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NCCU

North Carolina Central 10 at North Carolina 45

UNC
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadNCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreNCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:06 · Juan Velarde punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Hardy at the UNC 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+3.7Home team on offense+36.6Score differential+31.6Garbage-time factor+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.7Blowout margin+17.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:32: J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK) — NCCU win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NCCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:38: Omarion Hampton run for 11 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK) — UNC win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Juan Velarde 35 yd FG GOOD — NCCU win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NCCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:12: Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 23 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK) — UNC win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:42: Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK) — UNC win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NCCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 4:30UNC 4th & 6 at UNC 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:48NCCU 4th & 6 at UNC 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:53UNC 4th & 6 at UNC 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:41NCCU 4th & 3 at NCCU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:08NCCU 4th & 10 at NCCU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:51UNC 4th & 7 at NCCU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00NCCU 4th & 18 at UNC 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:08UNC 4th & 5 at NCCU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:49NCCU 4th & 6 at NCCU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:11UNC 4th & 9 at UNC 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:42NCCU 4th & 11 at NCCU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:39UNC 4th & 12 at NCCU 44, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    91.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39UNC 4th & 12 at NCCU 44, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    91.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:53NCCU 4th & 19 at NCCU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−2.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:33NCCU 4th & 4 at NCCU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:06NCCU 4th & 10 at NCCU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NCCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:32NCCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:38UNC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:06UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:12UNC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:42UNC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:59UNC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:38UNC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCCUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:281% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,J'Mari rush right for 2 yards gain to the NCC27 (Lane,Antavious) PENALTY UNC Offside (Evans,Desmond) 5 yards from NCC25 to NCC30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 8 yds to the NCCU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+8
99.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 8 yds to the UNC 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.0%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UNC 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+34
99.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 34 yds to the UNC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the UNC 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Walker pass incomplete short right to Davis,Joaquin thrown to UNC00 QB hurried by Evans,Desmond PENALTY UNC Roughing The Passer (Evans,Desmond) 5 yards from UNC10 to UNC05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5498% → 97%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
98.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the UNC 17Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+5
98.0%
Conner Harrell run for 5 yds to the UNC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
98.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the UNC 28Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
98.0%
Conner Harrell run for 1 yd to the UNC 29Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
98.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 31Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-5
98.0%
PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNC31 to UNC26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+31
97.4%
Tom Maginness punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCCU 38 North Carolina Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NCCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:423% → 3%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.4%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 46Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,J'Mari rush left for 4 yards gain to the NCC50 (Lane,Antavious; Echols,Power) PENALTY UNC Offside (Harris,Joshua) 5 yards from NCC46 to UNC49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
97.3%
Javion Martin run for 6 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.4%
Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 4 yds to the UNC 39Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
97.4%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
96.7%
Juan Velarde punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5597% → 96%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
96.8%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 4 yds to the UNC 9Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 9
0
96.8%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
96.7%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+50
96.4%
Tom Maginness punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:1597% → 97%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
96.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the NCCU 38Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+15
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Criswell,Jacolby pass incomplete deep middle to Nesbit,Bryson thrown to NCC00 PENALTY NCC Pass Interference (Bowden,Jaylen) 15 yards from NCC38 to NCC23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
96.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 6 yds to the NCCU 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+6
96.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the NCCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 11 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:573% → 3%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 27Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
97.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Walker pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Andrew thrown to UNC34 PENALTY UNC Offside (Atkinson,Beau) 5 yards from NCC27 to NCC32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.9%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
96.8%
Juan Velarde punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:3597% → 97%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 15 yds to the UNC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.0%
Nate McCollum run for 1 yd to the UNC 49Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+6
97.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 6 yds to the NCCU 45Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+8
97.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 8 yds to the NCCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
97.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 10 yds to the NCCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the NCCU 20Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
97.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the NCCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
97.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 8 yds to the NCCU 8 for a 1ST down North Carolina Central Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Malcolm Reed) to the NCCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.1%
Jacolby Criswell run for 2 yds to the NCCU 2Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
Aleni Mageo run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
96.9%
North Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jaybron Harvey) to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Javion Martin run for no gain to the NCCU 44Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Juan Velarde punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1797% → 97%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
96.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the UNC 26Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+53
96.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 53 yds to the NCCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.0%
Davion Gause run for 3 yds to the NCCU 18Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
97.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
97.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
96.6%
Liam Boyd 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 10FG
23 plays · 47 yds · 5:514% → 5%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.5%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 36Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
96.5%
Walker Harris run for 1 yd to the NCCU 37Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
96.6%
Walker Harris pass complete to Chance Peterson for 15 yds to the UNC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
96.3%
J'Mari Taylor run for 10 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Walker pass incomplete deep left to Davis,Joaquin thrown to UNC08 QB hurried by Evans,Desmond PENALTY UNC Roughing The Passer (Evans,Desmond) 15 yards from UNC38 to UNC23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
96.1%
Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 8 yds to the UNC 15Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+3
96.1%
Javion Martin run for 3 yds to the UNC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
95.0%
Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 11 yds to the UNC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the UNC 1Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Javion Martin run for 1 yd to the UNC 2Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
95.0%
Walker Harris sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 5Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
95.3%
PENALTY UNC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Allen,Marcus) 2 yards from UNC05 to UNC03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.7%
Walker Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
95.1%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UNC 4Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
95.3%
PENALTY NCC Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNC04 to UNC09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-9
95.4%
Walker Harris sacked by Desmond Evans for a loss of 9 yards to the UNC 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+35
95.3%
Juan Velarde 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:4695% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
95.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
95.2%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 10 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 2 yds to the UNC 39Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
95.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+16
95.3%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 16 yds to the NCCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.6%
Jacolby Criswell run for 3 yds to the NCCU 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+2
95.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 2 yds to the NCCU 38Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
94.2%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:197% → 7%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
93.4%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 39Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-5
93.4%
PENALTY NCC False Start (Humphrey,Trevon) 5 yards from NCC39 to NCC34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+2
93.9%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 36Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+6
94.0%
Javion Martin run for 6 yds to the NCCU 42Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
93.2%
Juan Velarde punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3894% → 93%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
93.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 8 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+9
94.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
94.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the UNC 44Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-5
94.5%
PENALTY UNC False Start (Culliver,Chris) 5 yards from UNC44 to UNC39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
94.3%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
93.9%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
93.3%
Tom Maginness punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:298% → 7%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
92.4%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 18Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
92.5%
Javion Martin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-5
93.0%
PENALTY NCC False Start (Humphrey,Trevon) 5 yards from NCC18 to NCC13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+3
93.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 16Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
92.7%
Juan Velarde punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:0394% → 93%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
93.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 14 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
94.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the NCCU 44Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
94.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the NCCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.2%
Davion Gause run for 2 yds to the NCCU 44Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
94.0%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
93.6%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 12
OPP 44
+10
92.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Paul Billups II for 10 yds to the NCCU 34Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 12
OPP 44
+10
92.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Paul Billups II for 10 yds to the NCCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:468% → 8%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
91.6%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 36Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+8
91.5%
Javion Martin run for 8 yds to the NCCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.0%
Javion Martin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-10
91.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,J'Mari rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNC44 (Harris,Jakeen) PENALTY NCC Holding (Sprinkle,Ja'Quan) 10 yards from NCC44 to NCC34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 20
OWN 34
0
92.0%
Javion Martin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 20
OWN 34
-5
92.4%
PENALTY NCC False Start (McKinney,Noah) 5 yards from NCC34 to NCC29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 25
OWN 29
+6
92.4%
Javion Martin run for 6 yds to the NCCU 35Similar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 19
OWN 35
+13
92.2%
Juan Velarde punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNC 29 , Alijah Huzzie returns for 13 yds to the UNC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 17TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:4194% → 98%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.7%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 29Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
93.5%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+29
93.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Christian Hamilton for 29 yds to the NCCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
94.7%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 24 yds to the NCCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
95.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Criswell,Jacolby pass complete short right to Nesbit,Bryson caught at NCC08, for 10 yards to the NCC08 (Reed,Malcolm) PENALTY UNC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (McGowan,Malik) 5 yards from NCC18 to NCC23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+23
97.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 23 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 18INT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:313% → 3%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
96.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mageo,Aleni rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCC29 (Lane,Antavious) PENALTY NCC Holding (McMoore,A.C.) 10 yards from NCC25 to NCC15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-5
97.0%
PENALTY NCC False Start (McMoore,A.C.) 5 yards from NCC15 to NCC10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 25
OWN 10
+2
97.0%
Aleni Mageo run for 2 yds to the NCCU 12Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 23
OWN 12
0
96.9%
Javion Martin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:5998% → 99%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
97.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the NCCU 27Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+12
97.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 12 yds to the NCCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.8%
Jacolby Criswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+11
97.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 11 yds to the NCCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the NCCU 29Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 32Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
99.3%
Javion Martin pass complete to Chance Peterson for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 31Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Juan Velarde punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:3499% → 100%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.4%
Davion Gause run for 8 yds to the NCCU 48Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+7
99.4%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 7 yds to the NCCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
99.4%
Davion Gause run for 21 yds to the NCCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.5%
Davion Gause run for 3 yds to the NCCU 17Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
99.5%
Davion Gause run for 5 yds to the NCCU 12Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+11
99.4%
Jacolby Criswell run for 11 yds to the NCCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Davion Gause run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
100.0%
Quest Powell pass complete to Nasim Cosby for 4 yds to the NCCU 21Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
PENALTY UNC Offside (LaVallee,Caleb) 5 yards from NCC21 to NCC26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Quest Powell run for 2 yds to the NCCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Quest rush left for 8 yards gain to the NCC36 (Hardy,Will) PENALTY NCC Holding (Asaboro,Wisdom) 10 yards from NCC28 to NCC18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Quest pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Andrew thrown to NCC43 PENALTY UNC Offside (Lora,Rodney) 5 yards from NCC18 to NCC23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
Quest Powell run for 1 yd to the NCCU 24Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Chris Mosley run for no gain to the NCCU 24Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Chris Mosley run for 4 yds to the NCCU 28Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Juan Velarde punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Hardy at the UNC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
100.0%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 18 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harrell,Conner pass complete short middle to Taylor,Alex caught at NCC36, for 41 yards to the NCC12 (Parker,Donquarius) PENALTY UNC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Rice,Zach) 5 yards from UNC47 to UNC42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Charleston French run for 6 yds to the UNC 48Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
100.0%
Charleston French run for 7 yds to the NCCU 45Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+45
100.0%
Charleston French run for 45 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution (Hardy,Will) 5 yards from NCC25 to NCC30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Aleni Mageo run for no gain to the NCCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:12
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 23 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q4 10:42
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Boyd KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 7:32
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Juan Velarde KICK)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com