM
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 9 yds to the LOU 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:42: Tyler Shough 4 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick) — LOU win probability +7.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Keyjuan Brown 1 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick) — LOU win probability +10.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:53: Brock Travelstead 49 Yd Field Goal — LOU win probability +9.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:00: Phil Mafah 3 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick) — CLEM win probability +10.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:50: Isaac Brown 45 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick) — LOU win probability +8.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 11 of 12LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:46CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:33LOU 4th & 3 at CLEM 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.4%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:30CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:39LOU 4th & 3 at CLEM 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:47CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:35CLEM 4th & 17 at LOU 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:43CLEM 4th & 9 at LOU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:45LOU 4th & 13 at CLEM 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.7
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−7.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:12CLEM 4th & 18 at CLEM 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−3.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:47LOU 4th & 1 at CLEM 23, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%−3.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−13.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:53CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 34, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.9%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:53LOU 4th & 9 at CLEM 32, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:44CLEM 4th & 6 at LOU 7, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−10.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:01LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 23, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:46CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 47, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:45CLEM 4th & 2 at LOU 22, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−3.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:20CLEM 4th & 1 at LOU 10, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:07CLEM 4th & 1 at LOU 1, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:43LOU 4th & 13 at CLEM 45, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 3LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:16CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:42LOU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:43LOU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:00CLEM Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:50LOU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:07CLEM Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5485% → 84%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
84.6%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 22Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-5
84.5%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Marcus Tate) to the CLEM 17Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
84.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for no gain to the CLEM 17Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+3
84.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 3 yds to the CLEM 20Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
83.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 42 yds, downed at the LOU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 5:0716% → 18%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
83.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the LOU 46Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
83.7%
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
83.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-3
83.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 48Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+22
83.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 22 yds to the CLEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
83.0%
Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the CLEM 28 Isaac Brown fumbled, forced by Peter Woods, recovered by LOU Isaac BrownSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
82.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 2 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-5
82.6%
Louisville Penalty, False Start (Ahmari Huggins-Bruce) to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 11
OPP 31
-5
82.4%
Shough, Tyler pass complete to Bell, Chris for 7 yards to the CLEMSON24, PENALTY LOUISVILLE illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+13
82.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 13 yds to the CLEM 23Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
82.1%
Brock Travelstead 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0382% → 82%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
82.4%
Louisville Penalty, Delay of Game (Dezmond Tell) to the CLEM 28Similar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 5
OWN 28
0
82.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-3
82.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 25Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
81.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+5
81.6%
Aidan Swanson punt for 43 yds , Ahmari Huggins-Bruce returns for 5 yds to the LOU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:4618% → 19%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+47
81.8%
Chris Bell run for 47 yds to the CLEM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
81.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the CLEM 10Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
80.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 3 yds to the CLEM 7Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
80.9%
Clemson Penalty, Delay of Game (DeMonte Capehart) to the CLEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.7%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Nate KuriskySimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Jahlil McClainSimilar
Q1 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.8%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Chris BellSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
80.7%
Brock Travelstead 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1581% → 83%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.7%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
80.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
80.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 8 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
80.3%
Phil Mafah run for 8 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-1
80.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 42Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
80.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 2 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
79.9%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
80.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 22 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
80.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the LOU 25Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+13
80.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 13 yds to the LOU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
82.6%
Antonio Williams 12 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:5818% → 18%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
81.8%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 22Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
81.8%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete Louisville Penalty, Illegal Shift (Jaleel Skinner) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+13
82.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 13 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.4%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Chris BellSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
81.6%
Louisville Penalty, False Start (Mark Redman) to the LOU 30Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
81.7%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Nate KuriskySimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
82.1%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
82.3%
Carter Schwartz punt for 44 yds, downed at the CLEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:1881% → 79%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
81.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+9
81.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 9 yds to the CLEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
81.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 1
50
+3
81.8%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
81.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds to the LOU 40Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
81.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the LOU 38Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
81.4%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the LOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
81.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
81.4%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the LOU 35Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-9
81.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tristan Leigh for a loss of 9 yards to the LOU 44Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
79.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ahmari Huggins-Bruce at the LOU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 2:3319% → 30%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+38
80.7%
Isaac Brown run for 23 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Jeadyn Lukus) to the LOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
79.2%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 49Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
78.9%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+15
79.2%
Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Brooks, Ja'Corey, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Terrell, Avieon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
78.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Duke Watson for 31 yds to the CLEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
77.8%
Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the CLEM 4Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for no gain to the CLEM 4Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.5%
Tyler Shough 4 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:4973% → 71%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
72.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+24
72.8%
Phil Mafah run for 24 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
74.4%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
74.2%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 2
50
+5
73.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 5 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
74.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 12 yds to the LOU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
74.6%
Cole Turner run for 1 yd to the LOU 32Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
74.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
72.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+6
71.4%
Nolan Hauser 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Stanquan Clark Hauser, Nolan field goal attempt from 49 blocked, recovered by LOUISVILLE McDonald, Tamarion at LOUISVILLE47 spot at LOUISVILLE47 (blocked by Clark, Stanquan), Clark, Stanquan for 6 yards to the CLEMSON47. Stanquan Clark return for 6 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:5534% → 46%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
66.2%
Isaac Brown run for 12 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
65.0%
Isaac Brown run for 23 yds to the CLEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
64.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Ahmari Huggins-BruceSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
64.5%
Isaac Brown run for 7 yds to the CLEM 5Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
65.3%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the CLEM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.4%
Keyjuan Brown 1 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:3657% → 53%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 5 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
55.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 4 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
55.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
54.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
53.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 10 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:0944% → 56%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.7%
Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the LOU 27Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
54.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 9 yds to the LOU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
54.0%
Isaac Brown run for 16 yds to the CLEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
52.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 6 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
50.8%
Isaac Brown run for 7 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
49.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 13 yds to the CLEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
49.3%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
49.4%
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 25Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
50.0%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Ahmari Huggins-BruceSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
43.9%
Brock Travelstead 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2047% → 44%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.4%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the CLEM 25Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
46.2%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Jordan Guerad and Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 8 yards to the CLEM 17Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
44.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+3
44.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 36 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 3 yds to the LOU 20 Louisville Penalty, Illegal Block (D'Angelo Hutchinson) to the LOU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:1862% → 72%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
38.1%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 41Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+11
37.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the CLEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
35.8%
Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+14
35.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the CLEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
34.0%
Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the CLEM 31Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
33.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for no gain to the CLEM 31Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+8
32.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 8 yds to the CLEM 23Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+40
27.9%
Brock Travelstead 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4531% → 29%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.0%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
31.4%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
30.4%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 34Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
28.9%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5378% → 88%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
22.0%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
21.8%
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the CLEM 32Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
21.2%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Chris BellSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
11.9%
Brock Travelstead 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 6:0320% → 11%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
18.2%
Phil Mafah run for 10 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
18.6%
Clemson Penalty, Illegal Touching (Jake Briningstool) to the CLEM 37Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
18.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+6
16.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
16.2%
Phil Mafah run for 14 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
16.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the LOU 32Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
16.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+11
15.5%
Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the LOU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
15.7%
Phil Mafah run for 10 yds to the LOU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
13.4%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the LOU 9Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
11.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the LOU 7Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
10.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr. Clemson Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tristan Leigh) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
10.5%
Nolan Hauser 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by D'Angelo Hutchinson Hauser, Nolan field goal attempt from 24 blocked, recovered by LOUISVILLE TEAM at LOUISVILLE0 spot at LOUISVILLE0 (blocked by Hutchinson, D'Angelo), touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3494% → 95%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
5.8%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 23Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
5.3%
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the LOU 23Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
4.9%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Keyjuan Brown Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trevonte Sylvester) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
5.1%
Carter Schwartz punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
17 plays · 61 yds · 4:518% → 15%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
7.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
7.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
7.6%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 47Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+6
7.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 6 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
7.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+17
7.2%
Phil Mafah run for 17 yds to the LOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
7.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
7.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 8 yds to the LOU 22Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
7.3%
Jay Haynes run for no gain to the LOU 22Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+7
6.8%
Antonio Williams run for 7 yds to the LOU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
7.0%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the LOU 8Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
6.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
6.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 4 yds to the LOU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
5.5%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the LOU 3Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.5%
Phil Mafah 3 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
2.0%
Isaac Brown 45 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:303% → 8%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
3.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 19 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
3.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 7 yds to the LOU 49Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
3.4%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+23
3.2%
Phil Mafah run for 23 yds to the LOU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
3.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Myles Jernigan for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 21Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+11
3.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 11 yds to the LOU 10Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
3.3%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the LOU 10Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
3.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd to the LOU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
3.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 8 yds to the LOU 1Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.2%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the LOU 1Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.0%
Phil Mafah 1 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:2396% → 97%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
3.9%
Louisville Penalty, False Start (Renato Brown) to the CLEM 47Similar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
3.1%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the CLEM 46Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+3
3.2%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 11
OPP 43
-2
3.2%
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 45Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
3.2%
Brady Hodges punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 67 yds · 1:392% → 4%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
2.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+12
2.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 12 yds to the CLEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
2.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 11 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
2.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 12 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
2.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+10
2.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 10 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
3.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 8 yds to the LOU 27Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+5
3.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 5 yds to the LOU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
3.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
3.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 9 yds to the LOU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:43
Keyjuan Brown 1 Yd Run (Brock Travelstead Kick)
-10.9
TD · Q4 6:00
Phil Mafah 3 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
+10.1
FG · Q3 3:53
Brock Travelstead 49 Yd Field Goal
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com