Try the model
GT

Georgia Tech 41 at North Carolina 34

UNC
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Kenan Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:45 · Jacolby Criswell run for 9 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense−25.0Pregame prior−1.5Garbage-time factor−9.7Score differential−9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:46: Haynes King run for 7 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +14.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:18: Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +17.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:27: Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +33.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:44: Noah Burnette 26 yd FG GOOD — UNC win probability +30.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Jamal Haynes run for 68 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +47.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:39GT 4th & 6 at UNC 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:17UNC 4th & 7 at UNC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:36GT 4th & 17 at GT 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:02UNC 4th & 9 at GT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:36GT 4th & 9 at UNC 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:25UNC 4th & 15 at UNC 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:05UNC 4th & 5 at GT 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:47UNC 4th & 10 at GT 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:10GT 4th & 5 at GT 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:59GT 4th & 4 at UNC 32, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:45UNC 4th & 6 at UNC 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:27UNC 4th & 1 at GT 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−5.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−11.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:45GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44UNC 4th & 9 at GT 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−15.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−34.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:12GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:36UNC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:54GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:34UNC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:46GT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:18GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:27UNC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:16GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1662% → 61%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
38.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Avery Boyd for 11 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
38.1%
Jamal Haynes run for 9 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+8
38.1%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 8 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
38.1%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the UNC 45Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
38.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
38.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
38.8%
David Shanahan punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:3739% → 40%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
38.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 7Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+7
38.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 7 yds to the UNC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
38.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the UNC 15Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+4
38.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 4 yds to the UNC 19Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+24
38.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 24 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
39.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
39.0%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 43Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
40.3%
Jacolby Criswell sacked by Syeed Gibbs for a loss of 5 yards to the UNC 38 Jacolby Criswell fumbled, recovered by GT Jordan van den Berg , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:5061% → 64%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
39.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Ryland Goede for 16 yds to the UNC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
39.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the UNC 18Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+14
39.4%
Haynes King run for 14 yds to the UNC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
39.4%
Zach Pyron run for 1 yd to the UNC 3Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
39.3%
Chad Alexander run for 1 yd to the UNC 2Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.4%
Chad Alexander run for 2 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5537% → 36%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 3 yds to the UNC 28Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
36.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
36.4%
Tom Maginness punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:4163% → 62%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
36.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 36Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
36.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for no gain to the GT 36Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-5
36.8%
PENALTY GAT False Start (Franklin,Weston) 5 yards from GAT36 to GAT31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
37.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 12
OWN 31
-5
37.6%
Shanahan,David punt 63 yards to the UNC06 PENALTY GAT Illegal Formation 5 yards from GAT31 to GAT26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
37.7%
David Shanahan punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:0037% → 44%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+53
36.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 53 yds to the GT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
38.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Criswell,Jacolby pass incomplete deep left to Nesbit,Bryson thrown to GAT01 PENALTY GAT Pass Interference (Gibbs,Syeed) 15 yards from GAT25 to GAT10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
38.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the GT 1Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.0%
Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0059% → 57%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Chad Alexander run for no gain to the GT 25Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
41.9%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.7%
David Shanahan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNC 39 , Alijah Huzzie returns for 7 yds to the UNC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:3443% → 44%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
43.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the UNC 48Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+11
44.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 11 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
44.3%
Jacolby Criswell run for 15 yds to the GT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
45.3%
Caleb Hood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
45.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the GT 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
44.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
43.8%
Noah Burnette 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Rodney ShelleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:2658% → 61%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 27Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
42.2%
Malik Rutherford run for 10 yds to the GT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
41.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 7 yds to the GT 44Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
40.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
40.8%
Chad Alexander run for 4 yds to the UNC 48Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
40.7%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+28
40.9%
Chad Alexander run for 28 yds to the UNC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
39.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Harpring for 9 yds to the UNC 11Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
39.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the UNC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
39.8%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the UNC 1Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
39.8%
Zach Pyron run for 3 yds to the UNC 4Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
40.4%
PENALTY GAT False Start (Williams,Jordan) 5 yards from UNC04 to UNC09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
40.6%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
39.4%
Aidan Birr 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:0338% → 36%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+28
37.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 43 yds to the GT 30 North Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (J.J. Jones) to the UNC 22Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
37.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 15
OWN 22
-3
37.1%
Jacolby Criswell sacked by Sylvain Yondjouen for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 19Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 18
OWN 19
+3
36.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 3 yds to the UNC 22Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
35.9%
Tom Maginness punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:3162% → 67%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
38.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
38.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 9 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
37.6%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the UNC 44Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
37.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+10
37.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 10 yds to the UNC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
36.6%
Chad Alexander run for 5 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
36.3%
Malik Rutherford run for 9 yds to the UNC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
33.0%
Haynes King run for 20 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:2027% → 45%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+71
27.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 71 yds to the GT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
30.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the GT 1Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
31.0%
PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GAT01 to GAT06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
30.9%
Caleb Hood run for 2 yds to the GT 4Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:3161% → 66%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
39.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 37 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
36.2%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
36.3%
Haynes King run for 12 yds to the UNC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
34.8%
Haynes King run for 14 yds to the UNC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+29
34.1%
Aidan Birr 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:5537% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
37.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 2 yds to the UNC 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
36.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
35.9%
PENALTY GAT Personal Foul (Efford,Kyle) 15 yards from UNC31 to UNC46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
37.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 17 yds to the GT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
39.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the GT 36Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-13
38.8%
Jordan Shipp sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the GT 49Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 22
OPP 49
+17
35.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 17 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
36.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:1968% → 86%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
32.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 8 yds to the GT 41Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
30.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
30.7%
Chad Alexander run for 14 yds to the UNC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
30.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Avery Boyd for 8 yds to the UNC 34Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
29.3%
Haynes King run for 5 yds to the UNC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
29.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 14 yds to the UNC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
29.3%
Haynes King run for 8 yds to the UNC 7Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
14.5%
Haynes King run for 7 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:5022% → 21%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
22.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+9
22.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 9 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
23.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
23.0%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the GT 45Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
22.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 12 yds to the GT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
24.5%
Caleb Hood run for 2 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-2
22.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 33Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
20.2%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
21.3%
Noah Burnette 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3778% → 60%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.8%
Chad Alexander run for no gain to the GT 25Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 5 yds to the GT 30Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
21.8%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+69
40.2%
David Shanahan punt for 39 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 69 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5262% → 86%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+18
38.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 18 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
34.8%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
35.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 8 yds to the GT 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
34.7%
Haynes King run for 4 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
33.7%
Chad Alexander run for 5 yds to the UNC 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+27
32.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Luke Harpring for 27 yds to the UNC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
31.4%
Haynes King run for 11 yds to the UNC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
31.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the UNC 4Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
13.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
13.5%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 13 yds Nate McCollum fumbled, recovered by GT Ahmari HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0986% → 87%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
13.9%
Zach Pyron run for 3 yds to the UNC 35Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
13.2%
Chad Alexander run for 2 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+1
11.6%
Zach Pyron run for 1 yd to the UNC 32Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
12.7%
Aidan Birr 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:3212% → 47%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
11.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for 4 yds to the UNC 36Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
12.3%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 36Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
11.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+9
10.8%
Jacolby Criswell run for 9 yds to the UNC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
12.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 10 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
13.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 10 yds to the GT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
14.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 3 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+9
14.8%
Jacolby Criswell run for 9 yds to the GT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
14.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 22 yds to the GT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.8%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the GT 1Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.8%
Jacolby Criswell run for no gain to the GT 1Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.2%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the GT 1Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.0%
Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 1:4278% → 87%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.2%
PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game 5 yards from GAT25 to GAT30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
20.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
20.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
13.7%
PENALTY GAT Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GAT34 to GAT29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
15.0%
Zach Pyron run for 4 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
12.6%
David Shanahan punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:0121% → 58%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
21.4%
Jacolby Criswell run for 20 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
26.8%
Jacolby Criswell run for 11 yds to the GT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
30.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
29.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 8 yds to the GT 26Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+17
26.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 8 yds to the GT 18 for a 1ST down Georgia Tech Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Sylvain Yondjouen) to the GT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
27.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
58.2%
Noah Burnette 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2848% → 96%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.9%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 7 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
4.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 68 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:118% → 9%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
7.9%
Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 7 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
8.9%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:16
Jamal Haynes run for 68 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
-47.4
TD · Q4 3:27
Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
+33.8
FG · Q4 0:44
Noah Burnette 26 yd FG GOOD
+30.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com