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BC

Boston College 14 at Virginia 24

UVA
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · A. Colandrea takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:46: Will Bettridge 35 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +10.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Will Bettridge 33 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +10.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:29: Will Bettridge 27 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +8.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:39: Malachi Fields 30 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Andre Greene Jr. Pass to Anthony Colandrea for Two-Point Conversion) — UVA win probability +41.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:02: Jonas Sanker 40 Yd Fumble Return (Will Bettridge Kick) — UVA win probability +24.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:06UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:11UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08BC 4th & 7 at BC 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:46BC 4th & 1 at UVA 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−1.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09UVA 4th & 1 at BC 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%−1.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:46UVA 4th & 6 at BC 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:44BC 4th & 14 at UVA 38, up 11
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:22BC 4th & 9 at BC 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:40UVA 4th & 2 at BC 2, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−15.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:40UVA 4th & 2 at BC 2, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−15.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:50BC 4th & 12 at BC 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:29UVA 4th & 5 at BC 9, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−13.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:51BC 4th & 1 at BC 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:54UVA 4th & 5 at BC 29, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:38BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:08BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:39UVA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:02UVA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4054% → 54%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
53.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 10 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
54.0%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 3 yards to the UVA 27Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+2
54.0%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
54.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
54.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cameron Martinez at the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:1846% → 49%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
54.1%
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
54.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 5 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
54.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
54.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
54.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+12
54.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 12 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+34
53.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 34 yds to the UVA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
53.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the UVA 9Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
50.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1951% → 50%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.4%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Quintayvious Hutchins for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 23Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
51.1%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the UVA 24Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
50.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
50.1%
Daniel Sparks punt for 62 yds , Cameron Martinez returns for 13 yds to the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5550% → 50%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
50.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 4 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
50.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the BC 32Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-2
49.9%
Thomas Castellanos sacked by Kam Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
50.4%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Antonio Clary at the UVA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2049% → 48%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
48.7%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
48.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+6
48.0%
Anthony Colandrea run for 6 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
48.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Martinez at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0951% → 61%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
49.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Reed Harris for 27 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
47.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 7 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
47.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the UVA 48Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+7
47.0%
Jayden McGowan run for 7 yds to the UVA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
46.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+1
46.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Johnathan Montague Jr. for 1 yd to the UVA 38Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+6
46.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
46.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the UVA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
38.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 29 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7FG
18 plays · 39 yds · 8:0738% → 39%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
38.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 6 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
38.1%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
36.4%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.1%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
35.6%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+5
35.0%
PENALTY BCE Delay Of Game 5 yards from BCE43 to BCE38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-10
34.8%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Pace,Kobe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCE35 (Ezeiruaku,Donovan) PENALTY UVA Holding 10 yards from BCE38 to BCE48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+16
33.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Xavier Brown for 16 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
34.6%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Steen,Blake) 5 yards from BCE32 to BCE37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+3
33.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+4
33.8%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+7
32.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Andre Greene Jr. for 7 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
31.4%
Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
30.5%
Kameron Courtney run for 4 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+10
29.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Andre Greene Jr. for 10 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+2
29.0%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
39.0%
Will Bettridge 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:5262% → 69%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
37.8%
Turbo Richard run for 20 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
35.8%
Turbo Richard run for 9 yds to the UVA 36Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
35.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the UVA 36Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
34.4%
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the UVA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
34.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
34.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the UVA 33Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
30.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 9
OPP 33
-5
31.2%
PENALTY BCE Delay Of Game 5 yards from UVA33 to UVA38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
31.2%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9FG
16 plays · 81 yds · 1:3736% → 45%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
36.2%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the UVA 4Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+15
36.1%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete short left to Twitty,Dakota thrown to UVA07 broken up by Jackson,Amari PENALTY BCE Targeting (Johnson,Khari) 15 yards from UVA04 to UVA19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
36.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JR Wilson for 5 yds to the UVA 24Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
34.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 4 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
33.8%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
33.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
33.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 11 yds to the UVA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
34.7%
Tony Muskett pass complete to JR Wilson for 10 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
35.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JR Wilson for 18 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
37.3%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete short right thrown to BCE20 PENALTY BCE Personal Foul (McConnell,Sed) 15 yards from BCE31 to BCE16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
35.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+33
45.4%
Will Bettridge 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:2964% → 65%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
36.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
35.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
32.8%
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+7
34.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 7 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-4
32.4%
Thomas Castellanos sacked by James Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
35.2%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the UVA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11DOWNS
18 plays · 81 yds · 7:3335% → 30%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
34.8%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the UVA 24Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+5
35.1%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
34.8%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush left for 10 yards gain to the UVA39 (Crouch,Daveon), out of bounds PENALTY UVA Illegal Formation 5 yards from UVA29 to UVA24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
33.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+2
33.6%
Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+19
32.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 19 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
36.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Andre Greene Jr. for 2 yds to the UVA 47Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
36.9%
Kobe Pace run for 12 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
37.4%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
37.2%
Kameron Courtney run for 2 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+19
35.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 19 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
38.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JR Wilson for 11 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
38.0%
Anthony Colandrea run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
35.7%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
33.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Andre Greene Jr. for 6 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:4373% → 73%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
27.4%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the BC 2Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+31
27.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 31 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
23.9%
Thomas Castellanos sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 25 Thomas Castellanos fumbled, recovered by BC Jeremiah Franklin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 18
OWN 25
0
25.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 18
OWN 25
+6
26.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 12
OWN 31
+13
26.8%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 40 , Ethan Davies returns for 13 yds to the UVA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 1:5623% → 31%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
23.0%
Malachi Fields pass complete to Kobe Pace for 29 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
26.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
25.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+17
23.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 17 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
25.7%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-5
25.5%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Boley,McKale) 5 yards from BCE09 to BCE14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
25.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+5
22.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 5 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
31.2%
Will Bettridge 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1069% → 74%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.5%
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
30.2%
Jayden McGowan run for 6 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
29.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
26.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
25.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Chico Bennett Jr. return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:2432% → 73%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
50
+20
31.7%
Kobe Pace run for 20 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
73.2%
Malachi Fields 30 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Andre Greene Jr. Pass to Anthony Colandrea for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 15 yds · 4:3036% → 12%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.3%
Turbo Richard run for 7 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
61.0%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.6%
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
60.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+14
62.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 14 yds to the UVA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
58.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the UVA 46Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-10
58.1%
(07:35) Shotgun Castellanos,Thomas rush left for 22 yards gain to the UVA24 (Jackson,James), out of bounds PENALTY BCE Holding (Conley,Jack) 10 yards from UVA46 to BCE44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+10
63.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 10 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+40
87.9%
Jonas Sanker 40 Yd Fumble Return (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:118% → 8%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.1%
(06:02) PENALTY BCE Delay Of Game (Castellanos,Thomas) 5 yards from BCE25 to BCE20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
92.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 10 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
91.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
91.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
92.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5297% → 98%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
97.1%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
97.8%
Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+1
97.8%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
97.6%
Will Bettridge 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:364% → 4%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
96.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 14 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 6 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Kendren Smith return for no gain to the UVA 48Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-15
96.4%
Boston College Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Thomas Castellanos) to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:5898% → 99%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
98.4%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+22
98.6%
Kobe Pace run for 22 yds to the BC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
98.8%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
98.9%
A. Colandrea takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-1
98.9%
A. Colandrea takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:39
Malachi Fields 30 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Andre Greene Jr. Pass to Anthony Colandrea for Two-Point Conversion)
+41.5
TD · Q4 6:02
Jonas Sanker 40 Yd Fumble Return (Will Bettridge Kick)
+24.3
FG · Q2 0:00
Will Bettridge 33 yd FG GOOD
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com