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SYR

Syracuse 33 at California 25

CAL
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:34 · Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−9.2Pregame prior+17.3Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:37: LeQuint Allen run for 30 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:52: LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:06: Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +9.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:54: Jaydn Ott run for 15 yds for a TD (Derek Morris KICK) — CAL win probability +16.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:54: Timeout California, clock 08:54 — SYR win probability +8.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 8:54SYR 4th & 4 at CAL 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:19SYR 4th & 9 at CAL 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:57SYR 4th & 2 at CAL 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:47SYR 4th & 1 at CAL 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:34CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:30SYR 4th & 3 at CAL 12, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−1.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−10.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00CAL 4th & 13 at SYR 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:47SYR 4th & 2 at CAL 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:53SYR 4th & 6 at CAL 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:03CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:34SYR 4th & 22 at CAL 42, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:43CAL 4th & 9 at SYR 26, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−7.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:09SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:41CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:12SYR 4th & 5 at CAL 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:37SYR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:19CAL Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:52SYR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:06SYR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:54CAL Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:01CAL Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 5:5824% → 26%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
76.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 13 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
76.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
76.0%
Jaden Hart run for 5 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+12
75.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 12 yds to the CAL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
75.6%
(12:42) Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass complete short left to Pena,Trebor caught at CAL40, for 4 yards to the CAL39 (Williams,Nohl), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Offside (Fall,Cheikhsaliou) 5 yards from CAL43 to CAL38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 5
OPP 38
-1
75.5%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 39Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+15
75.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 15 yds to the CAL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
75.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the CAL 23Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
74.8%
Trebor Pena run for 8 yds to the CAL 15Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+3
74.8%
Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the CAL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
74.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 6 yds to the CAL 6Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
74.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
74.4%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
74.3%
Jackson Kennedy 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5174% → 74%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
74.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 6 yds to the CAL 41Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
74.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 40Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+13
74.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 13 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
74.6%
Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the SYR 46Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-10
74.4%
(06:50) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYR42 (Watson,Maraad) PENALTY CAL Holding (McDonald,Will) 10 yards from SYR46 to CAL44. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4327% → 29%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
72.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 15 yds to the CAL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
72.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 8 yds Trebor Pena fumbled, recovered by SYR J'Onre ReedSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+9
72.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 9 yds to the CAL 24Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
72.4%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (LeQuint Allen) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
70.9%
Jackson Kennedy 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1972% → 72%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
71.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 10 yds to the CAL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5TD
15 plays · 69 yds · 5:0129% → 41%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
70.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 35Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+12
70.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
69.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the CAL 49Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
68.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
68.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds to the CAL 45Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+4
69.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Dan Villari for 4 yds to the CAL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
68.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
68.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+9
67.9%
Kyle McCord run for 9 yds to the CAL 32Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+1
68.0%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the CAL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
66.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the CAL 30Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+30
59.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 30 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1264% → 67%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Corey DychesSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
67.3%
Jaivian Thomas run for 75 yds for a TD (Derek Morris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2133% → 46%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.8%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
66.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 10 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
65.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+24
65.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 24 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
63.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 26 yds to the CAL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
63.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the CAL 7Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-5
62.7%
PENALTY SYR False Start (Villari,Dan) 5 yards from CAL07 to CAL12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+11
62.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 11 yds to the CAL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.1%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the CAL 1Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0954% → 52%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the CAL 25Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.3%
Mikey Matthews run for 4 yds to the CAL 29Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
52.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
52.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:1947% → 68%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
52.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
51.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+40
50.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 40 yds to the CAL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
48.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 4 yds to the CAL 15Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
47.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the CAL 12Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
47.1%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the CAL 12Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+6
42.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 6 yds to the CAL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
32.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10MISSED FG
19 plays · 63 yds · 3:5339% → 30%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
38.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the CAL 8Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+24
38.8%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 24 yds to the CAL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
36.4%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 30Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+20
34.8%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
50
-8
37.0%
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 8 yards to the CAL 42Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+13
34.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 13 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
33.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 5 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
35.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott for no gain to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
34.8%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+10
33.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches for 10 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
35.1%
(00:24) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass complete short left to Matthews,Mikey caught at SYR15, for 12 yards to the SYR15, out of bounds at SYR15 PENALTY CAL Holding (Williams III,Frederick) 10 yards from SYR27 to SYR37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+2
33.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 2 yds to the SYR 35Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 18
OPP 35
0
32.2%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Trond GrizzellSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+5
30.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+48
29.8%
Derek Morris 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 5:1232% → 41%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
31.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 13 yds to the CAL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.1%
Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 20Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
32.0%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
31.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 13 yds to the CAL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
31.9%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 7 yds to the CAL 40Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-2
30.8%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 38Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+11
27.4%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 11 yds to the CAL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
27.6%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 15 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
25.6%
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Devin Grant for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 40Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+12
24.0%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 12 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+5
25.0%
Jaivian Thomas run for 5 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
24.9%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 6 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
24.1%
Jonathan Brady run for 2 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
40.5%
Jaydn Ott run for 15 yds for a TD (Derek Morris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 3:4768% → 79%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
31.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
31.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+12
31.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
27.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 3
50
-5
26.5%
(06:56) No Huddle Allen,LeQuint rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAL49 (Woodson,Craig; Keanaaina,Aidan) PENALTY SYR Illegal Motion (Allen,LeQuint) 5 yards from SYR50 to SYR45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+6
24.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 6 yds to the CAL 49Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
24.0%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+20
25.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 20 yds to the CAL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
22.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
22.7%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+4
22.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 4 yds to the CAL 25Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
20.8%
Jackson Kennedy 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3923% → 21%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.5%
Mikey Matthews run for 3 yds to the CAL 28Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
21.7%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jordan KingSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
21.3%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Trond GrizzellSimilar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
21.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 4:2981% → 87%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
19.3%
(04:03) PENALTY SYR False Start (Bradford,Jakob) 5 yards from SYR25 to SYR20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
19.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 6 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
18.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
18.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 10 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
16.9%
Trebor Pena run for 10 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
15.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
15.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 11 yds to the CAL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
12.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 13 yds to the CAL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
11.4%
Kyle McCord sacked by Teddye Buchanan for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 32Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
11.3%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
-15
11.3%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass complete short left to Pena,Trebor caught at CAL32, for 1 yard to the CAL31 (Littlejohn,Matthew) PENALTY SYR Pass Interference (Gadsden II,Oronde) 15 yards from CAL32 to CAL47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 27
OPP 47
+5
11.9%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
13.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:3611% → 13%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+53
10.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 53 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
12.8%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+2
11.6%
Fernando Mendoza run for 2 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
10.6%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jaydn OttSimilar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
13.2%
Ryan Coe 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2688% → 90%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
10.6%
Trebor Pena run for 4 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
10.3%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass complete short middle to Ross-Simmons,Justus caught at SYR34, for 3 yards to the SYR34 (Barth,Hunter) PENALTY SYR Illegal Touch-Pass (Ross-Simmons,Justus) 5 yards from SYR31 to SYR26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
10.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2312% → 9%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
11.5%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
11.2%
Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 33Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-4
8.8%
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 4 yards to the CAL 29Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
9.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 6:1794% → 98%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
6.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+4
6.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+4
5.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds to the SYR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
5.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
4.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+12
4.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
3.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the CAL 48Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
3.7%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the CAL 48Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+14
3.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 14 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST down California Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
3.0%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the CAL 34Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
3.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 15 yds to the CAL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
2.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the CAL 14Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
2.0%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
1.8%
Jackson Kennedy 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:071% → 7%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
1.0%
(03:02) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete deep middle to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to SYR40 PENALTY SYR Roughing The Passer (Barron,Justin) 15 yards from CAL25 to CAL40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
1.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 17 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
1.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 13 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
1.2%
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Rashard Perry for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 32Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-4
1.1%
(01:58) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete deep left to Merriweather,Tobias thrown to SYR00 PENALTY CAL Illegal Forward Pass (Mendoza,Fernando) 4 yards from SYR32 to SYR36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+16
0.9%
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches for 16 yds to the SYR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
1.1%
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jonathan BradySimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+15
1.0%
Fernando Mendoza run for 15 yds to the SYR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.6%
Jonathan Brady 5 Yd pass from Fernando Mendoza (Jack Endries Pass to Fernando Mendoza for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5897% → 97%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
2.8%
K. McCord takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 12
50
-1
2.9%
K. McCord takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-2
2.6%
K. McCord takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:54
Jaydn Ott run for 15 yds for a TD (Derek Morris KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q2 4:06
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q3 8:54
Timeout California, clock 08:54
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com