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MRSH

Marshall 14 at Virginia Tech 31

VT
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:09 · Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 5 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+10.7Home team on offense+22.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.5Score differential+9.9Garbage-time factor+6.0Time remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:19: Ethan Payne run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: Defense has -4 timeouts left).
  2. TD · Q3 8:02: Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +6.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:16: Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 18 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +13.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 4:15: Kyron Drones run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +9.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:14: Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:46VT 4th & 5 at MRSH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34VT 4th & 6 at VT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38MRSH 4th & 9 at VT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:06VT 4th & 12 at VT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:05MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:31VT 4th & 15 at VT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:00MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:14MRSH 4th & 3 at VT 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:15VT 4th & 9 at VT 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:51MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:22VT 4th & 25 at MRSH 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:25MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:22VT 4th & 4 at VT 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:01MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 14:41MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:02VT 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−8.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:09MRSH 4th & 3 at VT 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:23MRSH 4th & 2 at VT 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:00VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:19MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:02VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:16MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:15VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:14VT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:1293% → 92%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 9 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
92.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the VT 42 Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by VT return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
92.4%
Marshall Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaden Yates) to the MRSH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 1 yd to the MRSH 37Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
92.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 4 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
92.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the MRSH 33Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
92.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:408% → 8%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
91.8%
Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 2 yds to the MRSH 35Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
91.7%
Alec Clark punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1892% → 91%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
91.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 19Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
91.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+5
91.4%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+10
91.1%
Peter Moore punt for 46 yds , Elijah Metcalf returns for 10 yds to the MRSH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:449% → 10%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
91.1%
Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 7 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+22
90.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 22 yds Christian Fitzpatrick fumbled, recovered by MRSH for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.4%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
90.4%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-2
90.3%
Stone Earle sacked by Mose Phillips III for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 30Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
90.3%
Rece Verhoff 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:3190% → 89%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
90.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 7 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
90.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
90.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 9 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-6
90.1%
Kyron Drones sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 45Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 7
OWN 45
-5
89.5%
(04:14) MOORE, Peter punt 47 yards to the MU8, fair catch by METCALF, Elijah, clock 04:07. PENALTY Before the snap, VT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the VT45 to the VT40. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
89.3%
Peter Moore punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Elijah Metcalf at the MRSH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5311% → 11%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
89.3%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
89.3%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the MRSH 16Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
89.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+18
89.3%
Alec Clark punt for 52 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1790% → 88%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
50
-4
89.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 46Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 14
OWN 46
0
89.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 14
OWN 46
-1
88.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 45Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
88.4%
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds, downed at the MRSH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2212% → 10%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
88.2%
Elijah Metcalf run for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 9Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 16
OWN 9
0
88.0%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+8
88.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the MRSH 17Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+58
90.5%
Jaylin Lane 58 Yd Punt Return (John Love Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:4110% → 11%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
90.0%
A.J. Turner run for 21 yds to the MRSH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.4%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the MRSH 46Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
89.4%
Stone Earle run for 7 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
89.1%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
89.3%
Alec Clark punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5191% → 91%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
91.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 19 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
91.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
91.7%
run for 2 yds to the VT 45Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
91.5%
Virginia Tech Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on DRONES, Kyron enforced a result of a (Yards) to the VT 41Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
90.9%
Peter Moore punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Elijah Metcalf at the MRSH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:2310% → 8%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
90.3%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
90.0%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
90.1%
Alec Clark punt for 20 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
92.1%
(10:44) DRONES, Kyron pass up the middle incomplete intended for TUTEN, Bhayshul broken up by GREEN-MCKNIGHT, Jadarius at the MU45, clock 10:40. PENALTY VT Face mask on CLEMENTS, Parker enforced 15 yards from the MU35 to the VT50 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 10 yds · 4:1592% → 93%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 25
50
+10
91.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 10 yds to the MRSH 40Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+25
91.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 25 yds to the MRSH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
91.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the MRSH 11Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
91.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 9 yds to the MRSH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
91.5%
(08:07) DRONES, Kyron pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to GOSNELL, Benji caught at the MU0 and advanced to the MU0, TOUCHDOWN VT, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:04 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY VT Illegal Block in the Back on FELTON, Da'Quan enforced 15 yards from the MU2 to the MU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
0
91.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+2
91.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 2 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-10
90.9%
Kyron Drones sacked by Ra'Quan Thompson and TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the MRSH 25Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
+42
92.8%
John Love 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:558% → 8%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.6%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
91.4%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
91.6%
Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the MRSH 34Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
91.8%
Alec Clark punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:3792% → 92%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.3%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VT 28Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
92.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-5
91.9%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the VT 23Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
91.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0510% → 15%
Q2 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
90.2%
EARLE, Stone pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Bryan broken up by DELANE, Mansoor at the VT5, clock 03:24. PENALTY VT Holding on DELANE, Mansoor enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the VT5 to the VT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.8%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:4686% → 86%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
86.2%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
85.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 3 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+10
85.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 10 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
86.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
86.5%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+1
86.3%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 40Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+43
85.5%
Peter Moore punt for 43 yds , Elijah Metcalf returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:1412% → 10%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
87.8%
Stone Earle sacked by Keyshawn Burgos and TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 9Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 17
OWN 9
+7
89.1%
Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the MRSH 16Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+4
89.5%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the MRSH 20Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
90.0%
Alec Clark punt for 48 yds, downed at the VT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
86.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 8 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.1%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRSH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:1717% → 16%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
83.3%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
83.4%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
84.0%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:41
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
84.5%
Alec Clark punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 6:3285% → 89%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
85.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the MRSH 42Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
84.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the MRSH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
84.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 6 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
84.8%
P.J. Prioleau run for 3 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
83.8%
P.J. Prioleau run for 3 yds to the MRSH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
84.4%
Kyron Drones run for 10 yds to the MRSH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
84.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 13 yds to the MRSH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the MRSH 4Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
84.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the MRSH 3Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
83.1%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the MRSH 1Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:3011% → 25%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+69
89.1%
A.J. Turner run for 69 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
75.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 18 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:5881% → 91%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
80.9%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 34Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+49
80.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 49 yds to the MRSH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
83.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the MRSH 13Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+5
82.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the MRSH 8Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+5
81.5%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the MRSH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.8%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:0911% → 12%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.8%
Jordan Houston run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 20Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
89.0%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the MRSH 26Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
89.3%
Stone Earle run for 9 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.9%
Stone Earle pass complete to Toby Payne for no gain to the MRSH 35Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.1%
Stone Earle pass intercepted Mansoor Delane return for no gain to the VT 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:4290% → 97%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
90.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 13 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
90.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 20 yds to the MRSH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
90.7%
Marshall Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Mike Green) to the MRSH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
90.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the MRSH 9Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
90.9%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the MRSH 5Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
97.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25DOWNS
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:434% → 4%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
96.4%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the MRSH 18Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+8
96.5%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the MRSH 26Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+5
96.3%
Stone Earle run for 5 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
96.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 25 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+7
96.3%
Stone Earle pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 7 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+5
96.7%
Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 5 yds to the VT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
96.4%
Stone Earle pass complete to Carl Chester for 19 yds to the VT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
96.2%
Stone Earle pass complete to Jordan Houston for 2 yds to the VT 11Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
96.2%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+2
96.5%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the VT 5Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
96.4%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:16
Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 18 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 4:15
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q3 8:02
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com