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WKU

Western Kentucky 20 at Boston College 21

BC
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:17 · Cole Maynard punt for 60 yds, downed at the BC 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+15.6Home team on offense−11.8Score differential−5.2Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:08: Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +12.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Lucas Carneiro 22 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +10.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:36: Grayson James run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +19.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:28: (11:28) MESSER, Easton rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the WKU37 (ARNOLD, Kam), clock 11:25. PENALTY WKU Holding on LESLIE, Quantavious enforced 10 yards from the WKU27 to the WKU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — WKU win probability +12.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:33: Grayson James pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +34.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:38WKU 4th & 3 at BC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19WKU 4th & 1 at BC 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57BC 4th & 8 at BC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:38BC 4th & 8 at BC 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21BC 4th & 7 at WKU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:17WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:30BC 4th & 2 at BC 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:22WKU 4th & 1 at BC 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−4.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:10WKU 4th & 1 at BC 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−3.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:44WKU 4th & 10 at BC 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:59BC 4th & 14 at WKU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:21WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−5.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:11BC 4th & 10 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:15WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 8, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:50WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 39, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:05WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:01WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:08BC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:36BC Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:33BC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:3926% → 27%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
74.1%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+18
74.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 18 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
73.9%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-4
73.8%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+9
73.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 9 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+9
73.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to George Hart III for 9 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
73.2%
(12:14) QB Keeper VELTKAMP, Caden rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the BC23 (CROUCH, Daveon), clock 12:12. PENALTY WKU Personal Foul on LESLIE, Quantavious enforced 15 yards from the BC27 to the BC42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 25
OPP 42
-5
73.3%
(12:02) VELTKAMP, Caden pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Dalvin thrown to the BC28, clock 12:00. PENALTY WKU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on TAYLOR, Travon enforced 5 yards from the BC42 to the BC47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 30
OPP 47
+3
73.3%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 27
OPP 44
+5
73.2%
(11:30) VELTKAMP, Caden pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HUTCHINSON, K.D. thrown to the BC22, clock 11:27. PENALTY BC Offsides on HUTCHINS, Quintavious enforced 5 yards from the BC44 to the BC39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 22
OPP 39
+11
73.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 11 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+10
73.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 10 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
72.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:1373% → 72%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
73.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+11
73.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 11 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
72.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-1
72.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 31Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+1
72.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 1 yd to the BC 32Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+6
71.8%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 37 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for 6 yds to the WKU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:4628% → 34%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
71.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
71.5%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+33
71.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 33 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
70.6%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
70.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 3 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
70.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
70.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2768% → 66%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
66.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
65.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
65.6%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 45 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2634% → 35%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
65.7%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-8
65.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Easton Messer return for 8 yds to the WKU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:4867% → 67%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
67.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the WKU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
67.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the WKU 26Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-23
67.4%
Grayson James pass intercepted Keondre Williams return for 23 yds to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5137% → 46%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
63.5%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 5 yards to the WKU 48Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+1
64.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the WKU 49Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+5
63.9%
(13:49) VELTKAMP, Caden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Kisean thrown to the BC35, clock 13:48. PENALTY BC Offsides on EZEIRUAKU, Donovan enforced 5 yards from the WKU49 to the BC46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+11
62.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 11 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
62.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 23 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
61.4%
Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
54.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:3856% → 53%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
55.6%
Grayson James sacked by Terrion Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
54.8%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
54.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 12 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
55.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 16 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
55.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
54.3%
Grayson James run for no gain to the WKU 45Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
53.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
52.6%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 37 yds, downed at the WKU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4649% → 49%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
50.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
50.9%
George Hart III run for 6 yds to the WKU 14Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
50.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
50.7%
Cole Maynard punt for 60 yds, downed at the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:5750% → 58%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
49.8%
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+13
48.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 13 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
49.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Kamari Morales for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
49.3%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
49.2%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the BC 48Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+9
48.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 9 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
48.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+5
47.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 5 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
47.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 15 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
47.4%
Treshaun Ward run for 9 yds to the WKU 9Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+2
46.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the WKU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
45.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the WKU 3Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
17 plays · 71 yds · 2:0249% → 59%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.0%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
50.2%
Michael Mathison run for 6 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for no gain to the WKU 35Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
50.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 9 yds to the WKU 44Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
47.9%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
46.5%
Elijah Young run for 16 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
45.6%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the BC 31Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+13
51.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 13 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
51.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
51.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 10 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
50.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 4 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
40.7%
Lucas Carneiro 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 32 yds · 1:0047% → 49%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
47.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+25
47.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 25 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
48.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 2 yds Lewis Bond fumbled, recovered by WKU Devonte' Mathews D. Mathews return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 36 yds · 5:0155% → 69%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.6%
K.D. Hutchinson run for no gain to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
44.4%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
43.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
42.6%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
40.6%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
39.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 2 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
39.3%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+16
40.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 16 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
37.3%
Kisean Johnson run for no gain to the BC 17Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
36.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
37.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
30.8%
Lucas Carneiro 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:4535% → 29%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
34.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 10 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
35.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
35.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 4 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
34.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
34.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-7
33.4%
Grayson James sacked by Deante McCray for a loss of 7 yards to the WKU 46Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
29.3%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
28.5%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 29 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:3177% → 84%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
22.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 8 yds to the WKU 25Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+5
21.9%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
20.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 5 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
20.1%
Jalen Hampton run for 8 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.5%
George Hart III run for no gain to the WKU 43Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
18.4%
George Hart III run for 1 yd to the WKU 44Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+11
17.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 11 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
16.2%
George Hart III run for 1 yd to the BC 44Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
15.9%
Bryce Childress run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+1
15.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Kam Arnold return for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:4124% → 44%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
24.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+10
24.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
24.0%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the WKU 42Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
22.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+25
22.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 25 yds to the WKU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
24.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 15 yds to the WKU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
24.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the WKU 1Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.9%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the WKU 1Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.5%
Grayson James run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0769% → 69%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
31.0%
(11:28) MESSER, Easton rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the WKU37 (ARNOLD, Kam), clock 11:25. PENALTY WKU Holding on LESLIE, Quantavious enforced 10 yards from the WKU27 to the WKU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 20
OWN 17
-3
31.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Donovan Ezeiruaku for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 14Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 23
OWN 14
+4
30.2%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 18Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 19
OWN 18
+6
30.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 6 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 13
OWN 24
+4
31.4%
Cole Maynard punt for 45 yds , Cameron Martinez returns for 4 yds to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:0534% → 26%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
33.9%
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
33.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+14
32.0%
(08:31) JAMES, Grayson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BRADLEY, Jerand thrown to the WKU47, clock 08:26. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Kent enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the WKU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
50
0
37.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
50
0
36.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 10
50
0
33.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 10
50
0
26.3%
Ivan Zivenko punt for 38 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4173% → 79%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
26.9%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+2
22.7%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
21.6%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
20.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-7
20.6%
Caden Veltkamp sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WKU 20 Caden Veltkamp fumbled, recovered by BC George Rooks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4830% → 65%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
29.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
28.7%
Grayson James run for 5 yds to the WKU 12Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
24.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the WKU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
30.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the WKU 8Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
65.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 1:3539% → 35%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
61.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
61.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
63.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+17
65.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 17 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.7%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 26Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
61.4%
(02:22) VELTKAMP, Caden pass to the left incomplete intended for MESSER, Easton thrown to the WKU40, clock 02:19. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Khari enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the WKU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.4%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 39Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
60.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
62.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
65.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:2774% → 86%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
74.0%
Grayson James run for 13 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
81.3%
(01:03) [NHSG] Kneel down by JAMES, Grayson at WKU28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:59.Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 12
OPP 28
-4
85.7%
(00:21) [SG] Kneel down by JAMES, Grayson at WKU32 (team loss of 4), clock 00:14.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:33
Grayson James pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 8 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
+34.8
TD · Q4 11:36
Grayson James run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
+19.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com