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CLEM

Clemson 24 at Pittsburgh 20

PITT
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:20 · Phil Mafah run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 45 Phil Mafah fumbled, recovered by CLEM
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 180Pregame prior−2.7Home team on offense−6.8Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:18: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 28 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 10:55: Ben Sauls 35 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +6.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:05: Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 8 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +32.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:36: Ben Sauls 47 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +36.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:16: Cade Klubnik run for 50 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +78.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 10 of 12CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:59PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:00CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:07PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:24CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:42PITT 4th & 14 at CLEM 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:45CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11PITT 4th & 22 at CLEM 41, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:26CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:54PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:56PITT 4th & 9 at CLEM 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:12CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:19CLEM 4th & 21 at CLEM 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−3.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:45PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:27CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:07PITT 4th & 1 at CLEM 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−3.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−4.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:55PITT 4th & 16 at CLEM 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−6.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:36CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:20CLEM 4th & 1 at PITT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−12.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−11.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:36PITT 4th & 22 at CLEM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−13.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−24.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:04PITT 4th & 1 at CLEM 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−17.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−20.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:20CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:22PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:18CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:05PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−1.0
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:16CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4482% → 81%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.9%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
18.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
18.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
18.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
18.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+10
18.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 10 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
18.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 4 yds to the PITT 44Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-2
19.0%
Cade Klubnik sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 46 Cade Klubnik fumbled, recovered by PITT Rasheem Biles , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0320% → 20%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
19.5%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 49Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
19.8%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-2
19.6%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 47Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
19.8%
Caleb Junko punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:3680% → 81%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
19.9%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 8Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+20
20.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 20 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
20.3%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Phillip O'Brien Jr.) to the PITT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
20.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 11 yds to the PITT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
20.1%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the PITT 23Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+10
20.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 10 yds to the PITT 13 Cade Klubnik fumbled, recovered by CLEM Antonio Williams A. Williams return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
20.7%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 14Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
19.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5620% → 24%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
19.7%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 24 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+43
20.4%
Desmond Reid run for 43 yds to the CLEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.0%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
21.0%
Daniel Carter run for 4 yds to the CLEM 4Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
21.1%
(05:29) YARNELL, Nate pass short to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Kenny thrown to the TIGERS0, clock 05:27. PENALTY TIGERS Pass Interference on TERRELL, Avieon enforced 2 yards to the TIGERS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.0%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:2077% → 75%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
22.9%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 22Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
23.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 13 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
23.2%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 33Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
23.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+2
24.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-2
24.6%
Aidan Swanson punt for 44 yds , Desmond Reid returns for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:4225% → 25%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
24.6%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jake Overman for 11 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
25.2%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 24Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+9
25.3%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 9 yds to the PITT 33Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
25.6%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
25.2%
Caleb Junko punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3775% → 74%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
25.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 12 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
24.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 34Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+10
25.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 10 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-3
24.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Kyle Louis for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 41Similar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
26.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Desmond Reid at the PITT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:4927% → 27%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
27.0%
Daniel Carter run for 12 yds to the PITT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
27.6%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
28.1%
Nate Yarnell sacked by Barrett Carter and Payton Page for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 33Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
27.8%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
27.4%
Caleb Junko punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0273% → 79%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.1%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+45
27.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 45 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
21.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 28 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:3523% → 23%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
23.0%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 31Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+30
22.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 30 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
24.7%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 40Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-3
24.5%
Nate Yarnell sacked by Cade Denhoff for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 43Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
23.5%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
22.8%
Caleb Junko punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5377% → 77%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
23.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 4 yds to the CLEM 16Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
22.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
22.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
23.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Desmond Reid at the PITT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:3223% → 23%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
23.3%
Nate Yarnell sacked by Peter Woods and Jahiem Lawson for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 35Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+6
22.8%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+17
23.1%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 17 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
25.1%
Daniel Carter run for 13 yds to the CLEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
26.3%
Kenny Johnson run for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-10
26.5%
(05:16) YARNELL, Nate pass short up the middle incomplete intended for MUMPFIELD, Konata broken up by BROWN, Sammy at the TIGERS25; QB hurried by HOFFLER, A.J., clock 05:11. PENALTY PITT Holding on BROWN, Jackson enforced 10 yards from the TIGERS27 to the TIGERS37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 18
OPP 37
-4
24.5%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 41Similar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 22
OPP 41
0
24.0%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 22
OPP 41
+59
23.2%
Ben Sauls 59 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4178% → 78%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
21.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Sincere Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the CLEM 32Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 19
OWN 32
-2
22.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Josh Sapp for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+5
22.9%
KLUBNIK, Cade pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOORE, T.J. broken up by MCMILLON, Donovan at the PITT46, clock 02:43. PENALTY PITT Offsides on EDWARDS, Sincere enforced 5 yards from the TIGERS30 to the TIGERS35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+5
22.9%
(02:40) KLUBNIK, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WESCO JR., Bryant broken up by GANDY, Ryland at the PITT47, clock 02:36. PENALTY PITT Offsides on THOMPSON, Keye enforced 5 yards from the TIGERS35 to the TIGERS40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+5
21.8%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offsides (Nate Matlack) to the CLEM 45Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
21.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
22.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Desmond Reid at the PITT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 1:3724% → 23%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
23.6%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the PITT 12Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+16
22.3%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 16 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
22.8%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 27Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-6
22.5%
Nate Yarnell sacked by Peter Woods and Jahiem Lawson for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 21Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+15
22.5%
YARNELL, Nate pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MUMPFIELD, Konata thrown to the PITT40, clock 01:20. PENALTY TIGERS Targeting on BROWN, Sammy enforced 15 yards from the PITT21 to the PITT36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
24.0%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the PITT 44Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
25.5%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-2
25.1%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 42Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+13
23.6%
Caleb Junko punt for 43 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 13 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
22.5%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:4477% → 81%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+9
23.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 9 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-4
22.3%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Kyle Louis for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 28Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+11
27.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 11 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
24.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 3 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
24.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 9 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
23.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
23.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 16 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+51
18.8%
Nolan Hauser 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.2%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0120% → 19%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
19.7%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 22 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
21.2%
Desmond Reid run for 10 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
21.2%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 4 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-3
21.0%
Nate Yarnell sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 42Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
20.4%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
19.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:3781% → 80%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
19.5%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 10Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
19.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+17
20.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the CLEM 12 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Brandon George) to the CLEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
18.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
19.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+5
18.8%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
18.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
18.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
20.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Desmond Reid at the PITT 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:3219% → 21%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
18.6%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+34
18.4%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 34 yds to the CLEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
20.9%
Nate Yarnell sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the PITT 47 Nate Yarnell fumbled, recovered by CLEM Jahiem Lawson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:0582% → 80%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
17.9%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-4
17.7%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 45Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-13
18.2%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Brandon George for a loss of 13 yards to the CLEM 42Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 21
OWN 42
0
19.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 50 yds , Desmond Reid returns for no gain to the PITT 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3317% → 17%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
17.4%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 6 yds to the PITT 14Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 4
OWN 14
0
17.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
17.4%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+1
17.1%
Caleb Junko punt for 50 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 1 yd to the CLEM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0882% → 83%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
17.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-1
17.6%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 35Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+10
18.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 10 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-5
17.0%
Clemson Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CLEM 40Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
17.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Desmond Reid at the PITT 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23FG
22 plays · 68 yds · 8:3014% → 18%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
13.7%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for no gain to the PITT 16Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
13.5%
Desmond Reid run for no gain to the PITT 16Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+27
13.1%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 27 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
14.6%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the PITT 49Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
14.7%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 3
50
+6
13.9%
Nate Yarnell run for 6 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
14.9%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
14.8%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+6
14.5%
Nate Yarnell run for 6 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
13.2%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
15.8%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 12 yds to the CLEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
16.0%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+19
16.0%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 19 yds to the CLEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
15.1%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 3Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
15.0%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 2 yds to the CLEM 1Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
12.8%
(12:21) DAVIS JR., Derrick rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the TIGERS2 (WOODS, Peter), clock 12:18. PENALTY Before the snap, PITT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TIGERS1 to the TIGERS6. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
12.8%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CLEM 11Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
12.5%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 16Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
11.6%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+35
18.4%
Ben Sauls 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1984% → 82%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
18.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 33 yds, downed at the PITT 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:1919% → 56%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
18.8%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 39Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+7
18.5%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 7 yds to the PITT 46Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+8
19.3%
Desmond Reid run for 8 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
21.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the CLEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
23.5%
(08:28) YARNELL, Nate pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LEE, Censere broken up by TERRELL, Avieon at the TIGERS7, clock 08:24. PENALTY TIGERS Pass Interference on TERRELL, Avieon enforced 15 yards to the TIGERS19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
23.6%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for no gain to the CLEM 19Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
23.3%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds to the CLEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.8%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 8 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:4354% → 55%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
44.3%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MATLACK, Nate enforced (Nate Matlack) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
50
+5
40.6%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the PITT 45Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
40.5%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
41.1%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the PITT 41Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-4
45.1%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 45 Phil Mafah fumbled, recovered by CLEMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27FG
15 plays · 26 yds · 2:3857% → 85%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
56.9%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the PITT 46Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
56.7%
(03:52) YARNELL, Nate sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the PITT43 (CRAYTON, Dee), clock 03:47. PENALTY TIGERS Personal Foul on CRAYTON, Dee enforced 15 yards from the PITT46 to the TIGERS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
57.1%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
59.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 44Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+13
56.7%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 13 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+14
59.3%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 14 yds to the CLEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
64.1%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the CLEM 16Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-5
62.0%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Gavin Bartholomew) to the CLEM 21Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 14
OPP 21
0
60.3%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for no gain to the CLEM 21Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 14
OPP 21
-8
53.4%
Nate Yarnell sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 8 yards to the CLEM 29Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 22
OPP 29
+47
84.7%
Ben Sauls 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2015% → 95%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 18 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
83.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 3
50
+50
5.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 50 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29DOWNS
12 plays · 73 yds · 1:0613% → 14%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
13.2%
Nate Yarnell sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 23Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+14
15.0%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 14 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
12.5%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds to the PITT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
14.1%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
13.5%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+17
11.5%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 17 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
15.5%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 9 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
17.5%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
15.4%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
14.1%
Nate Yarnell pass intercepted Khalil Barnes return for no gain to the CLEM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:16
Cade Klubnik run for 50 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
-78.4
FG · Q4 1:36
Ben Sauls 47 yd FG GOOD
+36.5
TD · Q4 7:05
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 8 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
+32.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com