Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 34 at Pittsburgh 38

PITT
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Acrisure Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-7.1PITT 44.6%Michael Hayes II 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:21 · Michael Hayes II 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense−3.2Pregame prior−3.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:27: Brandon George 24 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ben Sauls Kick) — PITT win probability +18.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:54: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +18.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:55: Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Robinson for 28 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +14.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:06: Eli Holstein pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 40 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +30.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:32: Derrick Davis Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +51.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:04WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17PITT 4th & 7 at WVU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:29PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.2%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:21WVU 4th & 1 at PITT 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.4
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:41PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:58WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.7%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:27WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:33PITT 4th & 25 at PITT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−6.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:59WVU 4th & 5 at PITT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.9%−1.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:19WVU 4th & 3 at PITT 5, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%−2.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−21.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:49PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:46WVU 4th & 4 at PITT 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−4.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−6.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:05WVU 4th & 17 at WVU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−12.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:11WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:58WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:30PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:54WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:01PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:27PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:54WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:55WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:06PITT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:32PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:5557% → 56%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.8%
Traylon Ray run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
43.0%
Jahiem White run for 11 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
43.2%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
43.3%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 46Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
43.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0444% → 44%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
43.8%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 14Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
43.9%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+3
43.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 3 yds to the PITT 17Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+3
43.7%
Caleb Junko punt for 39 yds , Preston Fox returns for 3 yds to the WVU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:4856% → 59%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
43.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 49Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+33
43.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 33 yds to the PITT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
43.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 8 yds to the PITT 8Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 2
OPP 8
-2
43.5%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 10Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
41.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:3942% → 44%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.1%
Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
42.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 8 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+42
42.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 42 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
43.3%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
43.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 3 yds to the WVU 13Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
42.9%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
44.1%
Ben Sauls 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4156% → 56%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.7%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
43.5%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
43.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 3 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
44.2%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:5744% → 50%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
43.8%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 7 yards to the PITT 21Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+21
43.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 21 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
44.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
45.5%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the WVU 44Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+21
45.4%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 21 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
46.1%
Eli Holstein run for 12 yds to the WVU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
46.2%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the WVU 9Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
49.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 9 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3452% → 58%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.4%
Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
47.9%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
48.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 5 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+17
47.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 17 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
47.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
47.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the PITT 35Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+15
47.5%
(12:44) DONALDSON JR., CJ rush to the right for no gain to the PIT35 (SCOTT, Jimmy), clock 12:40. PENALTY PIT Personal Foul on SCOTT, Jimmy enforced 15 yards from the PIT35 to the PIT20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
46.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 15 yds to the PITT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
41.7%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:4045% → 55%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
44.6%
Eli Holstein sacked by Nate Gabriel and Josiah Trotter for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 26Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+4
44.1%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 4 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+10
43.3%
West Virginia Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PITT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
46.2%
Desmond Reid run for 11 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
46.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 15
50
+1
45.0%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 1 yd to the WVU 49Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+19
45.1%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 19 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.6%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
47.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 11 yds to the WVU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
47.7%
(08:17) REID, Desmond rush up the middle for no gain to the WVU19 (JACKSON, TJ), clock 08:16. PENALTY PIT Face mask on WILLIAMS, BJ enforced 15 yards from the WVU19 to the WVU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 25
OPP 34
+5
46.4%
Eli Holstein run for 5 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+10
45.5%
HOLSTEIN, Eli pass up the middle incomplete intended for REID, Desmond thrown to the WVU29; QB hurried by MARTIN, Sean and FRENCH, Ty, clock 07:15. PENALTY WVU Holding on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced 10 yards from the WVU29 to the WVU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
46.9%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
55.0%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 19 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:3548% → 48%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.7%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offsides (Nate Matlack) to the WVU 30Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
51.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
51.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
51.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
50
-1
49.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 49Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+1
50.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Treylan Davis for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 10
50
0
51.6%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Cruce Brookins return for no gain to the PITT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:5953% → 50%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
53.3%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
53.5%
Eli Holstein run for 4 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+6
53.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the PITT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
55.1%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Konata Mumpfield) to the PITT 35Similar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-8
53.6%
Kenny Johnson run for a loss of 8 yards to the PITT 27Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 23
OWN 27
+22
53.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 22 yds to the PITT 49Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
55.6%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-1
54.5%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 48Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
50.1%
(01:23) QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the PIT40 (LOUIS, Kyle), clock 01:16. PENALTY WVU Holding on RIMAC, Tomas enforced 10 yards from the PIT48 to the WVU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:4947% → 55%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+23
52.9%
Garrett Greene run for 23 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
49.1%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the PITT 31Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
48.8%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the PITT 31Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+5
51.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 5 yds to the PITT 26Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+44
44.6%
Michael Hayes II 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
52.1%
Eli Holstein sacked by T.J. Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0753% → 49%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
52.6%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 38Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-1
52.3%
Eli Holstein sacked by Trey Lathan for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 37Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
50.3%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
49.4%
Caleb Junko punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT TD
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:0752% → 32%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
47.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 9 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+4
47.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
48.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 27Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
48.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+6
49.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 6 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+12
49.9%
Oliver Straw run for 12 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
45.9%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-10
45.5%
(09:29) GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left complete for 51 yards to CLEMENT, Hudson caught at the PIT19 and advanced to the PIT0; QB hurried by LOUIS, Kyle, TOUCHDOWN WVU, score nullified by penalty, clock 09:21 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WVU Holding on MILUM, Wyatt enforced 10 yards from the WVU49 to the WVU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 16
OWN 39
0
48.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+5
49.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+24
68.0%
Brandon George 24 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ben Sauls Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:2534% → 57%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
66.4%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the WVU 20Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+1
67.0%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+44
68.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jaden Bray for 44 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
61.8%
Garrett Greene run for 15 yds to the PITT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
61.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 12 yds to the PITT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
61.9%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the PITT 4Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
43.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1353% → 50%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.0%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 28Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
53.4%
Desmond Reid run for 12 yds to the PITT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
55.8%
Eli Holstein sacked by Hammond Russell IV for a loss of 7 yards to the PITT 33Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
53.0%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 17
OWN 33
-8
51.2%
Eli Holstein sacked by T.J. Jackson and Tyrin Bradley Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the PITT 25Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 25
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Caleb Junko punt for 46 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the WVU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:0354% → 63%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
45.7%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 47 Jahiem White fumbled, recovered by WVUSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
46.5%
Garrett Greene run for 12 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
45.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 43Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
46.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+7
47.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q4 14:59
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+7
48.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 7 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
43.6%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 30Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
43.9%
(13:30) GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CLEMENT, Hudson thrown to the PIT0, clock 13:26. PENALTY PIT Offsides on DONALD, Elliot WVU Holding on DONALDSON JR., CJ , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+6
43.9%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the PITT 24 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon George) to the PITT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
43.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the PITT 4Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-1
43.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 5Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
45.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
36.7%
Michael Hayes II 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2742% → 38%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.2%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 9 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
44.9%
Desmond Reid run for no gain to the PITT 34Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
41.1%
Desmond Reid run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 31Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
38.2%
Caleb Junko punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:5267% → 91%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
33.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
34.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 12 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
30.7%
(08:55) GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BRAY, Jaden thrown to the PIT15; QB hurried by BILES, Rasheem, clock 08:54 (After review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY PIT Targeting on NEAL, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the WVU44 to the PIT41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
29.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the PITT 37Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
28.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 35Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
29.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the PITT 35Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+7
31.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 7 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
23.2%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the PITT 27Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-1
23.2%
Garrett Greene sacked by Nate Matlack and Nick James for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 28Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
9.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Justin Robinson for 28 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4311% → 41%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
10.6%
Eli Holstein run for 10 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
10.7%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (Kenny Johnson) to the PITT 30Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+24
10.1%
Eli Holstein run for 24 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
12.5%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST down West Virginia Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Trey Lathan) to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
14.9%
HOLSTEIN, Eli scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the WVU16 (LATHAN, Trey), clock 03:38. PENALTY PIT Holding on COLLIER, Jason enforced 10 yards from the WVU20 to the WVU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 20
OPP 30
-10
12.1%
HOLSTEIN, Eli pass to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Kenny thrown to the WVU24; QB hurried by RUSSELL IV, Hammond, clock 03:21. PENALTY PIT Holding on BAER, Ryan enforced 10 yards from the WVU30 to the WVU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 30
OPP 40
0
10.1%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 30
OPP 40
+40
40.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 40 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5676% → 77%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 26Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
21.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-11
21.6%
Garrett Greene sacked by Jimmy Scott for a loss of 11 yards to the WVU 18Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
22.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 57 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for no gain to the PITT 18 Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tamon Lynum) to the PITT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 1:2330% → 96%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
29.8%
Eli Holstein run for 7 yds to the PITT 30Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+17
32.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 17 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
32.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 23 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
34.5%
Eli Holstein run for 17 yds to the WVU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
39.8%
(00:47) HOLSTEIN, Eli pass to the left incomplete intended for BARTHOLOMEW, Gavin thrown to the WVU0, clock 00:45. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the WVU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
39.8%
Eli Holstein run for 5 yds to the WVU 1Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:1910% → 8%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Kyle Louis return for no gain to the PITT 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
96.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by HOLSTEIN, Eli at PIT46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:32
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
+51.6
TD · Q4 3:06
Eli Holstein pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 40 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
+30.8
TD · Q3 4:54
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
-18.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com