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UVA

Virginia 43 at Coastal Carolina 24

CCU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+5CCU 5.6%Noah Kim pass complete to BrysonGraves for 15 yds for a TD (KadeHensley KICK)AWAY 43 - HOME 24 · Q4 9:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:06 · Noah Kim pass complete to Bryson Graves for 15 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense−32.0Score differential−20.0Pregame prior−1.8Garbage-time factor−12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:14: Will Bettridge 22 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +5.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:26: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 29 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +5.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:59: Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +8.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 12:27: Will Bettridge 45 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +7.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:26: Kobe Pace 1 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick) — UVA win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:11CCU 4th & 6 at UVA 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27CCU 4th & 11 at CCU 4, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:00UVA 4th & 10 at CCU 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:59CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UVA 4th & 1 at CCU 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:14UVA 4th & 2 at CCU 6, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:26CCU 4th & 2 at UVA 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:46CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:46UVA 4th & 1 at CCU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−3.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UVA 4th & 8 at CCU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:27UVA 4th & 1 at CCU 28, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−2.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−9.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:16CCU 4th & 1 at UVA 8, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−3.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−11.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:48UVA 4th & 5 at CCU 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48CCU 4th & 1 at UVA 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−2.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:06UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 48, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:05CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 48, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:36UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:47UVA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:26CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:59UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:26UVA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:21CCU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:12UVA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:06CCU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:2062% → 62%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
37.7%
Kobe Pace run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 14Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+7
37.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 7 yds to the CCU 7Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
37.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 7 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:2538% → 39%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
37.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 8 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+9
37.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 9 yds to the UVA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
37.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
37.9%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the UVA 48Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+31
37.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 31 yds to the UVA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
37.9%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the UVA 16Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
37.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+3
37.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 3 yds to the UVA 13Similar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
38.9%
Kade Hensley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2161% → 61%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for 2 yds to the UVA 27Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
38.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
38.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
39.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 60 yds, downed at the CCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2339% → 38%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
38.7%
Simeon Price run for 3 yds to the CCU 8Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 8
0
38.6%
Bryson Graves run for no gain to the CCU 8Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
38.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 7
OWN 8
-4
38.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the CCU 4Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 11
OWN 4
0
38.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the CCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2762% → 61%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
38.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
38.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
38.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
39.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:5139% → 39%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
39.0%
Christian Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 18Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
38.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
38.7%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Antonio Clary return for no gain to the CCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:2262% → 65%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
38.3%
Xavier Brown run for 29 yds to the CCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
38.2%
Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the CCU 5Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.4%
Grady Brosterhous run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4837% → 36%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.6%
Simeon Price run for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
36.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
36.0%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the UVA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 7:4564% → 72%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
35.8%
Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
35.6%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the UVA 39Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
35.5%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
35.4%
Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UVA 38Similar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+1
35.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UVA 39Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+13
35.7%
Kobe Pace run for 13 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+24
34.0%
Xavier Brown run for 24 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
34.4%
Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd to the CCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
33.7%
Jack Griese run for 4 yds to the CCU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
33.7%
Jack Griese run for 3 yds to the CCU 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
34.0%
Jack Griese run for 1 yd to the CCU 6Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
33.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for 1 yd to the CCU 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+13
34.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for 13 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
33.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+22
28.6%
Will Bettridge 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-5
27.7%
Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:3429% → 36%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
29.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 13 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
29.3%
Darren Lloyd run for no gain to the CCU 23Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
29.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 3 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+15
29.0%
VASKO, Ethan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Cameron thrown to the CCU48. PENALTY UVA Pass Interference on JACKSON, Jermarian enforced 15 yards to the CCU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
30.5%
Tray Taylor run for 22 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
30.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
30.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
30.6%
Christian Washington run for 8 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+29
36.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 29 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2766% → 76%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Noah Vaughn for 6 yds to the UVA 31Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
33.4%
Noah Vaughn run for 3 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
33.7%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
33.1%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the UVA 42Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+16
32.9%
Xavier Brown run for 16 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
32.5%
Anthony Colandrea run for 25 yds to the CCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
32.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 12 yds to the CCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
32.2%
VAUGHN, Noah rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the CCU4 (JOHNSON, Emmanuel). PENALTY UVA Holding on STEVENS, Brian enforced 10 yards from the CCU5 to the CCU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+13
32.3%
Noah Vaughn run for 13 yds to the CCU 2Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.2%
Noah Vaughn run for 1 yd to the CCU 1Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.0%
Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1325% → 23%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
25.2%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 24Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
25.1%
Simeon Price run for 1 yd to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
24.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Christian Washington for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 21Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
23.2%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the UVA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 1:4678% → 82%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
22.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 9 yds to the CCU 49Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
21.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Chris Tyree for 1 yd to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
21.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
21.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 5 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
22.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 4 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+7
22.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 7 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
21.6%
QB Keeper COLANDREA, Anthony rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the CCU24, out of bounds. PENALTY UVA Holding enforced 10 yards from the CCU32 to the CCU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+7
22.0%
Jack Griese run for 7 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+5
21.7%
Jack Griese run for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
22.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
17.9%
Will Bettridge 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:3381% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
19.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for 19 yds to the UVA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
18.2%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Naejaun Barber) to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
18.0%
Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-6
17.5%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Clev Lubin for a loss of 6 yards to the CCU 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+10
18.3%
Anthony Colandrea run for 10 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+45
10.7%
Will Bettridge 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 67 yds · 3:1115% → 14%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+58
14.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 58 yds to the UVA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
16.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the UVA 16Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
16.4%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the UVA 15Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+7
16.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the UVA 8Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
13.7%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the UVA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:5090% → 98%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
9.7%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the UVA 15Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+75
9.1%
Xavier Brown run for 75 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
7.3%
BROWN, Xavier rush to the left for no gain to the CCU10 (GEDEON, Wyatt;BRUCE, Shane). PENALTY CCU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the CCU10 to the CCU5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
7.3%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the CCU 4Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
7.3%
COLANDREA, Anthony pass short to the left incomplete intended for WOOD, Eli thrown to the CCU0. PENALTY Before the snap, CCU Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the CCU4 to the CCU2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.3%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the CCU 1Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.0%
Kobe Pace 1 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:053% → 7%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
2.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 65 yds to the UVA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
2.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the UVA 5Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
1.9%
Simeon Price run for 2 yds to the UVA 3Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3395% → 97%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
4.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
4.6%
Noah Vaughn run for 5 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
4.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for 14 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
4.2%
COLANDREA, Anthony pass to the left incomplete intended for FIELDS, Malachi thrown to the CCU40. PENALTY CCU Holding on CONYER, Cristian enforced 10 yards from the CCU48 to the CCU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
4.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
4.2%
Noah Vaughn run for 3 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+2
4.2%
Jack Griese run for 2 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 5
OPP 33
-7
3.5%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Joah Cash for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:005% → 5%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
5.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 20 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
5.3%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
5.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
4.6%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the UVA 31Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-4
4.6%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 4 yards to the UVA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:3696% → 99%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
3.6%
Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
3.4%
Xavier Brown run for 10 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
3.3%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the CCU 46Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
3.3%
Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
3.2%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
0.7%
Malachi Fields 37 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:061% → 6%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tray Taylor for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+41
0.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Senika McKie for 41 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.6%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
0.6%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+12
0.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Malick Meiga for 12 yds to the UVA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
0.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Bryson Graves for 2 yds to the UVA 16Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
0.6%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the UVA 15Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
5.6%
Noah Kim pass complete to Bryson Graves for 15 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:5497% → 99%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
2.6%
Noah Vaughn run for 1 yd to the UVA 19Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+2
2.6%
Noah Vaughn run for 2 yds to the UVA 21Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+9
2.7%
Tony Muskett run for 9 yds to the UVA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
2.5%
Noah Vaughn run for 1 yd to the UVA 31Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
2.6%
Noah Vaughn run for 3 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
2.6%
Tony Muskett pass complete to Jaden Gibson for 6 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
2.4%
Jack Griese run for 1 yd to the UVA 41Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
2.4%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the UVA 44Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+4
2.4%
Tony Muskett pass complete to Xavier Brown for 4 yds to the UVA 48Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
1.1%
Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:012% → 2%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.2%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
2.2%
Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (James Jackson) to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
2.3%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
2.3%
Darren Lloyd run for 7 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
2.4%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
2.2%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
1.0%
Jack Griese run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+14
1.0%
Tony Muskett run for 14 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
1.0%
Jack Griese run for 12 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
0.9%
Donte Hawthorne run for 12 yds to the CCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
0.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by UVA at CCU9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:59
Grady Brosterhous run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
-8.2
FG · Q3 12:27
Will Bettridge 45 yd FG GOOD
-7.6
TD · Q2 7:26
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 29 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com