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DUKE

Duke 14 at Georgia Tech 24

GT
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · (00:11) Kneel down by TEAM at DUKE34 (team loss of 1).
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:26: Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 20 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +12.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:02: Timeout Georgia Tech, clock 00:02 — GT win probability +8.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:53: Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 65 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK) — DUKE win probability +22.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:40: Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 3 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +24.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:36: Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +13.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9DUKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:52DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:34GT 4th & 2 at DUKE 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.0%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:49GT 4th & 16 at DUKE 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:35GT 4th & 1 at DUKE 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:02GT 4th & 6 at DUKE 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:13DUKE 4th & 22 at GT 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:30GT 4th & 5 at GT 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00DUKE 4th & 3 at GT 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:06DUKE 4th & 18 at GT 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:49GT 4th & 4 at DUKE 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−2.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:40DUKE 4th & 1 at GT 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−3.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−13.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:04GT 4th & 2 at GT 18, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:20GT 4th & 3 at DUKE 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−3.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57DUKE 4th & 13 at DUKE 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−4.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:03DUKE 4th & 4 at GT 26, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%−1.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:29GT 4th & 11 at GT 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3DUKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:36GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:26DUKE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:53DUKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:40GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:36GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:1679% → 79%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
78.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 11 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
78.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 10 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
78.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 9 yds to the DUKE 30Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
78.3%
Haynes King run for no gain to the DUKE 30Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
78.2%
Zach Pyron run for 4 yds to the DUKE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
78.2%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
78.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 6 yds to the DUKE 20Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+9
78.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 9 yds to the DUKE 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
78.0%
Malik Rutherford run for 4 yds to the DUKE 7Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+6
77.9%
Haynes King run for 6 yds to the DUKE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
77.8%
Haynes King run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 2Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.1%
Zach Pyron run for 2 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4421% → 21%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.6%
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the DUKE 26Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
78.8%
(08:08) MURPHY, Maalik pass short to the right incomplete intended for MOORE, Jordan thrown to the DUKE30. PENALTY GT Pass Interference on SHELLEY, Rodney enforced 15 yards to the DUKE41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
78.4%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the DUKE 44Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
78.2%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+2
78.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 2 yds to the DUKE 46Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
78.7%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:0379% → 78%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
78.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 12Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+39
78.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 39 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
79.3%
Jamal Haynes run for no gain to the DUKE 49Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
79.2%
(05:21) KING, Haynes pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SINGLETON, JR., Eric thrown to the DUKE5. PENALTY DUKE Offsides on ALADUGE, Desmond enforced 5 yards from the DUKE49 to the DUKE44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
79.4%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+3
79.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 3 yds to the DUKE 41Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+3
78.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
79.4%
Chad Alexander run for no gain to the DUKE 38Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
79.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 39Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
78.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for no gain to the DUKE 39Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 11
OPP 39
-5
78.0%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Chad Alexander) to the DUKE 44Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
77.8%
David Shanahan punt for 30 yds, downed at the DUKE 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5922% → 21%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
78.1%
Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the DUKE 18Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
78.2%
Peyton Jones run for no gain to the DUKE 18Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
78.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
78.8%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:2378% → 79%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
78.4%
Haynes King run for 1 yd to the GT 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
78.3%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+18
77.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Bailey Stockton for 18 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
79.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the DUKE 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
79.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Ryland Goede for 6 yds to the DUKE 40Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
79.0%
Haynes King run for no gain to the DUKE 40Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+3
78.5%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
79.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 5 yds to the DUKE 32Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+24
79.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 24 yds to the DUKE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
79.5%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the DUKE 6Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
78.9%
Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:4921% → 20%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.9%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the DUKE 27Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
79.2%
Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the DUKE 33Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
79.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 2 yds to the DUKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.9%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the DUKE 37Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
79.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 4 yds to the DUKE 41Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+26
78.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 26 yds to the GT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
77.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
77.4%
Peyton Jones run for no gain to the GT 33Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-7
78.2%
Maalik Murphy sacked by Jordan van den Berg for a loss of 7 yards to the GT 40Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 17
OPP 40
-5
80.1%
Duke Penalty, Delay Of Game (Eli Pancol) to the GT 45Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 22
OPP 45
0
80.2%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Rodney Shelley at the GT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3679% → 79%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
79.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 14Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-3
79.3%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 11Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+4
78.6%
Haynes King run for 4 yds to the GT 15Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+15
78.6%
David Shanahan punt for 50 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:4822% → 32%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
50
-2
78.3%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUKE 48Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
79.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+4
81.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 4 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+5
81.3%
Georgia Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the GT 43Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
80.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 4 yds to the GT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
79.2%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the GT 36Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
79.0%
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the GT 35Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+15
79.7%
Georgia Tech Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Syeed Gibbs) to the GT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
67.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 20 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
75.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 8 yds to the GT 27Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+17
75.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 17 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:4431% → 27%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
69.1%
Duke Penalty, False Start (Eli Pancol) to the GT 37Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
70.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+6
70.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 6 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+6
70.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 6 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 3
OPP 25
-15
71.1%
(13:15) MURPHY, Maalik pass deep to the right complete for 21 yards to MOORE, Jordan caught at the GT4 and advanced to the GT4, End of Play. PENALTY DUKE Pass Interference on MOORE, Jordan enforced 15 yards to the GT40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 18
OPP 40
0
72.9%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Rodney Shelley at the GT 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:0673% → 74%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
72.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 12Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+14
72.9%
Haynes King run for 14 yds to the GT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
72.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
73.1%
Duke Penalty, Offsides (Chandler Rivers) to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
73.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 7 yds to the GT 43Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
73.8%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 8 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
75.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Isiah Canion for 4 yds to the DUKE 45Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
75.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Anthony Carrie for 2 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
75.1%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
73.5%
David Shanahan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Que'Sean Brown at the DUKE 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:0328% → 32%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
71.9%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 8Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+20
72.0%
Star Thomas run for 20 yds to the DUKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
70.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
71.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 7 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
70.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 6 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
68.5%
Peyton Jones run for 17 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
67.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Javon Harvey for 12 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
66.0%
Peyton Jones run for 12 yds to the GT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
65.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
65.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+9
67.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 9 yds to the GT 9Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-1
68.0%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3371% → 69%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
71.4%
Jamal Haynes run for 7 yds to the GT 17Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+1
71.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the GT 18Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
69.7%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+6
68.8%
David Shanahan punt for 53 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 6 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
46.8%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 65 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 7:0650% → 78%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
50.2%
Haynes King sacked by Aaron Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 14Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+16
49.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 16 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
50.1%
Jamal Haynes run for 3 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
50.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Ryland Goede for 5 yds to the GT 38Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+17
51.1%
Chad Alexander run for 17 yds to the DUKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
53.6%
Chad Alexander run for 6 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-1
53.3%
Chad Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 40Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
52.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Chad Alexander for 2 yds to the DUKE 38Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+7
50.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 7 yds to the DUKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
55.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 11 yds to the DUKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
54.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 11 yds to the DUKE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
53.8%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the DUKE 3Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.4%
Haynes King run for no gain to the DUKE 3Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 3 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4329% → 26%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
71.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 22Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
71.8%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
73.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
73.8%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rodney Shelley at the GT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:2175% → 93%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
75.0%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the GT 32Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
75.1%
(09:24) KING, Haynes pass to the left incomplete intended for SINGLETON, JR., Eric thrown to the GT42. PENALTY DUKE Offsides on ANTHONY JR., Vincent enforced 5 yards from the GT32 to the GT37 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+10
77.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 10 yds to the GT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
77.6%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 4 yards to the GT 43Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+9
75.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 9 yds to the DUKE 48Similar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
79.3%
Chad Alexander run for 22 yds to the DUKE 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
79.0%
Chad Alexander run for 2 yds to the DUKE 9Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
92.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+15
92.5%
(06:28) KING, Haynes pass short to the left incomplete intended for RUTHERFORD, Malik thrown to the DUKE45. PENALTY DUKE Roughing the Passer on STONE, DaShawn enforced 15 yards from the DUKE48 to the DUKE33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:338% → 8%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 11 yds to the DUKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
90.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 7 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+8
90.3%
Star Thomas run for 8 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
89.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 17 yds to the GT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
89.5%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
89.3%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the GT 26Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
90.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
91.9%
Todd Pelino 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
15 plays · 22 yds · 3:2993% → 97%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
92.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
92.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 35Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
94.2%
Zach Pyron run for 3 yds to the GT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.4%
Chad Alexander run for no gain to the GT 38Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
95.5%
Chad Alexander run for 11 yds to the GT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.1%
Chad Alexander run for no gain to the GT 49Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
96.7%
Chad Alexander run for 2 yds to the DUKE 49Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+2
96.8%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 6
OPP 47
-5
96.6%
Georgia Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the GT 48Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+23
97.0%
David Shanahan punt for 36 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 23 yds to the DUKE 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
96.6%
Maalik Murphy pass intercepted Jordan Moore return for 15 yds to the DUKE 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
97.7%
(00:11) Kneel down by TEAM at DUKE34 (team loss of 1).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:40
Haynes King pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 3 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
+24.2
TD · Q3 2:53
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 65 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
-22
TD · Q4 6:36
Haynes King pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)
+13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com