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WAKE

Wake Forest 27 at Stanford 24

STAN
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:27 · Aidan Flintoft punt for 41 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 36 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense+1.3Garbage-time factor−1.0Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:44: Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +9.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:58: Tevarua Tafiti 44 Yd Fumble Return (Emmet Kenney Kick) — STAN win probability +7.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:01: Emmet Kenney 40 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +10.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:41: Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 16 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +27.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:48: Matthew Dennis 23 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +33.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:48STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47WAKE 4th & 22 at WAKE 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:29STAN 4th & 17 at WAKE 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:49WAKE 4th & 4 at STAN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:24WAKE 4th & 17 at STAN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:05WAKE 4th & 17 at WAKE 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:18STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:10WAKE 4th & 13 at WAKE 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−2.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:34WAKE 4th & 1 at STAN 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−3.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−11.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:39STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:27STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:48WAKE 4th & 4 at STAN 5, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.9%−2.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−38.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:47WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:49WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:44STAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:58STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:55WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:41STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1250% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.9%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 6 yds to the STAN 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
50.0%
Micah Ford run for 2 yds to the STAN 33Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
50.1%
Elijah Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
50.1%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 2:5350% → 49%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
50.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 6 yds to the WAKE 20Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+15
50.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 15 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
50.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 19 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
50.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-5
50.0%
(12:07) BACHMEIER, Hank pass up the middle complete for 11 yards to MORIN, Taylor caught at the STAN30 and advanced to the STAN30 (DAVIS, Darrius), clock 12:01. PENALTY WAKE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GULBIN, Matt enforced 5 yards from the STAN41 to the STAN46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-15
50.1%
(11:46) BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 14 yards to FIELDS, Horatio caught at the STAN38 and advanced to the STAN32 (MORRIS, Aaron), out of bounds, clock 11:40. PENALTY WAKE Pass Interference on FIELDS, Horatio enforced 15 yards to the WAKE39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 25
OWN 39
+3
50.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 22
OWN 42
0
50.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 22
OWN 42
0
50.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hank Bachmeier at the STAN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3451% → 51%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
50.6%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 3 yds to the STAN 18Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-5
50.7%
Elijah Brown sacked by Branson Combs and Jasheen Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:2850% → 52%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
50.2%
Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+30
48.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:1848% → 45%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.8%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
48.1%
(08:25) BROWN, Elijah pass deep to the left intercepted by ANDERSEN, Nick at the WAKE40 intended for AYOMANOR, Elic. Andersen return for 37 yards to the STAN23 (LEYRER, Jack), out of bounds, clock 08:13. PENALTY WAKE Pass Interference on STEVENSON, Zamari enforced 15 yards to the STAN45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
48.4%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Micah Ford for 8 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-8
48.5%
run for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 45 Elijah Brown fumbled, recovered by STAN return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+10
47.4%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Sam Roush for 10 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
48.1%
Elijah Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
47.9%
Micah Ford run for 12 yds to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
48.5%
Ashton Daniels run for 12 yds to the WAKE 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
48.4%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 26Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+1
48.1%
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the WAKE 25Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 14
OPP 25
0
46.6%
Elijah Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 14
OPP 25
-3
46.1%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 28Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
45.1%
Emmet Kenney 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:3454% → 61%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
46.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 7 yds to the WAKE 35Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
45.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
45.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 6 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
44.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
45.1%
Tate Carney run for 14 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
44.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the STAN 40Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
44.2%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the STAN 39Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+39
39.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tate Carney for 39 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:5937% → 46%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
36.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ryan Butler for 3 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+17
36.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 17 yds to the WAKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
37.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+15
37.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 15 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
37.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds to the WAKE 22Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
36.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 7 yds to the WAKE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
36.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 14 yds to the WAKE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.0%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:3756% → 51%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
44.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 22Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
44.2%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
43.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
42.9%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Tobin Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+8
43.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 8 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+9
42.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 9 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
41.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 8
50
+44
48.9%
Tevarua Tafiti 44 Yd Fumble Return (Emmet Kenney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:3449% → 53%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
50.7%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
50.6%
Stanford Penalty, Roughing the Passer on STAPLES, Omar enforced (15 Yards) to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-20
48.1%
(07:45) CLAIBORNE, Demond rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the STAN43 (LEIGBER, Mitch), clock 07:38. PENALTY WAKE Personal Foul on GULBIN, Matt enforced 20 yards from the WAKE48 to the WAKE28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 25
OWN 33
+37
50.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 37 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
46.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+13
46.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 13 yds to the STAN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
46.3%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 13Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
46.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 1 yd to the STAN 12Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-5
47.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GORDON, DeVonte enforced (-5 Yards) to the STAN 17Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
48.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
47.3%
Matthew Dennis 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 11 yds to the STAN 36 fumbled, recovered by WAKE Nick Andersen N. Andersen return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2156% → 61%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
44.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
42.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
44.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the STAN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
42.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 8 yds to the STAN 18Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+18
39.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 1:5340% → 47%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.8%
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
38.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 4 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
38.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 14 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
39.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+7
41.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
40.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 17 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
41.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
41.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
39.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 12 yds to the WAKE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
41.2%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Branson Combs and Kevin Pointer for a loss of 10 yards to the WAKE 22Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+40
46.6%
Emmet Kenney 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
47.6%
(00:01) [NH] Kneel down by BACHMEIER, Hank at WAKE24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5463% → 63%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
37.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 12 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
36.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 17 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
34.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WAKE 44Similar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 20
OWN 44
-3
36.0%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Tevarua Tafiti and Tobin Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 41Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 23
OWN 41
-6
36.7%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Tobin Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 35Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 29
OWN 35
+12
38.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 12 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
37.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4638% → 36%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
37.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the STAN 21Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
37.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
37.2%
Ryan Butler run for no gain to the STAN 26Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
35.8%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 3:0565% → 65%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
35.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 21Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
35.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
33.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the WAKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
33.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 15 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
30.7%
(08:07) QB Keeper BACHMEIER, Hank rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the STAN49 (FRANKLIN, Anthony), clock 08:00. PENALTY WAKE Holding on GORDON, DeVonte enforced 10 yards from the WAKE43 to the WAKE33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 20
OWN 33
-5
33.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, Illegal Snap on PETITBON, Luke enforced (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 28Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 25
OWN 28
0
33.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 25
OWN 28
+12
34.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 12 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
33.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 25Similar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
34.8%
(07:05) DANIELS, Ashton pass short up the middle incomplete intended for ROUSH, Sam broken up by HAZEN, Dylan at the STAN30, clock 07:01. PENALTY STAN Personal Foul on PALE, Simione enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the STAN25 to the STAN13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17INT
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:2735% → 34%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 22
OWN 13
-2
34.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Chris Davis Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 11Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 24
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted Zamari Stevenson return for no gain to the STAN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:5471% → 74%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
28.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the STAN 40Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
28.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 9 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
27.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
27.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+2
26.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 2 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
25.4%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the STAN 21Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
25.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 14 yds to the STAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
24.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the STAN 6Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
24.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
25.3%
(02:10) BACHMEIER, Hank pass short to the right incomplete intended for LODGE, Harry thrown to the STAN2, clock 02:05. PENALTY STAN Offsides on BAILEY, David enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the STAN6 to the STAN3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
25.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tate Carney for 2 yds to the STAN 1Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.4%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the STAN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 7:4831% → 61%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
31.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the STAN 6Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+11
30.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 11 yds to the STAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
29.8%
(00:12) DANIELS, Ashton scrambles to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the STAN26 (POINTER, Kevin), out of bounds, clock 00:06. PENALTY Before the snap, STAN Illegal Motion on MOSLEY V, Emmett enforced 5 yards from the STAN17 to the STAN12. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+8
29.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 8 yds to the STAN 20Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
29.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 4 yds to the STAN 24Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
28.4%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the STAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
29.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ryan Butler for 8 yds to the STAN 37Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+8
31.6%
Ryan Butler run for 8 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
31.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-12
33.5%
run for a loss of 12 yards to the STAN 41 fumbled, recovered by STAN Ashton Daniels A. Daniels return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+8
27.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 8 yds to the STAN 49Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+8
27.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
31.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
33.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 12 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
33.0%
Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the WAKE 16Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
60.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 16 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5052% → 49%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
48.3%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the WAKE 32Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
48.9%
(08:12) BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 14 yards to MORIN, Taylor caught at the WAKE46 and advanced to the WAKE46 (WRIGHT, Collin), clock 08:04. PENALTY WAKE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on TROST, Keagen enforced 5 yards from the WAKE32 to the WAKE27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
50.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Brandon Nicholson return for no gain to the STAN 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:0553% → 51%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
52.6%
Ryan Butler run for 22 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
56.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the STAN 46Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-1
57.7%
Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 45Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
55.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+36
51.4%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 41 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 36 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:2656% → 90%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+8
44.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 8 yds to the STAN 42Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
43.2%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
43.8%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+6
40.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 6 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
40.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 3 yds to the STAN 25Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Stanford Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Gaethan Bernadel) to the STAN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
40.4%
Tate Carney run for 4 yds to the STAN 7Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
38.5%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the STAN 5Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
43.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
10.2%
Matthew Dennis 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:2020% → 19%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
20.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 15 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
22.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 4 yds to the STAN 44Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
21.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
21.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 2 yds to the WAKE 46Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
19.9%
(00:56) DANIELS, Ashton pass to the right incomplete intended for BACHMEIER, Tiger thrown to the WAKE38, clock 00:54. PENALTY WAKE Offsides on DAVIS, Jasheen enforced 5 yards from the WAKE46 to the WAKE41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
24.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
20.2%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
20.5%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
19.1%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted Nick Andersen return for no gain to the WAKE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0494% → 94%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
6.0%
(00:21) [NH] Kneel down by BACHMEIER, Hank at WAKE9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:20.Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-1
6.1%
(00:19) [NH] Kneel down by BACHMEIER, Hank at WAKE8 (team loss of 1), clock 00:17.Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 12
OWN 8
-1
6.4%
(00:17) [NH] Kneel down by BACHMEIER, Hank at WAKE7 (team loss of 1), clock 00:15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:48
Matthew Dennis 23 yd FG GOOD
-33.2
TD · Q4 8:41
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 16 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+27.8
FG · Q2 0:01
Emmet Kenney 40 yd FG GOOD
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com