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MEM

Memphis 20 at Florida State 12

FSU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of GameTD+11.7FSU 37.7%Roydell Williams 4 Yd Run (Two-PointRun Conversion Failed)AWAY 20 - HOME 9 · Q3 7:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:05 · Roydell Williams 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Home team on offense−9.7Pregame prior+6.0Garbage-time factor−5.1Score differential−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:16: Greg Desrosiers Jr. 6 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick) — MEM win probability +6.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:50: Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the FSU 19 — MEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:27: Anthony Landphere 2 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick) — MEM win probability +14.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:05: Roydell Williams 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — FSU win probability +11.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:07: Ryan Fitzgerald 25 Yd Field Goal — FSU win probability +4.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:21FSU 4th & 13 at FSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50MEM 4th & 4 at FSU 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:41FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:09MEM 4th & 22 at MEM 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:39FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:41MEM 4th & 2 at FSU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:15FSU 4th & 1 at MEM 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−2.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:26FSU 4th & 10 at MEM 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:59MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:45MEM 4th & 1 at FSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:56FSU 4th & 1 at MEM 5, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−2.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:07FSU 4th & 7 at MEM 7, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−8.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:16MEM 4th & 3 at FSU 44, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−2.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:46MEM 4th & 6 at FSU 37, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:46MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:03FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 42, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:16MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:27MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:05FSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2566% → 66%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.3%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the FSU 33Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-8
66.3%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 25 Roydell Williams fumbled, forced by An'Darius Coffey, recovered by MEM Chandler MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3134% → 34%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
66.2%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the FSU 23Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
66.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Jamauri ChislomSimilar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+16
66.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 16 yds to the FSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
65.9%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 9Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
65.8%
Seth Henigan sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 17Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+35
65.7%
Caden Costa 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:2366% → 65%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
65.8%
Davis, Kam rush for 3 yards to the FLORIDAST28, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Ferguson, TJ) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
65.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the FSU 15Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+2
65.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jalen Brown for 2 yds to the FSU 17Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
65.3%
Florida State Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the FSU 12Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+10
65.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds to the FSU 22Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+22
64.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 53 yds , Koby Drake returns for 22 yds to the MEM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2335% → 35%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
64.9%
Mario Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 46Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+7
64.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 7 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
64.5%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
64.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:0465% → 64%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
64.8%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 19Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+24
64.5%
Lawrance Toafili run for 24 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
65.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 42Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+7
64.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 7 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-1
64.8%
Kam Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 48Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
64.2%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:2936% → 36%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
64.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor, broken up by Azareye'h ThomasSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
64.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 5 yds to the MEM 15Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+5
64.4%
Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Landphere, Anthony (Cypress II, Fentrell), PENALTY FLORIDAST offside (Lolohea, Sione) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
63.9%
Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
63.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 14 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.9%
Mario Anderson run for no gain to the MEM 40Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-8
62.6%
Seth Henigan sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 8 yards to the MEM 32Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 18
OWN 32
-4
63.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MEM 28Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 22
OWN 28
0
63.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Lawayne McCoy at the FSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:5363% → 62%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
62.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 2 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-3
62.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jalen Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 26Similar
Q1 0:09
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
61.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted Tahj Ra-El return for no gain to the MEM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:4838% → 47%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
62.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
61.1%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
61.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
60.5%
Anderson, Mario rush for 12 yards to the FLORIDAST39, PENALTY MEMPHIS illegal formation 5 yards to the MEMPHIS44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+43
61.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 43 yds to the FSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
59.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 10 yds to the FSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
59.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the FSU 2Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
58.7%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 6Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
52.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. 6 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3353% → 49%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
52.7%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Vic Alobwede for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 17Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+7
51.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 7 yds to the FSU 24Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
50.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 17 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Malik Benson, broken up by Davion RossSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
52.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 40Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
49.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Darion WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
48.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down , Koby Drake returns for no gain to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (Edwin Joseph) to the MEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:5050% → 52%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
49.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 16 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
48.2%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MEM 45Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
47.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 3
50
+1
47.5%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the FSU 49Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
47.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Anthony Landphere for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:0949% → 49%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
49.4%
Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the MEM 47Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
49.4%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 5 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
48.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Caziah HolmesSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+6
47.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
47.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Hykeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
47.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Lawrance ToafiliSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
46.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+54
48.6%
Ryan Fitzgerald 54 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2254% → 52%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby Drake, broken up by Fentrell Cypress IISimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
46.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby Drake, broken up by Kevin Knowles IISimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
47.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MEM Colby CoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13END OF HALF
13 plays · 27 yds · 1:5058% → 62%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
41.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the FSU 19Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
41.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for no gain to the FSU 19Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
41.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for no gain to the FSU 19Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+3
42.7%
Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the FSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
40.4%
Thomas, Brandon rush for 8 yards to the FLORIDAST8, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Hill, Xavier) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 20
OPP 26
0
41.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+13
41.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 13 yds to the FSU 13Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+12
40.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 12 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.4%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
38.2%
Caden Costa 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2657% → 80%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.9%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the MEM 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
42.1%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MEM 30Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+31
41.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 31 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
38.9%
Ja'Koby Banks pass incomplete to Seth HeniganSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
38.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 14 yds to the FSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
37.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 9 yds to the FSU 16Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
37.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the FSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
36.4%
Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the FSU 5Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
36.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for no gain to the FSU 5 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Roughing Passer (Conrad Hussey) to the FSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
36.3%
Brandon Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 3Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.3%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the FSU 2Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.4%
Anthony Landphere 2 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1123% → 38%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+67
23.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 67 yds to the MEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
26.0%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the MEM 4Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.7%
Roydell Williams 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16INT
11 plays · 50 yds · 5:1368% → 75%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
32.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 21 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
29.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 7 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
28.7%
Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
27.9%
Seth Henigan sacked by Daniel Lyons for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 46Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
27.7%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+17
28.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 17 yds to the FSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
26.1%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (Chris Adams) to the FSU 34Similar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 15
OPP 34
-2
26.0%
Ja'Koby Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 36Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+11
26.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 11 yds to the FSU 25Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
25.2%
Seth Henigan pass intercepted Justin Cryer return for no gain to the FSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17FG
16 plays · 71 yds · 8:2927% → 24%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
26.7%
Kam Davis run for 7 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-3
26.7%
Kam Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 26Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+10
23.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 10 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
25.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 16 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
26.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 6 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+14
27.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 14 yds to the MEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
28.5%
Kam Davis run for 4 yds to the MEM 24Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+10
27.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Darion Williamson for 10 yds to the MEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
26.5%
Kam Davis run for 6 yds to the MEM 8Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
26.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Hykeem Williams for no gain to the MEM 8Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+3
23.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the MEM 5Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
18.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the MEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
21.4%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 4Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
20.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Brian CourtneySimilar
Q4 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
19.3%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Bryce Edmondson and Vic Alobwede for a loss of 3 yards to the MEM 7Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
24.2%
Ryan Fitzgerald 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18MISSED FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 5:1384% → 93%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
16.0%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 24 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
13.2%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the MEM 44Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
12.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Brendan DoyleSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+7
11.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 7 yds to the FSU 49Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+5
12.0%
Florida State Penalty, Defensive Offside (K.J. Kirkland) to the FSU 44Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+3
11.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 3 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
9.0%
Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+3
7.8%
Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the FSU 32Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-10
6.6%
Thomas, Brandon rush for 7 yards to the FLORIDAST25, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Lewis, Keydrell) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 11
OPP 42
-5
7.1%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (Keydrell Lewis) to the FSU 47Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+10
7.1%
Seth Henigan run for 10 yds to the FSU 37Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+55
6.9%
Caden Costa 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -22 yds · 0:4812% → 7%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
12.3%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 9 yards to the FSU 28Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 19
OWN 28
0
8.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams, broken up by Kobee MinorSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 19
OWN 28
-13
7.9%
DJ Uiagalelei sacked by William Whitlow Jr. and Matt Hudson for a loss of 13 yards to the FSU 15Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 32
OWN 15
0
7.3%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:0496% → 96%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
4.1%
Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the MEM 31Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
4.2%
Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the MEM 32Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+2
4.1%
Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
4.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 52 yds, downed at the FSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:404% → 5%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
3.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Lawrance ToafiliSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+28
3.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 28 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
4.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
4.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Darion WilliamsonSimilar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
4.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Malik Benson, broken up by Greg RubinSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+19
3.8%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 19 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
5.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
5.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete, broken up by Julian BarnettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:27
Anthony Landphere 2 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick)
-14.9
TD · Q3 7:05
Roydell Williams 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+11.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:50
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the FSU 19
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com