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HC

Holy Cross 14 at Syracuse 42

SYR
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadHC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreHC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:29 · punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+40.0Home team on offense+7.4Score differential+4.0Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 38 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:34: Joe Pesansky pass complete to Max Mosey for 63 yds for a TD (Daniel Porto KICK) — HC win probability +1.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:45: Sam Slade pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 27 yds for a TD (Daniel Porto KICK) — HC win probability +2.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:32: Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +2.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadyn Oh KICK) — SYR win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7HC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:03HC 4th & 6 at HC 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00HC 4th & 2 at HC 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:36HC 4th & 3 at HC 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00SYR 4th & 4 at HC 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:29SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:45SYR 4th & 11 at HC 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:41HC 4th & 11 at HC 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07HC 4th & 6 at HC 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47HC 4th & 2 at HC 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:39SYR 4th & 10 at HC 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:32HC 4th & 17 at HC 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:59SYR 4th & 17 at HC 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:55HC 4th & 1 at HC 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:52HC 4th & 9 at HC 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:18SYR 4th & 10 at HC 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:26HC 4th & 16 at HC 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:30SYR 4th & 18 at HC 36, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:00HC 4th & 11 at midfield, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:11SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:02SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:54SYR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:34HC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:45HC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:32SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00SYR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:58SYR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HCDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:572% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.6%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 4 yds to the HC 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+55
97.4%
Jack Norris punt for 55 yds , Trebor Pena returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 4:5297% → 97%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
97.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
97.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
97.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 9 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+40
97.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 40 yds to the HC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the HC 29Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+11
97.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 11 yds to the HC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
97.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 7 yds to the HC 11Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
97.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds to the HC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
97.5%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 7Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 7 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.9%
Sam Slade run for 1 yd to the HC 37Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
96.9%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Alijah Cason for 2 yds to the HC 39Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
96.9%
Joe Pesansky run for 5 yds to the HC 44Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Jack Norris punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:5897% → 97%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
96.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 16 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+26
96.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 26 yds to the HC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
96.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the HC 29Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
96.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+6
96.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 6 yds to the HC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:263% → 3%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 1 yd to the HC 26Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
96.9%
Sam Slade run for 1 yd to the HC 27Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.9%
PESANSKY, Joe pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for SCHOONMAKER, Mark thrown to the HCRO47. PENALTY SYRA Offsides enforced 5 yards from the HCRO27 to the HCRO32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.9%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
96.9%
Jack Norris punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:4297% → 98%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
97.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Will Nixon for 9 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+4
97.1%
Yasin Willis run for 4 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.1%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
97.1%
Will Nixon run for 7 yds to the HC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
97.1%
Will Nixon run for 8 yds to the HC 40Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-2
97.1%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the HC 42Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
97.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+4
96.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 4 yds to the HC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 38 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:202% → 4%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.8%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 8 yds to the HC 33Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.7%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 4 yds to the HC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
96.3%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Max Mosey for 63 yds for a TD (Daniel Porto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0597% → 96%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 11 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-10
96.6%
Kyle McCord sacked by Carlo Crocetti for a loss of 10 yards to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
96.3%
punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 9TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:444% → 7%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.1%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 2 yds to the HC 28Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+11
96.2%
Joe Pesansky run for 11 yds to the HC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.1%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 1 yd to the HC 40Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+19
96.1%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Max Mosey for 19 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
95.9%
Holy Cross Penalty, False Start (Matthew Kane) to the SYR 46Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+3
96.1%
Sam Slade run for 3 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+17
96.0%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Justin Shorter for 17 yds to the SYR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
95.8%
Sam Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+27
93.2%
Sam Slade pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 27 yds for a TD (Daniel Porto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0094% → 93%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
94.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+7
94.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
94.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 3
50
+3
94.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 3 yds to the HC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
94.5%
Kyle McCord sacked by Jordan Pritchard-Sewell for a loss of 7 yards to the SYR 46Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
94.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+6
94.0%
Kyle McCord run for 6 yds to the HC 48Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
93.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds, downed at the HC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:047% → 6%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
93.2%
Jayden Clerveaux run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 1Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
93.3%
Sam Slade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
93.1%
Sam Slade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+14
93.8%
Jack Norris punt for 43 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 14 yds to the HC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 1:0994% → 96%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
93.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 6
50
+13
93.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 13 yds to the HC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
93.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 9 yds to the HC 28Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+24
94.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 24 yds to the HC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:254% → 4%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
Sam Slade run for 5 yds to the HC 30Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
95.6%
Sam Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 29Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+13
95.7%
Jack Norris punt for 34 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-19
96.3%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted Ryan Ruane return for 19 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15INT
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:0396% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+12
95.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 12 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
96.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
96.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+23
96.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 23 yds to the HC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
96.0%
MCCORD, Kyle pass deep to the left complete for 27 yards to HATCHER, Umari caught at the HCRO0 and advanced to the HCRO0, TOUCHDOWN SYRA, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:03 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SYRA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the HCRO27 to the HCRO32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 32
-10
96.0%
Syracuse Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the HC 42Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 25
OPP 42
+12
95.9%
Will Nixon run for 12 yds to the HC 30Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
96.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 13
OPP 30
0
95.8%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted Jake Jarmolowich return for no gain to the HC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:104% → 5%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
95.6%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Max Mosey for 11 yds to the HC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
95.4%
Sam Slade run for 1 yd to the HC 20Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
95.4%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+7
95.5%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Max Mosey for 7 yds to the HC 27Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
95.3%
Jack Norris punt for 51 yds, downed at the SYR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:0896% → 96%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
95.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 17 yds to the SYR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
95.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+16
96.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 16 yds to the HC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
96.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 16 yds to the HC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
96.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 8 yds to the HC 18Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
96.0%
Will Nixon run for 1 yd to the HC 17Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+1
95.8%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the HC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
96.0%
Holy Cross Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (TEAM) to the HC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
96.0%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 9Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
95.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 10Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
95.7%
Brady Denaburg 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:355% → 4%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-4
94.9%
Jayden Clerveaux run for a loss of 4 yards to the HC 11Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
94.9%
CLERVEAUX, Jayden rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the HCRO25 (SIMMONS, Chase). PENALTY Before the snap, HCRO Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the HCRO20 to the HCRO15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+2
95.5%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Alijah Cason for 2 yds to the HC 13Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
95.6%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
95.9%
Jack Norris punt for 7 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:3397% → 96%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-7
96.6%
Kyle McCord sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the HC 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SYR , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 17
OPP 27
0
96.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+45
96.1%
Brady Denaburg 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:045% → 4%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
95.5%
Joe Pesansky run for 1 yd to the HC 28Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
95.6%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 7 yds to the HC 35Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
95.3%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 1 yd to the HC 36Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
95.6%
Sam Slade run for no gain to the HC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:5597% → 99%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
97.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 30 yds to the HC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
97.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the HC 1Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadyn Oh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Alijah Cason for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
99.1%
Joe Pesansky sacked by Maraad Watson for a loss of 5 yards to the HC 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
99.1%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Maxwell Warren for 7 yds to the HC 26Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Jack Norris punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 12 yds to the HC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.3%
Yasin Willis run for 6 yds to the HC 42Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+19
99.3%
Yasin Willis run for 19 yds to the HC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
99.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
99.2%
Jadyn Oh 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 24INT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:201% → 0%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.3%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 6 yds to the HC 29Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-9
99.2%
Joe Pesansky sacked by KingJoseph Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the HC 20Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 13
OWN 20
-33
99.9%
Joe Pesansky pass intercepted Jayden Bellamy return for 33 yds for a TD (Jadyn Oh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 1 yd to the HC 26Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
99.9%
Joe Pesansky sacked by KingJoseph Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the HC 19Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+46
99.9%
Jack Norris punt for 40 yds , Davien Kerr returns for 46 yds to the HC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
99.9%
Will Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 29Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Will Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the HC 30Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-6
99.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. sacked by Cam Santee for a loss of 6 yards to the HC 36Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 18
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Jayden Clerveaux run for 1 yd to the HC 37Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+14
99.9%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Byron Shipman for 14 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Max Mosey for 5 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-6
99.9%
Joe Pesansky sacked by KingJoseph Edwards for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 11
50
0
99.9%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 11
50
0
100.0%
Jack Norris punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Ja'Meer Thomas run for 1 yd to the SYR 14Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+12
99.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Jaylan Hornsby for 12 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-10
99.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. sacked by Lathan Croley for a loss of 10 yards to the SYR 24Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+19
100.0%
Michael Johnson Jr. pass complete to Jamie Tremble for 19 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
100.0%
Jaden Hart run for 11 yds to the HC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Tyler Chandler run for 1 yd to the HC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:45
Sam Slade pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 27 yds for a TD (Daniel Porto KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q2 0:32
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q3 0:00
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadyn Oh KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com