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SDSU

San Diego State 10 at California 31

CAL
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:48 · F.Mendoza pass INTERCEPTED at SDSU 35. Intercepted by T.Letuli at SDSU 35. TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SDSU-M.Louis, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+28.1Home team on offense+2.7Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. SACK · Q3 10:55: F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Sacked at SDSU 10 for -3 yards (T.Alualu). — CAL win probability +3.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:40: K.Calloway rushed for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — CAL win probability +5.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:35: F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by C.Dyches for 20 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — CAL win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:17: J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Napier for 40 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — SDSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:52: F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by N.Hunter for 15 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — CAL win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SDSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:58CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41SDSU 4th & 6 at CAL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04SDSU 4th & 6 at CAL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:46SDSU 4th & 9 at CAL 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:20CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00SDSU 4th & 24 at CAL 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:48CAL 4th & 1 at SDSU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:12SDSU 4th & 4 at CAL 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:20SDSU 4th & 7 at CAL 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:56SDSU 4th & 17 at CAL 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:00CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:26SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:14CAL 4th & 1 at SDSU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:52SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 36, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:55CAL 4th & 5 at SDSU 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:30CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:40CAL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:35CAL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:52CAL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0289% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
89.3%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Sacked at CAL 18 for -7 yards (T.Letuli).Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
89.1%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by J.Brady for 10 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 28.Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
89.0%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Grizzell.Similar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+47
88.9%
L.Wilson punts 47 yards to SDSU 25, Center-CAL. M.Shaw returned punt from the SDSU 25. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0811% → 12%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
88.9%
M.Cooper rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 37.Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
88.8%
M.Cooper rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 47.Similar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
88.5%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 49.Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
88.4%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Poke.Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+5
88.4%
M.Cooper rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 44.Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+5
88.2%
PENALTY on SDSU-B.Bryant, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+39
88.3%
T.Pastula punts 39 yards to CAL 10, Center-SDSU. Fair catch by M.Matthews.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:3613% → 14%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.3%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Poke for yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 20. PENALTY on SDSU-R.Ulugalu-Maseuli, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-4
87.2%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Sacked at CAL 49 for -4 yards (X.Carlton; T.Buchanan).Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 19
OPP 49
+2
87.0%
M.Cooper rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 47.Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+11
87.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Wolfe for 11 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 36.Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+11
86.6%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by N.Bennett for yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 25. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was overturned. J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by N.Bennett for 11 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 25. PENALTY on CAL-C.Woodson, Defensive Targeting, 13 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
86.1%
M.Cooper rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 11.Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
86.1%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 11.Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
86.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for L.Brown.Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 9
OPP 11
0
85.9%
N.Lopez 29 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-SDSU, Holder-SDSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:1286% → 87%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
85.8%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by J.Endries for 8 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 39.Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
86.1%
J.Thomas rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 40.Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
85.7%
F.Mendoza rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 41.Similar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
85.6%
J.Thomas rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 50.Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
85.9%
PENALTY on CAL-CAL, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+37
85.4%
J.Thomas rushed for 37 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 18.Similar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
85.6%
J.Thomas rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 8.Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.8%
F.Mendoza rushed for 8 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:3285% → 85%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
85.3%
J.Thomas rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 36.Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
85.3%
J.Thomas rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 40.Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+14
84.0%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by N.Hunter for 15 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 45. The Replay Official reviewed the first down and the play was overturned. F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by N.Hunter for 14 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 44.Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
84.5%
K.Calloway rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2017% → 16%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
83.5%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Poke for 14 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 30.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Poke.Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
82.9%
PENALTY on SDSU-B.Bryant, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 15
OPP 35
-9
83.4%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Sacked at CAL 44 for -9 yards (X.Carlton).Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 24
OPP 44
0
84.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Wolfe.Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 24
OPP 44
+44
84.4%
T.Pastula punts 44 yards to CAL End Zone, Center-SDSU. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:0584% → 84%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
84.0%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by N.Hunter for 12 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 32.Similar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.0%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.Hunter.Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
83.9%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Calloway.Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+19
83.3%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by C.Dyches for 19 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 49.Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.8%
K.Calloway rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 47.Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
84.7%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Anderson.Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+7
84.2%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by C.Dyches for 7 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 40.Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
83.7%
F.Mendoza pass INTERCEPTED at SDSU 35. Intercepted by T.Letuli at SDSU 35. TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on SDSU-M.Louis, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 9 yds · 4:3618% → 18%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
82.1%
M.Cooper rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 48.Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
82.1%
M.Cooper rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 50.Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 5
OPP 0
+1
81.6%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by M.Cooper for 1 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 49.Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+10
82.5%
T.Pastula pass complete. Catch made by O.Chambliss for 10 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 39.Similar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.2%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson rushed for yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 36. PENALTY on SDSU-J.Wolfe, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 20
OPP 49
0
81.7%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Poke.Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+3
81.7%
M.Cooper rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 46.Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+10
82.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by L.Brown for 10 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 36.Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
81.5%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by M.Cooper for yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 28. PENALTY on SDSU-N.Williams, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 17
OPP 46
+46
82.3%
T.Pastula punts 46 yards to CAL End Zone, Center-SDSU. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4982% → 80%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
82.3%
J.Thomas rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 30.Similar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
82.3%
J.Thomas rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 32.Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
82.2%
J.Thomas rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 32.Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-5
81.3%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Sacked at CAL 27 for -5 yards (T.White).Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 13
OWN 27
+45
80.3%
L.Wilson punts 45 yards to SDSU 28, Center-CAL. M.Shaw returned punt from the SDSU 28. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 21. PENALTY on SDSU-M.Garrison, Defensive Illegal Blindside Block, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:1519% → 20%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
81.5%
M.Cooper rushed for 17 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 28.Similar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
81.1%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by L.Brown for 8 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 36.Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
79.6%
M.Cooper rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 40.Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.Bennett.Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
80.3%
M.Cooper rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 39.Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+15
81.3%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by M.Harrison for 15 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 46.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
78.3%
PENALTY on SDSU-M.Murao, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
80.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass INTERCEPTED at CAL 30. Intercepted by N.Williams at CAL 30. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:2181% → 83%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
81.3%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by C.Dyches for 2 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 32.Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+14
81.3%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by M.Matthews for 14 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 46.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
82.5%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Grizzell.Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
81.9%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dyches. PENALTY on SDSU-D.Staley, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
82.9%
R.Coe 62 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-CAL, Holder-CAL.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:5281% → 90%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
80.5%
J.Thomas rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 21.Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+6
80.7%
J.Thomas rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 27.Similar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
80.4%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by J.Brady for 6 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 33.Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
80.9%
F.Mendoza scrambles for 3 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 36.Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+57
80.2%
J.Thomas rushed for 57 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 7.Similar
Q3 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
83.9%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Sacked at SDSU 10 for -3 yards (T.Alualu).Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
83.8%
F.Mendoza rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 7.Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.6%
K.Calloway rushed for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:1512% → 12%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
88.3%
M.Cooper rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 22.Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+15
88.2%
PENALTY on CAL-CAL, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.8%
M.Cooper rushed for yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 46. PENALTY on SDSU-N.Williams, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
88.3%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for L.Brown.Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+15
88.5%
J.Armstead rushed for 15 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 42.Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
87.7%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Armstead for 6 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 48.Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.1%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Napier.Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.4%
M.Cooper rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 50.Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 8
OPP 0
0
86.5%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.Bennett.Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 8
OPP 0
+40
87.8%
T.Pastula punts 40 yards to CAL 10, Center-SDSU. Fair catch by M.Matthews.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 5:3289% → 97%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
89.2%
J.Thomas rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 15.Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
89.3%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by J.Endries for 6 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 21.Similar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
89.3%
J.Thomas rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 28.Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-2
89.9%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Sacked at CAL 26 for -2 yards (M.Louis; T.Alualu).Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
89.3%
PENALTY on CAL-N.Morrow, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+21
89.1%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by T.Grizzell for 21 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 42.Similar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.7%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.Hunter.Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
90.5%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by T.Grizzell for 4 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 46.Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
90.1%
F.Mendoza scrambles for 10 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 44.Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
90.7%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by T.Grizzell for 4 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 40.Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
91.0%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by N.Hunter for 11 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 29. PENALTY on CAL-R.Reimer, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
91.3%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by M.Matthews for 2 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 37.Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+7
90.9%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by J.Endries for 7 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 30.Similar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.4%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Grizzell. PENALTY on SDSU-B.Phillips, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.8%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by C.Dyches for 20 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:044% → 4%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Brooks.Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.9%
M.Cooper rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 30.Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
95.9%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Wolfe for 3 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 33.Similar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-8
96.1%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Sacked at SDSU 25 for -8 yards (X.Carlton).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:163% → 7%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Napier.Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
M.Cooper rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 31.Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
96.6%
M.Cooper rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 36.Similar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
96.6%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Wolfe for 18 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 46.Similar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
96.6%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by L.Brown for 6 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 40.Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
96.7%
M.Cooper rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by CAL at CAL 40.Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+40
92.6%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Napier for 40 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1396% → 99%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
K.Calloway rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 25.Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+60
95.7%
K.Calloway rushed for 60 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 15.Similar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.0%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by N.Hunter for 15 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
M.Cooper rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 36.Similar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.0%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass INTERCEPTED at CAL 40. Intercepted by M.Harris at CAL 40. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:0899% → 99%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.0%
J.Thomas rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by SDSU at CAL 45.Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
99.1%
J.Thomas rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 49.Similar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.1%
K.Calloway rushed for 12 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 37.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.2%
K.Calloway rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 32.Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
99.2%
K.Calloway rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 31.Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+3
99.2%
F.Mendoza scrambles for 3 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 28.Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
99.2%
B.Cardwell rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 28.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.4%
J.Napier rushed for -5 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 23.Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
99.4%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Shaw.Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+13
99.4%
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Napier for 13 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 36.Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+1
99.4%
M.Cooper rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4899% → 100%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.4%
J.Wiley rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 24.Similar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.4%
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by J.King for 7 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 17.Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-2
99.5%
J.Wiley rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by SDSU at SDSU 19.Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
99.5%
F.Mendoza steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Dyches.Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 5
OPP 19
0
99.5%
R.Coe 37 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-CAL, Holder-CAL.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.5%
L.Sutton rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 22.Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.4%
L.Sutton rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 26.Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
99.4%
L.Sutton rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by CAL at SDSU 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:40
K.Calloway rushed for 7 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+5.8
TD · Q3 1:35
F.Mendoza pass complete. Catch made by C.Dyches for 20 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+5.4
TD · Q4 11:17
J.Tupou’ata-Johnson pass complete. Catch made by J.Napier for 40 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com